I believe this portion. They're usually the loudest and most annoying. Typically the guys only join in on the antics when there are chicks around that they are trying to impress.
Sure, I'm a woman and I'm "motivated to get other people involved" and I "encourage friends or family to vote" ---- so I'd be part of the 42% statistic ---- but I'm an Independent voter and a Trump supporter, so you can guess who I'll be "encouraging friends or family" to vote for.
wow, likely voters and only 800 of them... by likely, they mean they most likely won't vote, correct?
You do. That's the very nature of a gender gap. But you raised a point that made me realize I made a mistake in the OP. I said the gender gap was 19 points in 2018, but that is wrong. That was the split in terms of the women specifically in that they voted 59-40 for Democrats. The "gender gap" refers to the difference between the Male and female voter. The gender gap in 2018 was 11 or 12. So pretty consistent with the gender gap in 2016. The reason why the split within the female gender is, or should be so concerning for the Republicans is because women consistently make up 4-5% more of the electorate compared to the males.
If by "quite a few," you mean "at least two," then sure. But democratic women voters hold trump at around 7% approval, so it is probably not very much more than at least two.
You also have to keep in mind that successful women with jobs are underrepresented in these type of surveys.
trouble reading your own link? that survey was conducted online (ergo no proof of who they surveyed), had only 800 people of which 39% were dempocrats, 28% undecided(independants), 23% republican, the other 10% isn't even recognized in this poll... and the kicker was, hold on now, only 31% of all of them were likely to vote in the 2020 presidential election... leftie twistie reallie goodie... not!
The bolded is not accurate. All of the respondents are likely voters. The 31% refers to those who answered in the affirmative that they were likely to participate more than they had in recent years.
Yea, but that is not the point he was trying to make, I dont believe. He seems to have been trying to figure out whether this poll suggested that they would or would not vote.
Oh my Looks like the corrupt party of voter suppression (a.k.a. the gop) is gunna have to start cooking up some corrupt scheme to suppress the female vote...
in case you missed it... the question for that survey was: the response was: that means that only 31% (of those 800 peeps that were polled) expect to be more involved than they were previously... absolutely nothing in that poll suggests which way they'll vote... eitherway, it's only 31% of 800 likely to vote, that's the equivalent of 248 out of 800 that 'might' vote, not withstanding the fact that the entire pool of peeps were already most likely not going to vote anyway...
Trumps biggest problem will be the Oprah & Ellen worshipping suburban white women. As a Trump supporter, they are my biggest fear. These same women elected Obama just because he is black. They loved telling anyone that would listen.... I am not a racist, I voted for Obama. This is as close as they will ever get to feeling cool.
If the total vote is 50-50, and Dems get 55% of the female vote, Republicans must get 55% of the male vote ... assuming two genders.
In this era, I don't think oprah and Ellen are nearly as relevant as they once were. The more media there is the more the viewers are spread out.
Again, all 800 members of the survey are already designated as "likely" voters. They are literally called "800 likely voters." The 31% references those who want to be MORE INVOLVED in the campaign - that means handing out signs, making phone calls, volunteering as election monitors, etc. It does not mean that the other 69% are suddenly not likely voters.
so 31% of the 800 'might' vote... and 39% of the 800 identify as democrat... hmmm edit: better yet, 77% of the 800 identify as 'other' than republican, yet only 31% of the 800 might vote... wowser!