Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009

Short COVID-19 analysis for the 1st day of Christmas, Friday, 2020-12-025 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT)
Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 1,500,000 COVID-19 cases upwards
​

-Weekdays: I'm releasing only barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top nations throughout the week.
-Then, I will publish a large set of End of Week (EOW) reports for the Sunday of each week and also two large analyses at End of Month (EOM) and End of Year (EOY).
-You can then interpret the tables and screenshots for yourselves.
-Whatever is not screenshotted during the week, you can always see for yourself at the online-excel-document (see: sig-file).

As of 2020-12-007, I added Turkey, Ukraine and South Africa to the tracking. Turkey is now in the daily small analyses. Peru just went over the 1,000,000-mark on 2020-12-021, which I noted HERE. And Ukraine just went over the 1,000,000 early on Christmas Eve, which I noted HERE.

Of the final tracking country with over 900,000 cases but not yet at 1,000,000:
South Africa: 983,359, averaging +11,689 new infections per day = 1.4 days before South Africa jumps as 18th nation over 1,000,000 = 2020-12-027

We are going to end the year 2020 with 18 nations over the 1,000,000-mark.

BTW, I would like to encourage everyone that, when you read the excel table screenshots, look at the +cases and +deaths for each country and then go to columns N & O and do a quick mental comparison to the 7 day rolling averages for both of those figures. I think that this can often be very enlightening.

THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 18 NATIONS
In the week, the figures for worldwide +12 of those nations are published as screenshots here.​

WORLDWIDE:
֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍ 80,194,876 ֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍
THE WORLD EXCEEDED 80 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY
IN JUST 15 DAYS, THE WORLD ADDED 10 MILLION CASES - FROM 70 TO 80 MILLION
+472,484 daily cases / +8,513 deaths
ROLLING 7-DAY AVERAGE = +600,388 daily cases / +10,948 daily deaths
WORLDWIDE, 7.6 PEOPLE ARE DYING FROM COVID-19 EVERY SINGLE MINUTE OF EVERY SINGLE DAY
AT THIS RATE OF GROWTH, THE WORLD WILL END 2020 WITH OVER 83 MILLION TOTAL C19 CASES
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENMARK EXCEEDED 10,000,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY, 16th NATION TO DO SO
​

USA:
֍********* 19,210,166 *********֍
+98,840 daily cases / +1,197 daily deaths
Only 26 out of 51 "states" or 30 out of 57 "units" reported any C19 data on Christmas Day
THE USA IS NOW 11,737 AWAY FROM 350,000 TOTAL C19 DEATHS
AT THIS RATE OF +DAILY DEATHS, THE USA WILL EXCEED 350,000 C19 DEATHS ON 2020-12-030
​

USA, +cases on the first day of Christmas:

INDIA:
֍ 10,169,818 ֍
+22,350 daily cases / +251 daily deaths
India is now 2,621 away from 150,000 total C19 deaths
At an average of +315 deaths per day, India will go over 200,000 total deaths on 2021-01-003​

BRAZIL:
******* 7,448,560 *******
+22,967 daily cases / +483 daily deaths
Brazil is now 9,485 away from 200,000 total C19 deaths
At an average of +690 deaths per day, Brazil will go over 200,000 total deaths on 2021-01-007
The positivity rate in Brazil is an enormous 26.04%
​

RUSSIA:
** 2,992,706 **
+29,018 daily cases / +563 daily deaths
RUSSIA WILL EXCEED 3,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES TODAY, 2020-12-026
​

FRANCE:
** 2,547,771 **
+20,262 daily cases / +159 daily deaths​

UK:
** 2,221,312 **
+32,725 daily cases / +570 daily deaths​

TURKEY:
** 2,118,255 **
+17,543 daily cases / +256 daily deaths

​

ITALY:
** 2,028,354 **
+19,037 daily cases / +459 daily deaths

​

SPAIN:
* 1,869,610 *
+0 daily cases / +0 deaths
​

GERMANY:
* 1,632,737 *
+18,411 daily cases / +287 deaths

​

COLOMBIA:
* 1,574,707 *
+14,941 daily cases / +236 deaths
Colombia surpassed Argentina in the rankings on this day
The positivity rate in Colombia is an enormous 20.18%
​

ARGENTINA:
* 1,574,554 *
+2,874 daily cases / +30 deaths
The positivity rate in Argentina is an enormous 34.24%
​

 

UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009

Short COVID-19 analysis: 2nd day of Christmas, Saturday, 2020-12-026 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT)
Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 1,500,000 COVID-19 cases upwards
​

-Weekdays: I'm releasing only barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top nations throughout the week.
-Then, I will publish a large set of End of Week (EOW) reports for the Sunday of each week and also two large analyses at End of Month (EOM) and End of Year (EOY).
-You can then interpret the tables and screenshots for yourselves.
-Whatever is not screenshotted during the week, you can always see for yourself at the online-excel-document (see: sig-file).

As of 2020-12-007, I added Turkey, Ukraine and South Africa to the tracking. Turkey is now in the daily small analyses. Peru just went over the 1,000,000-mark on 2020-12-021, which I noted HERE. Ukraine just went over the 1,000,000 early on Christmas Eve, which I noted HERE.

Of the final tracking country with over 900,000 cases but not yet at 1,000,000:
South Africa: 994,911, averaging +11,776 new infections per day = 0.4 days before South Africa jumps as 18th nation over 1,000,000 = today, 2020-12-027

We are going to end the year 2020 with 18 nations over the 1,000,000-mark.

BTW, I would like to encourage everyone that, when you read the excel table screenshots, look at the +cases and +deaths for each country and then go to columns N & O and do a quick mental comparison to the 7 day rolling averages for both of those figures. I think that this can often be very enlightening.

THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 18 NATIONS
In the week, the figures for worldwide +12 of those nations are published as screenshots here.​

WORLDWIDE:
֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍ 80,709,421 ֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍
+514,545 daily cases / +7,402 deaths
ROLLING 7-DAY AVERAGE = +586,230 daily cases / +10,466 daily deaths
WORLDWIDE, 7.3 PEOPLE ARE DYING FROM COVID-19 EVERY SINGLE MINUTE OF EVERY SINGLE DAY
AT THIS RATE OF GROWTH, THE WORLD WILL END 2020 WITH OVER 83 MILLION TOTAL C19 CASES
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
RUSSIA EXCEEDED 3,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES ON THIS DAY, 4th NATION TO DO SO
MALTA / BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA EXCEEDED 500,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY
THEY ARE THE 103rd-104th NATIONS TO DO SO​

​

USA:
֍********* 19,433,847 *********֍
+223,681 daily cases / +1,658 daily deaths
THE USA IS NOW 10,079 AWAY FROM 350,000 TOTAL C19 DEATHS
AT A RATE OF 2,360 +DAILY DEATHS, THE USA WILL EXCEED 350,000 C19 DEATHS ON 2020-12-031
NEW HAMPSHIRE EXCEEDED 1,000,000 C19 TESTS PERFORMED, 41st UNIT TO DO SO​

INDIA:
֍ 10,188,392 ֍
+18,574 daily cases / +280 daily deaths
India is now 2,341 away from 150,000 total C19 deaths
At an average of +307 deaths per day, India will go over 200,000 total deaths on 2021-01-003​

BRAZIL:
******* 7,465,806 *******
+17,246 daily cases / +300 daily deaths
Brazil is now 9,185 away from 200,000 total C19 deaths
At an average of +637 deaths per day, Brazil will go over 200,000 total deaths on 2021-01-009
The positivity rate in Brazil is an enormous 26.04%
​

RUSSIA:
*** 3,021,964 ***
+29,258 daily cases / +567 daily deaths
RUSSIA EXCEEDED 3,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES ON THIS DAY
​

FRANCE:
** 2,550,864 **
+3,093 daily cases / +146 daily deaths​

UK:
** 2,256,005 **
+34,693 daily cases / +210 daily deaths​

TURKEY:
** 2,133,373 **
+15,118 daily cases / +253 daily deaths

​

ITALY:
** 2,038,759 **
+10,405 daily cases / +261 daily deaths

​

SPAIN:
* 1,869,610 *
+0 daily cases / +0 deaths
​

GERMANY:
* 1,643,169 *
+10,432 daily cases / +189 deaths

​

COLOMBIA:
* 1,584,903 *
+10,196 daily cases / +253 deaths
The positivity rate in Colombia is an enormous 20.23%
​

ARGENTINA:
* 1,578,267 *
+3,713 daily cases / +79 deaths
The positivity rate in Argentina is an enormous 33.85%
​

 

SOUTH AFRICA GOES OVER 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 CASES, IS THE 18th NATION ON EARTH TO DO SO.​

This happened today, 2020-12-027:



The South-Africa excel-table:



This table will also be included in the pre-analysis tables in about 9-10 hours from now.

And so, precisely as projected, our world ends the terrible year 2020 with 18 nations having reported more than 1,000,000 confirmed C19 infections apiece.

-Stat

 

UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009

Pre-EOW-analysis tables for for the week of 2020-12-021 through 2020-12-027
(GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT), Part 1:
Worldwide and and top 18 nations (split into two postings)
​

I started doing this differently two weeks ago: since Spain waits until Monday evening (my time) to release its numbers for Saturday, Sunday and Monday and since a slew of nations do a lot of retroactive updates during the day on Monday, which of course shifts the Sunday values, the combined Worldwide/USA analysis (with Spain tacked-on) will first come out late tonight, in about 10-11 hours. Also, things like the weekly values table and the rubrik worktables will all come out later. This saves me an extra step in the work, which is already tedious enough. This is also why the screenshots for the Worldwide / USA / Spain values are marked as "semi-final" for now.

Here a screenshot of just page 1 of the WorldOMeter table (semi-final), for reference:

WORLDWIDE:
֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍* 81,133,854 *֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍
THIS DATA IS ONLY SEMI-FINAL
+424,433 daily cases / +7,129 daily deaths
(+3,963,161) cases over the week before / (+72,034) deaths over the week before
For more details, see: Worldwide EOW analysis when it is published on 2020-12-028​

USA:
֍********* 19,573,847 *********֍
THIS DATA IS ONLY SEMI-FINAL
+140,000 daily cases / +1,217 daily deaths
(+1,300,240) cases over the week before / (+16,203) deaths over the week before
THE USA CROSSED OVER 19 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON 2020-12-024
For more details, see: USA EOW analysis for when it is published on 2020-12-028
​

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------​

INDIA:
֍ 10,208,725 ֍
+20,333 daily cases / +281 daily deaths
+152,477 cases over the week before / +2,097 deaths over the week before

​

BRAZIL:
******* 7,484,285 *******
+18,479 daily cases / +331 daily deaths
+245,685 cases over the week before / +4,373 deaths over the week before
Brazil is experiencing less +cases than the week before, but far more deaths

​

RUSSIA:
*** 3,050,248 ***
RUSSIA EXCEEDED 3,000,000 TOTAL C19-CASES ON 2020-12-026
+28,284 daily cases / +552 daily deaths
+201,871 cases over the week before / +3,920 deaths over the week before
​

FRANCE
** 2,559,686 **
+8,822 daily cases / +173 daily deaths
+86,332 cases over the week before / +2,197 deaths over the week before
​

UNITED KINGDOM:
** 2,288,345 **
+32,340 daily cases / +347 daily deaths
+248,198 cases over the week before / +3,351 deaths over the week before
The UK is experiencing far more +case growth than its European neighbors (France, Germany)​

TURKEY:
** 2,147,578 **
+14,205 daily cases / +254 daily deaths
+122,977 cases over the week before / +1,781 deaths over the week before
​

ITALY:
** 2,047,696 **
ITALY EXCEEDED 2,000,000 TOTAL C19-CASES ON 2020-12-024
+8,937 daily cases / +305 daily deaths
+94,511 cases over the week before / +3,126 deaths over the week before

​

 

UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009

Pre-EOW-analysis tables for for the week of 2020-12-021 through 2020-12-027
(GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT), Part 2:
Worldwide and and top 18 nations (split into two postings)​

SPAIN:
* 1,869,610 *
THIS DATA IS ONLY SEMI-FINAL
+0 daily cases / +0 daily deaths (no change from the day before)
(+47,003) cases over the week before / (+676) deaths over the week before
Spain revises it's weekend figures on Mondays, so I will complete the Spain weekend figures on Monday evening.
​

GERMANY:
* 1,655,322 *
+12,153 daily cases / +345 daily deaths
+140,539 cases over the week before / +3,738 deaths over the week before

​

COLOMBIA:
* 1,594,497 *
+9,594 daily cases / +228 daily deaths
+87,275 cases over the week before / +1,696 deaths over the week before
​

ARGENTINA:
* 1,583,297 *
+5,030 daily cases / +149 daily deaths
+42,012 cases over the week before / +837 deaths over the week before

​

MEXICO:
* 1,377,217 *
+4,974 daily cases / +189 daily deaths
+63,542 cases over the week before / +4,150 deaths over the week before
ENORMOUS 39.22% POSITIVITY-RATE IN MEXICO
​

POLAND:
* 1,257,799 *
+3,842 daily cases / +57 daily deaths
+55,099 cases over the week before / +1,721 deaths over the week before
​

​

IRAN:
* 1,200,465 *
+5,502 daily cases / +119 daily deaths
+42,081 cases over the week before / +1,068 deaths over the week before
​

UKRAINE:
* 1,025,989 *
UKRAINE EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19-CASES ON 2020-12-024, 17th NATION TO DO SO
+6,113 daily cases / +72 daily deaths
+61,541 cases over the week before / +1,189 deaths over the week before
​

PERU:
* 1,007,657 *
PERU EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19-CASES ON 2020-12-022, 16th NATION TO DO SO
+1,339 daily cases / +60 daily deaths
+10,140 cases over the week before / +371 deaths over the week before

​

SOUTH AFRICA:
* 1,004,413 *
SOUTH AFRICA EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19-CASES ON THIS DAY, 18th NATION TO DO SO
+9,502 daily cases / +214 daily deaths
+82,491 cases over the week before / +2,044 deaths over the week before
S. Africa goes over 1,000,000 C19 cases, posted 2020-12-028, 00:07 GMT +2, #13053.​

​

 

UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009

Combined Worldwide / USA / Spain analysis for the week of 2020-12-021 through 2020-12-027
(GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT)
CHRISTMASTIDE 2020
THIS IS THE FINAL END-OF-WEEK ANALYSIS FOR THE YEAR 2020
​

Until now, I have always done separate Worldwide and USA analyses, but decided to condense the two analyses into one in the last weeks and not write so much small-detail blah-blah, well aware that those who have been following my postings are excellent at interpreting the data for themselves. Also, since Spain waits until Mondays to get the weekend data in, I think that this mini-format will be the right one for the future. A lot of how you see material presented here will still be used in the new, upcoming 2021 format.

The new crown-jewel in all of this is this table:



The values in columns L and O are the most important: they show the difference to the week before. In the case of Covid-19, positive values are bad, negative values are good. This table saves me oodles of text to write. If you, however, have any questions about it, then let me know. Right now, in the diff-colums, there are a lot of deeply negative values, which I would normally greet, but please do remember that the statistical reporting tends to drop-off sharply during holidays and in this week, we had Christmas Eve and the first 3 days of Christmas, which technically stretches all the way until Epiphany on January 6th of the following year. In the USA, one celebrates Christmas just for one day, primarily on December 25th, but in many, many nations across the earth, people celebrate both a first and a second day of Christmas (25th and 26th) as national holidays, free from work. And then, directly following the 2 days of Christmas was a Sunday (the 3rd day of Christmas!), in this case. So, although I wish I could say "Hallelujah, the numbers are dropping like flies!", what this probably means is that there is a backlog of C19 numbers just waiting to be reported as of today, 2020-12-028.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------​

WORLDWIDE:
֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍* 81,150,178 *֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍
+440,757 daily cases / +7,352 daily deaths
+3,979,485 cases over the week before / +72,257 deaths over the week before
105,385 ICU CASES AT PRESENT

PERU, UKRAINE & SOUTH AFRICA CROSSED OVER THE 1,000,000-MARK THIS WEEK
THEY ARE THE 16th, 17th and 18th NATIONS TO DO SO
THE USA IS CLOSING-IN FAST ON 350,000 TOTAL C19 DEATHS
BRAZIL & INDIA ARE SIMILARLY JUST UNDER 200,000 & 150,000 TOTAL C19 DEATHS, RESPECTIVELY

For more details, see the rubrik worktable below and the weekly change-table at the start of the analysis​

There were 15 nation-rubrik changes in the last week. The biggest and most noticeable changes were that 3 nations all crossed over the 1,000,000-mark during Christmas week.

USA:
֍********* 19,573,847 *********֍
THERE WAS NO CHANGE FROM THE SEMI-FINAL TOTALS POSTED EARLIER ON 2020-12-028
+140,000 daily cases / +1,217 daily deaths
+1,300,240 cases over the week before / +16,203 deaths over the week before
28,672 ICU CASES AT PRESENT
THE USA CROSSED OVER 19 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES THIS LAST WEEK
For more details, see the rubrik worktable below and the weekly change-table at the start of the analysis
​

There were 6 unit-rubrik changes over the last week. There is the possibility that the state of New York will also go over the million-mark by year's end. Wait and see.

For months now, I have been extrapolating the likely future total deaths in the USA. For a long time, that extrapolation held, but as all can see, in the last 5 weeks, ever increasingly, the explosion of deaths has blown this extrapolation fully out of the water, so I am just gonna leave it here for all to see and that's that. We are now over +57,791 deaths past the extrapolation and it is looking very much as if we will either get very close to or go over 350,000 total deaths in the USA by year's end. Instead of posting the calculation table (which you can see online for yourself), I will post the last 11 days instead of just these 7 with the EOY report for the USA.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------​

SPAIN:
* 1,885,938 *
+5,336 daily cases / +75 daily deaths
+63,331 cases over the week before / +898 deaths over the week before
Spain, like Turkey, has problems with prompt reporting due to the backlog in autonomous regions of the country
​

Here all of the analyses over this last week:
EOD general quick analysis for 2020-12-021, posted 2020-12-022, 19:00 GMT +2, #13030.
Peru goes over 1,000,000 total C19 cases, posted 2020-12-022, 23:33 GMT +2, #13031.
EOD general quick analysis for 2020-12-022, posted 2020-12-023, 10:42 GMT +2, #13036.
EOD general quick analysis for 2020-12-023, posted 2020-12-024, 10:08 GMT +2, #13044.
Ukraine goes over 1,000,000 total C19 cases, posted 2020-12-024, 10:50 GMT +2, #13045.
EOD general quick analysis for 2020-12-024, posted 2020-12-025, 09:33 GMT +2, #13050.
EOD general quick analysis for 2020-12-025, posted 2020-12-026, 12:03 GMT +2, #13051.
EOD general quick analysis for 2020-12-026, posted 2020-12-027, 10:07 GMT +2, #13052.
S. Africa goes over 1,000,000 C19 cases, posted 2020-12-028, 00:07 GMT +2, #13053.
Pre-analysis tables Part I for 2020-12-027, posted 2020-12-028, 10:26 GMT +2, #13054.
Pre-analysis tables Part II for 2020-12-027, posted 2020-12-028, 10:28 GMT +2, #13055.

-Stat

 

UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009

Short COVID-19 analysis: Monday, 2020-12-028 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT)
Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 1,500,000 COVID-19 cases upwards
​

-Weekdays: I'm releasing only barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top nations throughout the week.
-Then, I will publish a large set of End of Week (EOW) reports for the Sunday of each week and also two large analyses at End of Month (EOM) and End of Year (EOY).
-You can then interpret the tables and screenshots for yourselves.
-Whatever is not screenshotted during the week, you can always see for yourself at the online-excel-document (see: sig-file).

As of 2020-12-007, I added Turkey, Ukraine and South Africa to the tracking. Turkey is now in the daily small analyses. Peru just went over the 1,000,000-mark on 2020-12-021, which I noted HERE. Ukraine just went over the 1,000,000 early on Christmas Eve, which I noted HERE. South Africa cleared the 1,000,000 bar on 2020-12-027, which I noted HERE. This means that we are going to end the year 2020 with 18 nations over the 1,000,000-mark and all 18 of them are nations that I am tracking on a daily basis.

BTW, I would like to encourage everyone that, when you read the excel table screenshots, look at the +cases and +deaths for each country and then go to columns N & O and do a quick mental comparison to the 7 day rolling averages for both of those figures. I think that this can often be very enlightening.

THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 18 NATIONS
In the week, the figures for worldwide +12 of those nations are published as screenshots here.​

WORLDWIDE:
֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍* 81,661,829 *֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍
+511,651 daily cases / +9,309 deaths
ROLLING 7-DAY AVERAGE = +564,932 daily cases / +10,375 daily deaths
WORLDWIDE, 7.2 PEOPLE ARE DYING FROM COVID-19 EVERY SINGLE MINUTE OF EVERY SINGLE DAY
AT THIS RATE OF GROWTH, THE WORLD WILL END 2020 AT OR OVER 83 MILLION TOTAL C19 CASES
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
THE USA WILL EXCEED 20 MILLION TOTAL C19 CASES BY YEAR'S END
​

USA:
֍********* 19,781,718 *********֍
+207,871 daily cases / +2,044 daily deaths
ROLLING 7-DAY AVERAGE = +186,857 daily cases / +2,344 daily deaths
THE USA IS NOW 6,818 AWAY FROM 350,000 TOTAL C19 DEATHS
AT A RATE OF +2,344 DAILY DEATHS, THE USA WILL EXCEED 350,000 C19 DEATHS ON 2020-12-031
ARIZONA EXCEEDED 500,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES ON THIS DAY, 11th UNIT TO DO SO
CURRENTLY AT 972,951, NEW YORK MAY GO OVER THE MILLION-MARK BY YEAR'S END
THE USA WILL EXCEED 20 MILLION TOTAL COVID-19 CASES EITHER TODAY (2020-12-029) OR TOMORROW​

INDIA:
֍ 10,224,797 ֍
+16,072 daily cases / +250 daily deaths
India is now 1,810 away from 150,000 total C19 deaths
At an average of +292 deaths per day, India will go over 200,000 total deaths on 2021-01-003​

BRAZIL:
******* 7,506,890 *******
+22,605 daily cases / +495 daily deaths
Brazil is now 8,359 away from 200,000 total C19 deaths
At an average of +617 deaths per day, Brazil will go over 200,000 total deaths on 2021-01-011
The positivity rate in Brazil is an enormous 26.25%
​

RUSSIA:
*** 3,078,035 ***
+27,787 daily cases / +487 daily deaths
​

FRANCE:
** 2,562,646 **
+2,960 daily cases / +363 daily deaths​

UK:
** 2,329,730 **
+41,385 daily cases / +357 daily deaths​

TURKEY:
** 2,162,775 **
+15,197 daily cases / +257 daily deaths

​

ITALY:
** 2,056,277 **
+8,581 daily cases / +445 daily deaths
​

SPAIN:
* 1,894,072 *
+8,134 daily cases / +76 deaths
​

GERMANY:
* 1,670,194 *
+14,872 daily cases / +674 deaths

​

COLOMBIA:
* 1,603,807 *
+9,310 daily cases / +203 deaths
The positivity rate in Colombia is an enormous 20.27%
​

ARGENTINA:
* 1,590,513 *
+7,216 daily cases / +218 deaths
The positivity rate in Argentina is an enormous 33.75%
​

 

My plans for the COVID-19 reporting in 2021: Format, Timing & Content changes
PART 1​

2020 is wrapping up and surely it has developed in ways that none of us could have imagined. With the exception of just 2 days, I've reported on this thread every single day since its inception in the middle of March, 2020. It’s been a great deal of work for me on top of my professional and family life, but I really feel that it has been worth it. We owe it to posterity to record these things so that in the future, people will know the cold, hard facts of what happened, and I am one of those people with the ability and desire to track this kind of information.

When I started tracking/reporting the COVID-19 stats on Twitter (2020-02-027), the world had just reached 82,411 COVID-19 cases and 2,808 deaths; when I opened this thread on March 14th, 2020, our world had reached 156,000 cases and just a little more than 5,800 deaths. Shortly after this thread began, large parts of our world, including the USA, went on lockdown.

That was more than 81.6 million cases and 1.77 million deaths ago, just to be clear. And since then,18 nations have cleared the 1-million-case mark; certainly more nations will follow suit in 2021. So, before I introduce the new format for 2021, I would like to walk through the major chronological points in the COVID-19 2020 history of our world. This is going to be a long history, but it is not exhaustive; I am only covering the biggest points. It does, however, illustrate how immense the COVID-19 pandemic has become and I suspect that you will be glad to have read it once you have waded through it. Also, in the online excel table, there is a tab just for this kind of history.

THE PROGRESS OF COVID-19 FROM APRIL THROUGH DECEMBER, 2020:​

Slightly less than 3 weeks after I began this thread, the world jumped over the 1,000,000 C19 case-mark (2020-04-002). That was the first time in 2020 that an ‚entity‘ entered the 7-digit-zone. At that time, just seeing the world hit 1,000,000 cases was a shock for most if not all of us.

3 weeks later, on 2020-04-027, the world went over 3,000,000 cases and on the same day, the United States of America (USA) went over the 1,000,000-mark and was therefore the 1st nation to achieve this milestone. Just shy of two month’s later, on 2020-06-019, Brazil was the 2nd nation on earth to go over the 1,000,000-mark, but not before the World and the USA had reached 7,000,000 and 2,000,000 total cases, respectively. Regressing slightly: at the beginning of May, 2020, sensing that we were really in this for a very long haul, I began daily USA analyses to go with the daily worldwide analyses that had already started in April. On 2020-05-026, the day after Memorial Day, the USA exceeded 100,000 C19 deaths and was the first nation of (currently) four to do this, a truly sad milestone. Ok, onward now...

On 2020-06-027, our World entered the 8-digit zone and went over the 10,000,000-mark in C19 cases. This happened shortly after 8 PM my time in Germany, on a Saturday. It was a horrifying feeling for me.

One month after Brazil joined the „million-club“, on 2020-07-016, Brazil sailed over 2,000,000 cases and on that same day, India became the 3rd nation on Earth to go over the 1,000,000-mark. On 2020-07-027, the USA exceeded 150,000 C19 deaths. 12 days later, on 2020-08-008, Brazil exceeded 100,000 C19 deaths.

Although the feeling was that there were less +cases on the summer, in reality, on 2020-08-009, the World had doubled from 10,000,000 to 20,000,000 C19 cases. It only took 6 weeks to achieve this doubling.

To start off the Fall season, directly on 2020-09-001, Russia, which had been creeping up the scale slowly but surely, became the 4th nation to go over the 1,000,000-mark. In fact, you can see from the Russia excel table that the sudden jump in +cases in that country presaged what was soon going to happen in the rest of Europe and the USA.. Two weeks later on 2020-09-015, the USA exceeded 200,000 total C19 deaths. On 2020-09-027, the Indian state of Maharashtra cleared the 1,000,000-mark and became the first state/province within a nation to do this. Four days later still, on 2020-10-001, India became the third nation to exceed 100,000 total C19 deaths. Just a few short days before that, the world overall exceeded 1,000,000 C19 deaths.

So, it took 9 months from the beginning of the pandemic for 4 nations to clear the 1,000,000-case-hurdle.The remaining 14 nations sprinted over the line in relatively quick sucession from the middle of October until the end of December, 2020:

on 2020-10-019, both Spain and Argentina jumped over the 1,000,000-mark as the 5th and 6th nations to do so. 4 days later, on 2020-10-023, France went over the 1,000,000-mark and was the 7th nation to do so. The very next day, on 2020-10-024, Colombia did likewise and was the 8th nation to do so. By the time this happened, the world had aready started seeing at least +500,000 fresh C19 infections per day; the 2nd wave was in full-swing. A week later, on 2020-10-031, the United Kingdom went over the 1,000,000-mark and was the 9th nation to do so. More nations jumped over the 1,000,000-mark in October, 2020 than in the 9 months before.

On 2020-11-006, three days after the US-General Election, the USA entered the 8-digit zone and became the first nation on Earth to have accrued more than 10,000,000 total C19 cases all on its own. On that same day, the US state of Texas cleared the 1,000,000-mark and became the second state/province within a nation to do this. One day later, on 2020-11-007, the day on which the networks declared that the Democratic presidential ticket won the US general election, our world sprang over 50,000,000 C19 cases. On 2020-11-011, Italy became the 10th nation to go over the 1,000,000 mark. Just one month before, Italy had only 360,000 cases. The next day, the US state of California went over the 1,000,000-mark, the third state/province within a nation to do so. On 2020-11-014, the USA exceeded 250,000 total C19 deaths. On 2020-11-015, Mexico became the 11th nation to go over the 1,000,000-mark. Just four days later, on 2020-11-019, Mexico also exceeded 100,000 C19 deaths and became the fourth nation on Earth do to so, after the USA, Brazil and India. On that same day and for the first time, the USA alone exceeded +200,000 fresh C19 infections in one single day and Brazil jumped over 6,000,000 total C19 cases. On 2020-11-026, Germany became the 12th nation to go over the 1,000,000-mark in C19 cases.

On 2020-12-001, the the US state of Florida went over the 1,000,000-mark, the fourth state/province within a nation to do so. The next day, on 2020-12-002, Poland became the 13th nation to go over the 1,000,000-mark in C19 cases. And the very next day, on 2020-12-003, Iran became the 14th nation to do likewise. One week later, on 2020-12-010, Turkey suddenly shot well over the 1,000,000-case-mark and was the 15th nation to do so. Actually, it entered a huge backlog of cases and suddenly landed at 1.7 million on that day. Simultaneously, on 2020-12-010, the USA cleared 16,000,000 cases and the world went over 70,000,000…. the next day, on 2020-12-011, as the hits just kept coming in, the USA exceeded 300,000 total C19 deaths.

On 2020-12-018, India entered the 8-digit zone and became the second nation on Earth to have accrued more than 10,000,000 C19 cases all on its own.

The last three „million club“ nations reached this milestone right before or after Christmas: on 2020-12-022, slow-snail' Peru was the 16th nation to go over 1,000,000 C19 cases. On Christmas Eve, 2020-12-024, Ukraine did likewise, as the 17th nation. And just two days ago, on 2020-12-027, South Africa was the 18th and final nation in this year to clear the 1,000,000-case-marker. There is also the possibility that the US state of New York will become the fifth state/province within a country to go over the 1,000,000 mark by year’s end, but that is not yet written in stone. There is also the very, very strong possibility that the USA will hit 350,000 total C19 deaths on New Year's Eve, 2020.

I can say with certainty that no other nations will join the million-club in this year. Next in line: the Netherlands (770,000) and Indonesia (727,000). There are not enough days left in this year for them to join the million club. We will end the year 2020 with 18 nations over 1,000,000 cases a piece, 4 nations with over 100,000 total C19 deaths apiece and 6 nations with between 50,000-100,000 total C19 deaths apiece.

I have reported all of these things (and much more) as they happened, but seeing them all at once is... a shock.

But just looking at the rankings and realizing that in just 10 weeks time during the end-spurt of 2020, 14 nations all sprung like young gazelles over this gruesome milestone, in spite of the beginning of inoculations of any number of (apparently) working vaccines, it is very likely that 20 to 30 more nations are still going to go over the 1,000,000-mark before the storm subsides. Even at nominal growth levels as we saw last summer in most of the world, at least 20 more nations will accrue 1,000,000 total C19 cases during 2021. This poses a conundrum for me, for it means that by the end of the pandemic, I may be tracking as many as 45-50 nations DAILY. In terms of recording these things in an online excel table as I have been doing, that is certainly doable and not very time-consuming, but is probably too much work to do in terms of screenshotting and reporting on a daily basis. So, some things are going to need to change. Otherwise, the analyses I provide will once again become too heavy-laden. With that in mind, I am going to change the following vis-a-vis C19 analyses. See: Part II (next posting)

 

My plans for the COVID-19 reporting in 2021: Format, Timing & Content changes
PART 2​

Part 1 is HERE.

TIMING and FREQUENCY​

First, there will be massive EOY (End of Year) reporting for 2020, but according to the following timetable:

On 2021-01-001: excel tables for 2020-12-031 for the worldwide values and the 18 nations that I am currently tracking, just like the EOW analyses have been in the past weeks.

On 2021-01-001, later in the evening (my time): a very extensive EOY USA analysis for 2020-12-031, most likely, in two parts.

On 2020-01-002: a very extensive EOY worldwide analysis (in two parts) for 2020-12-031. Because WorldOMeter has a „2 days ago“ function in the worldwide daily tables, I can allow one extra day’s time in order to adjust for countries that are surely going to shake-down their end-of-year statistics and addend all sorts of stuff. This gives extra time to be more methodical and not be rushed, for the analyses will be huge.

Concerning COVID-19 information provided as of 2021-01-001 (New Years Day), I will now only be providing excel table screenshots for all entities approaching or above 5,000,000 cases (instead of 1,000,000 cases). This means that for data from 2021-01-001 onwards, at least for a good while, I will only be providing daily screenshot material for the worldwide figures, the USA, India and Brazil. However, with time, Russia, France, and others as well will reach the newly-set 5,000,000-mark and will then re-enter the daily screenshot routine.

Also, as of January, 2021, there will no longer be End of Week (EOW) analyses. Instead, there will be a mid-month analysis and an EOM (End of Month) analysis, including massive excel table screenshots and special calculations.

For months with 28 or 30 days in them, logically, the mid-month report will be for the 14th or 15th day of the month, respectively.

For months with 31 days, the mid-month report will be either on the 15th or the 16th of the month, depending on how I see the numbers developing up to the 15th, also whether or not a Sunday comes into question as the end-date.

This means that for the year 2021, I will publish 12 mid-month analyses, 10 EOM analyses, 1 half-year analysis (end of June, 2021) and 1 EOY analysis (end of December, 2021), making for a sum total of 24 large analyses. To contrast, in the year 2020, starting in April/May, I provided large analyses every single day until the end of September and then moved slowly to the weekly format, so I have quite literally written well over 300 large C19 analyses in 2020. That’s too much, looking into the future.

THE RUBRIK TABLES
​

It’s time to tweak the values for both rubrik tables and make them leaner. As of 2021, for the USA figures:
100,000 / 1,000,000 / 5,000,000 total cases. Will no longer track 1,000, 5,000, 10,000 and 50,000 case-marks.
+500 / +1,000 / +10,000 +cases. Will no longer track +100, +5,000 case-marks.
1,000 / 10,000 / 50,000 total deaths. Will no longer track 100, 5,000 death-marks.
+deaths – remains as I had in 2020 (no changes)
1,000,000 / 10,000,000 / 100,000,000 total tests performed. Will no longer track 500,000 tests-mark.

For the worldwide figures, the rubrik table will also be trimmed-up in a similar way. I will be tracking the following, with lower categories deleted, as was the case with the USA:
100,000 / 1,000,000 / 10,000,000 total cases
+1,000 / +10,000 / +100,000 +cases
1,000 / 10,000 / 100,000 deaths
+deaths – as I had in 2020 (no changes)
1,000,000 / 10,000,000 / 100,000,000 total tests performed

Starting in March, 2021: VACCINATION DATA
​

A separate and very detailed posting will be coming out shortly, but as soon as the nations begin releasing reliable data on how many people have been vaccinated, per vaccine type, including how many have completed the second vaccine, I will start tracking this, most likely with a separate thread.

I am using the @ function to notify a lot of people about the changes for 2021. If any of you have suggestions for what you would like to see, please let me know before New Year’s Day. Remember, this posting is in two parts, I feel that it's good if you all read both parts.

@Adfundum @Derideo_Te @ronv @Curious Always @gnoib @a better world @Sallyally @truth and justice @JakeJ @Iranian Monitor @The Scotsman @dairyair @LangleyMan @Jonsa @bx4 @CenterField @ChiCowboy @WalterSobchak @AZ. @Asherah @bigfella @Phyxius @StillBlue @Bowerbird @AKS @Arkanis @MJ Davies @PARTIZAN1 @TomFitz @Quantum Nerd @btthegreat @Cubed

Folks, I don't use the @ function very often, but if you prefer that I not do it at all, just let me know. No offense was intended by @-ing this time around.

And finally, it's only fair and proper to thank @Falena for allowing this data-thread to flourish in this subforum, also for sticky'ing it. Falena, your input is always welcome on this thread and I am always glad when you stop by.

So, y'all, wash your hands, physically distance, stay safe, healthy and happy.

-Stat

 

Soooo, this happened at the NorthStar Mall in San Antonio, Texas on December 22nd, 2020, in the evening, during peak Christmas shopping time:

Covidiot Cultists Spawn Melee At Texas Mall [VIDEO] - Joe.My.God.

The link is from JMG (a very good but somewhat unorthodox news source) as the San Antonio ABC link decided that it didn't like my European server!

But here are two videos, one with a little less than 5 minutes of raw-footage:



The video from the San Antonio ABC news coverage:




Sad.... just plain old sad.....

 

Things are not going well in the UK.

Yesterday, the UK broke it's record and recorded +41,385 new C19 cases. It was the first time ever that the UK had reached +40,000 C19 cases in just one day.
Today, 2020-12-029, the UK broke the record set yesterday and recorded +53,135 new C19 cases.

 

We've been in practically a lockdown for the last 6 weeks but many people are just not taking any notice of the rules now. People are not socially distancing in stores and people are still visiting friends and family in private houses. Hardly anyone bothers to use the sanitizers supplied at shop entrances or wipe down any shop trolleys before use. The roads were just as busy this Christmas as last Christmas even though we are supposed to stay in our city and limit travel within city. And we had anti-mask protests and anti-vaccinations protests in London last week

 

USA
USA
USA
USA

GROEOEOEOEOEOEOEOEOEOEOEOEOEHL

But they are getting more aggressive again, in my county, too.

 

1192. We missed the goal again, 1200.
But still a good haul, around 160 in a week. 30 more than the week before, as I remember.

We are just a touch under 600/100,000/week.

But trust we are working hard on it.
Over Christmas the churches were full, packed. the stores packed.
Masks at around 50%.
26 and 27 the restaurants full, not 50%, 100%.

 

UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009

Short COVID-19 analysis: Tuesday, 2020-12-029 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT)
Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 1,500,000 COVID-19 cases upwards
​

-Weekdays: I'm releasing only barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top nations throughout the week.
-Then, I will publish a large set of End of Week (EOW) reports for the Sunday of each week and also two large analyses at End of Month (EOM) and End of Year (EOY).
-You can then interpret the tables and screenshots for yourselves.
-Whatever is not screenshotted during the week, you can always see for yourself at the online-excel-document (see: sig-file).

As of 2020-12-007, I added Turkey, Ukraine and South Africa to the tracking. Turkey is now in the daily small analyses. Peru just went over the 1,000,000-mark on 2020-12-021, which I noted HERE. Ukraine just went over the 1,000,000 early on Christmas Eve, which I noted HERE. South Africa cleared the 1,000,000 bar on 2020-12-027, which I noted HERE. This means that we are going to end the year 2020 with 18 nations over the 1,000,000-mark and all 18 of them are nations that I am tracking on a daily basis.

BTW, I would like to encourage everyone that, when you read the excel table screenshots, look at the +cases and +deaths for each country and then go to columns N & O and do a quick mental comparison to the 7 day rolling averages for both of those figures. I think that this can often be very enlightening.

THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 18 NATIONS
In the week, the figures for worldwide +12 of those nations are published as screenshots here.​

WORLDWIDE:
֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍** 82,312,910 **֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍
+651,081 daily cases / +14,554 deaths
ROLLING 7-DAY AVERAGE = +566,626 daily cases / +10,380 daily deaths
WORLDWIDE, 7.2 PEOPLE ARE DYING FROM COVID-19 EVERY SINGLE MINUTE OF EVERY SINGLE DAY
AT THIS RATE OF GROWTH, THE WORLD WILL END 2020 SLIGHTLY OVER 83 MILLION TOTAL C19 CASES
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
THE USA WILL EXCEED 20 MILLION TOTAL C19 CASES TODAY (2020-12-030)
NIGER EXCEEDED 100 TOTAL C19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY, 137th NATION TO DO SO
CROATIA EXCEEDED 1,000,000 C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY, 78th NATION TO DO SO
THE USA EXCEEDED 250,000,000 C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY​

USA:
֍********* 19,977,704 *********֍
+195,986 daily cases / +3,397 daily deaths (another "911")
ROLLING 7-DAY AVERAGE = +184,725 daily cases / +2,251 daily deaths
THE USA IS NOW 3,421 AWAY FROM 350,000 TOTAL C19 DEATHS
AT A RATE OF +2,251 DAILY DEATHS, THE USA WILL EXCEED 350,000 C19 DEATHS ON 2020-12-031
INDIANA EXCEEDED 500,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES ON THIS DAY, 12th UNIT TO DO SO
CURRENTLY AT 984,638, NEW YORK MAY GO OVER THE MILLION-MARK BY YEAR'S END
THE USA WILL MOST DEFINITELY EXCEED 20 MILLION TOTAL COVID-19 CASES TODAY (2020-12-030) VERMONT EXCEEDED 500,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY
THE USA EXCEEDED 250,000,000 C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY​

INDIA:
֍ 10,245,326 ֍
+20,529 daily cases / +285 daily deaths
India is now 1,525 away from 150,000 total C19 deaths
At an average of +286 deaths per day, India will go over 200,000 total deaths on 2021-01-004​

BRAZIL:
******* 7,564,117 *******
+57,227 daily cases / +1,075 daily deaths
Brazil is now 7,284 away from 200,000 total C19 deaths
At an average of +633 deaths per day, Brazil will go over 200,000 total deaths on 2021-01-010
The positivity rate in Brazil is an enormous 26.45%
​

RUSSIA:
*** 3,105,037 ***
+27,002 daily cases / +562 daily deaths
​

FRANCE:
** 2,574,041 **
+11,395 daily cases / +969 daily deaths​

UK:
** 2,329,730 **
+53,135 daily cases / +458 daily deaths
The UK was rank 3 in +cases on this day, behind the USA & Brazil​

TURKEY:
** 2,178,580 **
+15,805 daily cases / +253 daily deaths

​

ITALY:
** 2,067,487 **
+11,210 daily cases / +659 daily deaths
​

SPAIN:
* 1,906,057 *
+11,985 daily cases / +320 deaths
​

GERMANY:
* 1,691,707 *
+21,513 daily cases / +1,244 deaths
For the first time to-date, Germany suffered more than +1,000 C19 deaths in just one day

​

COLOMBIA:
* 1,614,822 *
+11,015 daily cases / +246 deaths
The positivity rate in Colombia is an enormous 20.23%
​

ARGENTINA:
* 1,602,163 *
+11,650 daily cases / +150 deaths
The positivity rate in Argentina is an enormous 33.68%
​

 

Since 2020-12-031 (New Year's Eve, or as it is often called, "Silvester") is a holiday or 1/2 holiday in many countries, that means that today, 2020-12-030 is actually the last full work-day of this year and since the backlog of C19 cases and deaths from the Christmas Weekend are still being processed through the systems of many, many countries, it could very well end up that today's end-numbers, when they come out, will be eye-popping in nature.

We all know that this virus doesn't simply halt because mankind is celebrating a holiday, but it does mean that the work-schedules of medical, technical and statistical personnel are curtailed. So, if my gut feeling is right, today will show some mighty huge (and frankly, depressing) numbers, tomorrow will look more "normal" (if we can even call anything in 2020 "normal) and then we have New Year's Day 2021 on a Friday, with a weekend right at the door. Logic tells me that we may also see a heavy Saturday (2021-01-002), a moderate Sunday and then, as of coming Monday, 2021-01-004, I suspect that we will see the beginning of -by far- the worst month in C19 history. In fact, it may end up being the worst month overall, as the new strain, although it is apparently not more deadly, is 70% more infectious.

I am writing this so that we all can take a sober, clear view of what is about to happen. My friendly advice is: don't let the lighter numbers that happen during the holidays lull us into thinking that things are getting better. They are not getting better. They are getting considerably worse.

Perhaps now would be a good time for the entire population of our planet to actually listen to what the scientists and medical personnel have been saying all along:

wash your hands
physically distance yourselves from each other
take no unneccesary risks
wear a nose-mouth covering, also known as a face-mask.

-Stat

 

You know, I'm really a very open and accepting person, but sometimes a headline crosses my path....



....and I think....

 

The USA has now gone over 20,000,000 total confirmed COVID-19 infections/cases.

 

Don't you know that UFOs are a huge problem.
We were able to see it this year again, especially in the Southern Pacific.
1 ship sank and 4 had sever damage, during the current Vendee Globe.
All done by UFOs.

We need to know, don't you think so.




Groeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoeoehhhhhhlllllllllllllllllllll

 

UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009

Short COVID-19 analysis: Wednesday, 2020-12-030 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT)
Last full workday of the year 2020
Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations circa 1,500,000 COVID-19 cases upwards
​

-Weekdays: I'm releasing only barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top nations throughout the week.
-Then, I will publish a large set of End of Week (EOW) reports for the Sunday of each week and also two large analyses at End of Month (EOM) and End of Year (EOY).
-You can then interpret the tables and screenshots for yourselves.
-Whatever is not screenshotted during the week, you can always see for yourself at the online-excel-document (see: sig-file).

During the day on 2020-12-030, I pointed out that we may see some really eye-popping numbers for the day, and indeed, we did.

BTW, I would like to encourage everyone that, when you read the excel table screenshots, look at the +cases and +deaths for each country and then go to columns N & O and do a quick mental comparison to the 7 day rolling averages for both of those figures. I think that this can often be very enlightening.

THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING CURRENTLY ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 18 NATIONS
In the week, the figures for worldwide +12 of those nations are published as screenshots here.​

WORLDWIDE:
֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍*** 83,045,721 ***֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍
+732,811 daily cases / +15,431 deaths
ROLLING 7-DAY AVERAGE = +572,719 daily cases / +10,617 daily deaths
WORLDWIDE, 7.4 PEOPLE ARE DYING FROM COVID-19 EVERY SINGLE MINUTE OF EVERY SINGLE DAY
AT THIS RATE OF GROWTH, THE WORLD WILL END 2020 CLOSE TO 83.6 MILLION TOTAL C19 CASES
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
THE USA EXCEEDED 20 MILLION TOTAL C19 CASES & 350,000 TOTAL C19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY
PAKISTAN EXCEEDED 10,000 TOTAL C19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY, 28th NATION TO DO SO
106,604 ICU C19 PATIENTS WORLDWIDE = THE TOTAL POPULATION OF GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN (USA)​

USA:
֍֍ 20,216,991 ֍֍
THE USA EXCEEDED 20 MILLION TOTAL COVID-19 CASES & 350,000 TOTAL C19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY


+239,287 daily cases, 2nd heaviest day to-date / +4,199 daily deaths
ROLLING 7-DAY AVERAGE = +185,691 daily cases / +2,366 daily deaths
CURRENTLY AT 998,524, NEW YORK WILL EXCEED THE MILLION-MARK TODAY, 2020-12-031
KANSAS EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY
​

INDIA:
֍ 10,267,283 ֍
+21,957 daily cases / +299 daily deaths
India is now 1,226 away from 150,000 total C19 deaths
At an average of +285 deaths per day, India will go over 200,000 total deaths on 2021-01-004​

BRAZIL:
******* 7,619,970 *******
+55,583 daily cases / +1,224 daily deaths
Brazil is now 6,060 away from 200,000 total C19 deaths
At an average of +668 deaths per day, Brazil will go over 200,000 total deaths on 2021-01-009
The positivity rate in Brazil is an enormous 26.64%
​

RUSSIA:
*** 3,131,550 ***
+26,513 daily cases / +599 daily deaths
​

FRANCE:
** 2,600,498 **
+26,457 daily cases / +303 daily deaths​

UK:
** 2,432,888 **
+50,023 daily cases / +981 daily deaths
The UK was over +50,000 & rank 3 in +cases (behind the USA & Brazil) for the 2nd day in a row​

TURKEY:
** 2,194,272 **
+15,692 daily cases / +254 daily deaths

​

ITALY:
** 2,083,689 **
+16,202 daily cases / +575 daily deaths
​

SPAIN:
* 1,921,115 *
+15,058 daily cases / +247 deaths
​

GERMANY:
* 1,710,992 *
+19,285 daily cases / +752 deaths

​

COLOMBIA:
* 1,626,461 *
+11,639 daily cases / +289 deaths
The positivity rate in Colombia is an enormous 20.20%
​

ARGENTINA:
* 1,613,928 *
+11,765 daily cases / +145 deaths
The positivity rate in Argentina is an enormous 33.54%
​

 

2020 End of Year / 2021 Beginning of Year housekeeping details:

As of the New Year, when it comes to time-zone calculations, I am moving from GMT (Greenwich Mean Time) to UTC (Coordinated Universal Time).

Online link-libraries​

For those who have been following my analyses over the year, you will notice that I often included the links for smaller analyses leading up to the larger weekend or EOM analyses. Those links can also be found here:

Statistikhengst - Political Forum COVID-19 Link-Library May-Dec 2020

The online google document has an extremely cool side-function:




the date-listing at the left can be used to get very quickly to the date you wish to see. If you are looking for information for a specific date, don't forget to look at the links under the day after, because most of the analyses came out on the following day. The sum total of the analyses that I recorded the links for from April 27th, 2020 until now is just under 800 and once the New Year's analyses are done, we should land at 805 or 806. Plenty of good reading material for the future. Herr Statistikhengst was a busy little bee in 2020, nöööö.

Also, just a reminder that in the online excel-table, at the tab for the worldwide figures and also every country, the dates in the very leftmost column are hyperlinked to their corresponding analysis. Here Mexico, just as an example:



And of course, I already have the online link-library for 2021 up and running:

Statistikhengst - Political Forum COVID-19 Link-Library Jan-Dec 2021

Both of these links will be present at the top left of every analysis in 2021, just like the permanent disclaimer. There is a two-day overlap between the 2020 links and the 2021 links: 2021-01-001 and 2021-01-002. Those two dates will be in both documents.

You should be able to view the documents online and also download them, should you wish.

Why did I do this? As a friendly service to the PF community. You can feel free to pass the links along to others who might be interesting in the statistical history of C19.

-Stat

PS: in 5 hours I will be saying goodbye to 2020 and drinking some champagne to 2021 and when I do that, I will be thinking of all of you and wishing you all a Happy New Year!

Visualization software​

I've been playing around with certain types of data-visualization software to see if I can make this spreadsheet material a little more interesting to see. There is a learning process involved in all of this and there are various, diverse types of software, so this is going to take a while, but I would like to turn the viewing of C-19 data into a 3D-experience, if its possible.

 

UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009
Chronological online PF C-19 analysis Library-links: 2020 / 2021

Analysis tables for EOM (End of Month) December 2020 & EOY (End of Year), 2020-12-031
(UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA), Part 1:
Worldwide and and top 18 nations (split into two postings)

READ!​

The end-of-year analyses for pretty much any undertaking are usually different than the rest of the year. It is no different with this data.
Since December 31st is not only the end of a month, but also the end of the entire year, these tables/analyses will be used to cover both aspects of the data.

First, the schedule:
-these two postings are the screenshots of the Worldwide figures and the top 18 nations, all of them now over 1,000,000 C19 cases. At this moment, the Worldwide and USA figures are preliminary.

-in about 10 hours, I will publish the final USA figures in the form of a very large analysis, likely spread over 2 postings.

-Tomorrow, on 2021-01-002, I will then publish the end-analysis for the Worldwide figures for 2020-12-031. WorldOMeter has a "2 days ago" function at its main table, which allows us to wait one more day to see the final numbers. The advantage to this is that nations that may be adjusting their total figures will have one more day to do so. Like the USA analysis, the worldwide analysis will be very large and will likely be spread out over 2 postings. With the USA and Worldwide analyses I will be adding a link to a screenshot overflow thread at my blog. This will be explained in both analyses. Should for any reason the worldwide or USA numbers for 2020-12-031 be drastically changed over this coming week, then I will post an update.

Second, a new element comes into today's tables, namely, the use of the ➚ ➘ ➙ arrows within the half-monthy and monthly calculations. Those arrows mean that the current +calculation in cases / deaths is either more, less or relatively equal to the value from the month before. For instance, when you look at the preliminary worldwide figures directly below, you will see an ➚ for both the +cases and the +deaths, meaning that there were more +cases and +deaths from December 31 to November 30 as from November 30 to October 31 and so on. The mathematical proof for this is easy to see in columns P and Q.

Third, yesterday, I published this posting: Online Link-Libraries for 2020 & 2021, posted 2020-12-031, 18:59 UTC +1, +13071. This is why there is a new permanent double-link right under the standard disclaimer link.

Fourth: the screenshots for these tables list UTC +1 as the end time. It's actually UTC +0. Germany is on UTC +1 time, so it's a small error on my part and not worth re-screenshotting the entire mishpochah this time around. It doesn't change the fact that these values are for EOD in Greenwich, which is 8 PM in the Eastern Time Zone of the USA.

So, let's get started. Here a screenshot of just page 1 of the WorldOMeter table (preliminary totals), for reference:

WORLDWIDE:
֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍*** 83,794,026 ***֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍
THE WORLDWIDE DATA IS CURRENTLY ONLY PRELIMINARY
+748,305 daily cases / +13,874 daily deaths
+20,215,376 cases over the month before (➚) / +351,456 deaths over the month before (➚)
For more details, see: Worldwide EOY analysis for when it is published on 2021-01-002​

USA:
֍֍ 20,445,654 ֍֍
THE USA DATA IS CURRENTLY ONLY PRELIMINARY
+228,663 daily cases / +3,437 daily deaths
+6,525,616 cases over the month before (➚) / +79,883 deaths over the month before (➚)
THE USA CROSSED OVER 20 MILLION TOTAL COVID-19 CASES AND 350,000 TOTAL DEATHS ON 2020-12-030
For more details, see: USA EOY analysis for when it is published on 2021-01-001​

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------​

INDIA:
֍ 10,286,329 ֍
+19,046 daily cases / +244 daily deaths
+823,075 cases over the month before (➚) / +11,359 deaths over the month before (➘)
​

BRAZIL:
******* 7,675,973 *******
+56,003 daily cases / +1,036 daily deaths
Brazil just suffered 3 days in a row of more than +1,000 deaths per day
+1,339,695 cases over the month before (➚) / +21,811 deaths over the month before (➚)

​

RUSSIA:
*** 3,159,297 ***
+27,747 daily cases / +593 daily deaths
+863,643 cases over the month before (➚) / +17,124 deaths over the month before (➚)
​

FRANCE
** 2,620,425 **
+19,927 daily cases / +251 daily deaths
+397,937 cases over the month before (➘) / +11,907 deaths over the month before (➘)
​

UNITED KINGDOM:
** 2,488,780 **
+55,892 daily cases / +964 daily deaths
+859,123 cases over the month before (➚) / +15,064 deaths over the month before (➚)
​

TURKEY:
** 2,208,652 **
+14,380 daily cases / +239 daily deaths
+1,569,805 cases over the month before (➚) / +7,135 deaths over the month before (➚)
​

ITALY:
** 2,107,166 **
+23,477 daily cases / +555 daily deaths
+502,612 cases over the month before (➘) / +18,583 deaths over the month before (➚)

​

 

UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009
Chronological online PF C-19 analysis Library-links: 2020 / 2021

Analysis tables for EOM (End of Month) December 2020 & EOY (End of Year), 2020-12-031
(UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA), Part 2:
Worldwide and and top 18 nations (split into two postings)​

SPAIN:
* 1,936,718 *
+15,603 daily cases / +148 daily deaths
+271,773 cases over the month before (➘) / +5,768 deaths over the month before (➘)

​

GERMANY:
* 1,743,478 *
+32,486 daily cases / +932 daily deaths
+674,498 cases over the month before (➚) / +17,274 deaths over the month before (➚)

​

COLOMBIA:
* 1,642,775 *
+16,314 daily cases / +304 daily deaths
+325,969 cases over the month before (➚) / +6,447 deaths over the month before (➚)
20.20% POSITIVITY-RATE IN COLOMBIA

​

ARGENTINA:
* 1,625,514 *
+11,586 daily cases / +82 daily deaths
+200,981 cases over the month before (➘) / +4,515 deaths over the month before (➘)
ENORMOUS [U]33.78%[/U] POSITIVITY-RATE IN ARGENTINA
​

MEXICO:
* 1,413,935 *
+12,406 daily cases / +1,052 daily deaths
+306,864 cases over the month before (➚) / +19,242 deaths over the month before (➚)
ENORMOUS 39.31% POSITIVITY-RATE IN MEXICO
​

POLAND:
* 1,294,878 *
+13,464 daily cases / +535 daily deaths
+304,067 cases over the month before (➘) / +11,404 deaths over the month before (➙)
​

​

IRAN:
* 1,225,142 *
+6,389 daily cases / +128 daily deaths
+263,072 cases over the month before (➘) / +3,977 deaths over the month before (➘)
​

SOUTH AFRICA:
* 1,057,161 *
+18,000 daily cases / +436 daily deaths
+267,157 cases over the month before (➚) / +6,934 deaths over the month before (➚)

​

UKRAINE:
* 1,055,047 *
+9,699 daily cases / +209 daily deaths
+322,422 cases over the month before (➙) / +6,206 deaths over the month before ( ➚)
​

PERU:
* 1,015,137 *
+2,523 daily cases / +59 daily deaths
+51,532 cases over the month before ( ➘) / +1,714 deaths over the month before ( ➘)

​

 

This is how we ended the year 20207started the year 2021 on this thread:



I will recap this entry at half-year 2021.

 

UPDATED PERMANENT DISCLAIMER AS OF 2020-11-009
Chronological online PF C-19 analysis Library-links: 2020 / 2021

Before you read this the last analysis for the USA for 2020, please read the notes to the pre-analysis tables here:
Pre-analysis tables Part I for 2020-12-031, posted 2021-01-001, 12:13 UTC +1, #13072.

USA COVID-19 statistical analysis EOM (End of Month) & EOY (End of Year), 2020-12-031
(UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)

֍֍ 20,445,654 ֍֍
THE USA DATA IS FINAL
+228,663 daily cases / +3,437 daily deaths
+6,525,616 cases over the month before (➚) / +79,883 deaths over the month before (➚)
THE USA CROSSED OVER 20 MILLION TOTAL COVID-19 CASES & 350,000 TOTAL DEATHS ON 2020-12-030
NEW YORK EXCEEDED 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 CASES ON THIS DAY, 2020-12-031, 4th UNIT TO DO SO
VIRGINIA EXCEEDED 5,000 TOTAL C19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY, 22nd UNIT TO DO SO
CALIFORNIA SUFFERED +580 C19 DEATHS JUST ON THIS LAST DAY OF THE YEAR 2020

USA 7-day rolling averages:
+190,618 new C19 cases per day (➚ one month ago: +163,238 / +2,450 deaths per day (➚ one month ago: +1,521 )
---------------------------------------------------------
The number of serious/critical (ICU) cases in the USA: 29,214 (one month ago: 25,307 )
Total USA C19 tests administered: at year's end, the USA exceeded 250,000,000 total tests
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

In one year's time, the USA went from 0 to 20.4 million COVID-19 cases and from 0 to 354,000 COVID-19 deaths. Before you read farther, re-read that last sentence and reflect for a moment. Believe me, it's a good idea. Let that sad news sink in for a while.

The USA advanced +6,526,616 more C19 cases in the month of December, 2020. For context: it took the entire world just a little more than five full months to get to a TOTAL of 6,562,696 cases on 2020-06-003.

​

What the averages mean: +190,618, +2,450 = 132.2 fresh C19 cases and 1.7 C19 deaths per minute in the USA. EVERY MINUTE OF EVERY DAY.

The 4-Rubriks Worksheet:

First, here the rubrik table just for 2020-12-031​

Here presented showing EOM July, August, September, October, November and December:​

This graphic is very telling. Two examples:

-150 days ago, at the end of July, 2020, there were 13 Units with over 100,000 total C19 cases. Now, there are 41.
-150 days ago, at the end of July, 2020, there were 28 Units with over 1,000 total C19 deaths. Now, there are 44.
And so forth and so on.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, Total cases:
​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, + cases, ​

I am now going an entirely different way these days when it comes to monthly statistics for the USA. At the online excel document (see: sig-file), I have opened a new table, porting over the data from the last day of the month and also the month before and then adding some calculation functions that are not at the WorldOMeter site. Here the monthly +cases, something you cannot see at WorldOMeter:





As you can see, 19 states within the Union saw more than +100,000 fresh C19 infections during the last month of 2020 and California, our Union's largest state, saw more than +1,000,000 new cases in just one month. That is..... absolutely terrifying.
​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, + tests:​

The order of total tests you can find at worldometers, but here, the +tests (monthly), which you cannot find at WorldOMeter:

​

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, POSITIVITY RATE:
​

Ignore the top 5 - that's just the excel table going crazy due to a lack of data, but as of row 8 down to row 31, now that is some serious positivity going on. The states of North Carolina and Kentucky are the closest to the national positivity rate.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
​

43 Units (42 states + Veterans affairs) clock out this year with at least 1,000 C19 deaths apiece.
Of those 43, 10 states in the Union ended 2020 with more than 10,000 C10 deaths a piece.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, + deaths:​

In the last month of 2020, we saw 26 units (25 states + Veterans affairs) suffer more than +1,000 deaths in just one month and three of those units, all states (CA, TX and PA) sufferered more than +5,000 deaths just in the month of December. IL, with +4,993, was literally on the cusp of the +5,000-mark, so in reality, it was four units, not three. You can check out the mortality rates for yourselves. With so much suffering all throughout the Union right now, what difference does it make if one area has a somewhat higher mortality rate than another? We are all suffering greatly right now. The numbers simply do not lie.

FACIT: we ended the year 2020 with 354,215 total US deaths from COVID-19.

ADJUSTED EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-08-001)

As most of you know, I had a calculated death-total extrapolation running all the way since June, 2020. On 2020-08-001, I adjusted the extrapolation upward from an estimated average +700 deaths per day (from 2020-06-001 through 2020-07-031) to an estimated average of +850 deaths per day in the USA (2020-08-001 through 2020-12-031). Here were the projected milestones:

2020-09-020: 200,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-10-013). 200,000 deaths were reached 5 days before, on 2020-09-015.
2020-11-003 (Election Day): 237,500 deaths. On election day, we hit 238,641 deaths, very close to the actual extrapolation.
2020-11-018: 250,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-12-023). We reached 250,000 deaths on November 14th, four days ahead of the extrapolation.
2020-12-031: 286,697 deaths on New Years Eve, 2020 going into 2021. We exceeded this total already on 2020-12-005, 26 days ahead of the extrapolation.

With that in mind, here the complete data for all 7 months (put on your glasses for the 1st screenshot!):





You can see that the extrapolation indeed projected 286,697 total US COVID-19 deaths, were the +850 deaths per day to have been maintained and you can see that right at the beginning of November, 2020 the projections and the actual number (2020-11-002) were almost on par with each other. And then, the 2nd wave hit the USA like a hurricane and we ended the year with over 350,000 dead, more than +67,000 over the actual projection. I will not be tracking this statistic in this way anymore. It was too hard on my heart and spirit, but I promised to make an extrapolation to the end of 2020 and I kept my word.

Now that the extrapolation has run its course, I will soon delete that tab from the online excel-table. However, we have evidence of the 7 months of steady work right here in this analysis, for posterity's sake.

I will only be doing these super intensive USA analyses once per month and not at mid-month.


IN CONCLUSION: wash your hands, wear a face-mask, get vaccinated as soon as you can, maintain physical distancing and stay hopeful and positive. I am so very glad that 2020 is now gone. Again, HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL OF YOU.

-Stat