It's happened, Nate Silver just walked back his predictions to 'adjust' for reality.

Now Silver states that if Joe Biden doesn't take Pennsylvania then he probably won't beat Trump. Well yes, obviously; but the thing is that ALL of the polling companies -- including the scam artists at Silver's 538 -- have been telling us for months that Biden is sooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo massively ahead of Trump that he doesn't have a damn thing to worry about . . . with the implication being that Trump voters might as well NOT even bother voting.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/jo...foxnews/politics (Internal - Politics - Text)

Now what does this remind one of? Oh yes, all those equally bogus predictions made concerning Hillary's campaign and how faaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaar ahead she was of Trump . . . to the point that Trump supporters might as well not bother voting. I suppose that everyone recalls how Silver also walked back his predictions just before the 2016 election day.

So now the campaign that was NEVER in doubt concerning Biden from day one according to all of those polling companies is now in doubt. It's deja-vu all over again. Those polling companies again lied to this nation and did so for the benefit of the DNC . . . period.

 

As of 50 minutes ago, the boyz at 538 give Joe an 85% chance of winning PA.

YO PA and other swing-staters ... time to TAKE OUT the corrupt, impeached, un-American republican son-of-a-b*tch...

VOTE!!!

 

Where's the walk back? What reality are you talking about?

He said Biden needs PA to win. So what? Trump needs Florida to win.

 

Right . . . it goes from their announcement of a possible 4 point lead to an 85% chance of winning? Nice! Yep, yep we cerainly can trust all those polling companies THIS time.

 

Yes, vote for the 47 year veteran in selling out the US for his own benefit and that of his family. By no means vote for the patriot who has donated his salary to US agencies and some profits from his businesses to the treasury and whose family has worked for free. Ya know, the guy Beijing Biden voters call corrupt.

 

Trump is 600,000 votes ahead of Biden in Florida.




42% of Hispanics and >20% of Blacks are voting for Trump in Florida.

 

Most -- and perhaps all -- of the battleground states are now in play -- as some of these polling companies are NOW fianally admiting -- despite months of these DNC loyalist polling entities assuring the nation that Biden was just too far ahead of Trump for him to become any sort of threat in those states. So . . . it . . . goes.

 

Good. Where's the walkback?

Florida is releasing election results already? Isn't that illegal?

 

Silver's predictions are just as reliable as anyone's, meaning not at all. The phrase "foreseeable future" is an oxymoron. And I haven't heard anyone on Team Biden, or any of the pundits swinging left, say anything about Biden being a sure thing.

If you haven't already voted, you'd best get to it.

 

Spoken like someone who's never bothered to read a 538 article in their life.

Trump Can Still Win, But The Polls Would Have To Be Off By Way More Than In 2016 - Oct 31
Trump Is An Underdog, But The Electoral College’s Republican Tilt Improves His Chances - Sept 28
Election Update: Where Biden And Trump Have Gained The Most Ground - Sept 16
It’s Way Too Soon To Count Trump Out - Aug 12

They never say Biden is so far ahead of that he doesn't have a damn thing to worry about. They are not out there to discourage Trump voters. Just a consistent analysis of what the polls are saying. That is it.

Nate's statement on PA isn't a walk back. He's saying that for Trump to win PA, there would need to be a massive polling error - even bigger than the one in 2016. So if Trump does win PA - that points to a very big polling error in Trump's favor, which would necessarily make Biden an underdog once that error is factored in across all other states. I mean, hell, just go to their interactive map on their website and lock down PA for Trump to see how it impacts the model:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-biden-election-map/

 

Nate's 538 and polling companies deliberately lied in order to promote the political interests of the DNC. That's what the history of 2016 showed and that's what this funhouse mirror image repeat of 2020 is showing.

 

Nate Silver is hedging his bets, huh?.... smart move, with his atrocious record of false prophecies and outright biased wishful thinking this CYA move on his part is a must.

 

It's now become a tradition. He makes a last second course correction a day or two before November 3rd, AFTER having first spent months pushing the notion with cooked figures that the GOPer candidate is doomed.

 

Deliberately lied? Do you expect to be taken seriously?

 

Gobels would be proud

 

Lot of cold moving in. May be a question of how long people stand in line just to vote.