Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

He was too busy publicly blaming China for not reporting how serious the virus was even though we now can hear him say that China actually did say to him how serious the virus was months before he actually did something about it which was too late.

Though most of us knew that Trump was lying to his supporters many of those supporters hanging on every word that he utters and repeating them in forums such as PF - "just like flu", "will go away in days", "hoax", "China's fault", "don't wear a mask", "mask shows weakness", ..............

 

Frankly, I'm pretty upset with Woodward, too. He's at least a little bit complicit in keeping the secret alive.

 

You all wona bet !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

It will not change a darn thing for his cult members.

When something like this happens I watch Fox. It was hilarious yesterday. Heart warming on a snowy day, doing bookkeeping.
Snow and bookkeeping double punishment and than Fox to top it of. True masochism.

Oh boy were they in a frenzy to explain it away.
Even Ol' Sarah Huck got dragged in front of the mike.

 

Exactly. I couldn't have said it any better. His deliberate lie was motivated by two things: stupid Jared told him if he admitted to the truth the stock market would crash, and he didn't want that because he didn't want to look bad, given that his economy was his strongest re-election point. So he decided to lie, do very little, and hope for the best. Most of Trump's decisions, as a pathological narcissist, stem from his desire to look good and be a winner, and like all pathological narcissists, he is callous and doesn't care about other people (I should add, who are not named Ivanka Trump), like his own sister said. So, he lied. Willingly and knowingly. And he said he lied because he didn't want to create a panic. Funny, when his modus operandis in this campaign is to fan the flames of fear and panic, with his catastrophic predictions of gloom and doom if his opponent is elected... and now he wants us to believe that he lied just to protect us from panic?

Transparent, honest leadership is not what causes panic.

Here is what true leadership would have been: on January 7th, Trump should have addressed the nation rather than Bob Woodward, and said "My fellow Americans, I was made aware of a threat that is coming to our shores, a coronavirus that emerged in China and is vicious, lethal, airborne, and much worse than the flu. So I want you all, regardless of party affiliation, gender, race, or any other ideological inclination, to take it very seriously and to act in a concerted effort to beat it whatever the needed sacrifices, and beat it we will, given that we are the most technologically advances and wealthiest nation on Earth.

I'll do my part: I'll close the borders to all arrivals except our own citizens and permanent residents but these will have to go through a mandatory 14-day quarantine; I will immediately invoke the Defense Production Act to dramatically increase the domestic production of PPE; will direct the CDC to dramatically increase the production and licensing of accurate tests, will hire an army of contact tracers, and we will quash this virus. I'll direct the HHS to immediately start funding and sponsoring research for treatments and vaccines. That's the Federal Government part; but as a leader, I will also encourage governors and mayors regardless of party affiliation, to join me in this effort. Meanwhile this is what I need YOU to do, fellow Americans: regardless of your ideologies and affiliations, you'll be very careful, you will wear facemasks like the one I'm wearing now, you'll keep away from other people and avoid any crowded situations, and together we will beat this common enemy, like we did when we were facing foreign wars. In a time of crisis and under the thread of a common enemy, we forget about our bickering partisan differences and we work together, as Americans, to beat the enemy. God bless you, and God bless America."

There.

Guaranteed re-election, respect from everybody, and the virus would have killed and maimed a much smaller number of Americans. The economy would have fared better too, as there is nothing that derails an economy like facing an out-of-control outbreak of a deadly disease.

Instead, the lying incompetent chose to lie to us, so that he'd look good. And he went to play golf, and did almost nothing other than a partial travel restriction, for five freaking weeks.

This lying incompetent doesn't deserve my re-election vote, and it will be my pleasure to vote AGAINST him (not necessarily FOR Biden but since Biden is the viable candidate that can dislodge the incompetent liar from the White House, in order to vote against Trump I'll have to vote for Biden).

And nobody should give me any crap about Biden's shortcomings, and what he would or wouldn't have done and will or won't do, because all of that is hypothetical and a guess, while the FACT is that UNDER TRUMP'S WATCH he botched the response and we're in trouble, much more than other developed nations. Trump screwed up. It's HIS America that is failing. I doubt that anybody, shortcoming or not, could or can do any worse. We hit bottom. Or actually, the bottom will be even lower since thanks to Trump's lack of leadership and lies, this is far from over.

At this point, I'd vote for the flea on the back of my worst enemy's dog if the flea were running against Trump, and I would say that the flea was more qualified for the job.

That's how angry I am, and no, it won't go away. Trump will have to face the fallout from his deliberate lie. And this time he can't benefit from the "fake news" excuse or the "lies-to-sell-a-book" excuse because he is ON TAPE saying in his own words that he lied to us, given that he knew by February 7th how serious this was but chose to keep minimizing it.

 

But it will change a lot for independents like me, and it has happened. I was still considering a vote for Trump. No more. I'll vote against him.

Yes, they are scrambling to explain it...do you know what a member here said in another thread? That Trump lied to Bob Woodward when he said on February 7th that he knew how serious it was. LOL, Trump said to Woodward that the virus is lethal, much worse than the flu, highly infectious, and airborne. So, he was supposed to be lying... but wait a moment, the virus is indeed lethal, much worse than the flu, highly infectious, and airborne. So, for a change Trump was actually not lying... but now the only viable excuse is to say that he was??? LOL. That's acrobatics. Trump, not a virologist, epidemiologist, or medical doctor, how would he know that the virus was... lethal, much worse than the flu, highly infectious, and airborne, if he weren't told about it? How would he fabricate this if his intention was to lie that the virus was like that? What purpose would such a lie have? And what a coincidence, huh? The lie matches exactly the virus' real characteristics...

No. Obviously Trump did know by February 7th what this virus was about, and the lie resides in downplaying it for the American people.

In another post, I reposted what a member here provided, the testimony of the daughter of someone who died. She said her father was a Trump supporter and entirely believed in Trump when he minimized the threat, so her father didn't take any precautions, went to a bar, caught the virus, and died.

When Trump lied, people died.

 

True. He allowed the whole minimizing of the threat to go unchecked for weeks because he wanted to publish and sell a book months later.

But that's the extent of the blame on Woodward, because this time Trump and his followers can't use the excuse of "Woodward lied to sell a book" or "fake news" because Trump is ON TAPE saying it.

Two wrongs not making a right, I remain just as mad at Trump, although yes, Woodward also failed his oath as a journalist.

 

Journalists take an "oath"?

What am I missing here?

 

They have a code of ethics, which includes seeking and reporting the truth, and minimizing harm.

 

That makes more sense.

 

Yep. It's called The Journalist's Creed and exists since 1914. Two of the items read:

• I believe that suppression of the news, for any consideration other than the welfare of society, is indefensible.
• I believe ~snip~ that a single standard of helpful truth and cleanness should prevail for all; that the supreme test of good journalism is the measure of its public service.

I said "oath" as a figure of speech.

Also, the Code of Ethics put together by the Society of Professional Journalists has many relevant passages:

https://www.spj.org/ethicscode.asp

 

Thank you for the clarification.

 

You're welcome; also see the Code of Ethics of the SPJ that I've linked to above, which is even more explicit as it addresses in detail the journalist's interaction with powerful figures, the obligation to protect the public interest, and so on, in various relevant passages that Woodward apparently has violated by withdrawing this information from the public for so long.

 

Damn, yesterday according to Worldometer the US recovered the #1 position in number of daily deaths with 1,209. There we go again. I wonder how much the Sturgis rally is responsible for this, given the study by the four German scholars (all belonging to US universities) estimating that the Sturgis rally created 266,000 new infections when bikers returned to their counties of origin and infected others who infected others.

 

It's also sad to think about the families, lately I've been experiencing a little PTSD over my grandma's death and the kittens. You'd think you get over it, but deep down you don't really, now imaging knowing that it could've been prevented. I sincerely hope and pray for the victims families and most importantly not to succumb to their pain and loss. Trump doesn't deserve that satisfaction.

 

https://apnews.com/4ee025ba6c4c19c024ce384503f23ef3

This school teacher was 28 years old and had been teaching less than two weeks.

Last Friday, she tested positive for COVID-19.
Monday, she was already dead.

 

Yes, but only for one day. The 7-day-rolling daily death average has India in the lead, currently with +1,105, while the USA is at +754.

 

And today, INDIA has reported +96,760 cases - on just one day, once again setting a new +C19 case record. To put this into perspective: today, India reported more daily C19 cases than the entire world was reporting daily any day save one up until 2020-05-015.

Also, India suffered +1,213 deaths today; this is the 10th day in a row where India was over +1,000 daily deaths, which in and of itself is a record. The longest stretch of contiguous +1,000 death days that the USA has had to date was 6 days.

 

I am a Kraut. Right now I have a Raddi, Eiszapfen, Reddish and Bier.
Kraut Tee-Time

I am really surprised at the outrage. In this thread people deal mostly with figures. Math does not lie. People who have followed this thread, should have always known that Bunker Boy is lying.
Not just distorting, bending the truth, but flat out lying.
Any President of the US has the largest intell services in the world to provide proper information. All of them have pandemic units.
To think that they were not going in overdriver and hyperdrive when the Chinese were shutting down a city of the size of Wuhan, is well........................
Naïve??????????
To think that they did not knew anything about the virus, its specs, by January, how aggressive it is and how it was transmitted and how deadly it is and briefed the President, is rather Naïve.
Come on folks, get real. We watched, read about it how bad it was in Wuhan and later in Italy and Bunker Boy was telling us it would go away, just the flu.
You all realy believed, or just turned away, knowing what a lying moron he is?
Sorry folks I do not get it.
You need proof, in this thread ?
A dump shiit, school drop out with no college and university, knew that, in early March and when we had the Aspen cluster, made Masks and Shields, crowd control and what ever mandatory.
To much CNN guy.
Yes one can be outraged, that he deceived the people and because of it caused 10s of thousands of death, but it was obvious, it was out there, you should have seen and known, that Your President is just flat out lying about the virus.
Sorry guys, you have been indoctrinated all your live, Gods Own Country, the greatest ever. That's the mantra, every day, fly the flag, swear the oath, sing the song, hand on the heart, that's how you grew up, indoctrinated, left right or what ever.
That leaves a blind spot and that blind spot just sucker punched you all in the balls, balls or no balls, boys and girls.

Tja

 

When a vacc is coming out, I'm taking it. Teacher was basically my age RIP, died way too young.

 

Not everybody here is blind. I'm not.

 

Quote you, you would have voted for Trump, if those taps or recordings have not come out.

Explain to me why would you would have voted for Trump, having all the date avaible, which proofs that he has been lying from date one.
Why are you suddenly so surprised and are considering to change your vote.
If a dumb fook like me with no college no university understood, knew, what was going on, the " To much CNN Guy " and you the highly educated, I propose, you claim, are now so outraged.
Sorry my dear, you have to take a serious look at your countries culture and yourselve, which you are not getting and which you can't. Because since the day you could stand, you have recited the oath, put your hand on your heart, sang the song, saluted a piece of linen.

If I the dumb fook, no higher education, knew it in March and reacted accordingly, the Schmuk, at the ars of the world, who even does not have a cell phone and depends on dial up.
Honestly it took the tape from Woody to change your mind.
Are you serious?

Let me ask you how ........................................

Are you really really that .................................................

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

There were some important analyses from and including the last worldwide analysis to this one:
Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-09-009, posted 2020-09-010, 12:35 GMT +2, #12295.
USA EOD analysis for 2020-09-009, posted 2020-09-010, 12:58 GMT +2, #12296.

COVID-19 worldwide statistical analysis for Thursday, 2020-09-010 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

֍֍******** 28,317,677 ********֍֍

+302,829 new C19 cases over the day before, 2nd time overall over +300,000, second highest daily haul to-date.
There are 163 nations with at least 1,000 total COVID-19 cases, 92 of them with at least 10,000 total COVID-19 cases.
There have now been 913,292 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +5,988 of them were on this day.
Worldwide 7-day rolling averages: +265,519 new C19 cases per day / +5,824 deaths per day.
+1,213 Indian, +1,089 US-American, +922 Brazilian, +611 Mexican and +249 Argentinian new deaths were recorded.
The number of serious/critical (ICU) cases worldwide: 60,781 (+148 over the day before)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

The world just cracked 28 million cases the day before and already we are at 28.3 million.

The world went over +300,000 cases again, but less than the peak day last week, which was on Friday, 2020-09-004, with +324,498. If today, 2020-09-011 ends up being the peak day of this week, then logically that would mean that the world comes over +300,000 twice in this week. It remains to be seen if that happens, or if in this case, Thursday was the peak day. But please notice that from Monday, where were were UNDER +200,000, just three days later, we were OVER +300,000. That shows how much can happen in just one week.

You can forget the rolling averages for a couple of days. The super light weekend before has an undue influence on such data. Let's see how the entire week plays out.

The number of daily deaths (5,988 ) for the day currently being analysed was slightly more than the Thursday before.

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
​

By clicking on the hyperlink (in the title), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. Almost all of the text below this will now disappear. There was/were 3 nation-rubrik-jump(s) on this day: Hungary, Nepal and Gambia.

It could be helpful as the week develops to look at Monday for each rubrik and then, later in the week, jump to the day being analysed to see the mathematical difference in the number of countries that have joined that particular rubrik during this week.

Total cases per country, descending (this time, countries with circa +500 C19 cases and above):
​

Just four days before, on 2020-09-006, India leap-frogged ahead of Brazil from rank 3 to rank 2 in the total C19 cases rubrik and now on 2020-09-010, India is already +319,962 cases ahead of Brazil. Life comes at you fast. To put this into perspective: just the new margin of cases between India and Brazil, were it to stand as a total value for a nation, would be rank 18 at current, meaning that the margin alone is more than the total C19 count since day 1 for at least 193 other nations. Soon, I will not be writing about how far India has pulled ahead of Brazil, but rather, how close it is coming to overtaking the USA in total cases. The situation has gotten so bad in India that Germany is sending teams of doctors, PPE and such to India in order to help.

In terms of the countries with the most new cases:​

Five nations reported more than +10,000 C19 cases, with Spain joining the fray.

6 of the 10 top nations in +cases are from the Americas.

Israel once again took rank 12 on the list and set its own internal record for the most +cases thus far, breaking the record from the day before. Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu has accounced that very likely, Israel will go on lockdown again.
​

In terms of total deaths per country, descending:
​

The top 4:

USA, total deaths: 196,328 / 21.50% of worldwide deaths (21.52% the day before), -15,204 from the 200,000-death-line. Extrapolated 200,000 death date, based on the daily average of 1,045 per day, from 2020-08-026: 2020-09-012.

Brazil, total deaths: 129,575 / 14.19% of worldwide deaths (14.18% the day before, for the 2nd time), -81,274 from the 200,000-death-line. Extrapolated 200,000 death date, based on the daily average of 938 per day, from 2020-08-026: 2020-11-022.

India, total deaths: 76,304 / 8.35% of worldwide deaths (8.28% the day before), -38,306 from the 100,000-death-line. Extrapolated 100,000 death date, based on the daily average of 948 per day, from 2020-08-026: 2020-10-007. India overtook Mexico in total deaths on 2020-08-028.

Mexico, total deaths: 69,095 / 7.57% of worldwide deaths (7.52% the day before), -37,924 from the 100,000-death-line. extrapolated 100,000 death date: 2020-10-021.

Combined (471,302), the top four nations currently represent 51.60% of all total deaths in the world to-date (was also 51.52% the day before).

In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:
​

When you look at the rolling averages for the top 3 nations:

Average daily deaths for Brazil (current): 692 per day (the day before: 691)
Average daily deaths for the USA (current): 753 per day (the day before: 733)
Average daily deaths for India (current): 1,105 per day (the day before: 1,086)

2020-07-028 (Tuesday) was the first time ever that 2 nations simultaneously reached a rolling daily death average of over +1,000, reaching a new, unwanted milestone in C19 history. Brazil has fallen in and out of the statistic now and then. It's only a matter of time before the three largest C19 countries will have continuous daily death averages of +1,000 or more. The USA had over +1,000 daily deaths on the average for 31 continuous days. That streak was broken on 2020-08-028.

India reached a rolling 7-day death average of +1,000 (or more) for the first time on 2020-09-005 and has maintained it until current.

In terms of Total Tests administered per country:​

53 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece, with Vietname crossing over the 1,000,000-completed-tests-line on 2020-09-010; of those 53, 7 nations have performed more than 10 million apiece: China, the USA, Russia, UK, India, Brazil and Germany. Currently at 9.99 and 9.55 million total tests, respectively, Spain and Italy are next to cross over the 10-million line.

BIG NOTE: WorldOMeter has made some changes and so have I. As of 2020-08-017, you can see the exact number of total administered cases and the numeric change over the day before for the 4 major countries I am tracking individually (USA, Brazil, india, Russia) at the online excel table-tabs themselves. If you want to see the exact performed case counts, please refer to WorldOMeter or in the case of the top nations, check out my excel-tables.


FACIT: on 2020-09-010, the world travelled from 28.01 million total C19 cases the day before, hopscotching over 28.1, 28.2 and 28.3 million to land at 28.32 million. At this trajectory, the world will most likely go over 29 million confirmed COVID-19 on 2020-09-013.

-Stat

 

We’ve always known he couldn’t lie straight in bed. Why would the Covid virus be exempt from his posturing and posing?

 

Who would have believed him? Look at the flak Dr Fauci copped?

 

PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

There were a number of important analyses between -and including- the last USA analysis and this one:
USA EOD analysis for 2020-09-009, posted 2020-09-010, 12:58 GMT +2, #12296.
Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-09-010, posted 2020-09-011, 08:45 GMT +2, #12322

COVID-19 in the USA: statistical analysis for Thursday, 2020-09-010 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

****** 6,588,163 ******
+38,688 new COVID-19 cases, less +cases than on the Thursday before.
There are now 196,328 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA, 1,089 of them were recorded on this day.
The USA is now -3,672 away from a total of 200,000 officially recorded, certified COVID-19 deaths.
USA 7-day rolling average = 36,131 new infections & 753 deaths per day.
14,506 C19 cases in the USA are listed in critical care (-72 over the day before).
TOTAL PERFORMED C19 tests: 89.9 million

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

You can forget the rolling averages for a number of days, a holiday weekend (Memorial Day, Labor Day) has a pretty wild effect on the statistics, and more importantly the trajectory of the statistics. Let's see how the entire week plays out.

There the number of deaths on this day (1,089) was almost identical to the Thursday before.

In the worldwide analysis for 2020-08-012 (and on a number of days before then), there is a running case and death projection for the world until the end of 2020.

Using the same back-of-the-envelope math as I did for the world, assuming that the USA continues to be about 26% of all the world's C19 cases and about 22% of all of the world's C19 deaths, then that would have translated to 10.4 million C19 cases and 260,000 C19 deaths in the USA at the end of October, 2020, shortly before the General Election. However, (this note is as of 2020-08-030), the rate of daily cases has clearly slowed down in the USA and it looks more as if we will be working on 9 million instead of 10 million come election day. To be clear, that sum of 260,000 is greater than my extrapolation for end of October at the bottom of this analysis. Likely, the actual deaths will be somewhere between the two at that time.

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:
​

By clicking on the hyperlink (directly above this screenshot), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. There was/were 0 unit/rubrik change(s) on this day.

The rubrik table for "total cases, 1,000 or more", the number "57" is locked-in (highlighted in purple), since it cannot possibly go any higher.

It could be as each week develops to look at Monday for each rubrik and then, later in the week, jump to the day being analysed to see the mathematical difference in the number of Units that have joined that particular rubrik during this week.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total confirmed C19 cases, descending:​

​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily cases:
​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily deaths:​

​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
​

​

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FACIT: we ended the day analysed with 196,328 total US deaths from COVID-19. To make this more personal and also easier to visualize, from the listing of the projected 2020 population of US-American cities, here a screenshot of cities with a projected population of between circa 171,500-197,500:



This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of more than all of GRAND RAPIDS or slightly less than the total population of SHREVEPORT, never to get the one or the other back again. Think about that. The city at the top of this screenshot, Akron (OH) is near and dear to my heart. I lived and studied (Masters Degree) there for a number of years.

ADJUSTED EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-08-001)​

As of 2020-08-001, I adjusted the extrapolation upward from an estimated average +700 deaths per day (from 2020-06-001 through 2020-07-031) to an estimated average of +850 deaths per day in the USA. Here the current projected milestones:

2020-09-020: 200,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-10-013).
2020-11-003 (Election Day): 237,500 deaths
2020-11-018: 250,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-12-023).
2020-12-031: 286,697 deaths on New Years Eve, 2020 going into 2021.

At current:


This means that we are currently at +4,731 deaths over the extrapolation, which puts us also currently 5.6 days ahead of the milestone-projections. This value is, for the second time in a row, lower than the corresponding day in the week before (+5,411), to note. I expected deaths to dip at the Labor Day weekend, which is of couse, a good thing, but does not necessarily mean that they will stay there. That's the problem. Even with the dip, I suspect that, only -3,672 away from the 200,000-line, the USA will cross that line by 2020-09-014 or 2020-09-015, perhaps even a day earlier.


IN CONCLUSION: mitigate! Don't be fooled and don't be a fool: wear a mask. Wash your hands. Avoid large crowds. Think before you decide to demonstrate about anything right now: is it worth your health to do it? Get lots of good sunlight in open spaces. Respect the space of others. Stay healthy. We DON'T want the US-death extrapolation, which was adjusted on August 1st, 2020, to happen.

-Stat