Anyone still interested in the primaries?

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by Greenleft, May 15, 2016.

  1. Greenleft

    Greenleft Well-Known Member

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    While it is a forgone conclusion over who the nominees will be for the general election and the candidates are acting like it, I'm still paying attention to the remaining contests for various reasons.

    Clinton still has this email issue. I'm wondering if she will be taken away in handcuffs before the convention. That would either mean somebody like Biden will swoop in or Sanders still has a chance of being the nominee. Also want to see every last vote counted and every contest finished just to see how much support Sanders has in hard numbers. The more people vote for him, the more Clinton must take his voters seriously and adopt more of his policies of which I support. And even after June 7th, I will still pay attention to the D.C. vote.

    As for the Republican side, it's only a matter of crossing the t and dotting the i as there is only one candidate still running. I will not give that attention whore the satisfaction of referring to him directly. The interesting thing about the remaining Republican contests though is the size of the protest vote. There was actually a very large protest vote in Nebraska. 61% is in my view absurd for a one candidate race. The orange duck will easily get to the magic number of delegates, but there is still that reminder that he cannot win everyone over. I am curious actually if the duck will make a speech on June 7th. He did not after his Nebraska and West Virginia wins and probably won't for Oregon or Washington either.
     
  2. Greenleft

    Greenleft Well-Known Member

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    According to Wikipedia, there is supposed to be one more Democratic debate. It will probably be on May 31st a week before the final five primary contests. That's just my guess.

    Like my other thread about Republican caucuses without preference polls, I will keep this thread updated until the final contest. This is in an effort to keep attention on these contests few care about, but are part of the overall game that is this election.
     
  3. tsuke

    tsuke Well-Known Member

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    im still interesting for me. Im mainly curious how far sanders will get and if there will be a surprise revolt win in the states cruz was supposed to win (south dakota, montana, nebraska)
     
  4. Deckel

    Deckel Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Not really. I started losing interest once my state voted. After that I really get no say until November, so why bother.
     
  5. Greenleft

    Greenleft Well-Known Member

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    Now that Oregon and Kentucky are done, I'm paying attention to the Washington state primary. Nobody; the candidates and the media will pay attention to this contest because the delegates for the Democrats have been distributed in the caucus months before and the Republican primary is now a one candidate contest. But I will.

    Though I don't know the demographics of Washington state,the way I see this contest is like this: a large opinion poll to see how unified or divided the major parties are next week moving forward to June 7th. How high the turnout will be for a contest that does not distribute delegates might be an indication of how excited the voters are about this election for the Democrats. For the Republicans, this is a test of how many people will rally behind the nominee and not cast protest votes.

    I also pay attention to this contest the same way I pay attention to third party candidates. They are fascinating yet unimportant in the grand scheme of things.
     
  6. Greenleft

    Greenleft Well-Known Member

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    And that's the last of the May primaries. The duck wins nearly 80% of the vote in Washington state. Despite the inevitability of his eventual nomination, he still has work to do at unifying the party. Clinton wins the 'beauty contest' as the media are dubbing it in Washington state. Sanders is definitely losing momentum he had after Indiana and West Virginia wins.

    Next up: some Democratic contests in the Caribbean: U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. It will be in early June a few days before the last Super Tuesday on June 7th.
     
  7. tsuke

    tsuke Well-Known Member

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    iim surprised clinton won the straw poll to be honest. I thought it was a shoo in for sanders.
     
  8. Greenleft

    Greenleft Well-Known Member

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    With the Duck reaching the magic delegate number and a new debate looking unlikely, the remaining primaries are looking a lot less important. The Duck probably won't even make a victory quack on Jun 7th now.

    Still, I will push on until June 14th in paying attention. The Republican and Democratic (Sanders) protest votes will be recorded.
     
  9. Greenleft

    Greenleft Well-Known Member

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    Two week from posting this we will know the result of the final primary contest: the D.C. Democratic primary. Are there any reports on polling in the US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico for the primaries there happening this weekend? Clinton tends to do well in the territories, but so far that's only been in the South Pacific. She has also done well in the Southern states. Does Puerto Rico count as the South?
     
  10. Greenleft

    Greenleft Well-Known Member

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    Clinton wins the U.S. Virgin Islands Democratic caucus/primary. Tomorrow Puerto Rico will vote.
     
  11. Greenleft

    Greenleft Well-Known Member

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    Clinton wins Puerto Rico. Next up: June 7th. I will not discuss it on this thread as I'll be busy when the results are known and I'm sure everyone will talk a lot about it on other threads.

    I will hopefully cover the D.C. Democratic primary on June 14th.
     
  12. Greenleft

    Greenleft Well-Known Member

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    Less than a day now until the result of the final primary. I'm posting now just in case I won't be able to tomorrow. I'm going to say Clinton will probably win the DC because of the demographics. But if Sanders won, it would be very interesting because it means more influence for Sanders in party policy making, the nominating process and more pressure for Clinton to make Sanders her running mate. A Clinton win would hardly be worth mentioning.
     
  13. Greenleft

    Greenleft Well-Known Member

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    Clinton wins DC primary. Primary officially over. Time for Sanders to end his nomination campaign. Maybe he has....
     

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