Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

REFERENCE LINK, 2022 EDITION (new standing disclaimer as of 2022, written December 31,2021, online libraries, screenshot overflow links) / Also: OLDER EXCEL TRACKING DATA (2020-2021)

COVID-19 WEEKLY concise analysis: 2022-06-006 (Monday) through 2022-06-012 (Sunday)
(UTC +0, Greenwich = 20:00 UTC -5, East Coast of the USA)
CALENDAR WEEK 23
Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations from 20,000,000 COVID-19 cases upwards

THE SIG-FILE EXCEL TRACKING ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE FIGURES + 80 NATIONS
Of the 80 tracked nations, 6 dreadnaught nations are published here as screenshots on a weekly basis.
As of CW-13 "dreadnaught" nation was redefined as 20,000,000 total C19 cases and above.

+cases / +deaths refers to +WEEKLY cases and +WEEKLY deaths, naturally.

WORLDWIDE:
ΏΏΏΏΏ֍֍֍֍ 540,617,002 ֍֍֍֍ΏΏΏΏΏ
A MEASURABLE RISE IN +CASES, BUT ENTIRELY DUE TO 2 UNEXPECTED SURPRISES
+5,125,045 cases // daily avg = 732,149 = 508.4 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
+10,928 deaths // daily avg = 1,561 = 1.1 new deaths every minute, tendency: rising
THERE WERE NO MAJOR RUBRIK CHANGES DURING THIS TIME
SEE: RUBRIK WORKTABLE/HISTORY
-----------------------------------------​

The 23rd full week of 2022 showed a rise in +cases of more than +1.2 million more cases than in the week before, but 850,453 of them came from a sudden, massive jump in cases in Portugal and 455,342 of them came from the sudden addition of Mongolia into the official tracking, knocking Myanmar out of the tracking. That alone makes for more than +1.3 new cases, so without them, we would have ended the week with 100,000 less cases than the week before. That being said, 60 nations in the tracking either showed either an increase in cases or a continued plateau, leaving only 20 showing a reduction, but in those nations, the reductions were sometimes steep.

Two weeks ago, I wrote this:

I do believe this is happening already. For instance, this last week, Turkey went on radio-silence and reported absolutely nothing. The last time Turkey did this, in December of 2020, it suddenly added about +800,000 cases in one day, about 3 weeks before the end of a financial period, to note....

Here the rubrik worktable:



Here the history exerpt:



From WorldOMeter:


The first two screenshots of the Worldwide figures (above) represents most of 80 nations now being tracked daily by me. See: online excel-table
These WorldOMeter screenshots are from 2022-06-014, 09:31 UTC +1 (03:33 ET), using the "2 days ago" function
For additional screenshots of these worldwide figures, please use the "Reference Link" (top of analysis)

USA:
֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍******* 87,375,424 *******֍֍֍֍֍֍֍֍
USA EXCEEDED 87,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES DURING THIS WEEK
+792,403 cases // daily avg = 113,200 = 78.6 new cases every minute, tendency: falling
+2,250 deaths // daily avg = 321 = 1 death every 7 minutes, tendency: steady
​

INDIA:
֍֍֍֍*** 43,232,004 ***֍֍֍֍
+50,669 cases // daily avg = 7,238 = 5.0 new cases every minute, tendency: doubled
+70 deaths // daily avg = 10 = < 0.1 deaths every minute, tendency: steady​

BRAZIL:
֍֍֍* 31,456,865 *֍֍֍
+303,100 cases // daily avg = 43,300 = 30.0 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
+1,121 deaths // rolling daily avg = 160 = 0.1 deaths every minute, tendency: doubled
​

FRANCE:
֍֍********* 29,849,919 *********֍֍
FRANCE WILL EXCEED 30,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C-19 CASES THIS COMING WEEK
+208,313 cases // daily avg = 29,759 = 20.7 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
+285 deaths // daily avg = 41 = < 0.1 deaths every minute, tendency: steady
​

GERMANY:
֍֍****** 26,847,783 ******֍֍
GERMANY WILL EXCEED 27,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C-19 CASES THIS COMING WEEK
+306,931 cases // daily avg = 43,847 = 30.4 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
+435 deaths // daily avg = 62 = < 0.1 deaths every minute, tendency: falling
​

UK:
֍֍** 22,401,172 **֍֍
+68,791 cases // daily avg = 9,827 = 6.8 new cases every minute, tendency: rising
+413 deaths // daily avg = 59 = < 0.1 deaths every minute, tendency: rising​

THE TOP-80 TABLES​

Here by total cases, descending:



The 80 nations I am tracking accounted for 96.73% of all worldwide cases and 95.73% of all deaths during the week being analysed. This is almost the exact same statistic as in the week before. The 80-nation tracking really is quite an effective statistical tool. Mongolia unexpectedly entered the table, currently at rank 68, whereas Myanmar exited the table.


Here sorted by +cases / +avg cases:



CW-23 saw no countries with over +1,000,000 +cases and 2 countries with an average of over +100,000 cases per day (Portugal, USA). Taiwan, Mongolia and the DPRK (North Korea) were ranks 2-5, respectively, with Germany moving back to rank 6.

Here the same 80-nation list, sorted by growth rate:



Worldwide, during CW23 the growth-rate in +cases rose slightly to +0.95% (it was +0.72% the week before), this time with Brazil tracking the worldwide aggregate (Rank 13) the closest. Mongolia, Portugal and Taiwan all had double digit growth rates, but Portugal and Mongolia are not going to repeat this feat next week. 3 nations had +0% growth rate (last week, it was 6). This should also be noted.

Here, by trend:



We ended CW-23 with 22 nations at a plateau (the week before, it was 23 such nations), but with more than half of those plateaus a continuation of a plateau from the week before, an important data-point. 38 nations are now surging forward (the week before it was 23, so this is a big jump) leaving us with only 20 nations that show their +cases receding (last week it was 34). We are seeing very stong evidence in spite of this week's jump that the world is reaching a summer plateau of an average of around +4 million cases per week, but if more nations continue to surge, this may be a short-lived plateau.

There are two more full calendar weeks left in this month and 16 days until EOQ2, which is also the half-year mark for 2022.

Life comes at us fast

​

-Stat

 

A side-note to last week (end of CW-23):

only 7 of 80 tracked nations moved up in the rankings and none of the top 22 moved at all. Those 7 nations are:

Portugal (rank 23)
CPRK (rank 26)
Israel (rank 29)
Taiwan (rank 40)
New Zealand (rank 54)
Finnland (rank 59) - we often spell it "Finland" but the Finns themselves prefer the double "f" in the spelling, btw.
Mongolia (rank 68 - and Mongolia just joined the rankings)

 

Israel considering reimposing COVID mask mandate | Israel National News - Arutz Sheva

This is an unexpected development.

Apparently, a summer surge is now underway, with a number of Omikron undervariants in the mix.

 

One good thing about forced vacation is getting to catch up on music I love.

 

Give us an up-date about how you are doing.

 

By the way that ist gute mukke.

 

Yesterday, Thursday, 2022-06-016, France exceeded 30,000,000 total confirmed C-19 cases.



The current French total reflects 45.81% of the population of France.

Here the updated millions table:



This makes France the 4th nation on Earth to reach this marker.

-Stat

 

I just took the current C19 total for yesterday, Thursday, 2022-06-016 (543,057,999) and calculated the daily average of the total over the total from last Sunday:

543,057,999 - 540,617,002 = +2,440,997 / 4 = +610,249 per day

+610,249 per day is decidedly less than last week's overall average of +732,149. Still, if this 4 day average holds, we would end this week with +4.27 million cases. However, Saturdays and Sundays tend to be decidedly lighter, so I suspect we will land around at the +4 million, maybe +4.1 million that I have been predicting as a long-term plateau for the sommer (worldwide aggregate).

 

How are you going on day five of the plague?

 

Not great, but also not in danger. Still 2 stripes.

 

They are like the canary in the coal mine in the sense they offer a relatively compartmentalized and concentrated population to study. Usually they are 6 months ahead of Canada and the US. We also know when people go outside in the spring, summer, fall they do not wear masks and they wear them less inside and go to sporting and other mass events and this triggers breakouts although not as quickly as when people are inside together. I think its safe to say there are summer spikes for this reason and a sudden rise again when people go back in doors in October through March.

Given the outbreaks in China I also think it would be naive to think the virus has gone away. Its of course mutating. Whether its strains require new vaccines and are more or less dangerous no one can say definitively because that is the nature of viruses. There is no one size fits all answer. Now excuse me while I go cough all over someone and touch public toilet door handles. Have a nice sniff day.

 

This posting is imo brilliant and absolutely spot-on. There are at least 4 omikron undervariants scurrying around the BRD right now.

 

Now that "Death" has visited me while I have Covid-19 I feel much better!

Said the Reaper: have a grim day!

 

Stay gut gehopft, bro.
Day 5 you should be about done with the sucker.

 

Nope. Still positive. Unfortunately.

 

My eyes are seeing a precipitous and sudden rise in +C19 cases in Chile.

 

You are probably to sober, disinfect internally.

groeoeoeoeoeoeoeoehl

 

Oh LOL

 

No, no, use the light!

 

Even before Sunday comes and goes, thus ending CW-24, I can already report with 100% accuracy that the total case rankings will have budged the least in many, many, many months. When all is said and done, only two (maybe three) countries will have advanced in the rankings:

DPRK (North Korea) will have advanced to rank 24
Taiwan will have advanced to rank 38
There is also the possibility that UAE will slide past newcomer Mongolia and advance to rank 68.

How can I already write this now with such certainty? Well, because in most cases there is a gap of at least 100,000 between most all ranks and not one single country is advancing by +100,000 per day. It's an ability that my eyes have acquired after 2.5 years of analysing the WorldOMeter data in table format.

However, within the next three weeks, we are likely to see ranking movement from: Italy, Japan, Australia, Chile and continuining movement in Taiwan.

And for on down during the summer, a country like Brunei (currently rank 123) may suddenly appear on the Covid-19 radar. Just sayin'....

And it looks very much as if we will close in on just under +4 million cases for this week, maybe exactly +4 million, right at the plateau-mark I have been writing about the last number of weeks.

-Stat

 

Sigh. Still 2 stripes. This sucks.

 

You’re alive. You didn’t get the original virus.

 

But how are your symptoms. How do you feel.
Still 2 stripes, might have caught Omicron B4, which is now hitting Europe.

Had very interesting conversation with a young man who wants to buy my company, so I can retard.
We went through the financials of the last 5 years, which show the impact of covid in 19 and 20. He looked at me and ask, you stayed open. I said yes and he asked what was that to you, you smoke and you were already close to seventy. Covid he said dead meat. You did 7 days a week in here.. How did you feel, taking that chance.
Not confy but not scared, not fun, but then what are you supposed to do. Do what ever it takes not to get that sucker, follow every advice and then some. Live goes on, as long as it lasts. Be the first to get vaccinated and boostered.
But live goes on.
He told me had Covid last year. 2 weeks, sick as a dog, never been that sick, still has minor problems with long covid. He got vaccinated after that.
It was interesting to talk to a young person about Covid and what it is doing to small business. Its their first crisis in their lives.

I laughed my arse of when he told me I was dead meat before vaccinations, liked it, at least he is honest, but man does he still have to learn a lot about live and why dead meat like me are still enjoy their well earned Bier.

groeoeoeoeoeoeoeoehl

 

Too true.

 

Feeling considerably better and tested neg just two hours ago.



I just took the official quick test as well: also neg.

So, I am now as free as a bird!