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GOP More Fired Up for 2020, Democrats Anxious

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by Esperance, Jan 30, 2020.

  1. Esperance

    Esperance Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    https://apnews.com/4daf1b154eeff75b97b886e2fe8c1d29

    "When it comes to the 2020 presidential election, Democrats are nervous wrecks
    and Republican excitement has grown."


    1-30-2020.jpg

    Can't say I blame the Dems for being anxious... Or nervous like Nancy.

    Time to put in an order for "Nancy Pelosi" inscribed shot glasses.

    Hint: Trump has even improved race relations... I'm guessing that even the race card isn't going to work well in 2020.
     
    Last edited: Jan 30, 2020
    Esperance, Jan 30, 2020
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  2. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    upload_2020-1-30_23-47-55.jpeg upload_2020-1-30_23-48-44.jpeg



    trump won 2016 by less than 80,000 votes when his approval rating was -1% against a woman that most people absolutely hated.

    It is -7% to -10% now.
     
    Last edited: Jan 30, 2020
    cd8ed, Jan 30, 2020
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  3. Esperance

    Esperance Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Trump has gained support in all of the swing states...



    The internal numbers that I have had a glimpse of are off the charts.

    Minnesota, New Hampshire and New Mexico are all in play.

    Trump may even win Virginia.
     
    Esperance, Jan 30, 2020
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  4. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    You do not have access to internal polls.

    Also, the Gallup Poll you used regarding the issues also had trump at a 44/52 approval to disapproval split.
     
    Last edited: Jan 31, 2020
    MrTLegal, Jan 31, 2020
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  5. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    While anxiety is generally less preferred than excitement....

     
    MrTLegal, Jan 31, 2020
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  6. SEAL Team V

    SEAL Team V Banned

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    About 9 in 10 anxious Democrats say they feel very motivated to vote this November, compared with about half of those who are not anxious.

    Maybe so, but all the anxious Democrats only live in 3 states CA, IL and NY. Those states already vote blue, but their land is covered in brown and red from all the public defecation and street murders.
     
    SEAL Team V, Jan 31, 2020
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  7. Esperance

    Esperance Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I don't live in Florida but my hub is based in Middleburg, Florida. I interface with others around the country and usually get access in the form of House district projections.

    Trump won Florida by a little over 100,000 votes in 2016. In 2020 he may win by as many as 400,000+ votes depending on who the Dem candidate is. The Snow Birds who do vote in Florida may even push that total higher.
     
    Last edited: Jan 31, 2020
    Esperance, Jan 31, 2020
    #7
  8. Angrytaxpayer

    Angrytaxpayer Banned

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    The Democratic candidates are so weak I'm almost embarrassed for them.
     
    Angrytaxpayer, Jan 31, 2020
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  9. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    trump is down in the three states he won by less 80,000 votes between the three of them. If he loses them it doesn’t matter if he gets 21 million votes in Florida.
     
    cd8ed, Jan 31, 2020
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  10. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    You would think with the “rocket ship of an economy” vastly improved global relations and the “embarrassment” of the Democratic candidates trump should be polling at +30% or more. Instead he is at -7%... Strange...
     
    cd8ed, Jan 31, 2020
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  11. PeppermintTwist

    PeppermintTwist Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I know a Dem who is particularly not "anxious".



    Gotta love Bernie!
     
    Last edited: Jan 31, 2020
    PeppermintTwist, Jan 31, 2020
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  12. Angrytaxpayer

    Angrytaxpayer Banned

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    Really? Are we going to consult the polls again after what happened in 2016?
    Okayyy. If you insist...
     
    Angrytaxpayer, Jan 31, 2020
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  13. KJohnson

    KJohnson Well-Known Member

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    202001310251-RYQQbLIuiB.jpeg Trump is a rock star...what democrat politician can get this many people to stand out for days in the freezing cold with no guarantee of getting inside?
     
    KJohnson, Jan 31, 2020
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  14. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Most of the polls were off less than the aggregate MOE.
    Bit I understand if you don’t want to discuss it.
    Cheers
     
    cd8ed, Jan 31, 2020
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  15. cd8ed

    cd8ed Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    They don’t have to, they just have to get them to the polls in November
     
    cd8ed, Jan 31, 2020
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  16. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Obviously you never read anything beyond the 1st paragraph because it triggered your confirmation bias!

    Let's look a little deeper down and see what we find!

    So given that 66% of Dems are anxious compared to 46% of Republicans that gives the Dems a SIGNIFICANT EDGE over the GOP when it comes to GOTV.

    What is MISSING is how the Independents feel and once you do the math the Dems have 46% of the vote to the GOP's 41% which leaves 13% as the true Independents who could vote either way.

    https://edition.cnn.com/2019/11/15/opinions/independent-voter-america-myth-magleby-nelson/index.html

    This means that the criminal IMPOTUS has to win at least 10% of the Independents compared to the Dems only needing 5% of them.

    The OP is "feel good" pablum on the surface and fails to substantiate given more detailed scrutiny.
     
    Derideo_Te, Jan 31, 2020
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  17. Texas Republican

    Texas Republican Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Republicans will be motivated because the Dems have tried everything to remove our president.

    I don’t know if the Dems will be motivated for Bernie.

    And I doubt moderates will get excited about the old socialist.
     
    Texas Republican, Jan 31, 2020
    #17
  18. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    Please, let's discuss the polls from 2016.

    The final RCP average of the polls was off by 1.1%. The final 538 average of the polls was off by 1.5%.
     
    MrTLegal, Jan 31, 2020
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  19. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    As I said, you do not have access to internal polls.
     
    MrTLegal, Jan 31, 2020
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  20. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    Thanks for telling us about your feelings. I hope you feel better.
     
    MrTLegal, Jan 31, 2020
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  21. TheGreatSatan

    TheGreatSatan Banned

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    This biggest blow to the Democrats is yet to come.

    When they pick one of the clowns in the clown car, their numbers will drop like a rock. If it's not Bernie, cities will burn.
     
    TheGreatSatan, Jan 31, 2020
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  22. hawgsalot

    hawgsalot Well-Known Member

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    Why would anyone discuss them with you. In 2016 all you did was argue the polls were against Trump and he couldn't win. You guys never learn and we like it that way.
     
    hawgsalot, Jan 31, 2020
    #22
  23. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    Perhaps you'd prefer to discuss the polls from 2018? The ones that you argued were going to be wrong?

    Let's review.

    In 2018, the final RCP average of the polls for the generic house ballot was off by 1.1%. The final 538 average of the polls for the generic house ballot was off by 0.3%.
     
    Last edited: Jan 31, 2020
    MrTLegal, Jan 31, 2020
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  24. Bearack

    Bearack Well-Known Member

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    Bearack, Jan 31, 2020
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  25. Dutch

    Dutch Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Yea, you look at the polls while I'll be looking at Trump's rallies.

    [​IMG]
     
    Dutch, Jan 31, 2020
    #25

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