An Incumbent President is always tough to beat. Obviously, Trump (as the incumbent) has many built-in advantages that he didn't have in 2015-16.
Most famously JFK's appointment of his brother Bobby as AG and close advisor. He also appointed his brother-in-law to head the Peace Corps. There have been several other presidents who employed family members as special advisors including: John Adams, James Madison, James Monroe, Andrew Jackson, John Tyler and James Buchanan, Zachary Taylor, Ulysses S. Grant, Woodrow Wilson, Franklin Roosevelt, Dwight Eisenhower. https://www.quora.com/Has-there-eve...e-hired-as-special-advisors-or-is-this-unique https://time.com/4597015/donald-trump-presidential-children-history/ None of Trump's family members hold high level or cabinet level positions. Ivanka's title is special assistant to the president. Kushner is an advisor with an additional title of White House office of American Innovation.
We'll see. It's way too early to tell. I watch independents. History has shown that those who identify themselves as Republicans and Democrats on average vote for their party's candidate 90% of the time regardless of who their candidates are. Independents at times are all over the place. With that in mind, Question 25. Generic Presidential Vote If the election for president were held today with Donald Trump as the Republican running against a Democratic Party candidate, who would you vote for? 26% say the Democratic Candidate, 28% say Trump. Now you have 18% state it depends which I take it as meaning their vote will be decided by whom the Democrats nominate. You might have a different take. https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/mujbtdyiti/econTabReport.pdf
We already keep many weapons out of civilian control. Guess in your opinion the Constitution has already been crapped on.
In Trump's Presidency cabinet jobs are not high level positions. At least not high in intellectual ability or honesty. Guess they do pay better than lower level jobs and clearly provide better opportunities for graft and corruption at least until the cabinet officials get caught which is all to frequent.
So people who answer unidentified calls and have time to answer 46 survey questions believe that the shape (Style) of a firearm is linked to murder. I wonder what those with jobs and families think!
Mary Anne Marsh: Trump in big trouble for 2020. Political and economic warning signs there for all to see With just 441 days until Election Day, Donald Trump faces political peril and economic woes. That is a deadly combination for any politician, but especially for this president. Start with the latest Fox News Poll that shows Trump losing to the top four Democratic candidates for president. He loses to Joe Biden by 12 points (50 percent to 38 percent), Bernie Sanders by nine (48-39), Elizabeth Warren by seven (46-39), and Kamala Harris by six (45-39). Not only does Trump lose, but his numbers are also stuck in the high 30s. The president has only broken out of the 30s on this measure once since 2015, when he hit 40 percent in March 2019. But there is more bad news for Trump. His favorability rating is under water. Trump is viewed unfavorably by 56 percent of voters, which is only one point lower than his worst rating of 57 percent in October 2017. Furthermore, 59 percent are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the country. And 46 percent state that the tariffs Trump imposed are hurting the economy. ... https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/mary-anne-marsh-trump-trouble-2020-political-economic-numbers Donald Trump's latest conspiracy theory target? Fox News. (CNN)Before he boarded Air Force One to fly back to Washington on Sunday afternoon, President Donald Trump was asked about a recent Fox News poll that showed him in serious trouble vis a vis the 2020 election. Trump, as he is wont to do, went off at length on his once-favorite network. The poll showed Trump's approval rating in the low 40s and had him losing by six or more points to Democratic 2020 rivals Sens. Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden. Unsurprisingly, Trump didn't like that. Here's the key bit: "Well, Fox has always given me -- I'll tell you, Fox is a lot different than it used to be, I can tell you that. ... Fox has changed. And my worst polls have always been from Fox. There's something going on at Fox, I'll tell you right now. And I'm not happy with it." ... https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/19/politics/donald-trump-fox-news/index.html
Mit dem Angriff Steiners wird das alles in Ordnung kommen. (Steiner's assault will bring it under control.)
Ideologues believe what they want to believe and dismiss inconvenient facts and truths, such as unfavorable polls.
To get a more accurate picture always add 5 to 10 points to Trump's polling numbers to adjust for pollster bias and the "polling blind spot". You have been warned. "BILL MAHER: You and I were on this page before anybody else that he was serious about running and that he absolutely could win and probably would. Maybe they will listen to us now. MOORE: Four months before the election on this stage. They didn't listen before. MAHER: They're not going to. MOORE: No, listen, but seriously you have to listen. They have to -- people, where are you? MOORE: You have to listen this time because he is going to win the 2020 election." REAL CLEAR POLITICS, Michael Moore: Trump Will Win In 2020,By Ian Schwartz, June 30, 2018. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2018/06/30/michael_moore_trump_will_win_in_2020.html#!
Polls polls what a joke over a year before the election. Anybody trying to point to them now for answers or even trends is foolish.
All the leaves are brown and the skies are grey for the DP right now. "The big picture: Trump wins all three modelers. Economists predict that the tailwind is large. Ray Fair, a professor at Yale, "found that the growth rates of gross domestic product and inflation have been the two most important economic predictors — but he also found that incumbency was also an important determinant of presidential election outcomes." "Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, has looked at 12 models, and Mr. Trump wins in all of them." "Donald Luskin of Trend Macrolytics has reached the same conclusion in his examination of the Electoral College." AXIOS, 3 forecast modelers predict Trump will win in 2020, May 27, 2019. https://www.axios.com/trump-2020-pr...els-b9a95aca-7f25-4c6a-af91-720b7828afa5.html DP strategists are getting down on their knees to pray for a recession.
"To get a more accurate picture always add 5 to 10 points to Trump's polling numbers to adjust for pollster bias and the "polling blind spot", is a false statement. The polls in 2016 were correct. Clinton won the PV handily. She did not campaign in the three states she though she had in the bag while Trump did, and 77K gave him the victory there. In 2002, the +77K will become a -500K extra against Trump.
The DP has permanently alienated American workers. Trump has turned the rubble of the Big Blue Wall into a Big Red White and Blue Trump Wall. Now the DP will only waste their money campaigning in MI, WI, PA, OH. No use crying over spilt milk. "RECORD 157,288,000 EMPLOYED"https://www.drudgereport.com/ U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION -- JULY 2019, 8:30 a.m. (EDT) Friday, August 2, 2019. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
