The opinion polls are tightening – Corbyn might just become prime minister

Discussion in 'Western Europe' started by Boosewell, Nov 26, 2019.

  1. Boosewell

    Boosewell Active Member

    Joined:
    May 21, 2019
    Messages:
    260
    Likes Received:
    87
    Trophy Points:
    28
    Gender:
    Male
  2. Steady Pie

    Steady Pie Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2012
    Messages:
    24,506
    Likes Received:
    7,247
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    It's easy to cherry pick data. I didn't think the conservatives were going to do well in 2017, but this time around the polling clearly shows a Tory victory at this stage.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politic.../oct/31/uk-general-election-2019-poll-tracker

    Look at the aggregate polling. Tories out on 43 with Brexit Party practically non-existent. Johnson polling as very popular for a Western leader, outdoing all the media's hyped favorites like Jacinta Ardern, Justin Trudeau, Emmanuel Macron, etc. Corbyn has a 43-46 split in the Labour party on likability.

    It is, simply put, looking like an absolute disaster for Labour.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.th...-conservatives-on-course-for-68-seat-majority

    68 seat majority.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.ft.com/content/80b6c686-1052-11ea-a7e6-62bf4f9e548a

    There is no sugar coating it. The Independent should be ashamed of themselves for this level of false reporting.
     
  3. Boosewell

    Boosewell Active Member

    Joined:
    May 21, 2019
    Messages:
    260
    Likes Received:
    87
    Trophy Points:
    28
    Gender:
    Male
    The Independent is a (sort of) newspaper and is therefore incapable of shame. :)

    That said, these guys have Boris down to a 12 seat majority

    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

    As you say, probably a lot of eye wash but it does look as though the only reliable poll is going to be the one on 12-13 December.
     
  4. Diablo

    Diablo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2016
    Messages:
    2,772
    Likes Received:
    2,310
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Just imagine if the Labour Party had a charismatic leader and some sensible, moderate policies....
     
  5. Boosewell

    Boosewell Active Member

    Joined:
    May 21, 2019
    Messages:
    260
    Likes Received:
    87
    Trophy Points:
    28
    Gender:
    Male
    You mean like Tony Blair?
    He did a good job last time and he is clearly keen on having another shot at running the party, but it won't be easy. His real problem is that in the late 90s the grassroots were tired of losing and so rallied behind him. But these days it is hard not to believe that the brothers and sisters secretly enjoy the prospect of going down in glorious defeat.
     
    Diablo likes this.
  6. Diablo

    Diablo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2016
    Messages:
    2,772
    Likes Received:
    2,310
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Blair did a good job with the New Labour idea. He's finished as a politician since Iraq, though.
    It's hard to get inside the heads of the current Labour lot. They chose an unelectable leader and then a set of policies which are not do-able. As you say, a glorious defeat.
     
  7. HoundofHades

    HoundofHades Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Dec 1, 2019
    Messages:
    61
    Likes Received:
    16
    Trophy Points:
    8
    Gender:
    Male
    OP

    Well let's face it - can he possibly be any worse than Johnson or Swinson?
     

Share This Page