Trump vs Hillary Odds

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by mbk734, Mar 22, 2016.

  1. mbk734

    mbk734 Well-Known Member

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    What would you put the odds of winning at for a Trump vs. Hillary matchup?
    Trump:
    Pro: strong business background, bold, tells it like it is
    Con: reality TV, some shady business ventures, haircut, less support from GOP, possible split convention
    Hillary:
    Pro: Clinton name, she's a female, less extreme, fully backed by her party (dems stick together)
    Con: Benghazi, emails, head injury,

    I put the odds at
    Hillary 80%
    Trump 20%
    and I don't care for either of them.
     
  2. Sundance

    Sundance Banned

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    Trump 95%

    Hillary 5%
     
  3. MVictorP

    MVictorP Well-Known Member

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    Trump 60, Clinton 40%.

    It's the Republicans' turn at bat, anyway...
     
  4. MVictorP

    MVictorP Well-Known Member

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    This will change once the twain shall meet.
     
  5. Sundance

    Sundance Banned

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    Yeah, it should have been Trump 100%

    <MOD EDIT: Reply to deleted>
     
  6. Uber Lib

    Uber Lib New Member

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    yank the iv out of your neck if you think Dumples has any shot, no numbers add up for him
     
  7. Balto

    Balto Well-Known Member

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    You forgot to add foreign policy experience to Hillary;s pro bracket. As for saying Trump tells like it is, doesn't Christie do that as well?

    With polls at where they are now, I would say its Hillary at 75%, Trump at 25%.
     
  8. Sundance

    Sundance Banned

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    When you scurry away in November, you won't hear me laugh at you :(

    - - - Updated - - -

    Reagan was 37 percentage points behind Carter in March 1980 :)



    [​IMG]
     
  9. domer76

    domer76 New Member

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    No, I wouldn't go that high. But you're also assuming Trump gets the nomination.

    These days, 55-45% is considered a landslide, but of course it comes down to delegates. But a 60-40% Clinton is entirely possible.
     
  10. Balto

    Balto Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, well times have changed. It's not 1980 anymore.
     
  11. domer76

    domer76 New Member

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    You're trying to compare Drumpf with Reagan? Now that there is funny and I don't care who you are!
     
  12. Sundance

    Sundance Banned

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    Trump's not anywhere near 37 points behind, either. :)
     
  13. Balto

    Balto Well-Known Member

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    Unless there is a brokered convention, in other words the GOP steals the nomination, unfortunately it looks like Drumpf is getting the nomination.
     
  14. Uber Lib

    Uber Lib New Member

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    I'll be here offering tissues to your bunch by the bale loads, it won't be enuf for the rivers
    that's a combined stat, Dumpy is overwhelmingly disdained by his own minority pity party
     
  15. domer76

    domer76 New Member

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    Probably. Up to 35% of Republicans indicate they will not vote for him. To be elected, that number has to be around 10%. In other words, 90% support. Ain't gonna happen.

    Additionally, demographics have changed even in the past few years. Fewer white males as a percentage to keep the Republican candidate, or at least the ones the GOP is providing, viable.
     
  16. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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  17. Sundance

    Sundance Banned

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    Trump's pulling lots of dissatisfied Dems, independents, and first time voters :)
     
  18. bwk

    bwk Well-Known Member

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    A criminal who steals 40 million dollars from seven thousand students for a bogus university isn't going to the White House.
     
  19. domer76

    domer76 New Member

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    One of my favorite political TV moments was watching the Karl Rove meltdown live.
     
  20. Sundance

    Sundance Banned

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    You a big Reagan fan?

    Trump's more like Teddy Roosevelt, but his support is as avid as Reagan's was in 1980, plus Reagan was also hated by the establishment in his party, and Trump and Reagan were both running against someone with no charisma, that no one really likes. Difference was, Carter was the president, and wasn't being investigated by the FBI :)

    - - - Updated - - -

    Karl Rove is melting down over Trump now. :)
     
  21. Balto

    Balto Well-Known Member

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    Trump talks to sell the pitch, but doesn't go into the details, like what could go awry WITH the sales pitch.

    Especially with what happened in Brussels, it's easy for anyone to say "I'll ban Muslim's" when in actuality, even if its only temporary, you would not be able to keep millions of Muslims out of the country. One way or another, they'll find their way in, like ants. It's the same deal with the wall on the Mexican Border, a giant wall isn't going to put a stop to illegal immigration. It might sound good, but it might not actually BE good.
     
  22. Sundance

    Sundance Banned

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    You still desperately clutching to that? :lol:

    Who isn't going to the White House is someone who compromised top secret information on a server kept in her bathroom, and is being investigated by the FBI. :)
     
  23. Balto

    Balto Well-Known Member

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    No one is going to want some brute in the White House with some unstable, financial record like Trump's. Filing bankruptcy is no option when you're dealing with the national debt.
     
  24. Uber Lib

    Uber Lib New Member

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    there's only so much room in the gilded clown car and it's speeding for a brick wall beep beep!
     
  25. domer76

    domer76 New Member

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    Reagan ran against someone who had an economy in the crapper and Iran hanging around his neck. Drumpf is no Ronnie Reagan. He is a snake oil salesman and that's giving the snake oil guy a bad rep.
     

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