Republicans at risk of losing the house

Some more of those Romney anti-coattails. However, I think this is overly optimistic for the Democrats, since it doesn't do district-by-district comparison, and it's tough to overcome such a thoroughly gerrymandered political map.

http://election.princeton.edu/2012/09/20/house-outlook-for-2013-take-2/#more-5616
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Conditions through August showed a 2% lead on the generic Congressional ballot for Democrats. As of September 20th, in the wake of the Democratic convention, the lead has widened to 4.0 +/- 2.0%. Although it has yet to be appreciated by pundits, this could well translate to a November loss of the House of Representatives by Republicans. Based on the generic Congressional ballot, the probability of a Democratic takeover is 74% with a median 16-seat majority. Whichever party is in control, the seat margin is headed for being narrower than the current Congress. Like any probability in the 20-80% range, this is a knife-edge situation. This picture may change over the coming six weeks as more information, especially district-level polls, becomes available.
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It needs to happen. I hope it does.

 

The House won't go to the Democrats. Instead, paralysis will set in and America will have a stroke. Any questions?

 

Not a chance, it'll just be a lame-duck presidency for four years. More debt, more in-action. Lap it up, China.

 

Scuttle the ship of state. Let the sea take America.

 

The House and Senate are going to remain the way they are now. A few seats will change but it won't be a big enough swing to shift power. The next President will not have a friendly Congress no matter who it is.

 

It's unlikely, unfortunately. I think the Republicans will lose quite a few seats in the House, but the majority won't switch hands though.

 

You might be right. The Democrats need 25 seats in the House. Anything less than that means nothing will change. You folks on the left have to run the table or the country will remain completely paralyzed politically. If Obama is reelected it is likely that Democrats will lose House seats at the next midterm election.

 

No chance of Dems taking the House. The GOP's chance of picking up the Senate are fair, but not better than that.

 

This is a grossly optimistic statement. From what I can see, the most the Democrats can hope for is to reduce the margin the Republicans enjoy in the House. If nothing else, the voters haven't soured on Tea Party rhetoric yet.

 

America is a lost cause.

The US needs to break up. Red states and blue states should form their own countries.

America's days are over.

 

lol no they aren't.

 

I wouldn't call the right chance at the Senate as 'fair', not at least right now. The past couple of weeks have been really bad for the right.
I wouldn't give the right much of any chance at the Senate, the House they will keep, barely.
As of right now.

 

I would disagree with that, the *********s are as good as dead and the voters can't stand them.
They see the damage the *********s have done not only to the country but to the GOP and are rejecting them, completely.

 

The red states would never survive.
I suggest you pack your bags and move, leave my country before it's too late.

 

I never thought I would agree with you.

 

You have enemies in Russia and enemies in America. Both are working against you to bring your side down. You're alone.

 

Bill Kristol discussing that possibility on "Weekly Standard" today ....well not "discussing"...more like...

panicking.

 

Tell your people that they have a free hand to do whatever they want to America. America won't respond. It will lie down and take it like a beaten dog.

 

How many Tea Party Republicans does it take to intimidate Cryin' John? Does he, as Speaker of the House have enough political fortitude to tell a handful of congressmen to sit down and shut up because there's legislation to pass, not just partisan hackery?

So if ten, fifteen or twenty of the hard core Grover Norquist Tea Party types get the boot this November, but the GOP retains control of the House, will things finally get off the schide?

 

That's the spirit, skippy! It's this brand of thinking that burned Richmond and Atlanta! This is the quality of thought that produces not only division and partisanship, but the literal destruction of the country.

 

I do not see the Repubs loosing the House, but I do not see the Repubs winning the Senate or Whitehouse either. The only hope that the House and Senate can both stop playing political games that are harming the Nation. Pass a bipartisan budget bill and send it to the Whitehouse, make logical anf fair cuts to sending and end all the tax cuts (or better yet dump the current system for a flat ot consumption tax) because even with budget cuts we will the increase in revenue.

 

All I see is a Liberal afraid that after all the effort to get George Soros positioned to count the 2012 Presidential Vote, Getting Obama Fraud-Reelected may not mean much if he is a Lame DUCK.

 

President Obama will not need to commit fraud to get elected, Mittens never had a chance to begin with. But speaking of fraud, maybe the Ron Paul supporters would have a few things to say about how fraud was committed to get Romney nominated, I recall several instances of them claiming their fellow Repubs were guilty of it, nothing new for righties stcking it to eachother.

 

President Obama will not need to commit fraud to get elected, Mittens never had a chance to begin with. But speaking of fraud, maybe the Ron Paul supporters would have a few things to say about how fraud was committed to get Romney nominated, I recall several instances of them claiming their fellow Repubs were guilty of it, nothing new for righties stcking it to eachother.