Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

Discussion in 'Coronavirus (COVID-19) News' started by Statistikhengst, Mar 14, 2020.

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  1. LoneStarGal

    LoneStarGal Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Coronavirus is zoonotic. The flu is not.
     
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  2. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    They are both viruses. No ??
     
  3. AKS

    AKS Banned

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    Ok I suppose it has merit in comparing different countries, but it doesn't tell you much else. It certainly doesn't give you infection or mortality rates. Do you agree?
     
  4. gfm7175

    gfm7175 Well-Known Member

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    That is one of the numerous virus families that can cause the symptoms that people commonly refer to as "flu". I have already provided the reasoning for why this is. You, rather, are arguing that "flu" is a synonym for any virus belonging to the orthomyxovirus family. You do you, but I think it's better reasoning to use the label "flu" to refer to the common set of symptoms that all of these virus families cause rather than limiting the term to a particular virus family. Is the "common cold" limited to the rhinovirus family??

    So you're going to go on record as to outright deny philosophy?

    Math is defined by its axioms, which will differ depending upon which domain of mathematics one is operating under.

    Science is defined by philosophy, that which you apparently deny, as evidenced above. I happen to mostly agree with the philosophy of Karl Popper in how science is defined. Science is, simply put, "a set of falsifiable theories".
     
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  5. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    And I’ve been accused of trolling ???
     
  6. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    or hypotheses.
     
  7. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    Again, you appear to be saying that you believe the infection/mortality rate is found by dividing the cumulative total of infections/deaths by the total population.
     
  8. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    Just because they are both types of viruses does not mean that covid is a type of influenza.
     
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  9. AKS

    AKS Banned

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    Are you kidding? I'm trying to pin you down on exactly what you believe. You know you're going to lose in this exchange so you accuse me of trolling. gthoo.
     
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  10. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Again you know exactly what I am saying.
     
  11. AKS

    AKS Banned

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    How can he? I don't think YOU even know what you are saying.
     
    Last edited: Apr 7, 2020
  12. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Johns-Hopkins. Flu like similarities.
     
  13. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    No, I am simply trying to get you to understand some basic definition and epidimiological concepts that covid-19 is not a type of the flu. The flu is short for influenza and the influenza is caused by one family of viruses, of which coronaviruses are wholly different.

    This virus spreads easier and is more lethal on a per infection basis than the seasonal flu. That position is supported by the raw data as well as the relevant experts.
     
  14. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    You’ve confused me with someone who cares what you think.
     
  15. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    A gun shot can create knife like injuries, but that does not mean they are the same.

    Covid-19 is not a type of influenza even if some of the symptoms are the same.
     
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  16. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I’ve made it clear that there is value in the metric of deaths divided by population.
     
  17. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    It is “flu like”.
     
  18. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    No, I do not. That's why I keep asking. Jesus.

    Do you agree that the infection and mortality rate is discerned by dividing the number of confirmed cases/deaths by the total population?
     
  19. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    Agreed that it creates flu like symptoms.

    Still wrong to claim that it is a type of flu.
     
  20. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Sorry. Game over.
     
  21. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    *1,423,638*
    +83,182 cases today over yesterday

    1,845 Americans died from COVID-19 today.

    At end of my day, 11:58 PM on April 7th, 2020 (GMT +2), here the COVID-19 numbers:


    2020-04-007 COVID-19 EOD 001.png

    Today, we came in well over the 1.4 million mark. Yesterday. we shot over the 1.3 Three days ago, for the first time, we added 100,000+ confirmed COVID-19 cases in just one day. That is more cases than the entire total that was recorded every day up to March 6th, 2020. But in the days since then, we did not have +100,000 new cases, which is exceedingly good news. However, the daily number of cases is rising again.

    Here is where we were exactly one month ago, on March 7th, 2020.

    However, we went over 80,000 deaths worldwide. More details below.

    The mortality rate (number of total deaths / number of total confirmed COVID-19 cases) moved starkly upward to 5.75% (It was 5.55% yesterday at EOD). That is a statistically significant jump and is bad news.

    The Excel-Table:

    2020-04-007 COVID-19 EOD 002.png
    The number of new cases today was considerably higher, with +83,182 new cases as compared to yesterday over the day before (+71,820). So, the growth rate increased today to 6.21%. Yesterday, the growth rate was 5.66%.

    In terms of deaths: 81,857 total, +7,415 today over yesterday, making for a 9.96% growth rate (yesterday: 7.39%). This is by far the largest jump in deaths in one day since the pandemic began, a very bad sigh.

    The % of recovered people was slightly higher compared to yesterday, from 20.75% yesterday to 21.19% at EOD today.

    And per country, most of the countries, first per total cases, (1,000 cases or above):

    2020-04-007 COVID-19 EOD 003.png
    2020-04-007 COVID-19 EOD 004.png
    2020-04-007 COVID-19 EOD 005.png
    2020-04-007 COVID-19 EOD 006.png

    There are now 62 nations in the "thousand club", with Moldova crossing over the 1,000 line today. Of those 62, 17 are in the "10,000 club" and 5 of them are at 100,000 or more (USA, Spain, Italy Germany and France). Today, France not only crossed over the 100,000 mark, but it also jumped in front of Germany, with a record breaking 11,000+ new cases. Hong Kong, Lithuania, Belarus and Armenia are up next to cross the 1,000 line, either tomorrow or Thursday. Turkey has shot up to 34,000 cases. Russia is now officially at 7,500 cases (yesterday, it was 6,300), but the actual number of case there may be 50-70 times higher. India is closing in on 5,000 cases. Pakistan is now over 4,000 cases. While we all were sleeping, Brasil essentially jumped from 100 to about 13,000 cases.

    And here, per new deaths today, in descending numerical order. The USA had the most deaths today, followed by France:


    2020-04-007 COVID-19 EOD 007.png

    The USA had the most deaths in one day: 1,845 yesterday, it was 1,148. France reported 1,417 deaths. 45.29% of all deaths today came from those two countries.

    The numbers receeded for two days, but just as my gut was telling me, they are rising again.

    THE. CURVE. IS. STILL. EXPONENTIAL.

    -Stat
     
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  22. AKS

    AKS Banned

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    In other words, no, in fact you have no idea what you're talking about. What a pathetic waste of bandwidth.
     
    Last edited: Apr 7, 2020
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  23. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    I think this should be repeated, and please, pray some:

    1,845 Americans died from COVID-19 today.
     
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  24. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Just spitballing here...

    ....but I am getting the distinct impression that you are somewhat a glutton for punishment....
     
  25. AKS

    AKS Banned

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    I wonder how the idiots are going to spin the fact that even though the number of tests are increasing the death rate is not decreasing.
     

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