RNC Convention Week

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by LoneStarGal, Aug 24, 2020.

  1. LoneStarGal

    LoneStarGal Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Polls I cited are post-convention polls.

    Morning Consult is out with it's first poll since the convention.

    upload_2020-8-29_12-12-13.png

    We've got all of September and October for polls to count much more than general trends about whether Trump or Biden are getting closer, or if one man is gaining a lead....right now, today. This far out there isn't much predictive value.
     
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  2. Sahba*

    Sahba* Well-Known Member

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    I just have to say that the RNC convention was more riveting than any quadrennial Olympics! - But just So So So so much more compelling as, unlike the Olympic Games, it ACTUALLY impacts our very lives and future... God Bless America!

    DJT is just but a public servant doing a damn GOOD job toward this furtherance, imho...
     
  3. CenterField

    CenterField Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    According to YouGov, Trump got a boost from the RNC and Biden's national lead shrunk to 6%. Of course this is one poll and it's best to look for aggregated ones, but in my opinion it is pretty clear that the RNC was more successful than the DNC so I'm not surprised that Trump got a boost out of it while Biden didn't get a boost out of his.

    The poll also said that 8% remain undecided. So this race is far from decided, of course.

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yaho...-his-smallest-margin-in-months-164411657.html
     
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  4. PatriotNews

    PatriotNews Well-Known Member

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    All of these polls are meaningless. The sample sizes are way too small for a nation with 130 million voters. In 1980, Jimmy Carter was 4 points ahead and 6 points ahead just before an election that he lost by 10 points. Reagan was behind by 10 to 15 points in earlier polls. He was never ahead. In fact, the democrats are always 5 to 15 points ahead even in years when they lose. Republicans never are. The purpose of the polls are to suppress republican votes and voter enthusiasm.
     
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  5. Curious Always

    Curious Always Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    You really only need 2 -3 thousand respondents in a poll that has been properly sampled.
     
  6. James California

    James California Well-Known Member Past Donor

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  7. Sahba*

    Sahba* Well-Known Member

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    Full disclosure... I've had 'fun money' ; $ on this Presidency since 2015. :)
    I'm not commenting on 401K's / 403B's etc... Stocks.

    https://www.predictit.org/

    Let us see where the pulse of America is...
     
    Last edited: Aug 29, 2020
  8. PatriotNews

    PatriotNews Well-Known Member

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    This one (YouGov) had < 1,300.
     
  9. US Conservative

    US Conservative Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Trump got a bump during the RNC-and the poll was conducted BEFORE the final day.

    And he raked in 76 million.

     
    Last edited: Aug 29, 2020
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  10. Space_Time

    Space_Time Well-Known Member

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    An overly stereotypical even prejudicial view of Republican voters:
     
  11. LoneStarGal

    LoneStarGal Well-Known Member Past Donor

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