Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

There were some important analyses from and including the last worldwide analysis to this one:
Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-09-006, posted 2020-09-007, 09:29 GMT +2, #12265.
USA EOD analysis for 2020-09-006, posted 2020-09-007, 09:54 GMT +2, #12266.
Ecuador: large death count disparity explained, posted 2020-09-007, 12:52 GMT +2, #12669.

COVID-19 worldwide statistical analysis for Monday, 2020-09-007 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

֍֍******* 27,480,810 *******֍֍

+197,092 new C19 cases over the day before, 1st day under +200,000 since 2020-07-013.
There are 163 nations with at least 1,000 total COVID-19 cases, 91 of them with at least 10,000 total COVID-19 cases.
There have now been 896,559 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +9,254 of them were on this day.
Both Ecuador* and Venezuela went over 10,000 total C19 deaths on this day.
Worldwide weekly rolling averages: +264,660 new C19 cases per day / +6,019 deaths per day.
+1,129 Indian +315 Brazilian, +286 US-American, +270 Argentinian and +232 Mexican new deaths were recorded.
The number of serious/critical (ICU) cases worldwide: 60,330 (+302 over the day before)
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STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

The world ended the 1st day of this week week at just under 27.5 million total C19 cases.

You can forget the rolling averages for this day. This was by far the lightest Monday since 2020-07-013 in terms of cases, but a very heavy Monday in terms of deaths. Part of what drove the Monday +case figures down was the US-holiday weekend, but that doesn't explain all of it, to be sure. Brazil also just had its lightest day since 2020-05-025.

The number of daily deaths (9,254) for the day currently being analysed was considerably more then than the 4 Mondays before.

*Reason for the large amount of daily deaths: a huge death disparity because of catch-up reporting out of Ecuador, which I already analysed yesterday. Here again the link: Ecuador: large death count disparity explained, posted 2020-09-007, 12:52 GMT +2, #12669.

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
​

By clicking on the hyperlink (in the title), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. Almost all of the text below this will now disappear. There was/were 3 nation-rubrik-jump(s) on this day: Egypt, Ecuador & Venezuela.

It could be helpful as the week develops to look at Monday for each rubrik and then, later in the week, jump to the day being analysed to see the mathematical difference in the number of countries that have joined that particular rubrik during this week.

Total cases per country, descending (this time, countries with circa +500 C19 cases and above):
​

Just one day before, on 2020-09-006, India leap-frogged ahead of Brazil from rank 3 to rank 2 in the total C19 cases rubrik and now on 2020-09-007, India is already +129,790 cases ahead of Brazil. Life comes at you fast. The situation has gotten so bad in India that Germany is sending teams of doctors, PPE and such to India in order to help.

In terms of the countries with the most new cases:​

Time to breathe out a little bit: this time, India did not break any case records, but it's Monday haul of +75,022 was 6,252 more +cases than on the Monday before - so the scale for everything has essentially risen in India. This may be the week where India comes very close to or reaches +100,000 C19 cases on one or more days. Wait and see.

5 of the 10 top nations in +cases are from the Americas.

Libya is on the 1,000 list, I believe, for the 1st time.
​

In terms of total deaths per country, descending:
​

The top 4:

USA, total deaths: 193,534 / 21.59% of worldwide deaths (21.78% the day before), -15,204 from the 200,000-death-line. Extrapolated 200,000 death date, based on the daily average of 1,045 per day, from 2020-08-026: 2020-09-012.

Brazil, total deaths: 127,001 / 14.17% of worldwide deaths (14.28% the day before, for the 2nd time), -81,274 from the 200,000-death-line. Extrapolated 200,000 death date, based on the daily average of 938 per day, from 2020-08-026: 2020-11-022.

India, total deaths: 72,816 / 8.12% of worldwide deaths (8.08% the day before), -38,306 from the 100,000-death-line. Extrapolated 100,000 death date, based on the daily average of 948 per day, from 2020-08-026: 2020-10-007. India overtook Mexico in total deaths on 2020-08-028.

Mexico, total deaths: 67,558 / 7.55% of worldwide deaths (7.59% the day before), -37,924 from the 100,000-death-line. extrapolated 100,000 death date: 2020-10-021.

Combined (460,909), the top four nations currently represent 51.41% of all total deaths in the world to-date (51.72% the day before).

In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:
​

When you look at the rolling averages for the top 3 nations:

Average daily deaths for Brazil (current): 784 per day (the day before: 872)
Average daily deaths for the USA (current): 829 per day (the day before: 861)
Average daily deaths for India (current): 1,054 per day (the day before: 1,010)

2020-07-028 (Tuesday) was the first time ever that 2 nations simultaneously reached a rolling daily death average of over +1,000, reaching a new, unwanted milestone in C19 history. Brazil has fallen in and out of the statistic now and then. It's only a matter of time before the three largest C19 countries will have continuous daily death averages of +1,000 or more. The USA had over +1,000 daily deaths on the average for 31 continuous days. That streak was broken on 2020-08-028.

India reached a rolling 7-day death average of +1,000 (or more) for the first time on 2020-09-005 and has maintained it until current.

In terms of Total Tests administered per country:​

51 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece; of those 51, 7 nations have performed more than 10 million apiece: China, the USA, Russia, UK, India, Brazil and Germany. Currently at 9.2 and 9.2 million total tests, respectively, Spain and Italy are next to cross over the 10-million line.

BIG NOTE: WorldOMeter has made some changes and so have I. As of 2020-08-017, you can see the exact number of total administered cases and the numeric change over the day before for the 4 major countries I am tracking individually (USA, Brazil, india, Russia) at the online excel table-tabs themselves. If you want to see the exact performed case counts, please refer to WorldOMeter or in the case of the top nations, check out my excel-tables.


FACIT: on 2020-09-007, the world travelled from 27.28 million total C19 cases the day before, hopscotching over 27.3 and 27.4 million to land at 27.48 million. At this trajectory, the world will most likely go over 28 million confirmed COVID-19 on Wednesday, 2020-09-009.

-Stat

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

There were a number of important analyses between -and including- the last USA analysis and this one:
USA EOD analysis for 2020-09-006, posted 2020-09-007, 09:54 GMT +2, #12266.
Ecuador: large death count disparity explained, posted 2020-09-007, 12:52 GMT +2, #12669.
Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-09-007, posted 2020-09-008, 09:11 GMT +2, #12276.

COVID-19 in the USA: statistical analysis for Monday, 2020-09-007 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):
LABOR DAY IN THE USA

****** 6,485,575 ******
+25,325 new COVID-19 cases, less +cases than on the Monday before, lowest +case-load since 2020-06-013.
There are now 193,534 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA, 284 of them were recorded on this day.
That is the smallest amount of daily deaths since 2020-06-021.
The USA is now -6,466 away from a total of 200,000 officially recorded, certified COVID-19 deaths.
USA 7-day rolling average = 39,111 new infections & 828 deaths per day.
Rolling averages: the USA is now firmly under both +50,000 new infections / +1,000 deaths per day.
14,589 C19 cases in the USA are listed in critical care (-92 over the day before).
TOTAL PERFORMED C19 tests: 88.06 million

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

You can forget the rolling averages for a number of days, a holiday weekend (Memorial Day, Labor Day) has a pretty wild effect on the statistics, and more importantly the trajectory of the statistics. To prove that point, here Memorial day and the 3 weeks following:




You can see that the low +case point was on Sunday and Monday of the Memorial day weekend, very similar to what we just experienced on Labor Day weekend. Now remains to be see if the behavior of Americans on Labor Day weekend will lead to a Fall surge (or even perhaps directly to the 2nd wave) like Memorial Day weekend very obviously lead to the so-called "summer surge". You can clearly see the steady rise in +cases in the three weeks following Memorial Day. I am going to make no judgements about this, but rather, will simply follow the numbers, because I think that is the right way to do it. The ebb in the Summer Surge may be a short one...

There were considerably less deaths on this day (284) than on many, many Mondays before.

In the worldwide analysis for 2020-08-012 (and on a number of days before then), there is a running case and death projection for the world until the end of 2020.

Using the same back-of-the-envelope math as I did for the world, assuming that the USA continues to be about 26% of all the world's C19 cases and about 22% of all of the world's C19 deaths, then that would have translated to 10.4 million C19 cases and 260,000 C19 deaths in the USA at the end of October, 2020, shortly before the General Election. However, (this note is as of 2020-08-030), the rate of daily cases has clearly slowed down in the USA and it looks more as if we will be working on 9 million instead of 10 million come election day. To be clear, that sum of 260,000 is greater than my extrapolation for end of October at the bottom of this analysis. Likely, the actual deaths will be somewhere between the two at that time.

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
​

By clicking on the hyperlink (directly above this screenshot), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. There was/were 1 unit/rubrik change(s) on this day: Indiana.

The rubrik table for "total cases, 1,000 or more", the number "57" is locked-in (highlighted in purple), since it cannot possibly go any higher.

It could be as each week develops to look at Monday for each rubrik and then, later in the week, jump to the day being analysed to see the mathematical difference in the number of Units that have joined that particular rubrik during this week.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total confirmed C19 cases, descending:​

​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily cases:
​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily deaths:​

​

I find it good news to see that for this day, we were down to zero states with over 100 C19 deaths, a welcome respite.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
​

​

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FACIT: we ended the day analysed with 193,534 total US deaths from COVID-19. To make this more personal and also easier to visualize, from the listing of the projected 2020 population of US-American cities, here a screenshot of cities with a projected population of between circa 171,500-197,500:



This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of considerably more than all of SALT LAKE CITY, or just somewhat less than the population of MOBILE, never to get the one or the other back again. Think about that. The city at the top of this screenshot, Akron (OH) is near and dear to my heart. I lived and studied (Masters Degree) there for a number of years.

ADJUSTED EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-08-001)​

As of 2020-08-001, I adjusted the extrapolation upward from an estimated average +700 deaths per day (from 2020-06-001 through 2020-07-031) to an estimated average of +850 deaths per day in the USA. Here the current projected milestones:

2020-09-020: 200,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-10-013).
2020-11-003 (Election Day): 237,500 deaths
2020-11-018: 250,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-12-023).
2020-12-031: 286,697 deaths on New Years Eve, 2020 going into 2021.

At current:



This means that we are currently at +4,487 deaths over the extrapolation, which puts us also currently 5.3 days ahead of the milestone-projections. This value is, for the very first time, lower than the corresponding day in the week before (+4,639), to note. I expected deaths to dip at the Labor Day weekend, which is of couse, a good thing, but does not necessarily mean that they will stay there. That's the problem. Even with the dip, I suspect that, only -6,466 away from the 200,000-line, the USA will cross that line by 2020-09-014 or 2020-09-015, perhaps even a day earlier.


IN CONCLUSION: mitigate! Don't be fooled and don't be a fool: wear a mask. Wash your hands. Avoid large crowds. Think before you decide to demonstrate about anything right now: is it worth your health to do it? Get lots of good sunlight in open spaces. Respect the space of others. Stay healthy. We DON'T want the US-death extrapolation, which was adjusted on August 1st, 2020, to happen.

-Stat

 

Given that we know that the numbers are being suppressed for partisan political purposes that is just evidence that the suppression is working and not that the actual virus is under control.

 

But the percentage of people getting tested and have a positive result is not going down and I think that is a key number for the US.

Snow is coming and I had the internet tech at the farm, could not find duddly, neighbor is without internet, too.
70degree at 8 am 53 at 11am, the snow is coming.

 

Mexico and India admitted they have no idea about the actual death figures.
Mexico is up by around 120,000 more death than last year.
No idea what India's figure is.

 

Terrible vaccine news today. More details in my Vaccines thread.

http://www.politicalforum.com/index.php?threads/the-state-of-the-vaccines.576983/

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

There were some important analyses from and including the last worldwide analysis to this one:
Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-09-007, posted 2020-09-008, 09:11 GMT +2, #12276.
USA EOD analysis for 2020-09-007, posted 2020-09-008, 09:50 GMT +2, #12277.

COVID-19 worldwide statistical analysis for Tuesday, 2020-09-008 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

֍֍******* 27,728,150 *******֍֍

+247,340 new C19 cases over the day before, less than on the Tuesday before.
There are 163 nations with at least 1,000 total COVID-19 cases, 91 of them with at least 10,000 total COVID-19 cases.
The world will likely go over 28 million COVID-19 cases today, 2020-09-009, tomorrow (2020-09-010) at the latest.
There have now been 901,079 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +4,520 of them were on this day.
The number of COVID-19 deaths worldwide = the entire population of Liverpool, UK
Worldwide 7-day rolling averages: +262,294 new C19 cases per day / +5,822 deaths per day.
+1,107 Indian +516 Brazilian, +498 US-American, +276 Argentinian and +223 Mexican new deaths were recorded.
The number of serious/critical (ICU) cases worldwide: 60,256 (-74 over the day before)
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STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

The world ended the 2nd day of this week week at 27.72 million total C19 cases.

You can forget the rolling averages for a couple of days. The super light weekend has an undue influence on such data. Let's see how the entire week plays out.

The number of daily deaths (4,520) for the day currently being analysed was less and in some cases, considerably less then than the 4 Tuesdays before.

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
​

By clicking on the hyperlink (in the title), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. Almost all of the text below this will now disappear. There was/were 1 nation-rubrik-jump(s) on this day: Dominican Republic.

It could be helpful as the week develops to look at Monday for each rubrik and then, later in the week, jump to the day being analysed to see the mathematical difference in the number of countries that have joined that particular rubrik during this week.

Total cases per country, descending (this time, countries with circa +500 C19 cases and above):
​

Just two days before, on 2020-09-006, India leap-frogged ahead of Brazil from rank 3 to rank 2 in the total C19 cases rubrik and now on 2020-09-008, India is already +202,312 cases ahead of Brazil. Life comes at you fast. The situation has gotten so bad in India that Germany is sending teams of doctors, PPE and such to India in order to help.

Peru will likely go over 700,000 total cases today, 2020-09-010.

In terms of the countries with the most new cases:​

5 of the 10 top nations in +cases are from the Americas.

Some "rare" nations have made the +1,000 list: the Czech Republic (Czechia), Costa Rica, CANADA.

Israel took rank 11 on the list.
​

In terms of total deaths per country, descending:
​

The top 4:

USA, total deaths: 194,032 / 21.53% of worldwide deaths (21.59% the day before), -15,204 from the 200,000-death-line. Extrapolated 200,000 death date, based on the daily average of 1,045 per day, from 2020-08-026: 2020-09-012.

Brazil, total deaths: 127,517 / 14.15% of worldwide deaths (14.17% the day before, for the 2nd time), -81,274 from the 200,000-death-line. Extrapolated 200,000 death date, based on the daily average of 938 per day, from 2020-08-026: 2020-11-022.

India, total deaths: 73,923 / 8.20% of worldwide deaths (8.12% the day before), -38,306 from the 100,000-death-line. Extrapolated 100,000 death date, based on the daily average of 948 per day, from 2020-08-026: 2020-10-007. India overtook Mexico in total deaths on 2020-08-028.

Mexico, total deaths: 67,781 / 7.52% of worldwide deaths (7.55% the day before), -37,924 from the 100,000-death-line. extrapolated 100,000 death date: 2020-10-021.

Combined (463,253), the top four nations currently represent 51.41% of all total deaths in the world to-date (was also 51.41% the day before).

In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:
​

When you look at the rolling averages for the top 3 nations:

Average daily deaths for Brazil (current): 691 per day (the day before: 784)
Average daily deaths for the USA (current): 733 per day (the day before: 829)
Average daily deaths for India (current): 1,066 per day (the day before: 1,054)

2020-07-028 (Tuesday) was the first time ever that 2 nations simultaneously reached a rolling daily death average of over +1,000, reaching a new, unwanted milestone in C19 history. Brazil has fallen in and out of the statistic now and then. It's only a matter of time before the three largest C19 countries will have continuous daily death averages of +1,000 or more. The USA had over +1,000 daily deaths on the average for 31 continuous days. That streak was broken on 2020-08-028.

India reached a rolling 7-day death average of +1,000 (or more) for the first time on 2020-09-005 and has maintained it until current.

In terms of Total Tests administered per country:​

51 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece; of those 51, 7 nations have performed more than 10 million apiece: China, the USA, Russia, UK, India, Brazil and Germany. Currently at 9.9 and 9.3 million total tests, respectively, Spain and Italy are next to cross over the 10-million line.

BIG NOTE: WorldOMeter has made some changes and so have I. As of 2020-08-017, you can see the exact number of total administered cases and the numeric change over the day before for the 4 major countries I am tracking individually (USA, Brazil, india, Russia) at the online excel table-tabs themselves. If you want to see the exact performed case counts, please refer to WorldOMeter or in the case of the top nations, check out my excel-tables.


FACIT: on 2020-09-008, the world travelled from 27.48 million total C19 cases the day before, hopscotching over 27.5, 27.6 and 27.3 million to land at 27.73 million. At this trajectory, the world will most likely go over 28 million confirmed COVID-19 today, 2020-09-009 or 2020-09-010 at the very latest.

-Stat

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

There were a number of important analyses between -and including- the last USA analysis and this one:
USA EOD analysis for 2020-09-007, posted 2020-09-008, 09:50 GMT +2, #12277.
Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-09-008, posted 2020-09-009, 09.00 GMT +2, #12282.

COVID-19 in the USA: statistical analysis for Tuesday, 2020-09-008 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

****** 6,514,231 ******
+28,656 new COVID-19 cases, less +cases than on the Tuesday before.
There are now 194,032 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA, 498 of them were recorded on this day.
The USA is now -5,968 away from a total of 200,000 officially recorded, certified COVID-19 deaths.
USA 7-day rolling average = 36,666 new infections & 733 deaths per day.
14,464 C19 cases in the USA are listed in critical care (-125 over the day before).
TOTAL PERFORMED C19 tests: 88.66 million

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

You can forget the rolling averages for a number of days, a holiday weekend (Memorial Day, Labor Day) has a pretty wild effect on the statistics, and more importantly the trajectory of the statistics. Let's see how the entire week plays out.

There were considerably less deaths on this day (498) than on a great number of Tuesdays before.

In the worldwide analysis for 2020-08-012 (and on a number of days before then), there is a running case and death projection for the world until the end of 2020.

Using the same back-of-the-envelope math as I did for the world, assuming that the USA continues to be about 26% of all the world's C19 cases and about 22% of all of the world's C19 deaths, then that would have translated to 10.4 million C19 cases and 260,000 C19 deaths in the USA at the end of October, 2020, shortly before the General Election. However, (this note is as of 2020-08-030), the rate of daily cases has clearly slowed down in the USA and it looks more as if we will be working on 9 million instead of 10 million come election day. To be clear, that sum of 260,000 is greater than my extrapolation for end of October at the bottom of this analysis. Likely, the actual deaths will be somewhere between the two at that time.

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
​

By clicking on the hyperlink (directly above this screenshot), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. There was/were 1 unit/rubrik change(s) on this day: Hawaii.

The rubrik table for "total cases, 1,000 or more", the number "57" is locked-in (highlighted in purple), since it cannot possibly go any higher.

It could be as each week develops to look at Monday for each rubrik and then, later in the week, jump to the day being analysed to see the mathematical difference in the number of Units that have joined that particular rubrik during this week.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total confirmed C19 cases, descending:​

​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily cases:
​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily deaths:​

​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
​

​

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FACIT: we ended the day analysed with 194,032 total US deaths from COVID-19. To make this more personal and also easier to visualize, from the listing of the projected 2020 population of US-American cities, here a screenshot of cities with a projected population of between circa 171,500-197,500:



This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of just slightly less than all of MOBILE, never to get it other back again. Think about that. The city at the top of this screenshot, Akron (OH) is near and dear to my heart. I lived and studied (Masters Degree) there for a number of years.

ADJUSTED EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-08-001)​

As of 2020-08-001, I adjusted the extrapolation upward from an estimated average +700 deaths per day (from 2020-06-001 through 2020-07-031) to an estimated average of +850 deaths per day in the USA. Here the current projected milestones:

2020-09-020: 200,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-10-013).
2020-11-003 (Election Day): 237,500 deaths
2020-11-018: 250,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-12-023).
2020-12-031: 286,697 deaths on New Years Eve, 2020 going into 2021.

At current:



This means that we are currently at +4,135 deaths over the extrapolation, which puts us also currently 4.9 days ahead of the milestone-projections. This value is, for the second time in a row, lower than the corresponding day in the week before (+4,953), to note. I expected deaths to dip at the Labor Day weekend, which is of couse, a good thing, but does not necessarily mean that they will stay there. That's the problem. Even with the dip, I suspect that, only -5,968 away from the 200,000-line, the USA will cross that line by 2020-09-014 or 2020-09-015, perhaps even a day earlier.


IN CONCLUSION: mitigate! Don't be fooled and don't be a fool: wear a mask. Wash your hands. Avoid large crowds. Think before you decide to demonstrate about anything right now: is it worth your health to do it? Get lots of good sunlight in open spaces. Respect the space of others. Stay healthy. We DON'T want the US-death extrapolation, which was adjusted on August 1st, 2020, to happen.

-Stat

 

The New Cases and Deaths will still have occurred.

They will just have been hidden from the electorate for partisan political reasons.

We the People DESERVE better than this.

 

In Bob Woodward's book "Rage" - there are apparently little or no anonymous sources. They are quoted and they are backed up by an email trail or by audio interviews. Bob Woodward's work is, to put it mildly, impeccable.

Woodward interviewed Trump EIGHTEEN TIMES. There is audio. I just listened to two audio clips, broadcast on CNN, where Trump told Bob Woodward on February 7th, 2020, that he knew the C19 virus was dangerous, highly contagious, airborne and '5 times deadlier than the flu'. He was informed in January 28th, 2020 from his national security team how dangerous this was.

There are tons of audio clips about to come out. Put your seatbelts on. This is going to get really, really, REALLY ugly. Trump knew. He knew all along.

And all those useful idiots out there who claimed that COVID-19 less dangerous than "the flu", most of them his most ardent supporters, they all got played by him. Every single one of them. Trump just stuck a knife in all your backs, guys.

I am ****ing mad as hell about this. This is by far the worst betrayal our nation has ever experienced. Those C19 deaths really ARE on his hands.

Had he truly locked down the nation just 2 weeks earlier, we would have saved on 80% of cases and more than 50% of deaths.

People died because he DELIBERATELY lied. All he has cared about the entire time was his re-election campaign. Had he totally locked down for just two weeks, but at the beginning of February instead of the middle of March, we could have avoided the economy tanking. He quite literally ****ed up every single aspect of this.

I just want to write this again: I am ****ing mad as hell about this. Actually, I have never in my life been as ****ing livid as I am now. This is by far the worst betrayal our nation has ever experienced.

HE KNEW.

The fallout of this book, among others, is going to be huge as Trump's most ardent supporters suddenly realize that he quite literally ****ed us all in the ass. The fallout within his campaign team itself will be enormous.

Trump supporters - stay away from me. Forever. I want nothing to do with your death cult.

-Stat

 

His worshipers will literally not care. He won't lose one single fan. He may lose a lot of people in the middle, though.

 

Are you mad bro ?

 

And as predicted, a Trump supporter just called my FB post about this, fake news.

 

JA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! OUI!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! DA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! KEYN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! SI !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

Maaaaaaaan bro, you are really mad, so many !.
That for sure is mad.
But I really do not understand why are you so mad ?

Don't you think he was one of the first persons in the US to be briefed about how dangerous this virus is.
That he knew, always knew.
We already know that the guy is a lying piece of crap, when ever he opens his trap.
Its all about him and his image, he has to look good. Bad news makes him look bad, which can not be.
It has to be sun shine, always.

I wonder how many people he killed by holding his rallies till March, knowing how aggressive that virus spreads, airborne.

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

groeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoehl

murdered his own cult members and they love him for that.

 

That is the definition of a death cult!

 

Thought you might enjoy this...

http://politicalforum.com/index.php?threads/gallows-humor.569363/page-20#post-1072034327

 

I'm very happy(or cathartic is the better word) to have read your post as I'd been participating in the other threads related to this betrayal. Not only could he have saved thousands of lives, through the knowledge he also could've assured us that the restrictions were both necessary and yet temporary. That initially was mine(and as you well know many people's understandable response).

My thoughts reading what we discovered yesterday was like that scene from Der Untergang, when Hitler learned that the Steiner 'offensive' wasn't happening and that Berlin would fall. I'm THAT mad at the Trump Administration.

 

Why spread the blame when your wannabe Fascist-in-Chief is 100% CULPABLE for ALL of those HUNDREDS of THOUSANDS of DEATHS that he could have PREVENTED but CHOSE instead to go golfing and LIE to We the People?

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

There were some important analyses from and including the last worldwide analysis to this one:
Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-09-008, posted 2020-09-009, 09.00 GMT +2, #12282.
USA EOD analysis for 2020-09-008, posted 2020-09-009, 09:16 GMT +2, #12283.

COVID-19 worldwide statistical analysis for Wednesday, 2020-09-009 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):
THE WORLD GOES OVER 28 MILLION CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES

֍֍******** 28,014,848 ********֍֍

+286,698 new C19 cases over the day before, more than on the Wednesday before.
There are 163 nations with at least 1,000 total COVID-19 cases, 91 of them with at least 10,000 total COVID-19 cases.
There have now been 907,304 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +6,225 of them were on this day.
The number of COVID-19 deaths worldwide = more than the entire population of Liverpool, UK
Worldwide 7-day rolling averages: +263,496 new C19 cases per day / +5,813 deaths per day.
+1,209 US-American +1,168 Indian, +1,136 Brazilian, +703 Mexican and +253 Argentinian new deaths were recorded.
The number of serious/critical (ICU) cases worldwide: 60,633 (+377 over the day before)
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STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

The world ended the 3rd day of this week just barely cracking 28 million total C19 cases.

You can forget the rolling averages for a couple of days. The super light weekend before has an undue influence on such data. Let's see how the entire week plays out.

The number of daily deaths (6,225) for the day currently being analysed was slightly less than the Wednesday before.

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
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By clicking on the hyperlink (in the title), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. Almost all of the text below this will now disappear. There was/were 1 nation-rubrik-jump(s) on this day: Costa Rica and Congo. In the case of Congo, the deaths from a number of days before, which put Congo over 100 deaths on 2020-09-020, have been erased or reversed, however you want to see it. I am researching this.

It could be helpful as the week develops to look at Monday for each rubrik and then, later in the week, jump to the day being analysed to see the mathematical difference in the number of countries that have joined that particular rubrik during this week.

Total cases per country, descending (this time, countries with circa +500 C19 cases and above):
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Just three days before, on 2020-09-006, India leap-frogged ahead of Brazil from rank 3 to rank 2 in the total C19 cases rubrik and now on 2020-09-009, India is already +263,633 cases ahead of Brazil. Life comes at you fast. The situation has gotten so bad in India that Germany is sending teams of doctors, PPE and such to India in order to help.

Peru has gone over 700,000 total cases.

In terms of the countries with the most new cases:​

6 of the 10 top nations in +cases are from the Americas.

Some "rare" nations have made the +1,000 list: the Costa Rica, Costa Rica.

Israel took rank 12 on the list and set it's own internal record for the most +cases thus far.
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In terms of total deaths per country, descending:
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The top 4:

USA, total deaths: 195,239 / 21.52% of worldwide deaths (21.53% the day before), -15,204 from the 200,000-death-line. Extrapolated 200,000 death date, based on the daily average of 1,045 per day, from 2020-08-026: 2020-09-012.

Brazil, total deaths: 128,653 / 14.18% of worldwide deaths (14.15% the day before, for the 2nd time), -81,274 from the 200,000-death-line. Extrapolated 200,000 death date, based on the daily average of 938 per day, from 2020-08-026: 2020-11-022.

India, total deaths: 75,091 / 8.28% of worldwide deaths (8.20% the day before), -38,306 from the 100,000-death-line. Extrapolated 100,000 death date, based on the daily average of 948 per day, from 2020-08-026: 2020-10-007. India overtook Mexico in total deaths on 2020-08-028.

Mexico, total deaths: 68,484 / 7.52% of worldwide deaths (7.52% the day before), -37,924 from the 100,000-death-line. extrapolated 100,000 death date: 2020-10-021.

Combined (467,467), the top four nations currently represent 51.52% of all total deaths in the world to-date (was also 51.41% the day before).

In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:
​

When you look at the rolling averages for the top 3 nations:

Average daily deaths for Brazil (current): 691 per day (the day before: 679)
Average daily deaths for the USA (current): 733 per day (the day before: 752)
Average daily deaths for India (current): 1,066 per day (the day before: 1,086)

2020-07-028 (Tuesday) was the first time ever that 2 nations simultaneously reached a rolling daily death average of over +1,000, reaching a new, unwanted milestone in C19 history. Brazil has fallen in and out of the statistic now and then. It's only a matter of time before the three largest C19 countries will have continuous daily death averages of +1,000 or more. The USA had over +1,000 daily deaths on the average for 31 continuous days. That streak was broken on 2020-08-028.

India reached a rolling 7-day death average of +1,000 (or more) for the first time on 2020-09-005 and has maintained it until current.

In terms of Total Tests administered per country:​

52 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece, with Serbia crossing over the 1,000,000-completed-tests-line on 2020-09-009; of those 52, 7 nations have performed more than 10 million apiece: China, the USA, Russia, UK, India, Brazil and Germany. Currently at 9.9 and 9.6 million total tests, respectively, Spain and Italy are next to cross over the 10-million line.

BIG NOTE: WorldOMeter has made some changes and so have I. As of 2020-08-017, you can see the exact number of total administered cases and the numeric change over the day before for the 4 major countries I am tracking individually (USA, Brazil, india, Russia) at the online excel table-tabs themselves. If you want to see the exact performed case counts, please refer to WorldOMeter or in the case of the top nations, check out my excel-tables.


FACIT: on 2020-09-008, the world travelled from 27.73 million total C19 cases the day before, hopscotching over 27.8, 27.9 and 28.0 million to land at 28.01 million. At this trajectory, the world will most likely go over 29 million confirmed COVID-19 on 2020-09-013 or 2020-09-014 at the very latest.

-Stat

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

There were a number of important analyses between -and including- the last USA analysis and this one:
USA EOD analysis for 2020-09-008, posted 2020-09-009, 09:16 GMT +2, #12283.
Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-09-009, posted 2020-09-010, 12:35 GMT +2, #12295.

COVID-19 in the USA: statistical analysis for Wednesday, 2020-09-009 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

****** 6,549,475 ******
+35,244 new COVID-19 cases, more +cases than on the Wednesday before.
There are now 195,239 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA, 1,207 of them were recorded on this day.
The USA is now -4,761 away from a total of 200,000 officially recorded, certified COVID-19 deaths.
USA 7-day rolling average = 36,963 new infections & 754 deaths per day.
14,578 C19 cases in the USA are listed in critical care (+114 over the day before).
TOTAL PERFORMED C19 tests: 89.3 million

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

You can forget the rolling averages for a number of days, a holiday weekend (Memorial Day, Labor Day) has a pretty wild effect on the statistics, and more importantly the trajectory of the statistics. Let's see how the entire week plays out.

There were more deaths on this day (1,207) than on the Wednesday before.

In the worldwide analysis for 2020-08-012 (and on a number of days before then), there is a running case and death projection for the world until the end of 2020.

Using the same back-of-the-envelope math as I did for the world, assuming that the USA continues to be about 26% of all the world's C19 cases and about 22% of all of the world's C19 deaths, then that would have translated to 10.4 million C19 cases and 260,000 C19 deaths in the USA at the end of October, 2020, shortly before the General Election. However, (this note is as of 2020-08-030), the rate of daily cases has clearly slowed down in the USA and it looks more as if we will be working on 9 million instead of 10 million come election day. To be clear, that sum of 260,000 is greater than my extrapolation for end of October at the bottom of this analysis. Likely, the actual deaths will be somewhere between the two at that time.

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
​

By clicking on the hyperlink (directly above this screenshot), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. There was/were 1 unit/rubrik change(s) on this day: Kentucky.

The rubrik table for "total cases, 1,000 or more", the number "57" is locked-in (highlighted in purple), since it cannot possibly go any higher.

It could be as each week develops to look at Monday for each rubrik and then, later in the week, jump to the day being analysed to see the mathematical difference in the number of Units that have joined that particular rubrik during this week.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total confirmed C19 cases, descending:​

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COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily cases:
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COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily deaths:​

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COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
​

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FACIT: we ended the day analysed with 195,239 total US deaths from COVID-19. To make this more personal and also easier to visualize, from the listing of the projected 2020 population of US-American cities, here a screenshot of cities with a projected population of between circa 171,500-197,500:



This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of just slightly more than all of GRAND RAPIDS, never to get it other back again. Think about that. The city at the top of this screenshot, Akron (OH) is near and dear to my heart. I lived and studied (Masters Degree) there for a number of years.

ADJUSTED EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-08-001)​

As of 2020-08-001, I adjusted the extrapolation upward from an estimated average +700 deaths per day (from 2020-06-001 through 2020-07-031) to an estimated average of +850 deaths per day in the USA. Here the current projected milestones:

2020-09-020: 200,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-10-013).
2020-11-003 (Election Day): 237,500 deaths
2020-11-018: 250,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-12-023).
2020-12-031: 286,697 deaths on New Years Eve, 2020 going into 2021.

At current:


This means that we are currently at +4,492 deaths over the extrapolation, which puts us also currently 5.3 days ahead of the milestone-projections. This value is, for the second time in a row, lower than the corresponding day in the week before (+5,161), to note. I expected deaths to dip at the Labor Day weekend, which is of couse, a good thing, but does not necessarily mean that they will stay there. That's the problem. Even with the dip, I suspect that, only -4,761 away from the 200,000-line, the USA will cross that line by 2020-09-014 or 2020-09-015, perhaps even a day earlier.


IN CONCLUSION: mitigate! Don't be fooled and don't be a fool: wear a mask. Wash your hands. Avoid large crowds. Think before you decide to demonstrate about anything right now: is it worth your health to do it? Get lots of good sunlight in open spaces. Respect the space of others. Stay healthy. We DON'T want the US-death extrapolation, which was adjusted on August 1st, 2020, to happen.

-Stat

 

Actually, I think that he has a good point, because it was not only Trump. The list of people in his closest circle, most of all, the Vice President, must also have known, and yet, they said nothing. They were a willing part of a conspiracy to keep the information from the American people.

So, I find American Nationalist's point to be very valid.

Only, whether Trump likes it or not, the buck stops with the President, not the head of NatSec, not the head of the CDC and not even the VP.

And this **** is likely to boil over to Marie Antoinette / guillotine levels as far as anger is concerned. I said anger, not actions.

 

I was very busy yesterday, did not get around to noting that once again, India, with +95,529 new C19 cases, broke its old record and set a new world-wide record.

There is a distinct possibility that India hits or goes over +100,000 C19 cases on one day - very soon in the future.

 

Exactly, Trump is the biggest ingredient of the Turd sandwich, but it's still a turd sandwich. I now believe in a Biden landslide.

 

Just between you and mean, I was not thinking of politics about this for even one second. Forget the 2020 election for a minute.

By deliberately lying to us, the American people, about the most dangerous pandemic since 1918, one that he was CLEARLY understanding as of January 28th, 2020 and said to Woodward on February 7th, 2020 - we as a nation, because of his lies, lost FIVE FULL WEEKS time to prepare. We could have been ramping up PPE on February 8th. We could have had people starting to wear masks on February 8th. We could have ordered more ventilators on Febuary 8th.

We could have literally obliterated the timeline in which we are now living and suffering had he simply told the truth.

Instead, he lied. He called it a Democratic Hoax. He said that the flu was worse. He said that C19 would go away. He refused to wear a mask for a very long time and still, to this day, does not wear one. The chain of events that has now lead to at least 6.5 million infections and over 195,000 deaths, not even to mention the long term side effects for those who survive the virus, this chain of events could have been erased by at least 90% and right now, perhaps we would have had at the most, 650,000 cases, not 6.5 million. Maybe we would have 19,500 deaths, not 195,000 deaths. Because the snowball would never have gotten rolling to begin with.

He KNEW how deadly it was, and yet, he made this deliberate choice. One could almost call it premeditated murder. Almost.

I think that the more sane people realize this, the angrier they are going to get.

This is not going to be going away.