Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

Discussion in 'Coronavirus (COVID-19) News' started by Statistikhengst, Mar 14, 2020.

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  1. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Why do think they are doing it ???

    Who is claiming that the virus is not dangerous ???
     
  2. Adfundum

    Adfundum Moderator Staff Member Donor

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    I have no real idea why they're doing that. It could be to calm people down. How can we know for sure?

    There are plenty of people who are claiming the virus is not dangerous or it's no big deal. I've seen a lot of posts that suggest that, and I've talked to people who say that. Please understand that my comments were not aimed at you.
     
  3. nobodyspecific

    nobodyspecific Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I'm sorry, Italy is reclassifying? I read the article you linked, but did not see anything about Italy actually planning to change how they are classifying things. Can you please link and quote the relevant portions where the Italian government, or officials in charge of making such choices have stated this plan to reclassify?

    Second, regardless of classification, how do you account for not only the spike in COVID-19 classified deaths relative to what the norm would be this time of year in Italy, but indeed all deaths:

    https://www.corriere.it/politica/20...rs-b5af0edc-6eeb-11ea-925b-a0c3cdbe1130.shtml
     
  4. Curious Always

    Curious Always Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I just noticed that India is not reporting anything. Are they going to be secretive like China, or do they not have the infrastructure to gather the data? I imagine getting totals out of their slums will be a monumental task.
     
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  5. Adfundum

    Adfundum Moderator Staff Member Donor

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    I imagine it would be quite a task. They may not have the infrastructure to do all that. But the desire to control how people react may be a big part of the problem. Imagine a government telling the people they can't handle the situation.
     
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  6. Sallyally

    Sallyally Well-Known Member Donor

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    It would be a misstep to let the country see that you aren’t in control of things.
     
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  7. Curious Always

    Curious Always Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I work with a couple of Indians. Programmers. They know. They are scared.
     
  8. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    Where do you expect the death total from covid to end up in 2020?
     
  9. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Their medical science officer Dr. Walter Ricciardi has done the reclassifying.

    Chinese garment workers (there are 300,000 living in northern Italy) travelled to Wuhan for a festival and returned to Italy spiking infections. Italy’s population is 23% over 70 IIRC. In the US that is 16%.
     
  10. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    50K maximum.
     
  11. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    I believe you are incorrect. I tried to search and verify your claim and this is the best I could find. Italy is not reclassifying, nor is Professor Ricciardi, who is a scientific advisor to Italy's minister of health, advocating that Italy reclassify the cause of death.

    Federalist contributor and OAN host agree that Italy may be “greatly inflating” its COVID-19 death toll
     
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  12. Adfundum

    Adfundum Moderator Staff Member Donor

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    I seriously hope you're right. I want it to be as low as possible.
     
  13. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    There is a politico article about a province (Henan, I believe) which is going on a lockdown out of a fear of a 2nd wave.
     
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  14. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    It is clearly stated above in the article I posted. The total number remains the same but 88% died with Coronavirus not because of Coronavirus.
     
  15. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    So we see now another lie from the Red Chinese.
     
  16. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    I think that is exceedingly optimistic. I think we will hit 50k before the end of April.
     
  17. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    Not sure how it is a lie when it is announced publicly...
     
  18. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    I do not see your article, so let me know the post number and I will review. But I am willing to bet that it includes the precise same quote that I just gave you.
     
  19. Adfundum

    Adfundum Moderator Staff Member Donor

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    It seems to me that in order to validate those numbers, we need to be able to show that those people would have died even without the virus.
     
  20. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    They claimed that everything was under control and the crisis was over.
     
    Last edited: Apr 3, 2020
  21. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    And I just told you what it said.
     
  22. AFM

    AFM Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The Italian medical science officer has done so.
     
  23. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    The story is a little bit different in Colorado.
    The Australian groups brought the Virus to Aspen, Pitken county.
    It spread from there to the surrounding counties.
    It was the reason our Governor shut down the ski resorts.
     
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  24. ricmortis

    ricmortis Well-Known Member

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    Like a really really bad flu season?
     
  25. ricmortis

    ricmortis Well-Known Member

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    So, Italy is saying that 88% of people would have died if they didn't have the virus. Nice.
     

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