Are there parallels between 1928 and now?

Discussion in 'Finance' started by NaturalBorn, Dec 9, 2014.

  1. NaturalBorn

    NaturalBorn New Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 2010
    Messages:
    17,220
    Likes Received:
    32
    Trophy Points:
    0
    I ask if there are parallels because I am not a financial wizard. There just seems to be a disconnect between the average household disposable income, personal savings and what is going on with Wall Street. Record high Dow but record low personal retirement savings and interest rates it seems.

    I curious what an 'expert' thinks of the similarities?

    The Dow stock average soared throughout the Roaring Twenties and many investors aggressively purchased shares, comforted by the fact that stocks were thought to be extremely safe by most economists due to the country’s powerful economic boom. Investors soon purchased stocks on margin, which is the borrowing of stock for the purpose of gaining financial leverage. For every dollar invested, a margin user would borrow nine dollars worth of stock. The use of leverage meant that if a stock went up 1%, the investor would make 10%. Unfortunately, leverage also works the other way around and amplifies even minor losses. If a stock drops too much, a margin holder could lose all of their investment and possibly owe money to their broker as well.
    From 1921 to 1929, the Dow Jones rocketed from 60 to 400, creating many new millionaires. Very soon, stock trading became America’s favorite pastime as investors jockeyed to make a quick killing. Investors mortgaged their homes and foolishly invested their life savings into hot stocks such as Ford and RCA. To the average investor, stocks were practically a sure thing. Few people actually studied the finances and underlying businesses of the companies that they invested in. Thousands of fraudulent companies were formed to hoodwink unsavvy investors. Most investors never even thought a crash was possible – in their minds, the stock market “always went up.”

    http://www.thebubblebubble.com/1929-crash/
     
  2. Deckel

    Deckel Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Nov 2, 2014
    Messages:
    17,608
    Likes Received:
    2,043
    Trophy Points:
    113
    The stock market has followed the same trend as the great depression before with there being no great depression. The federal reserve system will prevent it. Buy some Christmas presents and don't worry about it already.
     
  3. NaturalBorn

    NaturalBorn New Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 2010
    Messages:
    17,220
    Likes Received:
    32
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Do you work in finance or brokerages?
     
  4. Troianii

    Troianii Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2012
    Messages:
    13,464
    Likes Received:
    427
    Trophy Points:
    83

    Not really. The Great Depression became a Depression because of bad monetary policy.
     
  5. waltky

    waltky Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2009
    Messages:
    30,071
    Likes Received:
    1,204
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Granny says, "Dat's right...
    :grandma:
    ... next year the stock market gonna crash...

    ... just like it did in 2008...

    ... `cause it's the schmita anna blood moons...

    ... dat's why alla Jews is takin' their money outta the banks...

    ... an' the economy gonna collapse.

    - - - Updated - - -

    Granny says, "Dat's right...
    :grandma:
    ... next year the stock market gonna crash...

    ... just like it did in 2008...

    ... `cause it's the schmita anna blood moons...

    ... dat's why alla Jews is takin' their money outta the banks...

    ... an' the world economy gonna collapse.
     
  6. NaturalBorn

    NaturalBorn New Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 2010
    Messages:
    17,220
    Likes Received:
    32
    Trophy Points:
    0
    What parallels do you see between the "bad monetary policy" then and those of today?
     
  7. Phoebe Bump

    Phoebe Bump New Member

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2010
    Messages:
    26,347
    Likes Received:
    172
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Wall Street is a sacred cow in America. If it needs investment, we feed it tax breaks. If it is overheated and doesn't need investment, we feed it tax breaks. If the ratios all make sense, we feed it tax breaks. It's going to fail soon.
     
  8. NaturalBorn

    NaturalBorn New Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 2010
    Messages:
    17,220
    Likes Received:
    32
    Trophy Points:
    0

    Neither Wall street nor banks can fail, they are too big after all. This certainly isn't how a free market works, it is how communism/socialism operates.
     

Share This Page