Trump has 91% chance of winning second term, professor’s model predicts

Discussion in 'Political Opinions & Beliefs' started by camp_steveo, Jul 11, 2020.

  1. Polydectes

    Polydectes Well-Known Member

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    Agreed. It's a win in my book when people remove themselves from the discussion.
     
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  2. Distraff

    Distraff Well-Known Member

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    No, we would have a spike in cases, hundreds of thousand of people dying, hospitals overwhelmed, and then shutting down. It would be a 'w' shaped recovery.
     
  3. Polydectes

    Polydectes Well-Known Member

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    Lol based on what?
     
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  4. Booman

    Booman Banned

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    Biden's platform will make it difficult for him to win. He stolen some of Trump's agenda and his economic plans will kill our recovering economy. After being forced to shut down for months the last thing businesses need in tax hikes and regulations.
     
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  5. Distraff

    Distraff Well-Known Member

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    Lol, based on the past few months. Country doesn't take virus seriously, country gets hit hard, lots of people get sick, country locks down, people lose jobs. We have seen this over and over again. We don't learn form history, we are doomed to repeat it.
     
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  6. Polydectes

    Polydectes Well-Known Member

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    lol indeed. Deaths are declining as infection rates increase. So it's based not on the passed four months but out of paranoia and lack of knowledge.

    Also the total deaths related to covid are inflated.
    Lol we didn't get hot hard. This virus isn't a hard hitter. If you don't count the deaths of people who were in their 80s or already dying than it isn't even significant.
    We see it every flu season no we don't lock down. Freaking out like you are is not good for the country.
     
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  7. Distraff

    Distraff Well-Known Member

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    That is because its mostly the young who are getting infected. But the young will infect the old. And then the deaths start racking up. Even now, hospitals in Florida and Texas are getting overwhelmed. Eventually they will have to turn critically ill people away. lol.

    They are likely underestimated. If you look at the difference between deaths at this time this year vs previous years, the gap is much larger than the official number of deaths. Covid kills by allowing other diseases like pheunomia to kill, so it gets underreported in some case.

    If hospitals get overwhelmed, then the deaths will increase dramatically. We can handle the deaths if we have enough medical resources. Many people in their 50-60s need medical care when they get covid, and they can't afford their hospitals running out of resources.

    Covid is killing a lot more people than the flu. The flu kills about 10,000 - 50,000 per year. Covid officially killed 125,000 in just a few months even with heavy lockdown and social distancing measures.
     
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  8. Polydectes

    Polydectes Well-Known Member

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    So the old should quarantine.
    okay I live in Texas particularly Houston the biggest medical center in Texas. How the medical center is being overwhelmed and it's not. So I'm not sure about Florida but the people who are saying this are typically political hacks so I'm not going to trust a damn word they say especially because I know that the wrong.

    you can run around like Chicken Little screeching about the sky is falling I'm just going to laugh at you.


    falster likely inflated. People who died with covid-19 run covid are considered covid deaths.
    I didn't make the claim that it didn't kill off the people already dying.
    except for if someone is suspected of dying of covid their death is listed as a covid death. So if something like pneumonia or other complications lead to death even if it's not related to covid-19 it's counted as being related to covid-19.

    That's why the numbers are inflated.


    you've got to be kidding me hospitals are sitting empty they are begging people to come in and do their elective procedures so that the hospitals don't go bankrupt. the temporary hospitals that my city wasted tens of millions of dollars on sat empty and we're never used and they're not needed now.

    I don't think there's any danger of hospitals being overwhelmed it's not even close to that at least here in this part of Texas where they keep telling us it is.


    on paper perhaps.

    First that indicates lockdown didn't do anything it might have made it worse. And at the cost of our economy.

    I've already established that I doubt the numbers. As I pointed out the numbers include people that died with covid-19 not just from it. So repeating things that don't really reflect the reality doesn't make for a strong argument.
     
    Last edited: Jul 12, 2020
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  9. roorooroo

    roorooroo Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    A lot of people will vote for him despite the virus because they realize that a society run by the new woke-prog-socialist-dem party will make Corona-virus look like a walk in the park.
     
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  10. roorooroo

    roorooroo Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    This isn't particularly about Trump. It is much more about stalling the direction of the new-woke-prog-socialist party. A politician's private life and personality have nothing to do with it.
     
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  11. US Conservative

    US Conservative Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Agreed, hence his low enthusiasm levels.
    [​IMG]
     
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  12. Booman

    Booman Banned

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    They might me mannequins but he'd still sniff their heads.
     
  13. Giftedone

    Giftedone Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Silliness to try and call this election by that margin at this point. Model or no model.

    Such predictions did not turn out so well for Hilly.
     
  14. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    Oh WOW...

    Another Uncle Joe Meme...:bored:

    Biden (Already) Has it WON... LOCK City...

    My advice to the Trump Faithful would be to "smoke 'em, if ya got 'em"...

    B/c after 1/20/21, anything (and everything) involving Donald Trump will be Irrelevant.

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Jul 13, 2020
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  15. FatBack

    FatBack Well-Known Member

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    LOL, ever thought of employment as some sort of political predicter? Just dont add your history here on your resume.
     
  16. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Yes it does and it IGNORES that the Dems set a RECORD for midterm election turnout in 2018 because of the Traitor-in-Chief.

    Ignoring data which negates the results means that your poll is based upon INCORRECT assumptions for THIS election.
     
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  17. FreshAir

    FreshAir Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    same thing
     
  18. doombug

    doombug Well-Known Member

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    No it is not.
     
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  19. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    You appear to be FIXATED on something utterly IRRELEVANT!

    The YouGov POLL is what is showing the SAD results for your Traitor-in-Chief.
     
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  20. FatBack

    FatBack Well-Known Member

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    3rd President in 100 years to ADD Senate seats in the midterms
     
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  21. TCassa89

    TCassa89 Well-Known Member

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    Obama was able to get 365 points by winning 4 of the 5 most populated states in the country. Even if Trump managed to add California to what he won in 2016, it still wouldn't amount to 362 points. If you're at all familiar with the electoral college map, you would understand how outlandish it is for Trump to get 362 points.
     
    Last edited: Jul 13, 2020
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  22. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    :roflol:

    You are crediting your Traitor-in-Chief with the HISTORIC coincidence that the Dems were DEFENDING 26 Senate seats to the GOP only defending a mere 9 seats?

    Those measly 2 Senate seats were NEGATED by him LOSING the House by 42 SEATS!

    SAD!

    :roflol:
     
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  23. quiller

    quiller Well-Known Member

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    Liberal overconfidence is a beautiful thing to see when it deflates.
     
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  24. Cosmo

    Cosmo Well-Known Member

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    On 5 November 2018, Pool claimed Republicans would retain a House majority, because the "polls are wrong".
    He was wrong.
     
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  25. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I only ignore belligerent ****s. Seeing that I haven’t seen that from you I wouldn’t hold your breath.
     
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