I alright I have seen a lot of threads about china. By no means am I degrading, demeaning, discrediting, or anything of the sort of Chinese culture. My interest in all this comes from a interest in the culture. This is purely about political, military, economic, demographic, and overall outlook or a personally weak position to prediction of future outcomes. China. A nation of 1.4 billion people with with wealth inequality that dwarf's the western world. It has been a subject of revolt for many, many years. One of the main concerns of the CCP (Chinese communist party, referred as CCP from now on) has been placating the people through economic growth. Besides that they use brute force, and small amounts of limited democratic rule. Also poverty is not measured by the same standard as it is in the west, there is no correlation. I'll go into it if anyone wants to but the demographic scenario that china has placed it self in to me seems unstable. Atleast if CCP's goal is development and not just staying in power. The demographics of China are unlike anywhere else on earth. Unlike the unprecedented economic potential of China, most people don't hear of the unprecedented population problem that have. No, I am not talking about the 1.4 billion people they have, but the 130/120 males for every 100 females they have. This leads to many problems, do they export males, enlist them in the military, increase acceptance of homosexuality? or just let urban culture with it's low birth rate take care of the problem? None of this is wrong, people will do as they please. but 120 males for every female of a population of 1.4 billion adds up, that reported to be at least 20 to 40 million males that won't be able to find a partner in life. Not to mention pollution. In America pollution prevention is needed, in China it is desperate. I shouldn't need to bring up the amount of times that the top few most polluted cities are always China. There is a reason china leads the green technology implementation, because their cities are by far the worst. Now unemployment. China has massive unemployment, despite what some things you see on the internet, china has about 120 million of migrant workers. Not to mention the hundreds of millions of agriculture workers and rural people. Most of the time Chinese figures of unemployment are taken from urban areas, and the modest rate of 9%... of 1.4 billion people. Ageism. Ageism in the west is discriminating against the ... old. Cool, most developed cultures are going through it. In America we call them baby boomers and they are the one supposed to sink our social security right? Well American politics don't matter here. In China they are already facing this problem as a developing nation, not as a developed society. In a completely utilitarian or amoral system that could be a benefit. They lack a modern health care system and most will die off before they become a burden on the health care system. Yet that's not the case, china is facing a aging population less then but like the developed world, without the resources to deal with it. Response. China has hinted that they are thinking about a way to end the one child policy, and encouraging females to not be aborted. They have seen some progress recently but these policies have been going on for decades. They do have policies where minorities don't have to follow the one child policy and rural peoples don't have to as well. So recently they have seen a small progress on these fundamental things. Result: China is going to have a population of ten's of millions young males, without even a chance of a mate, who are unemployed or have questionable work, looking across the street at skyscrapers. There is a reason they maintain a army of 3 million people and it isn't because of a outside force. I know it doesn't seem like much but it has been projected that up to two hundred million Chinese as in 200,000,000 Chinese or more could be facing this situation, not including all the other down and outs that are a part of all societies. I don't know, I'm pretty stupid. Demographics have a pretty (*)(*)(*)(*) good prediction of societies, barring a few exceptions, you can almost exactly track a nations well being by the general age of it's population. Obviously there is a correlation with development, but with china, it's a bit off. They have the age of a young developed nation (like the US), and micro demographics of a maniac, but they are only 1/4 or less developed. Point is that the unrest that the CCP have always worried about is on their doorstep. Hypothetically, lets say they manage to develop 3/4 of the 1.4 billion there, unless we come up with a bit of technology, there is no way. Again I don't know, but I don't think China will be the superpower that people think it might be. It will be a super power as in one of the prominent powers of the globe. They are going to be facing problems unlike we have known in the 20th century. The West will as well, including Russia and Japan. If nothing else it will sure be interesting how these peoples play this out. So that last sentence gave me a thought for another thread... so if I forgot anything i'll post it later. Hope you enjoy.