Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

Discussion in 'Coronavirus (COVID-19) News' started by Statistikhengst, Mar 14, 2020.

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  1. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    I take you point and yes, ALL points of entry MUST be monitored for signs of infections.

    Did you know that the nations in Africa have been doing exactly that ever since the Ebola epidemic?
     
  2. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    Uruguay is the center for European and US RV travelers. The Uru custom laws allow you to keep your RV for 12 month in country, without having to pay any tariffs. That has developed a RV-storage industry for international snow-birds and their RVs. Additionally Montevideo has become the port were those RVs are shipped to, landed and than picked up by their owners.
    There are several thousand RVs, European and US, stored in the country.
    My brother has one stored, roughly 50 miles away from Montevideo, indoor storage, guarded etc.
    The place even has its own shop, were one can have the RV winterized for storage and reverse prepared for the trip.
    Normally my brother spends 3-4 month, the European winter month, traveling with his RV in South America.
    He works than online.
     
  3. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    The USA just went over 129,000 COVID-19 deaths.
    Currently: 129,046.
     
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  4. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    Damit, the US is going to miss the 130 mark for June.
    What went wrong ?
    We tried so hard......................................
     
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  5. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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  6. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Not so sure about that:

    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD USA almost 130000.png

    We are now only 37 away from the 130,000 mark.
     
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  7. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    And here is where there is this very large jump in US deaths:


    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 000 - adjunct.png
     
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  8. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    You had me worried, bro.

    We have to stay number 1 and be exceptional, can't slack.
    Always Numero UNO, no matter what it is.

    The travel list for the EU came out. 14 countries match the criteria. Uruguay and Algeria are on it, but none of the Super Powers to be, SPTB, US, China and Russia.
    Ain't that something.

    Mmmmmmmhhhhhhh.

    Prost.
     
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  9. Sallyally

    Sallyally Well-Known Member Donor

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    Dark humour,gnoib.
     
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  10. crank

    crank Well-Known Member

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    Let's not forget the other half of the equation .. a compliant and willing citizenry.
     
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  11. crank

    crank Well-Known Member

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    Is it too early to call it?

    Maybe it's time to start thinking of Superpower as something other than $ and military.
     
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  12. ronv

    ronv Well-Known Member

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    It is beginning to look like we are looking at a new normal for a while.
    upload_2020-6-30_21-25-46.png
    upload_2020-6-30_21-27-0.png
    upload_2020-6-30_21-27-31.png
    Georgia is still working it's way up.
    upload_2020-6-30_21-29-7.png
    upload_2020-6-30_21-30-2.png
    upload_2020-6-30_21-30-47.png
    I wonder how many other states will go up to 15% positives.

    On a side note. The wife and I have been exposed. We are currently in day 8.
     
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  13. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Don't worry, the final tally for yesterday was 130,122 per WoM.
     
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  14. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    HERE the entire posting for the worldwide C19 stats for EOD the day before. Reminder: New 7-day rolling average system in effect, posted 2020-06-029, 12:40 GMT +2, #10712.

    During the run of the day on 2020-06-030, there one other important analysis:
    USA EOD report for 2020-06-029, posted 2020-06-030, 12:51 GMT +2, #10744.

    You can confirm/sort the data for this analysis as you wish via the WORLDOMETER website for today -or- the WAYBACK MACHINE when searching for today's date in the future: search for one or two days later than you want, then use the "yesterday" or "2 days ago" function at the top their large excel table.

    COVID-19 worldwide statistics EOD Report for Tuesday, 2020-06-030 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):
    The first half of 2020 has now come and gone

    ֍ 10,577,756 ֍
    +174,850 new C19 cases over the day before.
    Rolling 7 day average: +176,027 new C19 cases per day.
    There are now 131 nations with at least 100 total COVID-19 cases.

    There have now been 513,186 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +5,658 of them were on this day.
    Rolling 7 day average: +4,891 deaths per day.

    1,339 US-American, 1,271 Brazilian, 506 Indian, & 473 Mexican deaths were recorded on this day.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:
    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 000.png
    We now end the first half of 2020 very close 10.6 million confirmed C19 cases, coming from a handful of cases on January 1st, 2020 to this enormous total.

    You might want to take a look at the analysis for exactly one month ago, 2020-05-030, as you read today's analysis. Of the to-date 10,577,756 confirmed C19 cases, 4,427,274 of them were added in the month of June 2020 alone, making for a growth rate of 71.98% over May and also 41.85% of all total cases.

    The entire month of June saw +100,000 or more new C-19 cases per day and you can extend that statistic out to 34 out of the last 35 days, save 2020-05-031. 14 of the last 15 days saw more than +140,000 new C19 cases per day. The last 8 days in a row saw more than +160,000 cases per day. The daily new cases for 2020-06-030 far exceeded any Tuesday on record, 10,000+ more cases than the Tuesday before.

    There is a 575 death disparity in the USA between my excel table and worldometer. Here is why:

    [​IMG]


    The worldwide analysis for 2020-06-021, has an extrapolation of how many total C19-cases and C19-deaths we are likely to have by the end of 2020, you may be interested to go and read it again, right under the excel-table for that day.

    The number of daily deaths on this Tuesday were greater than the Tuesday before. Of the to-date 513,186 confirmed C19 deaths, 142,680 of them were added in the month of June 2020 alone, making for a growth rate of 38.51% over May and also 27.80% of all total cases.


    Total cases per country, descending (countries circa +250 C19 cases and above):
    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 001.png
    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 002.png
    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 003.png
    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 004.png
    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 005.png
    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 006.png


    131-66-19-2
    In terms of total cases per country, there are now 131 nations in the "thousand club". On 2020-05-030, it was 114. 17 nations jumped over the 1,000 line during June, 2020.

    Of those
    131, 66 nations are now in the "10,000 club". On 2020-05-030, it was 52. 14 nations jumped over the 10,000 line during June, 2020.

    19
    of those 66 nations are at 100,000 or more. On 2020-05-030, it was 12. 7 nations jumped over the 100,000 line during June, 2020.

    Of those 19,
    2 nations are in the "1,000,000" club: the USA and Brazil. On 2020-05-030, it was 1. 1 nation jumped over the 1,000,000 line during June, 2020.

    In terms of the countries with the most new cases:

    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 007 - total cases.png
    73-20-3

    73 countries had +100 or more new cases, more than 1/3 of all nations in the world. The day before, it was 73. On 2020-05-030, it was 62.

    Of those 73,
    20 countries had +1000 or more new cases. The day before, it was 20. On 2020-05-030, it was 18.

    Of those 20,
    3 nations had over +10,000 new cases: the USA, Brazil and India. On 2020-05-030, it was 2.


    In terms of total deaths per country, descending:

    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 008 - total deaths.png
    85-37-9-1
    There are now 85 nations with 100 total deaths or more. On 2020-05-030, it was 70. 17 nations jumped over the 100 line during June, 2020.

    Of those 85,
    37 nations now have over +1,000 COVID-19 deaths to date. On 2020-05-030, it was 26. 12 nations jumped over the 1,000 line during June, 2020.

    Of those 37, there are
    9 nations with over +10,000 total COVID-19 deaths to date. On 2020-05-030, it was 6. 3 nations jumped over the 10,000 line during June, 2020.

    And finally, of those 8,
    1 nation has over +100,000 total COVID-19 deaths, completely dwarfing all other nations on the planet: the USA.

    Currently at 130,122 total deaths, the USA is circa 4% of the world's population but yet, 25.36% of all worldwide deaths have come from the USA. A extrapolation pointing to 266,000 total US deaths by the end of this year is now currently running within the USA analyses.


    Brazil, currently at 59,656 total deaths and growing around 1,000 deaths per day, is now rank 2 among the C19 dead and closing in on +100,000 deaths rather quickly. An average of +1,243 deaths per day as of 2020-06-024 gets Brazil to 100,000 on July 31st, 2020. An average of +891 deaths per day gets Brazil to 100,000 on August 15th, 2020. Brazil's calculated average from last week was +1,039 so very likely, between July 31st and August 15th of this year, this will happen.



    In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:

    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 009.png

    USA, Brazil, India, Mexico, Peru, UK, Colombia and Chile lead with the most daily deaths.

    13 nations reported over +100 daily deaths (it was 7 the day before). 6 of those 13 countries are from the Americas. On 2020-05-030, it was 8 and 4 of them were from the Americas. Don't forget, the actual daily death toll for the USA is: 1,339. See again:

    [​IMG]

    This series I have running:
    "Future Upperdecks" Series, #1: Ethiopia, Central African Republic, Mauritania and Malawi, posted 2020-05-030, 19:00 GMT +2, #9612.
    And
    "Future Upperdecks" Series, #2 (7 other nations)...

    ...will be concluded today.

    In terms of Total Tests administered per country, 29 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece, with Belarus having gone over the 1,000,000 line on 2020-06-030. On 2020-05-030, it was 13. 16 nations have gone over the 1,000,000 line during June, 2020.

    With 90.4 million COVID-19 tests, China leads the field by far. Very soon, China will also be adjusting it's actual and daily C19 cases and deaths. We may be in for a real statistical jolt, here. The USA has now performed 34.2 million tests (1,000,000 thousand more than the day before) while Russia has performed 19.6 million tests (300,000 more than the day before). Brazil, which is now rank 2 among all nations in terms of COVID-19 infections and in terms of total deaths, has performed 3.1 million such tests.

    Facit: on 2020-06-030, the world gained almost +175,000 new C19 cases and we ended the first half of 2020 just under 10.6 million total C19 cases.

    The world-wide curve, which had generally flattened, is numerically picking up substantially. It is still logistical and not exponential, but there is a noticeable increase in overall daily C19 cases. That being said, new hotspots are verifiably emerging (Peru, Chile and Pakistan have now appeared on my mental radar screen). The average daily deaths in terms of raw numbers remains stabile, but due to the enormous amount of overall cases, the actual death rate continues to sink, which is in and of itself a very good sign. The problem is the huge increase in total cases, which will invariably, absent a working vaccine, cause the average daily deaths to rise again, probably within the next 21-27 days. It's like a game of whack-a-mole. We've seen this pattern happen before.


    -Stat
     
    Last edited: Jul 1, 2020
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  15. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    HERE the COVID-19 USA numbers for the day before. Reminder: New 7-day rolling average in effect, posted 2020-06-029, 12:40 GMT +2, #10712.

    In the analysis for Sunday, 2020-06-021, I explained moving from analysing the USA in terms of 50 States to 57 "Units". You can read the rationale for this in that analysis.

    You can confirm/sort the data for the following analysis as you wish via the WORLDOMETER website for today -or- the WAYBACK MACHINE when searching for today's date in the future: search for one or two days later than you want, then use the "yesterday" or "2 days ago" function at the top their large excel table.

    And now:

    COVID-19 USA statistics EOD Report for Tuesday, 2020-06-030 in the USA (EOD = GMT +0):
    The first half of 2020 has now come and gone


    **2,727,853** (25.79% of worldwide total)
    +46,042 cases, 2nd highest daily haul, after 2020-06-026 (26.33% of worldwide haul)
    15 days in a row of +25,000 or more new cases / 10 days of +30,000 / 6 days of +40,000!

    130,122 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA (25.36% of worldwide deaths); 1,339 of them recorded on this day.
    1,143,334 people have recovered, 1,454,397 are, however, still sick.
    The recovered % is rising. That is good news.


    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 000.png

    We now end the first half of 2020 at 2.7 million confirmed C19 cases in the USA, coming from a handful of cases in January, 2020 to this enormous total.

    You might want to take a look at the analysis for exactly one month ago, 2020-05-030, as you read today's analysis. Of the to-date 2,727,853 confirmed C19 cases, 911,033 of them were added in the month of June 2020 alone, making for a growth rate of 50.06% over May and also 33.97% of all total cases.

    You can see that in terms of daily cases, this Tuesday is the largest daily haul of any Tuesday ever, 10,000 more than the Tuesday before and the 6th day in a row with over +40,000 new C19 cases. It is more than double the daily haul from 2 Tuesdays ago!

    Now here's a tip: you can see a verifiable uptick in the daily case load starting on 2020-06-012, but we saw it really take off and never again go below +25,000 starting on 2020-06-016, which would be 3 weeks and 1 day after MEMORIAL DAY, 2020. This is now established FACT. You can see the mathematical rise in the numbers yourselves. There can be no doubt that Memorial Day, coupled with the BLM protests across the country and also the reopening of places like bars and beachs - all these things contributed to a sharp rise in new C19 cases per day. Dr. Anthony Fauci said yesterday on live TV that we are settling at +40,000 cases per day (which you can see here), but if we don't get a grip on the pandemic, it could jump to +100,000 per day in the USA alone.

    There is a 575 death disparity in the USA between my excel table and worldometer. Here is why:

    [​IMG]



    The actual number of daily deaths on 2020-06-030 is definitely, +1,339 and not just +764, because the other deaths, which WorldOMeter has already shunted into the past, have not been accounted for yet. Also Massachusetts adjusted it's death toll downward, by -117. 764+692-117=1,339. However were we to only compare the +764, it is indeed about 100-150 cases smaller to the two Tuesdays before and decidedly lower than the 3rd and 4th Tuesdays before that. This is EXCEEDINGLY good news, but the real concern here is that with a huge spike in cases within the Union, a spike in deaths will follow in the next 3-4 weeks, ala what we saw in NY and NJ, one month later in LA, MI and IL. We may soon see this in FL, GA, TX, AZ and CA.

    Note: due to the switchover to the 57 Unit system of measuring the USA, it's hard to do an exact comparison to 2020-05-030 without reworking all the stats. So, check out 2020-05-030 for yourself. You will see where things have changed, sometimes, greatly.


    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total confirmed C19 cases, descending:

    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 001.png
    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 002.png
    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 003.png



    57: 52-41-16-7

    52 out of 57 UNITS have over 1,000 confirmed total COVID-19 cases apiece. 47 of them are US States. At 967 or less C19 cases, it will still be a little while before the states of Montana, Alaska and Hawaii cross over this line, but I am very sure that in the fullness of time, probably within the month of July, two of those three states will. However, at 291, the pacific Territories may take a considerably longer time to get there.

    41
    of the UNITS I just mentioned now have more than +10,000 cases. Currently at 8,656 cases, Oregon will probably be next, but it will take a while. This kind of thing tends to happen in spurts: a bunch of Units (mostly, states) will slowly get close to a milestone and within days, they all jump over said milestone.

    Of those 41, 16 have more than +50,000 confirmed C19 cases. Connecticut is likely to go over the 50,000 line in the next days.

    Of those 16, 7 have more than +100,000 confirmed C19 cases. Pennsylvania is now over 91,000 cases and slowly making its way toward the 100,000 line.

    New daily cases:

    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 006 - new cases.png

    57: 56-40-9
    56 of 57 Units reported at least one new case, 49 of those 56 being states. The only state to report no new cases: VT

    40
    of 57 Units reported more than +100 new cases. 37 of those 40 Units were states. The two non-states were: DC, Veterans Affairs and Puerto Rico.

    9 of 57 Units reported over +1,000 new cases, all 9 of them being states. Both TX and CA were knocking on the door to +8,000 cases, FL at +6,000. The number of daily cases in the US is really on the rise. 7 of those 9 states are from the Deep South, the remaining two are from the West/Southwest. This is a geographical phenomenon.


    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily deaths:
    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 008 - new deaths.png
    I think this is the most important category when looking to see where other hotspots are emerging and since deaths lag behind new cases, the two rankings are often not the same.
    57: 40-23-2

    40 of 57 Units reported at least one new death. 40 of them are US States. The non-states:Veterans Affairs and Federal Prisons.

    Of those 40, 23 reported deaths in double digits or more, from +10 to +105, but actually it's from +10 to +709 . 22 of those 23 Units are US States. The non-state: Veterans Affairs.

    Out of the entire Union, all 57 Units, 2 Units reported more than 100 daily deaths: California (105) and NY (709: 692 retroactively reported and not yet accounted for here by my, +17 for the day). So, the streak of no states with +100 or more deaths has now been broken.

    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 007 - total deaths.png

    57: 45-24-2
    45 of 57 Units now have at least 100 total deaths. 41 of those 45 Units are US States. At 93, 92, 91 and 79 total deaths respectively, WV, ID, SD and ND will soon cross over that marker.

    Of those 45, 24 Units now have a total of more than +1,000 COVID-19 deaths. 23 of those 24 are US states, the other Unit is US Veterans Affairs. At 950 and 950, respectively, Rhode Island and Alabama are inching up toward the +1,000-death line, it will likely happen within July, 2020.

    Of those 24 Units, 2 have suffered more than 10,000 COVID-19 deaths: NY and NJ, the original epicenters of the virus in February/March/April 2020.

    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 50 States plus DC, total performed COVID-19 tests:

    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 009 - total adminstered tests.png

    Pretty soon, I will start measuring the daily increase in performed tests (as reported) for key states.

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FACIT: we ended the day analysed with 130,122 US deaths from COVID-19. To make this easier to visualize, here is the listing of US-American cities with a projected 2020 population of between 127,000-136,000:

    [​IMG]

    This means that we have currently lost the equivalent ALL of GAINSVILLE never to get it back again. Think about that.


    What happens if, on the average, instead of 1,400 dead per day (which was the extrapolation from 2020-04-028 through 2020-05-031), let's take 1/2 of that, "just" 700 dead per day every day from the beginning of June, 2020, until the end of this year?

    This extrapolation is now up and running, you can find it at the online excel table (you'll find the logistical tab easily). I will do a report on this once a month, on the first day of the month, but you can check in on the numbers as often as you like to see if we really are on our way to 266,000 total US COVID-19 deaths, or not. The month of June just ended, so as promised, here the calculations, you can see the daily numbers for yourselves:

    2020-06-030 COVID-19 EOD USA monthly extrapolation table June 2020.png

    The days highlighted in yellow are Sundays. You can see that had we had exactly +700 deaths per day all through June, 2020, we would have landed at 127,195, Instead, we landed at 130,122, which is +2,927 above the extrapolation.

    So, some dates to keep in mind. If this trends as I think it may, averaging at some point in time, +700 deaths per day, then we would likely reach the following milemarkers:

    150,000 deaths on or around 2020-08-002.
    200,000 deaths on or around 2020-10-013.
    250,000 deaths on or around 2020-12-023.

    Mitigate. Don't be fooled and don't be a fool: wear a mask. Wash your hands. Avoid large crowds. Think before you decide to demonstrate about anything right now: is it worth your health to do it? Get lots of good sunlight in open spaces. Respect the space of others. Stay healthy. We DON'T want the new extrapolation, which started on June 1st, 2020, to happen.

    Right now, as you can see from above, we are 2,927 deaths ABOVE the extrapolation, which puts us just over 4 days ahead of the projection.


    -Stat
     
    Last edited: Jul 1, 2020
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  16. Sallyally

    Sallyally Well-Known Member Donor

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  17. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    What just amazes me is that we are talking about the year 2020 and some people are bitching and moaning about having to wear face-masks. Duly noted, the VAST majority of them are Americans.

    What kind of fresh, hot stupidity is this? What the hell has happened to people? Why have they become so rabid?

    This is just plain, old sad.
     
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  18. Cosmo

    Cosmo Well-Known Member

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    A decade of loss:What slipped away in America in the 2010s
    https://www.nydailynews.com/opinion...0191229-47okmfrdr5aarlldlavqzdnhki-story.html
     
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  19. Sallyally

    Sallyally Well-Known Member Donor

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  20. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    I would like to focus on this point a little more closely so as to obtain a clearer focus on what this means to us in the second half of 2020.

    These are the WoM charts for New York.

    NY_Daily_New_Casess_062630.PNG

    NY_Daily_Deaths_062630.PNG


    In the New Cases chart above you can clearly see the spikes and and then in the Deaths chart above you can see spikes that more or less correspond to the prior New Case spikes 14+ days later. It is not an exact match but it illustrates the point that after every INCREASE in New Cases there will be an increase in Deaths.

    USA_Daily_New_Casess_062630.PNG

    What we are seeing NOW is a NATIONWIDE increase in New Cases that is a DOUBLING of the average 21k per day to an average of 42k per day beginning about 2 weeks after Memorial Day.

    Dr Fauci has issued the following dire WARNING;

    https://www.huffpost.com/entry/fauc...irus-cases-per-day_n_5efb6697c5b6acab2847a253

    Note that the current average of 42K New Cases per day have very few of them coming from former hotspots like NY and NJ. Their contribution is negligible which means that the BULK of those New Cases come from the rest of the nation.

    From the NY charts we KNOW that there is going to be a corresponding increases in the number of deaths and if we were to assume that an average of 22k New Cases results in an average of 700 Deaths then an average of 42k New Cases would mean an increase in the average Deaths per day to 1,400.

    When you do the math that means 40,000 deaths per month instead of only 20,000.

    While that is our CURRENT projection of deaths what happens if Dr Fauci is correct?

    The math tells that we would be seeing 3,500 Deaths per day which comes to 105,000 ADDITIONAL deaths in a SINGLE MONTH! :eek:

    That is an utterly horrendous extrapolation and yet that is exactly where we are headed if Dr Fauci is correct.

    Failure to abide by the recommended Pandemic Precautions and Protocols means that We the People are going to literally pay for this with our lives.

    This is the WRONG DIRECTION for our nation and ourselves.
     
  21. nopartisanbull

    nopartisanbull Well-Known Member

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    Those who believed/still believe “the shutdown should have never happened”, HAVE BEEN PROVEN WRONG!

    Evidently, the “Let’s keep the economy open strategy”, such as Taiwan’s Covid19 strategy, ISN’T implementable nor sustainable in the U.S.

    Simply put, WE’RE NOT TAIWANESE!

    ......and for that reason, most Western nations had to implement the second best strategy, however, unsuccessful in the U.S. due to several problems, both unintentional and self-inflicted.

    What’s the U.S. current strategy; By the looks of it, “Mark Time” until we have a vaccine.
     
  22. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    Statistikhengst likes this.
  23. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    Yes, what else is left, if you watch what is happening in the country.
    The fight against the virus became politicized, wearing a mask a anti Bunker Boy symbol ?
    Ignoring CDC recommendations a sign of patriotism ?
    My freedom first, your health not my problem, go hide if you do not like it.

    That is self destruction

    July 4th, well, Pokal Finale in Berlin, at least something to look forward.
     
  24. nopartisanbull

    nopartisanbull Well-Known Member

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    In reference to the above, there’s another group of believers who will soon be ridiculed, the pro-herd immunity believers, thus, the Sweden’s strategy VERSUS the successful MINUS 150 deaths per Million pop nations, and IMO, Sweden won’t reach herd immunity before we have a vaccine.
     
    Statistikhengst likes this.
  25. ronv

    ronv Well-Known Member

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    Don't fall into the increased testing trap. Use the percent positives instead.
    When you do that you see we are at about 1/3 the rate we were at the peak.
    So we should be at about 800 deaths a day.
    upload_2020-7-1_8-48-12.png

    But you are right. It's going the wrong way. But maybe it will run out of big cities. :)
     

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