Russia admits defeat on its 'stealth' F-35 killer by canceling mass production of the Su-57 fighter

Discussion in 'Warfare / Military' started by US Conservative, Jul 13, 2018.

  1. Questerr

    Questerr Banned

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    Considering we were still building F-22's in 2009, there is literally zero point to you bringing that up.

    The claim was made that Obama cancelled the F-22 to pay for food stamps.
     
  2. APACHERAT

    APACHERAT Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I applaud your snooping and pooping and quick researching capabilities Quester.

    I confirm, I was referring to Obama's cancellation of the F-22.

    The first major blunder of the Obama administration.

    The USA only has two air superiority fighters today, the F-22 and the F-15C.

    The U.S. Navy has no air superiority fighters today, the F-14 being the last Navy air superiority fighter they flew.

    The Marine Corps doesn't need an air superiority fighter because the Marine Corps isn't in the air to air combat business, only supporting the Marine grunt on the ground.

    I don't see the F-35 filling the vacuum of the cancled F-22's since the F-35 is not an air superiority fighter.
     
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  3. Questerr

    Questerr Banned

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    Except Obama didn’t cancel the F-22. The procurement of the F-22 line to its limit of ~180 aircraft in 2011 was a decision made by George W Bush in 2006.
     
  4. APACHERAT

    APACHERAT Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Obama Wins Crucial Senate Vote on F-22
    https://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/22/business/22defense.html

    Remember, it happened on Obama's watch not Bush's watch.

    I still stand by my claim, the first major blunder of the Obama administration.






     
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  5. Questerr

    Questerr Banned

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    And look at how the US has totally lost the ability to use its Air Force since we didn’t buy 50 more incredibly expensive aircraft as a bailout to Lockheed.
     
  6. APACHERAT

    APACHERAT Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I was surprised that after Obama was reelected in 2012 that Lockheed's F-22 production line didn't show up at the Locheed surplus store like all Lockheed's production lines go when a production line is closed.

    The Locheed surplus store in Burbank, California was one of the best in the country back when the Skunk Works was still in Burbank.

    Welcome to Lockheed Martin Corporate Surplus Sales
    [​IMG]
    We manage the sale or other disposition of surplus equipment and other items made available by company units worldwide. We display our offerings organized into the categories below for easy finding and comparison.
    http://lockheedmartinsurplus.com/
     
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  7. Mushroom

    Mushroom Well-Known Member

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    Not really. Remember, Air Defense in most cases is an area deterrent system. Those are static locations, and all you have to do is stay away from them. And there are a great many other techniques that can be used to eliminate the threat of ground to air missile systems.

    And the S-500 system is not really that much of an improvement in stealth acquisition than the earlier versions that came before it.
     
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  8. Nightmare515

    Nightmare515 Ragin' Cajun Staff Member Past Donor

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    This has been the status quo for Russia for years. The Russians are actually pretty damn good at making advanced military hardware, much of their equipment is actually more advanced than anything the US produces. Their Hokum and Black Shark attack helo's are better aircraft than our Apache's or Cobra's and to this day their Hind is still the nastiest attack helo I have ever seen. T-90' are better than Abrams and the Super Flanker can out maneuver our Raptor's.

    Problem is that Russia doesn't have the money to field most of this stuff on a large scale. A Russian military machine with America's military budget would be terrifying.

    Stealth is always a good thing but in Russia's case I can see why they decided to cancel it. If you've noticed most "enemy" nations of the US have a plethora of AAA and SAM configurations at their disposal. America? Not so much. Why? Because these nations know that more than likely they will be on the defensive in an open conflict and they need to defend against the United States. America knows that in all reality nobody is ever really going to actually invade the continental United States. So we don't have huge complex SAM networks everywhere. We do have our Patriot batteries and Avenger systems spread out in places but nothing like the air defense networks of places like Russia or North Korea.

    Everyone knows that America's first rule of thumb in war is to gain and maintain air superiority and we will more than likely be knocking on YOUR door, not vice versa. Russia has no real need to run the gauntlet of SAM networks, they need to have a defense network with their aircraft intertwined with their own SAM network to stop the US from coming and prevent the US from gaining and maintaining air superiority.
     
  9. KGB agent

    KGB agent Well-Known Member

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    Any other links, except Business Insider?
    Can't find any announsment of Su-57 being cancelled coming from, well, anybody with the authority to do this type of claims.
    It is true that currently there is only one contract sighned for 12 vehicles. Apparently the overall delay is caused by 2nd stage engine program going faster then expected with last two planes from the first batch getting them instead of AL-41. Consequently it makes no sense to mass-produce first-gen engine variant.
    And, according to Business Insider, that somehow equals the whole program being cancelled.
    Sounds wishful thinking to me.
     
    Last edited: Jul 22, 2018
  10. APACHERAT

    APACHERAT Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    You have to know how to read the "Business Insider"

    You have to click on all of the links in the article.

    There were nine links on this Business Insider article.

    When you went to the other sources linked too you saw more links.

    The first link (as reported by The Diplomat.) took you here,-> https://thediplomat.com/2018/07/russia-will-not-mass-produce-5th-generation-stealth-fighter-jet/

    Russia Will Not Mass-Produce 5th Generation Stealth Fighter Jet
    Mass-production of the Su-57 is not needed now, according to Russia’s deputy defense minister.
     
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  11. KGB agent

    KGB agent Well-Known Member

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    There is even a direct quote, made by the official:

    The plane has proven to be very good, including in Syria, where it confirmed its performance and combat capabilities,” Borisov said. “You know that today the Su-57 is considered to be one of the best aircrafts produced in the world. Consequently, it does not make sense to speed up work on mass-producing the fifth-generation aircraft."

    There is also a piece in the interview, which didn't make it into the article:
    «Испытания идут в соответствии с планами. Никаких срывов нет. В этом году будет законтрактовано два самолета для опытной партии. Вообще у нас в планах ГПВ 12 самолетов. Две эскадрильи»

    "Tests are going as expected, no delays yet. We are going to sign up a contract for 2 more planes in this year as a test batch. So far 12 planes are planned in the state defence programm. That is two squadrons."

    I am struggling to understand how that transforms into
    See what I am talking about? Apparently someone is eating a large piece of bullcrap, spoonfed by the media. I hope that, at least, it is tasty.
     
    Last edited: Jul 24, 2018
  12. APACHERAT

    APACHERAT Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    You would have to email or call lAlex Lockie the author of the article and ask him.

    But usually it's not the author of a news story who comes up with the title or banner of a news story but someone else.

    Large newspapers like the WaPo, NYT, WSJ, L.A. Slime have a few individuals who only job is just writing up titles for news stories.

    The title is suppose to catch your interest so you read the story.

    Matt Drudge is considered the best in the industry of coming up with news story titles so you click on to the link and read the story.

    Matt Drudge was a protege of Andrew Breitbart.

    On the internet today we see "clickbait"

    click·bait
    ˈklikbāt/
    noun
    informal
    1. (on the Internet) content whose main purpose is to attract attention and encourage visitors to click on a link to a particular web page.
     
  13. KGB agent

    KGB agent Well-Known Member

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    I know very well what it is.
    [​IMG]
    However, clickbait is only a proper term, when the headline was blown out of proportion, not the story.

    When the autor starts to support bullshit headline with bullshit in the text itself, like:
    -pushing the reader to certain beliefs by bringing up "autorities" in the subjext:
    -pushing the reader to certain beliefs by providing false argumentation:
    -giving irrelevant or biased comparisons;
    -giving fitting opinions instead of facts;
    the other terms are being used to desribe this.

    Pick the one you like the most:
    -lazy journalism
    lazy journalism happens when journalists don’t do their homework, and don’t check the accuracy of the information they find
    -propaganda
    information, especially of a biased or misleading nature, used to promote a political cause or point of view.
     
    Last edited: Jul 24, 2018
  14. Mushroom

    Mushroom Well-Known Member

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    Well, you are actually taking many things and mashing them together here.

    As for which is "better", this is often a matter of perspective. Soviet-Russian equipment has generally been cheaper (as in "lower cost" more than "lower quality"). And this is on purpose, this is part of their critical strategic philosophy since the Soviet Union was founded. In general they know they lack the capability to compete with the US by technology, so they do it with sheer numbers. Building a piece of equipment "almost as good", then fielding them in significantly higher numbers.

    For the Ka-50 HOKUM, this is seen clearly. Not only is it a decade newer than the US equivalent (AH-64 APACHE), it is also half the cost. An APACHE runs $35 million each, the Ka-50 HOKUM is only $16 million each. So by their philosophy, even if it is only 75% as good, they come out ahead because of the larger numbers they can deploy to the field.

    As for the AH-1 COBRA, it is not even close. That is a mid-1960's era helicopter that was retired by the Army, and was literally just a redesign of the UH-1 IROQUOIS (HUEY). The Army phased them out 20 years ago, they are now only used by the Marines because it is the only Attack Helicopter we have that can operate from amphibious ships.

    So you just can not compare a helicopter fielded in 1965 with one in 1990, and expect to be taken seriously.

    Let alone compare anything in the US inventory to the Mi-24 HIND. Quite literally the Mi-24 HIND is a heavy modification of the Mi-8 HIP. They took a transport helicopter, added armor and weapons, and turned it into a flying Armored Personnel Carrier. It would be akin to the US making the original AH-1 COBRA, but not removing the troop carrying capacity of the original aircraft.

    The US could always have created a similar aircraft, but simply never did. Differing strategic ideals. The Soviets-Russians always loved bolting guns and armor to almost anything and trying to make it indestructible, the US tended more towards specific use equipment, with clear differences between the two.

    However, interestingly enough, the US Army did look into making such a beast even before the Soviets did. In 1964 they asked for designs for an advanced Fire Support helicopter. And Sikorsky submitted the S-67 Blackhawk. It would have had armor protection for the crew, a 30mm cannon along with TOW and ZUNI rockets, as well as the capability to transport 16 soldiers.

    But it looked significantly different than the Mi-24. More resembling an upsized AH-1 COBRA, it was a sleek and slender aircraft, much different than the "Flying Tank" that the Soviets designed.

    [​IMG]

    But ultimately the design was rejected, as not fitting into the Army's strategic mission. So many of the concepts designed into it were later incorporated into the AH-64 APACHE, and the name was recycled to the UH-60 Black Hawk.

    But the T-90? You are aware that that is simply a T-72 that has been upgraded, right? In the mid-1980's the Soviets had 3 proposals for their next generation tank. Object 184 was an upgrade to the existing T-72. Object 188 was a new tank, that was an upgrade to the T-72 as it was built. Object 187 was a completely new tank, having little in common with the T-72 at all. New gun, new hull, new engine, new suspension, new turret, essentially new everything.

    But the design the Soviets decided on for cost was Object 188. The cheapest of the designs for "new tanks", and only a generational advancement form the T-72. And once again, the T-90 is over a decade newer than the M-1 ABRAMS, so there will be areas where it is better. But there are still areas it is much worse (like the Soviet-Russian love of the auto-loader).

    You keep trying to focus on a single thing, and ignoring everything about a piece of equipment. So what that the Su-35 Flanker is more maneuverable than the F-22 RAPTOR? The aircraft was designed to be super-maneuverable. But it lacks the stealth of the F-22, and there are very few of them. Only 19 of the Su-35 exist, yet there are 187 operational F-22s (plus an additional 8 built and used for testing purposes).
     
  15. Nightmare515

    Nightmare515 Ragin' Cajun Staff Member Past Donor

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    You are sort of proving my point here.

    I am fully aware of when the aircraft were designed and what they are capable of. It doesn't matter when they were designed it matters that the design itself is simply better. Of course a 90s design is going to be more advanced than a design from the 60s or 70s, but that doesn't negate the fact that it is better.

    The point is, as you said, the way the Russians and the Americans fight. How "good" your equipment is doesn't matter as much as people think. As we always so eloquently put it during my weekly enemy capabilities briefs at work, "It doesn't really matter how many Abrams tanks a T-90 can engage in rapid succession, we don't fight T-90s with Abrams tanks we fight T-90s with Apache helicopters and A-10s". Same with their super maneuverable Super Flanker. Doesn't matter how many loopy loops and air cartwheels that thing can do. An AIM-120 AMRAAM doesn't care that your Super Flanker can do a backflip in the sky.

    I'm an Apache pilot by trade. I love my aircraft but I'm perfectly fine with admitting that the Hokum is just a flat out better designed aircraft because it's newer. The US hasn't fielded a new attack helicopter in nearly 4 decades. Yeah we upgrade the Apache's and Cobra's but they are still "old" technology. But we have the capability to actually use ours in war, Russia would have a hard time fielding their attack helicopters in a war with the US because the US owns the sky in any battlefield. Plus enemy hardware has to survive the initial naval and aerial bombardment that happens prior to the fielding of any US ground force.

    I used to be an Abrams tanker before I swapped over the aviation. In my tank days our TTP's were very simply, do not get into a fight with a T-80 or a T-90, if you see it, maintain contact and call artillery or CAS. Why? Because that thing has the ability to really ruin your day and in a straight up knife fight you may very well lose. But we don't fight that way, American military doctrine doesn't fight that way. We don't fight tank battles with Abrams brigades rolling through and engaging equally matched enemy armor brigades. We attack enemy armor columns with kinetic strikes from attack aviation and/or artillery and only actually use our own tanks to kill tanks as a last resort.

    The reason why America doesn't continuously design and field newer and newer equipment is because we simply don't have to. We have the ability to win a conventional war with anybody on Earth with our "30 year old technology". We upgrade the stuff every decade or so but the design remains the same. A nation like Russia fields cheaper equipment in mass numbers, and designs newer equipment routinely that they can't field in mass numbers due to financial problems. The US designs solid equipment that is more than capable and can actually field it in mass numbers.

    The US on paper does not have the best military hardware in the world in all categories, but we have the most powerful military in the world and that isn't even an argument. Our Abrams tank isn't the best tank in the world, our Apache helicopter isn't the best attack helicopter in the world, our F-22 isn't the most maneuverable fighter in the world, etc. But nobody on the face of the Earth has the ability to go head to head with the US in a conventional war and win. That's because our war machine is interlocked with itself and it all works together as one force. You don't need to have the absolute best piece of hardware in every category to be the most powerful military. We prove that every day by sitting alone on top of our Superpower mountain with our 80s technology in the year 2018 while our "enemies" have 90s and 2000s technology but still wouldn't stand a chance in hell in a head to head war with us.
     
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  16. Mushroom

    Mushroom Well-Known Member

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    Except when we don't.

    Like say, 73 Easting. Where with almost no air support, over 160 tanks (many of them the best that the Soviets exported at the time) were destroyed, with no friendly tanks killed.

    No Apache helicopters, no Warthogs, a good old-fashioned tank duel on the ground.

    You are a pilot, I guess you do not realize that those of us that operate on the ground generally train and plan as if the sky jockeys did not exist. If there is CAS available, great. But we do not really depend on it all that much, because we know all to well that it simply may not be available.

    Except the problem in many areas is more than using "30 year old technology", it is that we are using "30+ year old equipment".

    A great amount of our military equipment today dates back to the Reagan administration. The running joke when I was still in PATRIOT was that I was the only person in our Battalion that was older than the equipment I operated. I was 43 at the time, and my launcher was built in 1984. It is now 10 years later, and we still have not built any new equipment in almost 30 years.

    And PATRIOT is not even 80's technology, it is 60's technology. It ultimately replaced a system that was 50's technology.

    And it's replacement based on early 2000's technology is still stuck in procurement hell, where it has been for the last decade. Meanwhile the systems we do have are now spending more time deadlined then they are in service. They are simply falling apart from age, and a lack of replacement parts.

    It is expensive and takes a long time to get a critical part for a system that has not been built for 30 years.
     
  17. Questerr

    Questerr Banned

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    By replacement for the Patriot, are you talking about THAAD? Isn’t it only intended to go after ballistic missiles? Wouldn’t that leave a gap in our defenses against cruise missiles and aircraft?
     
  18. Mushroom

    Mushroom Well-Known Member

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    I have to admit, this rather stuck out in my mind when I read your posting.

    I am one of the last remainders of the "Cold Warriors" in service today. My first decade in uniform was in training and expecting WWIII with the Soviet Union. And it is a mindset that is rather foreign to most I serve with today.

    I guess it is akin to trying to explain to a WWI soldier what fighting was like in the Revolutionary War.

    Yes, today the US pretty much expects to own the sky in any conflict. And that has been the case since the latter days of WWII. But in the WWIII scenarios I was first trained in, that was not really the case. For most of the first month of such a conflict, it was expected that neither side would have aerial superiority. That would only come as the numbers of advanced US fighters finally arrived in theater in increasingly overwhelming numbers.

    And interestingly enough, many of us were speculating as to how the "F-19 Stealth Figher" (a secret yet commonly known) weapon would affect the outcome. Some of us thought such superiority might come sooner, as this super-top-secret weapon would arrive and slash the Soviets to shreads.

    Joke is on us though, as ultimately the F-117 was not even a fighter at all. It was a light bomber, which should have been named the B-117.

    But to see the role of the Attack Helicopter in warfare, one has to look at why it was made in the first place. In the early 1960;s, helicopters cost about 1/5 as much of a tank. And had a crew half the size. They were literally seen as disposable. Even if they only took out 1 tank per engagement before being destroyed, we still came out ahead as compared to a tank vs. tank battle. We could (and would) literally throw away helicopter after helicopter, as they were cheaper than tanks.

    Interestingly enough, most of our military today is still composed of that equipment bought and built up during the Reagan administration. An era of Fulda Gap, GIUK Line, and Star Wars. Pershing Missiles and potential fighter battles F-14s and MiG-28s over the Med.

    I have to admit, if WWIII were to be fought today as if it was 1988, things would likely be much different. If anything, the advantage of the US has shifted far when it comes to technology, but is actually lower when it comes to numbers. Our capability to hold of a "Warsaw Pact" type strike in 2018 is slim to none, we simply lack almost anything needed to hold back the numbers if such were ever to attack NATO.

    And yes, I personally scream inside at the state and age of most of our equipment. During my entire time in PATRIOT (2007-2012), it was the running joke that I was the only person in the Battalion (likely the Brigade) that was older than the launcher he operated. My personal launcher was built in 1988, during my second enlistment. And it was the newest launcher in the Battalion (a purpose built PAC-3, not an upgraded original generation launcher circa 1982).

    Even to this day, I take a perverse sense of pride when I point out the data plate of a piece of equipment (say an M-998 HMMWV) , and have somebody look at the build date. Most are honestly shocked to realize the vehicle they drive is older than they are.

    But in closing, you can pretty much forget any consideration of the impact of a US "Naval Bombardment". That has not been a threat for over 25 years now, since the last of the Iowa class was retired. The two 5" guns of a Tico or the single 5" gun of a Burke are of no real threat to any enemy. A single Battery of conventional artillery can pour down more hate then one of these ships can.

    As a side note, I have long advocated the creation of a modern version of the Alaska class Cruiser. With nine 12" guns and twelve 5" guns, I have long believed that one of these should be with every amphibious warfare group as a flagship and base of fire for any potential amphibious bombardments. I admit we have not had to do an amphibious landing in decades, but in the event we ever do I am afraid we are going to find ourselves badly mauled because of the lack of shore bombardment capabilities.

    Plus, I would simply love to see a return of the naming convention of the Alaska Class. It rested between the Cruiser (Named after cities), and the Battleship (named after states). As such, they were named after insular areas (territories) of the United States.

    This would see a return of the USS Guam, USS Puerto Rico, USS Palalu, and other places occupied by US citizens that have been ignored by the Navy since the end of WWII when it comes to ship names.
     
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  19. Mushroom

    Mushroom Well-Known Member

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    No, I do not mean THAAD. I mean MEADS.

    [​IMG]

    The Medium Extended Air Defense System was originally being tested when I first joined ADA in 2007. Essentially it took a lot of lessons learned over the decades from PATRIOT, and upgrade it into a replacement to work alongside THAAD.

    Essentially it would take the same missiles as PATRIOT, but put it into a launcher closer to that of THAAD. To start with, no more trailer. Over the decades, it was realized that putting the launcher on a trailer (instead of built into the vehicle itself) was a mistake. They got stuck easier, and were more of a problem when it came to transporting and maintaining than they were worth. So in the future plans, that was discarded.

    MEADS was initially designed to work with the existing PATRIOT RADAR and command equipment, but also be capable of seamless integrating with THAAD equipment. And it would be able to use existing PATRIOT missiles, as well as working with systems still in development (like the IRIS-T, a ground launched AIM-9 SIDEWINDER). This would give it much more capability than PATRIOT alone has.

    In the mid-2000's, the expectation of a PATRIOT Battalion was very different than it was then ( or is today, the same as it was then). We were expecting by this time to have moved to a Battalion being 1 Battery of AVENGER, 2-3 Batteries of MEADS, and 1 Battery of THAAD. This would allow coverage of everything from short to long range and beyond.

    However, in reality in 2018 our ADA Battalions look exactly like they did 11 years ago. MEADS was largely scrapped in the last administration, and has only limped along because Germany and Italy keep funding it. THAAD in over a decade has yet to move beyond it's 2 Provisional Batteries.

    I spent my entire 5 years in PATRIOT looking forward to working with MEADS. And even 6 years later, nobody I know has ever worked on this system. And I honestly think now that the US will never field it. Instead, we will keep on using the Kennedy era and Reagan fielded equipment, because the people of this country really do not give a damn about the people that have to work on and rely upon it.

    Today, there are very few who are still in the military that were even in service when this thing first came into use. I met a few old Sergeant Majors and Colonels during my time that used it in the First Gulf War, but that is really it. Like much of our military, we now have the unborn children of those who first used it now operating their father's equipment.

    And still there is no replacement in sight.
     
    Last edited: Aug 25, 2018
  20. Toggle Almendro

    Toggle Almendro Well-Known Member

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    It is much more likely that the F-35 is a S-500 killer.

    Where the F-35 comes up short is against enemy air-superiority aircraft.

    Last I knew, no one has been able to get enough accuracy from a VHF radar to secure a weapons lock.

    I have read a blogger who pointed to what he thinks are hints that the US has secretly developed this capability. But in my opinion he was making some rather large assumptions.

    The west could choose to supply Ukraine with heavy weapons if we decide to heat up the fighting there so that Putin is too busy to think about invading the EU.

    Or we could supply Ukraine with heavy weapons when Putin pushes his invasion deeper into their country.

    Failing that, Putin will face air defenses when he invades the EU.

    The problem is, we do need that many. If we face a peer power, we'll need to be able to shoot down enemy air-superiority fighters.

    We have a grave shortfall in our air defenses at the moment.

    In a war against a peer power we'll be in pretty big trouble without an adequate number of F-22s to counter enemy air-superiority fighters.
     

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