Is the budget actually balanced?

Discussion in 'Budget & Taxes' started by sunnyside, Jul 30, 2015.

  1. wgabrie

    wgabrie Well-Known Member Donor

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    And the government has been building up a monster debt because of it, always kicking the can down the road. But there's a fiscal disaster projected to come in our near future, and we had better trim the deficit if we want to weather the storm.
     
  2. Ndividual

    Ndividual Well-Known Member

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    You're right, and while the OP would be true IF the debt interest rate remained less than the rate which the dollar is devaluing, government has had to create TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) to assuage investing in our debt.
    From the ordinary 'tax-paying' citizen point of view, a house purchased in 1952 for $13,000 is now valued at over $550,000 taxed annually more than the original purchase price. While government does benefit in many ways from inflation, does the ordinary working citizen see the same benefit?

    From an earlier post I saw this:
    While that is true, it in no way reflects our situation, in which government has allowed our debt to grow greater than the economy and is using inflation as the means of reducing the ratio. Of course, if the Apple IPad 7 comes out with the same price as the IPad 6, government will be able to claim there is no inflation.

    We have many "cons" in our government, but we need to recognize there is a great difference between a 'con-artist' and a 'con-servative'.
     
  3. dairyair

    dairyair Well-Known Member

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    Yet we have over 200 yrs of history. You have no clue what you speak about.

    - - - Updated - - -

    If one thinks there is a difference in our gov't, they are ignorant.
     
  4. Ndividual

    Ndividual Well-Known Member

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    There is quite a difference, and it has nothing to do with the political party.
     
  5. wgabrie

    wgabrie Well-Known Member Donor

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    If you understand what's going on why don't you explain it?
     
  6. maat

    maat Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    This is the problem. The government is so big and wasteful it has to punish one generation for another generations excesses. If it stayed out of individuals food, clothing, shelter, healthcare, education and incomes we would not have these massive debts and deficits. As usual, your only solution is more of the same, tax and spend. The only true solution is downsizing government back to its original purpose.
     
  7. dairyair

    dairyair Well-Known Member

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    No, if one makes it to national politics, they are mostly all con artists. At least the ones who get leadership positions. Dog and Pony. Talk and no action. When it comes to the meat and bones of what gets passed, it benefits both parties. The american people are conned, but it is their fault for buying the lies.
     
  8. dairyair

    dairyair Well-Known Member

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    I don't in great detail. But we've rarely had a balance budget, which you seem to be wanting. We've been a country for over 200 yrs and it hasn't hurt us. In fact is has helped us in times of crises to get money the country wouldn't otherwise have.

    Why don't you educate yourself on the history of budgets and spending vs GDP instead of believing el rushbo?

    - - - Updated - - -

    What proof do you have that going back to the 1800s is the best solution? Or at least your opinion?
     
  9. maat

    maat Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Simple math. Eliminating numerous unconstitutional agencies(DOE's,DHS,HUD, others) and programs(SS/Medicare,obamacare,welfare,unemployment,dissabilty,) lowers dramatically its expenses. These are state and local issues where balanced budgets exist.
     
  10. maat

    maat Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    From the Editor


    By: David Deschesne
    Editor/Publisher, Fort Fairfield Journal
    You know, I really don’t make a lot of money publishing this newspaper. I make enough to keep it going and have to supplement my income with sound system rentals (which is what I started out doing twenty-five years ago). I keep publishing not because I count my wealth in dollars, but because I count my wealth, in part, in your increased knowledge of the world around you. After all, if you’re not free, I’m not free.

    Since my wife and I don’t make a lot of money, we’ve had to learn how to scale back our lifestyle and live within our means. Balancing the needs of running our respective businesses and keeping the necessary equipment current and maintained with the limited income we have is no easy feat, but it is doable.

    Given our current United States government is nearing $16 trillion in debt, and is going into debt at an average of $2 million per minute(!) I think it would behoove us to look into their current expenses to see what they could try to do without.

    The following list is a partial compilation of various federal government agencies that have developed over the past 200 years and continue to stay with us. Since I’m not running for public office, I can advocate for the elimination of these offices and agencies. When reading down through the list, think of all the heads and sub-heads of each earning hundreds of thousands of dollars per year plus a lucrative benefits package, plus all the staff that has to be paid as well—all out of taxes that are collected at the barrel of a police officer’s gun. Then, think of all the people in the U.S. who have become accustomed to receiving some form of benefit or another from these agencies and you will soon see why it is political suicide for any politician to ever advocate for scaling down or cutting back any, or all, of these expenses.

    The only criteria I have used to compile this list (which is from the U.S. Government Manual) is if the agency, corporation or administration is not specifically authorized to exist by the U.S. Constitution—which is still the Supreme Law of the Land.

    Now, considering the debt load of the following agencies and administrations, is it any wonder we are $16 trillion in debt? Absent a U.S. Congress who is willing to eliminate these untenable costs, is there any hope of us reigning in uncontrollable spending? No.



    Unconstitutional Federal
    Government Agencies
    (partial listing)
    Advanced Research Projects Agency
    Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations
    Advisory Council on Historic Preservation
    African Development Foundation
    Agency for International Development
    Agricultural Marketing Service
    Agricultural Research Service
    Agriculture, Department of
    Economic Research Service
    Energy, Office of
    Environmental Quality, Office of
    Federal Acquisition Regulation
    Federal Crop Insurance Corp.
    Food and Nutrition Service
    Foreign Agricultural Service
    Forest Service
    Grain Inspection, Packers and Stockyards
    Administration
    Information Resources Management
    Inspector General, Office of
    National Agricultural Library
    National Agricultural Statistics Service
    National Resources Conservation Service
    Operations, Office of
    Procurement and Property Management
    Rural Business - Cooperative Service
    Rural Development Administration
    Rural Housing Service
    Rural Telephone Bank
    Rural Utilities Service
    Secretary of Agriculture, Office of
    Transportation, Office of
    World Outlook Board
    AMTRAK
    American Battle Monuments Commission
    American Indians, Office of Trustee
    Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service
    Appalachian Regional Commission
    Architectural/Transportation Barriers Compliance Board
    Arctic Research Commission
    Assassination Records Review Board
    Benefits Review Board
    Bilingual Education and Minority Languages Affairs, Office of
    Blind or Severely Disabled, Committee for Purchase from People who are
    Board for International Broadcasting
    Broadcasting Board of Governors
    Federal Acquisition Regulation
    Central Intelligence Agency
    Child Support Enforcement
    Children and Families Administration
    Civil Rights, Commission on
    Civil Rights, Office for
    Commerce Department
    Economic Analysis, Bureau of
    Economic Development Administrations
    Emergency Management Assistance
    Fishery Conservation and Management
    International Trade Administration
    National Marine Fisheries Service
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Telecommunications and Information Administration
    National Weather Service
    Productivity, Technology and Innovation, Assistant Secretary
    Technology, Undersecretary for
    Commercial Space Transportation
    Commodity Credit Corporation
    Commodity Futures Trading Commission
    Community Development Financial Institutions Fund
    Community Planning and Development
    Community Service, Office of
    Construction Industry Collective Bargaining
    Commission
    Consumer Product Safety Commission
    Cooperative State Research, Education, and Extension Service
    Corporation for National and Community Service
    Cost Accounting Standards Board
    Council on Environmental Quality
    Delaware River Basin Commission
    Drug Enforcement Administration
    Economic Affairs, Undersecretary of
    Economic Analysis, Bureau of
    Economic Development Administration
    Economic Research Service
    Education, Department of
    Bilingual Education and Minority Languages
    Affairs, Office of
    Civil Rights, Office of
    Educational Research and Improvement
    Elementary and Secondary Education
    Federal Acquisition Regulation
    Postsecondary Education
    Secretary of Educations
    Special Education and Rehabilitative Services, Office of
    Vocational and Adult Education
    Emergency Oil and Gas Guaranteed Loan Board
    Emergency Steel Guarantee Loan Board
    Employees' Compensation Appeals Board
    Employees Loyalty Board
    Employment and Training Administration
    Employment Standards Administration
    Endangered Species Committee
    Energy, Department of
    Energy, Office of
    Engineers, Corps of
    Environmental Protection Agency
    Environmental Quality, Office of
    Equal Employment Opportunity Commission
    Equal Opportunity, Office of Assistant Secretary
    Export Administration, Bureau of
    Export-Import Bank of the United States
    Family Assistance, Office of
    Farm Service Agency
    Farm Credit Administration
    Farm Credit System Insurance Corp.
    Federal Acquisition Regulation
    Federal Aviation Administration
    Federal Claims Collections Standards
    Federal Communications Commission
    Federal Contract Compliance Programs
    Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
    Federal Election Commission
    Federal Emergency Management Agency
    Federal Employees Life Insurance
    Federal Employees Health Benefits
    Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
    Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council
    Federal Financing Bank
    Federal Highway Administration
    Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp.
    Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight Office
    Federal Labor Relations Authority
    Federal Law Enforcement Training Center
    Federal Management Regulation
    Federal Maritime Administration
    Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service
    Federal Mine Safety and Health Review
    Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration
    Federal Prison Industries, Inc.
    Federal Procurement Policy, Office of
    Federal Property Management Regulations
    Federal Property Management Regulations System
    Federal Railroad Administration
    Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board
    Federal Service Impasse Panel
    Federal Trade Commission
    Federal Transit Administration
    Federal Travel Regulation System
    Financial Crimes Enforcement Network
    Fine Arts, Commission on
    Fiscal Service
    Fish and Wildlife Service, U.S.
    Fishery Conservation and Management
    Food and Drug Administration
    Food and Nutrition Service
    Foreign Agricultural Service
    Foreign Assets Control, Office of
    Foreign Claims Settlement Commission
    Foreign Service Grievance Board
    Foreign Service Impasse Disputes Board
    Foreign Service Labor Relations Board
    Foreign Trade Zones Board
    Forest Service
    Geological Survey
    Government Ethics, Office of
    Government National Mortgage Association
    Harry S. Truman Scholarship Program
    Health and Human Services, Dept. of
    Health Care Financing Administration
    Housing and Urban Development
    Federal Housing Commissioner
    Human Development Services
    Independent Counsel, Office of
    Indian Affairs, Bureau of
    Indian Arts and Crafts Board
    Indian Health Service
    Information Resources Management
    Information Security Oversight Office
    Inspector General
    Institute of Peace, U.S.
    Inter-American Foundation
    Intergovernmental Relations, Advisory Commission
    Interior Department
    Internal Revenue Service
    International Boundary and Water Commission
    International Development, U.S. Agency on
    International Development Cooperation Agency
    International Fishing and Related Activities
    International Investment
    International Joint Commission, U.S. and Canada
    International Organizations Employees Loyalty Board
    International Trade Administration
    International Trade Commission
    James Madison Memorial Fellowship Foundation
    Japan-U.S. Friendship Commission
    Joint Board for the Enrollment of Actuaries
    Labor Department
    Labor-Management Standards, Office of
    Land Management, Bureau of
    Legal Services Corporation
    Management and Budget, Office of
    Marine Mammal Commission
    Maritime Administration
    Micronesian Status Negotiations
    Mine Safety and Health Administration
    Minerals Management Service
    Mines, Bureau of
    Minority Business Development Agency
    Monetary Offices
    Multifamily Housing Assistance Restructuring, Office of
    National Aeronautics and Space Administration
    National and Community Service Corp.
    National Capital Planning Commission
    National Commission for Employment Policy
    National Commission on Libraries and Information Science
    National Council on Disability
    National Counterintelligence Center
    National Credit Union Administration
    National Drug Control Policy, Office of
    National Foundation on the Arts and Humanities
    National Highway Traffic and Safety Administration
    National Imagery and Mapping Agency
    National Indian Gaming Commission
    National Institute for Literacy
    National Institute for Standards and Technology
    National Labor Relations Board
    National Mediation Board
    National Park Service
    National Railroad Adjustment Board
    National Science Foundation
    National Telecommunications and Information
    Administration
    Natural Resources Conservation Service
    Neighborhood Reinvestment Corp.
    Northeast Dairy Compact Commission
    Occupational Safety and Health Administration
    Occupational Safety and Health Review Board
    Oklahoma City National Memorial Trust Operations Office
    Overseas Private Investment Corp.
    Payment from a non-Federal Source for Travel Expenses
    Payment of Expenses Connected With the Death of Certain Employees
    Peace Corps
    Pennsylvania Avenue Development Commission
    Pension and Welfare Benefits Administration
    Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation
    Presidential Commission on the Assignment of Women in Armed Forces
    Presidential Documents
    Presidio Trust
    Prisons, Bureau of
    Procurement and Property Management
    Productivity, Technology and Innovation, Assistant Secretary
    Public Contracts, Dept. of Labor
    Public and Indian Housing
    Public Health Service
    Railroad Retirement Board
    Reclamation, Bureau of
    Refugee Resettlement, Office of
    Regional Action Planning Commissions Relocation Allowances
    Research and Special Programs Administration
    Rural Business-Cooperative Service
    Rural Development Administration
    Rural Housing Service
    Rural Telephone Bank
    Rural Utilities Service
    Saint Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation
    Science and Technology Policy, Office of
    Secret Service
    Securities and Exchange Commission
    Selective Service System
    Small Business Administration
    Smithsonian Institution
    Social Security Administration
    Soldiers' and Airmens' Home
    Special Counsel, Office of
    Surface Mining and Reclamation Appeals, Office of
    Surface Mining Reclamation and Enforcement, Office of
    Surface Transportation Board
    Susquehanna River Basin Commission
    Technology Administration
    Technology Policy, Assistant Secretary of
    Technology, Undersecretary for
    Tennessee Valley Authority
    Thrift Supervision Office
    Trade Representative, U.S.
    Transportation Dept.
    Transportation, Office of
    Transportation Safety Administration
    Transportation Statistics Bureau
    Utah Reclamation Mitigation and Conservation Commission
    Veterans Affairs Dept.
    Veterans Employment and Training
    Wage and Hour Division
    Worker's Compensation Programs
     
  11. dairyair

    dairyair Well-Known Member

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    That does not make things better. And not all those reside within a state, they cross state lines.
    We are far better off as a nation having those income crutches, welfare, etc than without. Look at how we've expanded in the 1900s vs the 1800s.
    So I don't buy it, that going back to the 1800s is better.
     
  12. maat

    maat Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Then you assume 535 men/women form a God. It is ridiculous to believe that the federal government is better at solving state and local issues. As we can see with welfare, many have become obese dependents. It has done a great job at creating housing, education and healthcare bubbles.
     
  13. dairyair

    dairyair Well-Known Member

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    No, I don't think the federal gov't is better at solving local and state issues.
    But what the fed gov't can do is even out the differences between states that pay a lot vs very little in welfare cases or unemployment cases.
    And as I said, not all things reside within state lines. Energy, air, land, water, quality.
    I don't think you can convince me going back to the 1800s benefits the nation.
     
  14. maat

    maat Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    At least not until we have to reconcile our bloated debt. People would not die in streets without federal programs.
     
  15. dairyair

    dairyair Well-Known Member

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    We don't have the means like the 1800s when everyone provided their own food. There were no food being bought in stores. Just stuff to grow food. Well very very little food.
     
  16. maat

    maat Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    What does that have to do with 535 people in Washington? States, local governments, charities, churches and family can deal with the truly needy. It is ridiculous that we 48million people on food stamps. Hand out beans and rice and we would see just how hungry these people were.
     
  17. Ndividual

    Ndividual Well-Known Member

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    Apply the governments figures shown below in a spreadsheet and you will see that all we're accomplishing is a slightly lower interest rate over time without reducing the value of the debt relative to the future value of our currency.

    Based on the below a $1,000,000 Federal debt acquired in year 2000 would have accumulated a total interest payment of $352,834.99 adjusting the value of the dollar downward each year, with the principal amount now worth only $777,046.32 relative to its original value. Combining the current value of the principle and the interest paid, we would spend $1,129,881.31 to pay off the loan entirely immediately and that would result in it having only cost us .0117% interest. While a very low debt interest rate relative to inflation does reduce the overall average interest cost of the governments debt, it does not eliminate it and the negative consequences are borne by non-government entities and ordinary citizens, both taxpaying and non-taxpaying, making them more dependent upon government. Note also that the figures provided by the government exclude TIPS which do not suffer from inflation. Comparing the Federal debt to the GDP oversimplifies the situation which as someone previously claimed "is simply kicking the can down the road" without resolving anything at all. Over my working lifetime my income doubled 5 times. That would have been great had not my cost of living also done the same. Now retired, I can only watch my life savings dwindle as my income has ceased while my cost of living continues to grow each and every year.

    The I rates below do NOT include TIPS
    Year......inflation rate.....Debt I rate
    1999........2.2
    2000........3.4...................6.639
    2001........2.8...................5.971
    2002........1.6...................5.225
    2003........2.3...................4.615
    2004........2.7...................4.552
    2005........3.4...................4.738
    2006........2.5...................5.029
    2007........4.1...................4.975
    2008........0.1...................4.009
    2009........2.7...................3.362
    2010........1.5...................3.047
    2011........3.0...................2.859
    2012........1.7...................2.560
    2013........1.5...................2.420
    2014........0.8...................2.401
    2015........0.0...................2.350 *Through Sept, NOT Oct.
     
  18. Iriemon

    Iriemon Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Yes.

    Sure. The point is that claiming we have to cut spending to balance the budget is false.
     
  19. Iriemon

    Iriemon Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The US Govt spends less percentage wise than it did every year Reagan and Bush1 were president.

    If the Govt collected the same percentage of revenue as it did in 2000 we would not have these debts and deficits.

    As usual, your only solution is more of the same, cut spending. The only true solution is having revenues greater than spending.
     
  20. maat

    maat Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I didn't realize that Reagan initiated SS/Medicare, Medicaid and welfare. He did expand the EITC, which was stupid.
     
  21. Ndividual

    Ndividual Well-Known Member

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    Where and how much?

    Such a claim has not been made. Do you not understand there is a difference between "can not" and "will not"?
     
  22. Ndividual

    Ndividual Well-Known Member

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    That used to be called living within your means.

    That is quite correct, and budgeting based on projected revenue, reducing spending to equal or less than the expected revenue collection rather than raising taxes would produce a balanced budget each year.

    Returning to the original intent of our Constitution, repealing the 16th amendment, and taxing each State based on their portion of the total population would be the best solution as that would make the representatives much more accountable to their constituents back home who would be more directly burdened by the spending increases their representatives made them responsible for.

    A perpetually weakening dollar does not help the poor or the middle class, and benefits more than harms the wealthiest. It also allows the government to make increasing debt appear more acceptable as shown by this thread title, which ignores the fact that it also creates a need for government to subsidize the poor and some of the middle class much more leaving each generation with a larger debt to pay interest on.
     
  23. Iriemon

    Iriemon Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Year - Outlays
    2009 3,517.7
    2010 3,457.1
    2011 3,603.1
    2012 3,537.1
    2013 3,454.6
    2014 3,504.2

    As a percentage, the cuts have been more dramatic:
    Year - % GDP
    2009 24.4%
    2010 23.1%
    2011 23.2%
    2012 21.9%
    2013 20.7%
    2014 20.1%

    We are now spending, percentage wise, less than every year Reagan and Bush1 were presidents.

    "And I might add that it will require getting Federal spending under control to do so, and the GDP should be looked at for what it really is, spending."

    It doesn't "require" "getting Federal spending under control" as it could be done with revenue increases.

    Sure.
     
  24. Iriemon

    Iriemon Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Used to be. Now for conservatives it seems to mean cutting tax revenues.

    So will increasing projected revenues by increasing taxes.

    Take it up with your con law professor.

    We had a weakening dollar for decades before 1981 and that didn't hurt the middle class.

    [​IMG]

    Something else happened that year.
     
  25. Ndividual

    Ndividual Well-Known Member

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    Year - Outlays - % GDP
    2005 $2.470T 19.2%
    2006 $2.407T 19.4%
    2007 $2.568T 19.1%
    2008 $2.524T 20.2%


    And dollar wise?

    Revenue increases should be a result of more people becoming employed and paying taxes, not simply raising taxes on those who remain employed to support a growing number who are not.

    We'll see.
     

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