Exclusive: Ahead of 2020 election, a 'Blue Wave' is rising in the cities, polling analysis shows

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by MrTLegal, Feb 19, 2020.

  1. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...e-cities-polling-analysis-shows-idUSKBN20D1EG

    This analysis is based on a review of survey respondents amongst those individuals who are more enthusiastic about voting in 2019, as compared to 2015. The larger increases are found in the heavily Democratic (and heavily populated) metro areas.

    upload_2020-2-19_14-15-43.png

    This finding continues even if you choose to only look at Battleground States.

    upload_2020-2-19_14-17-28.png

    This data can be added to the Presidential Head to Head Matchups and the Generic Ballot, all of which points in a positive manner for Democrats for 2020.

    But, as always, the only day that a Poll matters is on election day. Get out there and vote and don't forget to bring three friends.
     
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  2. Paul7

    Paul7 Well-Known Member

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    So what, those places were always going to go for a socialist. CA could double it's D vote and it will be meaningless on election day.

    Absolutely.
     
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  3. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    If the metro areas of Pennsylvannia, Wisconsin, and Michigan (or the other battle ground states mentioned in the OP) double their D vote, then it is very meaningful on election day.
     
    Last edited: Feb 19, 2020
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  4. Paul7

    Paul7 Well-Known Member

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    Both sides are fired up. From your link:

    "In last week’s New Hampshire Republican primary, 151,011 people showed up to support Trump even though he had no significant competition, a turnout that easily surpassed the number who participated in previous primaries when former Presidents Barack Obama, George W. Bush and Bill Clinton sought re-election."

    It surpassed those candidates by over double.
     
    Last edited: Feb 19, 2020
  5. Dispondent

    Dispondent Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    We should check the enthusiasm after the convention and all the ashes cool...
     
  6. Paul7

    Paul7 Well-Known Member

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    A meaningless thread until Dems have a nominee. Moderates won't be enthused about a socialist, and socialists won't be enthused about a moderate. Meanwhile, Trump has about 95% support among the GOP.
     
  7. Smartmouthwoman

    Smartmouthwoman Bless your heart Past Donor

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    A Blue Wave... like Tidybowl. :toilet:
     
  8. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    That point cuts both ways though. From the article:

    "Michael McDonald, a University of Florida political scientist who studies voter turnout, said a lot of Democrats also may be sitting out the primaries “because they don’t see a lot of distinction between these candidates.”

    When Trump gets on the ballot in November, McDonald said: “There will be much sharper interest in voting.”
     
    Last edited: Feb 19, 2020
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  9. One Mind

    One Mind Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    We may see the trump phenomena happen with sanders. Lots of people voted for trump that would not admit athey were gonna vote for him due to his personality flaws. This may .happen with with the socialist Bernie I have seen a poll from 15 or 16 that had a big sample and showed that a majority of Americans actually agreed with Free **** Sanders in regards to single payer healthcate and financing college at state univetsities by a small tax on wall st. transactions Along with other policies the Bern has stood for all of his life . It is what the party of fdr wanted but never got.

    Before both parties dismantl3d what fdr and the old DP created.

    I know the pundits and the experts keep saying americans will never elect a socialist even when sanders is more of an fdr dem than a traditional socialist. But these pundits were badly wrong with trump due to the inability to read average voters who wanted change as govt was not serving anyone but people like Bloomberg.



    Far too early for me to predict if Free **** Sanders will take down trump plus I have not studied the sanders campaign this time .Nor paid much attention to the dnc and the Clinton DP and the anti democratic behavior thus far . Just too early

    At this point though it appears if sanders can prevail over dnc corruption and become the nominee he is the strongest dem against trump due to the change factor that imo has grown with numbers of the "left behind" who work in this gig 1099 part time low wage disemboweled economy that our elites and both parties gave America

    The gop and trump should fear Free **** Sanders imo. How much will become more evident as the primaries roll on . Watch to see if sanders is big in the rust belt where workers have been devadtated by the scheme .of globalism where the giant sucking sound has been so bad as to burst ear drums.
     
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  10. TheGreatSatan

    TheGreatSatan Banned

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    I think we are going to see a red wave :twisted:

    States like Virginia are inches from troopers busting their doors down and taking their guns.

    I see energy and unity on the trump side and infighting on the neo-communist side.

    Bloomberg/Hillary isn't going to cut it
     
    Last edited: Feb 19, 2020
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  11. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    You did remember to tell your friends about the #BlueWave from 2018, right?
     
  12. Rugglestx

    Rugglestx Well-Known Member

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    I'd trust the records turnout for DT at uncontested primaries so far this year more that online surveys.

    One takes effort, the other you can do in your undies from you couch.
     
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  13. archives

    archives Well-Known Member

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    Meaning some schmuck in Wyoming gets more of a say on who should be the Nation's next President than the millions living in California, just what the Founding Fathers had in mind when they established a democratic republic
     
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  14. archives

    archives Well-Known Member

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    But the Democrats will have the "anybody but Trump" candidate that the party will unify behind for the election
     
  15. Rugglestx

    Rugglestx Well-Known Member

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    You just answered your own question why it was set up that way. So the state of WY is not less represented than the state of CA. Your know so what the "S" stands for in POTUS actually means something.

    And it will not change, if would break the country apart if it did.
     
  16. Pred

    Pred Well-Known Member

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    And if Wyoming didn’t matter Democrats would purposely ignore them because their votes wouldn’t matter. It’s exactly why the EC exists. So politicians can’t use their power to cripple areas of the country. If Democrats knew they only needed a couple states to win election then they would ignore the rest of the country and let it rot. Hillary thought she could do that. She thought wrong.
     
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  17. AmericanNationalist

    AmericanNationalist Well-Known Member

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    If Trump's serious about winning, he has to put a dent in these voters, by appealing more to a moderate section of the country. His base is going to follow him no matter what, but chipping away at Democrats is a crucial must for him. If he doesn't do that, he's going to find himself as an ex-president this November.
     
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  18. Rugglestx

    Rugglestx Well-Known Member

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    I think he agrees and that he started that already. SOTU was very "political" Trump in action, not "damn the torpedoes full speed ahead" Trump. He is so much smarter than the left give him credit for.
     
  19. Doofenshmirtz

    Doofenshmirtz Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Interesting. 88000 sample size is substantial and it was an online survey. I did not find how participants found the survey.
     
  20. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Did previous changes to the EC break apart the country? There have been two in the past.
     
  21. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    Yea...giving the medal of freedom to Rush Limbaugh ain't appealing to the masses.

    Neither is ordering the DOJ to interfere on behalf of his associates.
     
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  22. The Wyrd of Gawd

    The Wyrd of Gawd Well-Known Member

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    Wyoming does not matter to the Dems so it is a waste of time, energy, and money for them to campaign there when their resources can be better used in other States. Why would a rational Dem waste a minute or a penny in Oklahoma?
     
  23. FlamingLib

    FlamingLib Well-Known Member

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    It can be adjusted. The balance of power disparity is getting pretty extreme. Believe me, if the shoe was on the other foot, and WE were pushing liberalism down your throats after losing the popular vote, again, YOU WOULD BE HOWLING IN FURY ABOUT THE UNFAIRNESS OF IT ALL.

    I know you guys. You would be totally unglued over it. And of course we would be laughing in your faces. That's just how people are.
     
    Last edited: Feb 19, 2020
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  24. Rugglestx

    Rugglestx Well-Known Member

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    He gave it to a guy who just announced he had cancer, that carries weight with middle America. They don't listen to Rush so who he is not going to matter much to them.

    Like I said, he is much smarter than you give him credit for.

    Now the challenge for him is to stay "political" Trump if he ends up debating Crazy Bernie. He might lose his cool on Bernie.

    It's going to be a fun election for sure.
     
  25. Doofenshmirtz

    Doofenshmirtz Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Is conservatism being shoved?
     
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