Republican internal polling signals a Democratic rout

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by MrTLegal, Jul 4, 2020.

  1. cristiansoldier

    cristiansoldier Well-Known Member

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    I think you guys are being paranoid. I have never felt unsafe by telling them I don't want to participate. I think soon all pollsters that rely on phones calls are going to become obsolete. Just minutes ago I got a call from an unknown caller. I simply used Google call screening and the caller hung up. Google call screening combined with the phone providers telemarketing blocking algorithms have almost totally eliminated answering calls from telemarketers or survey people. All I need to do is switch my house alarm monitoring to use a cell network and I can cancel my primitive landline and not have to deal with them at all.
     
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  2. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The Democrats in blue states are doing a fine job of crushing the virus and the economy in their own states. Hillary wins by a landslide.........see ya in November.
     
    Last edited: Jul 7, 2020
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  3. Ddyad

    Ddyad Well-Known Member

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    Not answering calls from any "an unknown caller" will work, but anyone who does not have a good healthy fear of our corrupt political establishment has not been paying close attention. ;-)

    "Subpoenas have been issued demanding correspondence and donor information of right-leaning organizations and individuals and raids have been conducted resulting in law enforcement officers taking computers and files in a secret investigation, according to reports."
    CAPITOL CITY PROJECT, Homes raided, subpoenas issued targeting conservative groups and allies of Scott Walker," By Joe Schoffstall, November 18, 2013.
    http://capitolcityproject.com/homes...nservative-groups-and-allies-of-scott-walker/
     
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  4. perotista

    perotista Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    We still don't know how this pandemic will effect voting in November. But yes, we have an extremely small pool of undecided's for July. That may be because most folks either decided long ago they would vote for or against him. This election, at least as of now, seems all about Trump and not about Biden. He's been that divisive. You either love him or hate him with very few in-between. And yes, Trump hasn't tried to expand his base one bit. There was a lot of voting against in 2016, not for either major party candidate. Without Hillary on the ballot, there's probably no saving Trump unless something completely unforeseen happens.

    48% of all Americans say they have an unfavorable view of Biden, but 58% say the same thing about Trump. Hillary was seen unfavorably by 56% of all Americans vs. 60% who had an unfavorable view of Trump in 2016. 48 vs 58 is another big set of numbers as folks usually don't vote for someone they dislike.
     
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  5. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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  6. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    The lack of effort in this post is...expected.
     
  7. cristiansoldier

    cristiansoldier Well-Known Member

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    The advantage of the call screening is occasionally someone you know will call you from an unknown or blocked number. My sister's works at the hospital and for some reason the number she calls me from always shows up as blocked. I really don't have a fear of the corrupt political system more of a disappointment.
     
  8. Arkanis

    Arkanis Well-Known Member

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    And these protests are happening under Trump's watch...
     
  9. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    Trump could care less about those 2 numbers... what will drive him batty is these numbers...

    upload_2020-7-7_16-48-19.png

    upload_2020-7-7_16-50-20.png

    If you can't get men OR women, he had better hope there ARE some other sexes out there...

    :roflol:
     

    Attached Files:

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  10. LangleyMan

    LangleyMan Well-Known Member

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    His base tends to be older and more likely to have a tough time with the virus. You'd think he'd figure it out.
     
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  11. LangleyMan

    LangleyMan Well-Known Member

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    79F42AE6-33EE-47D4-9A35-CB2199C80778.jpeg

    Fixed what? He got a teensy bounce in 2017-2018 from jacking up the deficit by about $500b. Even so, the last three years of Obama was about the same as the first three under Trump.

    You seem to have lapped up Trump propaganda.
    If they're smart, they'll support a governor who pushes down the new infection rate so when they do open businesses enough people will come out and shop.
     
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  12. LangleyMan

    LangleyMan Well-Known Member

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    There are ways in polling to account for dishonest answers. You lose.
     
  13. TRFjr

    TRFjr Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    you sure love to show you ignorance Rasmussen doesn't do state polls
    so explain Einstein how is it that Rasmussen did so poorly in polls they dont even do
     
  14. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    They do generic congressional polls which are designed to reflect the total vote taken for congress during an election.

    So, how did rasmussen do on 2018?
     
  15. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Life isn't confined to your narrow goalposts......sorry. :roll:
     
  16. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Your posts aimed at me and not the discussion show waving of the white flag of surrender. Homerun with bases loaded!
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2020
  17. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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  18. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    So what? Ferguson and Freddie Grey happened under Biden/Obama's. If it makes Trump un-electable than it does the same for Biden.
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2020
  19. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    Well, about the only good thing that comes out of 2016 is that we are now focusing on statewide polls instead of national polls....

    Plus the secondary polls (race, education, gender etc).

    I can post a few of those if you'd like to discuss current trends in battleground states...
     
  20. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    Ah, so you DO want to talk about the fact that Republicans are refusing to release their internal polls?

    Great. Tell me your opinion on why that is happening. Does the GOP collectively wear a tin-foil hat such that they believe releasing internal poll data will subject themselves to some non-existent repercussions?
     
  21. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    "the only poll that got it right that was dead accurate Rasmussen"

    Good looking out.

    I am very glad to see that you are a fan of the Rasmussen Presidential Poll.

    They just released a Poll that has Biden LEADING Trump Double Digits.

    That is correct:

    Trump TRAILS Biden by Double Digits. (In Rasmussen).

    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/pu...ections/election_2020/white_house_watch_jul08
     
  22. TRFjr

    TRFjr Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    congressional approval polls not election polls
    just give it up already your are just making yourself look more and more foolish
     
  23. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    No, dude. GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL POLLING is not the same as CONGRESSIONAL APPROVAL POLLING.

    Generic Congressional Polling is explicitly an election poll by asking, "Will you vote for a Democrat or a Republican for Congress?" It is designed to measure how many total votes House Republicans will get compared against the total votes House Democrats will get in a given election.

    So once again, instead of embarrassing yourself - again - why don't you take 2 ****ing seconds and find out what Rasmussen said, in their final generic congressional poll, would be the total amount of House Republicans would get in the 2018 election against the total amount of votes House Democrats would get in 2018.
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2020
  24. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Go back and re-read my posts.
     
  25. mngam

    mngam Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Trump Has 91 Percent Chance of Winning Reelection: Political Science Professor

    President Donald Trump is almost certain to win reelection in 2020, according to a political science professor whose “Primary Model” has correctly predicted five out of six elections since 1996.

    “The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Stony Brook Professor Helmut Norpoth told Mediaite Tuesday.
    He noted that his model, which he introduced in 1996, would have correctly predicted the outcome of all but two presidential elections in the last 108 years: “This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced.”

    The exceptions include John F. Kennedy’s election in 1960 and George W. Bush’s election in 2000, when Bush won a majority of the electoral college despite losing the popular vote.

    https://www.mediaite.com/news/trump...nning-reelection-political-science-professor/
     
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