The Decline of the White Male Voter

Is the white male voter on the way out? Does this bode ill for Republicans? What can they do to reverse the tide?

http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2016-05-13/the-decline-of-the-white-male-voter

The Decline of the White Male Voter
Donald Trump can't rely on the once-powerful demographic to ensure victory.

The Decline of the White Male Voter
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(John Moore/Getty Images)
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By Susan Milligan | Staff Writer
May 13, 2016, at 6:00 a.m.
WOODBRIDGE, Va. – If there ever was an award for achievement of the immigrant American Dream, Carlos Castro is a top contender. He escaped war-town El Salvador in 1979, making a risky trip over the U.S. border with the help of a smuggler paid to bring people in the country illegally. Caught, put in a detention center and deported, Castro tried again, this time making it eventually to the Washington, D.C. region, where he worked as a dishwasher. Later, Castro would get documentation, a construction job, a college degree and his U.S. citizenship. And in 1990, Castro opened "Todos," a 2,500-sq. ft. grocery store that is now a 60,000-sq. ft. supermarket and megastore serving this northern Virginia exurb's exploding Latino population. Once a low-paid laborer serving others, Castro is now serving the Hispanic community here, employing nearly 200 people at his two stores, selling food and clothing and services such as cell phones, money transfers and, recently, Virginia's first bilingual U.S. Post Office. He pays his workers more than the minimum wage, and is planning to install in his megastore a cafeteria, rides for kids and a venue for baby showers and other celebrations for his customers to use.

[READ: Targeting White Voters in the North Is the New 'Southern Strategy']

Castro is the face of the new Northern Virginia, a region of this once-ruby red, former slave state that is now home to burgeoning populations of Latinos, Asians, Middle Easterners and other non-white residents. It's a voter base any candidate needs to win statewide in the fall elections, and one, theoretically, either major party ought to be able to woo. Castro, for one, understands the struggles of a small business entrepreneur, a prototype celebrated by the Republican Party. And at one time, he says, "I used to admire Donald Trump," the billionaire businessman and presumptive GOP presidential nominee.


Then, Castro notes of Trump, "he opened his mouth."

Trump trashed Mexican immigrants, calling them "rapists" and "criminals" before qualifying it by saying "some of them" were OK. He talked about building a wall with Mexico, about banning Muslims from entering the U.S., and about closing mosques. Castro felt attacked as an immigrant taking American jobs – and baffled by it. "Not only are we not taking jobs, we're providing jobs," Castro says, gesturing towards the bustling aisles of his store.

This year, Castro says, he's getting involved in politics, helping to register fellow Latino voters so they can stop the man Castro calls "a con artist." While Hispanics have typically had lower turnout on Election Day than other voter groups, this year, the year of Trump, "we have to convince the Hispanic community that now it is our opportunity to really make a statement," Castro says.

That draft statement is potentially much more powerful now, as it is for other minorities. The white male voter, experts say, is on the decline. Minority groups are becoming pluralities or even majorities in some regions, shaking up the political landscape. Female voters continue to be a majority of voters and are more likely than men to vote for Democrats, a trend that began in 1980.


"We have seen tremendous change. We are a much more pluralistic society," says Terry Clower, director of the Center for Regional Analysis at George Mason University. "There's not any one group from any major metro area where one group is more than 50 percent of the population," he says. "From a political perspective, inclusiveness is the path to success," he says.

Six states – Texas, California, Hawaii, Maryland, Georgia and New Mexico – will have eligible voter populations this fall that are at least 40 percent minorities, according to States of Change, a report done by researchers at the Center for American Progress, the American Enterprise Institute and the Brookings Institution.

Nationwide, 16 percent of eligible voters were minorities in 1980. That percentage has grown to 30 percent this year and will be 50 percent by 2052. The U.S. Census Bureau projects that the country as a whole will be majority-minority by 2044.

In places like Virginia, those changes are already evident in the neighborhoods, the schools, the shopping malls – and, perhaps most significantly, the voting booths. Northern Virginia has seen a 60 percent increase in the Hispanic population and a 40 percent increase in the Asian population in the last 8-10 years, Clower says. Annandale, a town in suburban DC's Fairfax County, has its own "Koreatown," with at least 10,000 Koreans living in the area called Sully. There are at least three Korean-language daily newspapers available in Fairfax County.

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The Korean population became influential enough that in 2014, the community successfully pressured the Virginia legislature to amend school textbooks to include the Korean name "East Sea" to describe the body of water otherwise known as the "Sea of Japan."

In the bedroom community of Prince William County, the government of El Salvador has a consulate in a strip mall. Aside from the Todos stores in Woodbridge and Dumfries, there is another massive grocery, "Global," that includes not only Latino foods, but different brands of rice preferred by Korean, Vietnamese, Chinese and Japanese shoppers. Eden, an enormous shopping mall in Falls Church with restaurants, hairdressers, retail shops and services, caters to a pan-Asian clientele.

Initially, immigrant groups settled in border states or points of entry. But economic opportunities – such as the construction jobs available in Northern Virginia during the home-building boom here – have drawn immigrant groups who then stayed, started businesses and raised families here, Clower says.

But the trends bode poorly for Republicans in general and Trump in particular, experts say, since those groups historically have voted Democratic. President Barack Obama took 71 percent of the Hispanic vote in 2012, up from 67 percent in 2008. African-Americans vote overwhelmingly for Democrats (Obama got 93 percent of the African-American vote in 2012, and John Kerry won 88 percent of that vote in 2004). Asians, who were the fastest-growing ethnic group between 2000-2010, have tended Democratic this century, with 73 percent voting for Obama in 2012. Complicating matters further is that the percentage of Virginia's non-college educated white voters – a group more likely to vote Republican – dropped from 64 percent in 1980 to 44 percent now, Clower notes.

It's not clear why these ethnic groups have stayed so loyal to the Democratic Party, says Robert Griffin, a demographics expert with the Center for American Progress. But in Northern Virginia, Republicans have nearly given up, barely running candidates for local office, says former Rep. Tom Davis, a Republican from the area. When he represented the region, Davis managed to draw support from the minority groups by paying attention to such matters as keeping temporary legal status.

But now, "that's not part of the formula the party has chosen to pursue," Davis says, calling it a bad "long-term strategy" for the GOP. "It's tough," Davis says when asked about the GOP's chances of putting Virginia back in the red column this fall. "I think it's going to be very hard for Trump to take."

 

[video=youtube;6CmzT4OV-w0]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6CmzT4OV-w0[/video]

The decline in the white male vote you are seeing is the Bigot vote. Bigots are declining due to information via the internet.

The Bigot White Male is posting about a decline in bigots. We should bring this guy some tea or something. Maybe a card?

 

So, why are Millennials more likely than Generation X to think that Blacks aren't as intelligent?

Is it because the lower IQ, SAT, and PISA scores of Blacks were long kept a secret, until the internet bought us such information to our fingertips?

 

White males doubt at the black hole of voting box!
Is it black or is it empty?

 

Race and Hispanic Origin

White alone, percent, July 1, 2014, (V2014) (a).............77.4%
White alone, percent, April 1, 2010 (a)........................... 72.4%
Black or African American alone, percent, July 1, 2014, (V2014) (a).........13.2%
Black or African American alone, percent, April 1, 2010 (a)..................12.6%
Hispanic or Latino, percent, July 1, 2014, (V2014) (b)..................17.4%
Hispanic or Latino, percent, April 1, 2010 (b)..................16.3%

I'm sure you want that so badly to be true, but not according to the Census Bureau. Between 2010 and 2014 The percentage of the population White alone went from 72.4% to 77.4% for a full 5% increase. Blacks went from 12.6% to 13.2%, an increase of 0.6%. Latino's went from 16.3% to 17.4% for an increase4 of 1.1%. Asians went from 4.8% to 5.4% for a total of 0.6%. Let Jethro cipher for ya. 0.6% + 1.1% +0.6% = after the gazinta's it comes out to 2.3% which is less than half the growth for whites only at 5%.

http://www.census.gov/quickfacts/

http://www.census.gov/quickfacts/

White America is growing faster than any other major group.

 

The Census Bureau's Population Estimates Program (PEP) produces estimates of the population for the United States, its states, counties, cities, and towns, as well as for the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico and its municipios (county-equivalents for Puerto Rico). Additionally, housing unit estimates are produced for the nation, states, and counties. The timing of the release of estimates varies according to the level of geography. The schedule of releases is available at https://www.census.gov/popest/schedule.html.

These are self-reported and apparently the method of measure was changed from 2010 to 2014 which would result in results that aren't truly comparable.

A discrepancy that shows when you add this data to the mix:

White alone, not Hispanic or Latino, percent, July 1, 2014, (V2014)
62.1%
White alone, not Hispanic or Latino, percent, April 1, 2010
63.7%

Population estimates use the race categories mandated by the Office of Management and Budget's (OMB) 1997 standards: White; Black or African American; American Indian and Alaska Native; Asian; Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander. These race categories differ from those used in Census 2010 in one important respect. Census 2010 also allowed respondents to select the category referred to as Some Other Race. When Census 2010 data were edited to produce the estimates base, respondents who selected the Some Other Race category alone were assigned to one of the OMB mandated categories. For those respondents who selected the Some Other Race category and one or more of the other race categories, the edits ignored the Some Other Race selection. This editing process produced tabulations from our estimates that show fewer people reporting two or more races than similar tabulations from Census 2010, because respondents who selected Some Other Race and one of the OMB mandated races in Census 2010 appear in the single OMB race category in the estimates base.
​

So I guess we'll have to wait until the 2020 census (assuming the Republicans don't kill it) to getdata that is comparable.

 

From the stats above it looks like blacks are falling away.

 

You're such a big believer in anything the government tells you yet you can't accept the facts they posted on their website. Guess it doesn't fit your narrative.

 

The racism of Democratic politics is well known, yes. If they can, Democratic leadership will do all it can to keep people divided up by race for another 100 years.

 

Mitt Romney lost only around 3 million of the popular vote to Obama and that's all he had.

Half the illegals they keep bringing in to vote won't become an issue until AFTER this election. If Hillary wins a Republican may not go in, but it depends because the genera;l rule for polls is the Black voters are more important than the Hispanics when analysts analyze polls.

 

The Census Bureau stats I posted makes sense. The economy's been bad and a lot of the hard working Latino's are heading home, only the sponges and criminals are staying as they have a way to make a living. Blacks are aborting so many new Democrat voters their population only grew by .6%. It's in the left's best interest to make whites think the minorities are taking over. More smoke and mirrors.

 

The stats show an increase.

The issues is the open borders are artificially giving Hispanics an edge, but Blacks actually know about the country so they are still the more important voting block. Hence why the dems keep bringing in illegals so they can have a Permanent voting block that won't sway to vote for them enough so they can't lose.

Like I said after this election the only way to fix anything would be to run as a democrat or really poor in a large amount of money on a third party (while expecting to take a loss and not make it up.)

 

Didn't you just post government statistics?



I just posted information FROM THE SAME LINK that you didn't include.



You're such a big believer in anything the government tells you yet you can't accept the facts they posted on their website. Guess it doesn't fit your narrative.

 

Planned parenthood, doing the job it was founded to do.

 

AKA... in order to win elections, you have to pander to the groups that (*)(*)(*)(*) like rabbits.

Which, generally, is exactly the kind of person any society wants LESS of... except here in the states.

 

By Susan Milligan... Ahem...

 

The answer to the GOP's predicament:

Donald Trump appoints Caitlyn Jenner as VP nominee.

 

Why not just appoint Lindsey Graham? He's isn't a tranny but we probably need to start with all this androgyny by taking baby steps.

LOL. Two reality TV stars in the Whitehouse, neither of then has a clue how the government works.

 

Nice progressive feel good propaganda story...

Translation of the story:

If you're a white male why vote? (don't vote) because it doesn't matter..

haha...

 

I dunno about Graham not being a tranny. I mean, seriously, look at the guy(?). Particularly the video of him destroying is cell phone. Was that tranny or what? He swings like a girl.

[video=youtube;RXSFRMJhlgY]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RXSFRMJhlgY[/video]

 

“We've all heard that a million monkeys banging on a million typewriters will eventually reproduce the entire works of Shakespeare. Now, thanks to the Internet, we know this is not true.”

― Robert Wilensky

http://www.goodreads.com/quotes/3197-we-ve-all-heard-that-a-million-monkeys-banging-on-a

There are over 600 million web pages on the net - you will find ANYTHING to support whatever whacked out, bigoted idiotic idea anyone can invent, dream about, fantasise about or just plain become paranoid about

There are cryptozoology sites, creation myth sites, flat earth sites and even sites that attest that DHMO is a dangerous substance and that you can "live on light"

Sadly, many bigots will seek that information that will validate their beliefs - whether it is true or not

Even sadder is that most do not know how to tell truth from fiction on the internet

 

I'm talking about facts, like transracial adoption studies which showed Blacks scored a lower IQ score, and East Asians scored a higher IQ score, even after adopted into White middle class households.

How come?

 

Post your so called "facts" and I will teach you how to analyse and critique research

BTW one of the first factors that should have been controlled for in these so called "studies" is the self-fulfilling prophesy effect.

Oh! And I AM hoping that they did not use the well debunked "IQ score"

 

Lindsey Graham blathers like an old woman. With a gender reassignment he would be perfect fit for Donald.

 

Whether it's IQ, PISA, or SAT scores Blacks score lower, and East Asians higher.,

How come?

IQ tests are accurate enough to show down syndrome people typically score retarded IQ scores, while the best, and brightest typically score high IQ scores.

Some coincidence, huh?