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Trump has 91% chance of winning second term, professor’s model predicts

Discussion in 'Political Opinions & Beliefs' started by camp_steveo, Jul 11, 2020.

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  1. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    It is almost like you don’t know what you are talking about...
    upload_2020-7-12_9-55-54.jpeg upload_2020-7-12_9-56-37.jpeg
     
    cd8ed, Jul 12, 2020
    #51
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  2. Injeun

    Injeun Well-Known Member

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    Don't get me me wrong. I'm a Trump supporter. So I like this prediction. That said, polls come from real people who vote. And if more real people who vote, fancy Biden over Trump by a large margin. Then how is that undone by a weighted matrix chart. We don't vote by the chart, right?
     
    Injeun, Jul 12, 2020
    #52
  3. Darthcervantes

    Darthcervantes Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    If you value "reality", I suggest you try living in it. Comparing trump to Hitler is silly. You're whole basis for that is that he talks smack on the left? They make a living out of talking smack on the right AND have double standards AND promote violence and destruction of public property. You want to blame a pandemic messing with our economics on Trump? go for it but it isn't based in "reality"
     
    Darthcervantes, Jul 12, 2020
    #53
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  4. superbadbrutha

    superbadbrutha Banned

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    If Trump wins in November this country has gone back to it's 1950s status, plain and simple.
     
    superbadbrutha, Jul 12, 2020
    #54
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  5. Surfer Joe

    Surfer Joe Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    You never know. With the mafia on his side, he can fiddle the right precincts and maybe win the EC, but if the popular vote is against him again, people will revolt.
     
    Surfer Joe, Jul 12, 2020
    #55
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  6. Scamander

    Scamander Well-Known Member

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    I think nobody can yet believe Trump won. Including Trump.
    Trump is the racist.
    Russia connection was never for sure proven, I give you that.
    But Trump was impeached for trying to enlist Ukraine to rig 2020 elections.
    Trump is trying to destroy America by suggesting protesters should be shot or inject disinfectant against COVID.
    No Democrats, nor anybody else, EVER blamed Trump for the Corona virus but he can be blamed for lack of solutions.

    For the last one you're going overboard.
    Nobody, including Democrats, is celebrating Corona deaths.

    And a SITTING PRESIDENT refusing to step aside when his time is up will be a traitor to his nation.
     
    Last edited: Jul 12, 2020
    Scamander, Jul 12, 2020
    #56
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  7. Surfer Joe

    Surfer Joe Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I have to admit that if America elects trump in 2020, after watching his deplorable actions and listening to his demagoguery and self-serving lies for 4 years, it will be worse than going back to the 50s.
    It's the dawn of Idiocracy.
     
    Last edited: Jul 12, 2020
    Surfer Joe, Jul 12, 2020
    #57
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  8. ArchStanton

    ArchStanton Banned

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    More like the rebirth of sanity.
     
    ArchStanton, Jul 12, 2020
    #58
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  9. US Conservative

    US Conservative Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I do and I said as much. All know you are on the wrong side.
     
    US Conservative, Jul 12, 2020
    #59
  10. NightOwl

    NightOwl Banned

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    Awesome. I'd love to relive America's golden age.
     
    NightOwl, Jul 12, 2020
    #60
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  11. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Your abject FAILURE to provide a credible link says that you have got SQUAT, as usual!

    Sad!

    :roflol:
     
    Derideo_Te, Jul 12, 2020
    #61
  12. superbadbrutha

    superbadbrutha Banned

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    Pretty sure you would, that is what most anti-black folks would live for.
     
    superbadbrutha, Jul 12, 2020
    #62
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  13. superbadbrutha

    superbadbrutha Banned

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    More like making racism front and center again.
     
    superbadbrutha, Jul 12, 2020
    #63
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  14. Surfer Joe

    Surfer Joe Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    What I find hard to believe is that even 40% of Americans would ever vote for him after his past performance and ample evidence of his complete lack of character.
     
    Surfer Joe, Jul 12, 2020
    #64
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  15. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Character is subjective unfortunately. It is strange that the party of family values, morals, fiscal responsibility and honesty while screaming pull yourself up by the bootstraps vote so reliably for an adulterous, filthy, bankrupt, liar that inherited his wealth.
     
    cd8ed, Jul 12, 2020
    #65
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  16. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    So, a German born an educated professor at a public sea-grant and space-grant research university in Stony Brook, New York is your predictor? Highly accurate?

    :roflol:

    That, plus a YouTube amateur analysis?

    From your first link:

    "A national election model by Oxford Ecomonics has predicted that Donald Trump will suffer a “historic defeat” in November’s election due to the coronavirus economic recession.

    The Oxford model predicted the winner of the popular vote in 16 of the past 18 elections and presented a complete reversal of its prediction before the coronavirus outbreak hit the US."

    I think I'm going go with their prediction, since that's their business.

    https://www.oxfordeconomics.com/
     
    Sleep Monster, Jul 12, 2020
    #66
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  17. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Legit what? He's a poly sci professor at a small college in Podunk, NY. And the other "expert" the OP cites is a YouTuber.
     
    Sleep Monster, Jul 12, 2020
    #67
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  18. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    There isn't enough cheese in Wisconsin to go with that whine.

    "Wahhh! Their eroding my traditional white privilege! And they're being mean to me!" The only thing the left wants you all to do is share the enormous wealth and power in this country, quit hogging it all for white males only. White men have had all of the power in this country since the founding, and look at what a mess they've made of it.
     
    Sleep Monster, Jul 12, 2020
    #68
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  19. doombug

    doombug Well-Known Member

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    As opposed to where Biden will take us? LOL! He doesn't even know where he is.
     
    doombug, Jul 12, 2020
    #69
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  20. doombug

    doombug Well-Known Member

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    Racism is a myth.
     
    doombug, Jul 12, 2020
    #70
  21. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Yeah, about that . . .

    The big difference this time is the incumbent factor. Incumbents presidents virtually always have a big advantage unless they screw up bigly, as Trump has done.
     
    Sleep Monster, Jul 12, 2020
    #71
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  22. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    And he's doing absolutely nothing to help himself in that regard.
     
    Sleep Monster, Jul 12, 2020
    #72
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  23. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups? I don't get it, either. The only reasonable explanation is that he's created a cult of personality.
     
    Sleep Monster, Jul 12, 2020
    #73
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  24. Sleep Monster

    Sleep Monster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Hospitalizations are most certainly not declining. Hospitals in many states are currently overwhelmed. The only reason the death count is a bit lower is that most of the sick are young, in their 20s, 30s, and 40s. The current "virus run rampant" numbers are a direct result of reopening. Look back at Memorial Day weekend, where millions of young and healthy people decided there was no danger in gathering in crowds at beaches and resorts, with no social distancing and no masks.

    The experts all said that this would happen if states reopened prematurely and took no cautionary measures. We reap what we sow.
     
    Sleep Monster, Jul 12, 2020
    #74
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  25. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    What has happened in this country when youtube videos and facebook articles can convince people over imperial and scientific evidence.
    This anti-science movement needs to be destroyed at its core. It will dismantle this nation.
     
    cd8ed, Jul 12, 2020
    #75
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