Fact Check: Hurricanes Are Not Strengthened by Our CO2 Emissions

Pj Media

Fact Check: Hurricanes Are Not Strengthened by Our CO2 Emissions
BY MADHAV KHANDEKAR AND TOM HARRIS DEC 05, 2020

Excerpt:

Over the past week, media across the world have proclaimed 2020 a record year for hurricanes in the North Atlantic. The culprit? Man-made climate change, of course.

But this is a mistake, not only because the “records” are misleading but also because the causes of hurricanes are natural phenomena over which we have little or no influence.

The New Jersey-based business news channel CNBC provided several examples of the errors. On November 30, they reported: “Research shows that climate change is making hurricanes stronger and more destructive and increasing the likelihood of more frequent major hurricanes.”

The network quoted Penn State University meteorologist Michael Mann, who went even further, asserting that “The impacts of climate change are no longer subtle. We’re seeing them play out right now in the form of unprecedented wildfires out West and an unprecedented hurricane season back East.”

“Things will only get worse if we continue to burn fossil fuels and generate carbon pollution. This current hurricane season lays bare the reasons we must act on climate now,” he added.

Other media sources put the primary blame squarely on man-made global warming, which supposedly has made the Gulf of Mexico warmer and the air more humid thereby making tropical cyclones—called hurricanes in the North Atlantic—more frequent and more intense.

But this is misleading. Dr. Roy Spencer, a principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville, explained that “major hurricanes don’t really care whether the Gulf [of Mexico] is above average or below average in temperature.”

LINK

 

CO2 Has To Be Suppressing Tropical Storms, If CO2 Is A Formation Factor Like NASA Scientists Suggest
By P Gosselin on 4. December 2020

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If CO2 is a factor in cyclone formation, like some scientists suggest, then the data tell us the life-giving gas is more a brake than an accelerator.

There’s been lots of media hype about more tropical storms, which experts suggest are in part due to man-made Co2-induced global warming.

Cut the CO2, and the storms will tame down, they suggest. But is this true or is it fake news and disinformation?

Typhoons trending DOWN

Looking at typhoon data tells us the alarmist claims are in fact mostly fake. The following chart, using Japan Metorological Agency (JMA) data, shows the number of typhoons formed in the month of November since 1951:



Data source: JMA.

The November trend is down. Alarmists, however, may want to start the data at 2009.

Next, looking at the January through November period, the number typhoons formed has also been trending downward:



Data: JMA.

Note the peak in the 1960s, a period when CO2 was well below the “safe” level of 350 ppm. Clearly CO2 is not driving up storm activity, like the typhoon-buffoon scientists want the public to believe. If there is a link, then the opposite would have to be true! . . .

 

It is interesting that some threads get no attention at all, yet warmist/alarmists knows about this thread, since gave them nothing aside from the article to get worked up over.

Three other forums I posted the article in, I mention Dr. Mann's errors, warmist/alarmist come along and post a bunch of insults against Dr. Spenser, while completely ignoring the article.

Now lets see if I just opened the door here using the twice lawsuit losers name..........

 

More hype than anything else this year.

hurricanes
HURRICANE SEASON 2020 UPDATE (11/29/2020)
The 2020 hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin is the most active in history with 30 named storms, breaking the previous record set in 2005 (which had 2. 6 storms were major storms including Iota, setting a record for the latest Major hurricane.

 

The rest of the world were well below average for tropical storms and hurricanes.

Maybe that is why warmist/alarmists didn't scream about it so much this year.

 

How Busy Was the 2020 Hurricane Season?
But the raw data for hurricane history is contaminated by changes in observing tools, in our understanding, and in the philosophy of whether a storm should be named. What explains the increase in named storms? Was it an abnormal meteorological event, or are there other explanations? To answer this requires some discussion of the origin of Atlantic storms.

Continue reading →

 

Global Hurricane Activity Below Average In 2020

Charles Rotter
As the year draws to a close, we can note that, despite a busy Atlantic hurricane season, global hurricane activity has actually been well below average:

 

The Number Of Typhoons Has Not Increased Since Records Began In 1951!
Posted on January 1, 2021 by Kirye
Happy New Year! I promise to tell you the truth this year just like before.

The first post of the new year is about typhoons.

As P Gosselin and I reported, last July was the first July to have seen no typhoons formed at all.

Looking through the year 2020, the number of typhoons formed was 23 which is below the 1981-2010 average of 25.6. . . .

 

U.S. Landfalling Hurricanes Trend Down in 2020 – Despite Claims of ‘Record-Breaking’ Season
EXTREME WEATHER JANUARY 5, 2021

 

Sorry, Big Insurance Corporations, Climate Change Is Not Causing Record Disasters
ALARMIST MESSENGERS/CLAIMS JANUARY 7, 2021

 

Record Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Charles Rotter
There has been much alarum about last year being a “record Atlantic hurricane season”. As I pointed out at the time, the claim was based on the number of named…

". . . However, scientists at the Hurricane Research Division of NOAA have diligently examined older meteorological records to re-analyse hurricanes prior to 1966 – details here.

This allows us to make much more meaningful long term comparisons. Their data shows that last year was a long way from being a record hurricane season, or tropical storm for that matter.

In terms of ACE, it was only the 10th strongest, The record year was 1933.


https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd-faq/#tcs-to-1930 . . . "

 

Increasing Hurricane Intensity Study Fatally Flawed
Charles Rotter
The data shows that the global results are driven largely by a single basin, the North Atlantic. The proportion of major wind speeds increased by 72% in the North Atlantic,…

". . . In any other field of science, peer review would have spotted this fatal flaw in Kossin’s paper, which would never have been published."

 

Building in Disaster-Prone Areas, Not More Extreme Weather, Causes Rising Losses
ECONOMIC HARM FEBRUARY 8, 2021

 

Boston Globe Gets It Right, Climate Change Not Causing More Extreme Weather
EXTREME WEATHER MARCH 8, 2021

A Google News search for the term “climate change” today finds a fact-based article in the Boston Globe, showing there is no evidence the past century’s modest warming has caused an increase in extreme weather events.

The article by Stephen Moore, a senior fellow at the Heritage Foundation, is titled, “Climate change alarmism takes another big hit.” The article points out long-term data indicate climate change is not causing an increase in extreme weather.

“Is there more ‘oomph’ from severe weather events now than in the past? Generally, no,” writes Moore. “The historical evidence shows 1) there are no more severe events than there were 50 years ago or 100 years ago (the period for which we have reliable data) and 2) the percentage of people in the world who die from extreme weather events, such as monsoons, forest fires, high temperatures, frigid winters, hurricanes, and tornadoes, has been consistently falling for at least a century and is lower today than any time in human history.” . . .

 

Hawaii Experiencing Fewer Extreme Rain Events, Despite Media Alarm
HEAVY RAINFALL MARCH 12, 2021

 

More evidence:
A Remarkable Decline in Landfalling Hurricanes [link]

 

Increasing Hurricane Frequency Due To Better Observation, Not Climate Change–BBC
Charles Rotter
There is the usual nonsense about hurricanes getting stronger, for which there is absolutely no evidence. As we can see below, major hurricanes were just as frequent as now back…

 

Fake Hurricane News Exposed: Average Day Of First Hurricane Formation “Contrary To Media Reports”
By P Gosselin on 20. March 2021

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Lazy, uncritical media again fail to adequately examine data to produce misleading “news”

Tropical storm expert Dr. Ryan Maue analyzed data on whether or not climate change was leading the first named hurricane occurring to be earlier and earlier each year, thus meaning a longer hurricane season, as the media have recently claimed.

Media falsehoods exposed again

Maue wrote: “Turns out contrary to media reports today, the average first day of hurricane formation has become LATER on average almost 12-days comparing 1950-1970 to 2000-2020.”

At Twitter Dr. Maue posted the following chart going back to 1950:



Chart: Dr. Ryan Maue

As the chart shows, the first named hurricane has in fact been tending to occur a bit later, and not earlier. Rather than tending to start in July as they did in the 1950s, today they are tending to start in early August. . . .

 

Wyoming Public Media Caught Peddling Extreme Weather Tales
ALARMIST MESSENGERS/CLAIMS MARCH 24, 2021

 

Here's another nail in the coffin of the claim that hurricanes have become stronger or more frequent. They haven't.
Analysis: Hurricanes Have Not Gotten More Intense, Frequent Over Past 170 Years
By P Gosselin on 10. October 2021

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In the latest climate and energy video by German site Die kalte Sonne, media claims of increasingly stronger and frequent hurricanes are examined closely and reach the conclusion: “Over the past 170 years, hurricanes have not occurred more frequently or gotten more intense.”

In the wake of hurricane Ida, a number of mainstream media outlets, like German ZDF, blared that hurricanes have gotten worse over the recent decades – due to global warming. But that statement has been found to be driven more by alarmism and activism, and not based on data.

New paper by Vecchi et al

Citing a new paper by Vecchi et al, 2021, appearing in the journal Nature, Changes in Atlantic major hurricane frequency since the late-19th century, the authors found: “The homogenized basin-wide HU and MH record does not show strong evidence of a century-scale increase in either MH frequency or MH/HU ratio associated with the century-scale, greenhouse-gas-induced warming of the planet.”

Hurricane recording before satellite observation started in 1972 was based on eye witness observation, meaning a number of hurricanes before 1972 never got recorded. After adjusting, the authors came up with the following chart:



Source: Nature.

The adjusted median frequency for major hurricanes was higher in the 1920s and 1950s than after 2000. . . .

 

The alarmist narrative is sustained by fraud.
Pielke Jr. Slams Kerry Emanuel’s Latest
Charles Rotter
Observations of hurricane activity apparently don’t show the right trends. So this new paper re-invents history by using modeled historical hurricane activity to find the right trends. . . .

 

More hurricane misinformation.
Wash Post Falsely Reports Hurricane Struck Upstate Vermont, Niagara Falls Last Year
ALARMIST MESSENGERS/CLAIMS JANUARY 6, 2022

 

More evidence of fewer hurricanes.
Hurricanes in 2021 Were Unprecedented — as in U F
Guest Blogger
Globally, 2021 had the fewest hurricanes in the satellite era (1980-2021) Did you see that reported anywhere?

 

Another alarmist claim debunked.
Sorry, Nature, Associated Press, etc., Climate Change Is Not Making Hurricanes ‘Wetter’
EXTREME WEATHER APRIL 14, 2022

Dozens of corporate media outlets published stories claiming anthropogenic climate change caused 2020’s hurricane season to be “wetter,” with more rain falling in shorter periods of time than would have occurred naturally. Data indicates this is false. The stories were all based on a single “attribution,” study in Nature Communications. The study is impossible to verify since it is based on computer models simulations of the past and future, not measurements of past rainfall amounts over the time period specified in the study. . . .

 

I like the part where warmis/alarmists IGNORE the well proven fact of a 12 year Major Hurricane landfall drought.