this fall is not a guaranteed Dem victory in the chambers of Congress

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by JakeStarkey, Apr 16, 2018.

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What do you think will happen in this fall's national elections

  1. GOP will retain hold of both chambers of Congress

    8 vote(s)
    44.4%
  2. GOP will hold the Senate but lose the House

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. GOP will hold the House but lose the Senate

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. Dems will sweep both chambers of Congress

    1 vote(s)
    5.6%
  5. Dems will take the House but lose the Senate

    6 vote(s)
    33.3%
  6. Dems will take the Senate but lose the House

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  7. Still too far from election day to make predictions

    3 vote(s)
    16.7%
  1. Durandal

    Durandal Well-Known Member Donor

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  2. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    I came across a couple in interesting articles that pertain to this topic.

    The first is about who will be voting in 2018 and 2020.

    https://edition.cnn.com/2013/11/06/us/baby-boomer-generation-fast-facts/index.html

    Those 3 segments comprise the groups that are most likely to vote and all 3 are shrinking and will have smaller populations in 2018 and 2020 than they did in 2016.

    Compare that to Millennials who will increase in voting numbers given that the Parkland kids will be turning 18 and eligible to vote.

    Next comes an interesting comparison to 2010.

    https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2018/02/26/is-a-wave-rolling-in-for-house-democrats/

    In both 2010 and 2018 the number of opposition party challengers who had raised more than $100k are similar. The GOP had 83% challenging Dems in 2010 and now the Dems have 87% challenging GOP seats.

    There are more than 60 Republican held seats where these challenges are taking place and the Dems only need 24 seats to win.

    Take these challenges together with a changing voter demographics above and the outlook for the Dems looks better than it does for the GOP.
     
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  3. JakeJ

    JakeJ Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    So the Pelosi rule is that no one who is not a senior citizen can hold top positions in the Democratic Party. That DEFINITELY should be pointed out to Millennials. In the Democratic Party, they need not apply until they are at least 65 years old.
     
  4. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Please provide a credible nonpartisan source for this bogus allegation.
     
    Last edited: May 7, 2018
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  5. JakeJ

    JakeJ Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Look at Time_Space's message above.
     
  6. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Herr Rove has zero credibility any longer. His partisan bias and his need for greed is all that motivates his disinformation.
     
  7. Crawdadr

    Crawdadr Well-Known Member

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    I do what I want
     

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