Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

Wouldn’t surprise me in the least. We are used to such cynical behaviour by our governments.

 

SPECIAL UPDATE: NATIONS BETWEEN 800,000-1,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES​

Up until now, 64 nations on our planet have surpassed the 1,000,000 mark in C19 cases.

Today is Wednesday, 2022-06-001. There are 30 days in this month. In 30 days, we will reach the half-year mark for 2022.

Here is the listing of the 10 nations currently between 800,000-1,000,000 C19 cases:



Currently, 6 nations are between 900,000-1,000,000 and 4 more are between 800,000-900,000, with Belarus and Nepal technically being the closest to the million mark. However, as you can see from the 3-digit plus figures from nations that have already reported in for today, you can see the the Omikron wave has really ebbed in most places. The two notable exceptions for nations under the 1,000,000-hurdle are Uruguay and Costa Rica.

Here the excel data for those two nations through last Sunday (CW-21):





You can see that their daily averages from last Sunday (+1,979 / +1,928 ) are not only almost identical to each other, they are far above what other countries are producing daily.

On Sunday, Uruguay and Costa Rica were 916,388 and 891,038, respectively. Those two are currently (without having reported in yet today) at 925,777 and 904,934, which means that in the last two days (Monday and Tuesday), Uruguay grew +9,389 cases, while Costa Rica grew +13,896. The two countries are currently 20,843 cases apart from each other. These latin American countries tend to report in irregularly, but if we simply take the average from last Sunday:

Uruguay: 1,000,000 - 925,777 = 74,223 / 1,978 = 38 days until Uruguay goes over the 1,000,000 mark.
Costa Rica: 1,000,000 - 904,934 = 95,066 / 1,929 = 50 days until Costa Rica goes over the 1,000,000 mark.

Banning some other country not even in my tracking suddenly taking off like gangbusters (aka Taiwan or North Korea did a number of weeks back), Uruguay and Costa Rica are very likely going to become the 65th and 66th nations (respectively) to cross over the million mark and it is going to happen this sommer. It is entirely possible that Costa Rica (pop: 5.2 million) really takes off and actually surpasses Uruguay (pop: 3.5 million!) along the way.

Even at a snail's pace, a nation like Belarus is more than likely to cross over the million mark by year's end, but I suspect that the expected fall wave will sweep the other 8 of the nations I have I highlighted in the WorldOMeter table easily over the 1,000,000-gate.

When you are still averaging about +4,000,000 cases worldwide, they have to come from somewhere, eh?

-Stat

 

There is a new wave in Portugal, caused by a variance of the Omicron

 

Recently, a PF poster compared both U.S. and South Korea’s number of CONFIRMED Omicron infected individuals PER CAPITA, and his conclusion; “We’ve managed Omicron better than South Koreans”

LOL......

Fact; During the Omicron pandemic, many Western Nations had to prioritized Covid Testing, and reduced contact tracing. Simply put, Omicron ended up overwhelming both testing sites, and laboratories.

WHEREAS in South Korea, government funded testing and contact tracing have increased.

My conclusion; Some PF posters aren’t too bright

 

REFERENCE LINK, 2022 EDITION (new standing disclaimer as of 2022, written December 31,2021, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) / Also: OLDER EXCEL TRACKING DATA (2020-2021)

COVID-19 WEEKLY concise analysis: 2022-05-030 (Monday) through 2022-06-005 (Sunday)
(UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
CALENDAR WEEK 22
Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations from 20,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 80 NATIONS
Of the 80 tracked nations, 6 dreadnaught nations are published here as screenshots on a weekly basis.
As of CW-13 "dreadnaught" nation was redefined as 20,000,000 total C19 cases and above.

+cases / +deaths refers to +WEEKLY cases and +WEEKLY deaths, naturally.

WORLDWIDE:
ΏΏΏΏΏ֍֍֍***** 535,491,957 *****֍֍֍ΏΏΏΏΏ
A PLATEAU OF CIRCA +4,000,000 WEEKLY C19 CASES IS HOLDING STEADY
+3,880,976 cases // daily avg = 554,425 = 385.0 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
+9,762 deaths // daily avg = 1,395 = 1 new death every minute, tendency: falling

FOR LESSER RUBRIK CHANGES DURING THIS TIME, SEE: RUBRIK WORKTABLE/HISTORY
-----------------------------------------​

The 22nd full week of 2022 showed a comparable result to the week before, despite the Pentecost Holiday in the Christian world.

Here the rubrik worktable:



Here the history exerpt:



From WorldOMeter:


The first two screenshots of the Worldwide figures (above) represents most of 80 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
These WorldOMeter screenshots are from 2022-06-007, 13:33 UTC +1 (07:33 ET), using the "2 days ago" function
For additional screenshots of these worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)

USA:
֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍****** 86,583,021 ******֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍
USA EXCEEDED 86,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES DURING THIS WEEK
+859,289 cases // daily avg = 122,756 = 85.2 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
+2,438 deaths // daily avg = 348 = 1 death every 5 minutes, tendency: rising
​

INDIA:
֍֍֍֍*** 43,181,335 ***֍֍֍֍
+25,586 cases // daily avg = 3,655 = 2.5 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
+90 deaths // daily avg = 13 = < 0.1 deaths every minute, tendency: falling​

BRAZIL:
֍֍֍* 31,153,765 *֍֍֍
BRAZIL EXCEEDED 31,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES DURING THIS WEEK
+200,186 cases // daily avg = 28,598 = 19.9 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
+560 deaths // rolling daily avg = 80 = < 0.1 deaths every minute, tendency: falling
​

FRANCE:
֍֍********* 29,641,606 *********֍֍
+162,168 cases // daily avg = 23,167 = 16.1 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
+298 deaths // daily avg = 43 = < 0.1 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
​

GERMANY:
֍֍****** 26,540,052 ******֍֍
+253,964 cases // daily avg = 36,281 = 25.2 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
+766 deaths // daily avg = 109 = < 0.1 deaths every minute, tendency: rising
​

UK:
֍֍** 22,332,381 **֍֍
+43,465 cases // daily avg = 6,209 = 4.3 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
+321 deaths // daily avg = 46 = < 0.1 deaths every minute, tendency: falling​

THE TOP-80 TABLES​

Here by total cases, descending:



The 80 nations I am tracking accounted for 96.74% of all worldwide cases and 96.00% of all deaths during the week being analysed. This is almost the exact same statistic as in the week before. The 80-nation tracking really is quite an effective statistical tool.


Here sorted by +cases / +avg cases:



CW-22 saw no countries with over +1,000,000 +cases and only one country with an average of over +100,000 cases per day (USA). North Korea and Taiwan were ranks 2 & 3, respectively. Germany, which was number 6 in this category last week, ROSE to rank 4. Hmmmmmm....

Here the same 80-nation list, sorted by growth rate:



Worldwide, the growth-rate in +cases was steady +0.72% (it was +0.75% the week before), this time having Greece exactly tracking the worldwide aggregate (Rank 15) Newcomers North Korea and Taiwan both still had double digit growth rates, but the are falling fast. 6 nations had +0% growth rate. This should also be noted.

Here, by trend:



We ended CW-21 with 23 nations at a plateau (the week before, it was 24 such nations), but with more than half of those plateaus a continuation of a plateau from the week before, an important data-point . 23 nations are now surging forward (the week before it was 20) leaving us with 34 nations that show their +cases receding (last week it was 38 ). We are seeing very stong evidence that the world is reaching a summer plateau of an average of around +4 million cases per week.

I would also like to note that in less than one month, we will have already reached the 1/2-year mark within the year 2022, which will -for financial reasons- likely bring a major adjustment in the figures for a number of nations right at the end of next month. Virtually every nation on earth has a proscribed, constitutionalls mandated yearly budget, but many have a half-year "checkpoint" to see if the overall money for a specific task in the budget is being used, or not. For instance, if a nation allocates 500 million USD for Covid-19 testing, but at the end of the 6th month, only 150 million of that money has been spent, then that country made indeed have an automatic clause that reduces the overall funding for the year to make it commensurate to the consumption of said money in the first half. Therefore, in order to not lose the allocated money, many nations suddenly step up testing in the 6th month in order to "protect" the budget for that task until the end of the FY. Of course, a massive increase in testing just in order to not lose a budget will invariably bring more positive results with it, so don't be surprised if a number of nations show a massive jump in numbers right around the last day of June 2022. I saw this happen in both 2020 and 2021 and expect it will happen again.

​

-Stat

 

Yesterday, 2022-06-007, Brazil reported +71,000 new C19 cases, a massive and unexpected jump.

 

Do you think that’s because the Brazilian govt is using up all the testing money before the end of the financial year?

 

I'm not sure in this case.

 

Its back over 11K in Florida.

My wife and I have Corona as we speak, although we are already recovering.

 

Wishing you both a speedy recovery.

 

~ Probably. Most of Latin America and Puerto Rico do that on a regular basis.

​

 

I think our government does it too. Many businesses that are government funded, such as hospitals, used to make sure they had nothing left in the budget on the 30 th of June.

 

~ Sad but true ...

 

Miami positivity rates hit 22%.

‘We should definitely be concerned.’ Miami-Dade’s COVID-19 cases, positivity rates soar
https://www.miamiherald.com/news/coronavirus/article262356487.html
On Monday, Miami-Dade County’s seven-day average COVID-19 positivity rate rose to 22 percent, up from a 5 percent rate on April 8, according to the county’s COVID-19 Daily Dashboard.

 

Don't forget to PCR test all the Coca Cola too!

 

Today is Saturday, 2022-06-011 and already we are a +4.2 million new C19 cases over last Sunday (CW22). Last Sunday, it was +3.8 million over the week before, so we are already guaranteed to see a verifiable rise in +cases in CW-23. Now, how much of that is due to figures not yet reported in at Pentecost weekend (some nations also take of Monday as part of Pentecost, for instance, Germany) and how much is really a surge (for instance, Brazil has taken off in the last days). I see that Portugal has jumped from 4.066 million to 4.917 million this week, so I suspect that the vast majority of the rise is to be found there. Portugal's figures were frozen for 4 weeks:



I had read reports that a surge was underway, but Portugal did not officially report anything during that time.

So, the aggregate results for CW-23 may prove to be very interesting.

-Stat

 

What exactly is your point?

 

Aaaaand the surprise of the week (CW-23) is MONGOLIA which was not even close to my 80-nation official tracking but will be now because that nation just jumped (today, in the last hours) from circa 500,000 total C19 cases to now just under 926,000 total C19 cases.

I indicated in the last 2 CW analyses that these kinds of things could very well happen close to the half-year point, probably for budgetary reasons.

-Stat

 

Is it safe to leave home yet?

 

Well, I never said you should leave your home.

Therefore, the question is whether you are scared of the boogey man outside, or not.

 

Life is always interesting!

 

It looks like I get a week to spend at home because I'm now Covid-19 positive.
My symptoms are very mild, I assume because of the booster.

 

Get well soon.

 

Be well soon, this forum needs more of you but that's just the tip !

 

Get well fast bro.
I caught the sucker in Jan, I was sick for 2 days, first day with 41C, second day like a Mac truck had plowed me under, 3rd day just tired. Tested negative on the fifth day was back to work after 6 days.

But most important, I stayed well hopft all the time, hydration is important, remember that.