Trump vs Biden Election 2020 Odds

It's not looking good at all for President Trump according to 538. He has dropped to 18% from 20% since last Thursday. Biden's odds have increased to 81% from 80%.



Biden has also increased his lead in the RPC average from 7.2% to 8.3%.
There is no change in the electoral college with Biden winning in a landslide 375 to 163.

 

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e...s/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

Looks like 2016 all over again.

 

The Trump campaign got derailed some when it lost its ability to hold large rallies due to covid. The initial debate performance derailed it further, and worse yet, Trump catching the virus, as you mentioned, has really derailed it.

In the meantime, Biden is out advertising Trump by a huge margin on TV. It seems like Biden is running day long infomercials while the Trump campaign is running few if any ads on TV.

Currently, Trump is behind in the poll I rely on, mostly over just the past week to 10 days. He still has a chance of turning it around, but they gotta get out and get their act together if they're going to gain enough ground back by Nov. 3.

 

Well the President is doing worse after the debate and his recovery from the China virus. Trump went down 4 from 18 to 14 while Biden went from 81 to 86.

Biden has increased his lead to 9.8% from 8.3%. Biden is now at 51.9% to Trump's 42.1%.

in spite of losing ground in the national polls, Trum is doing better in the electoral college map going from 163 to 180 while Biden went down to 358 from 375.

 

As of today, Rasmussen has Trump's approval rating at 49%, with 50% disapproving. That's a big jump up from the 10% deficit he had just 5 days ago. I'd say the race is about even right now.

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/current_events/politics/prez_track_oct12

Your predictive models are nice and colorful, but I don't think they're very accurate.

 

Yeah, I don't have much faith in them either. I see way too many lefties who have fled from the left and plan to vote for Trump. Plus, so many people tired of the violent riots and stifling lock downs. If Biden wins somehow, Gruber's stupid American voters showed up (or all the fraud voting worked).

 

Yeah, check this out. Biden is way ahead in Wisconsin and Michigan according to Politico.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/12/biden-wisconsin-michigan-poll-428975

 

Trump once again losing ground in the 538 odds.



Biden gains a few more tens of a percentage putting him in the double digit lead.



Electoral college remains unchanged.



That funny. Biden's winning Ohio.

 

BEWARE! Must-read thread of actual numbers versus polling in 2016 compared to 2020 will terrify journos and Democrats

https://twitchy.com/samj-3930/2020/...d-to-2020-will-terrify-journos-and-democrats/

 

my statements are accurate and oj simpson was acquitted, too

 

And Michelle Obama is a man. What does that have to do with Trump being acquitted?

 

The odds for Biden are up one point to 87 from 86, Trump remains the same at 13.


No change in the electoral map. Joe Biden is down .2% from a 10.2% lead to a 10% lead.

 

So, Trump has a better chance to beat Biden than he did Hillary? OK. As long as Trump wins, I'm fine with that.

 

Apparently everyone loves Joe more than Trump. If you don't believe the polls which are based on scientific polling data then you are a science denier and probably a flat earther. Also, you like Trump because you are a white supremacist and a fascist.

/sarc

 

These poll numbers are interesting in that when juxtaposed with rallies for Biden vs. Trump, Trump is typically drawing good crowds while no one goes to Bidens. I'm sure that are rationalizations for this but I don't buy them.

 

Neither do the voters...

 

I did see a Biden car parade that had 3 cars in it. No lie. If enthusiasm for a candidate wins over hatred for a candidate the Trump will prevail.

 

Trump benefited from swing voters last time, and it was very, very close.

Guess what.

 

The Biden Harris campaign is essentially dead........
honest members of the DNC may as well begin burial arrangements.............

and talks should begin to lure Oprah into this..........
strangely enough...... .President Donald J. Trump could be shockingly polite to her......... because his losing to Oprah... .would be no shame for him at all.......................!




Could Oprah replace Biden in this election?


My guess would be that his campaign would have to be that even Oprah..... could not clean up the Democratic Party... that it is too corrupt...... .but Oprah could sure give V. P. Pence a run for his money in 2024!

 

the average income for discussion forums like political forum tends to be seventy k annually and above...... most of the people here tend to have finished university. I didn't but I did do a couple of years of a business admin program.......... I could use spell check and grammar correct... but it is more fun to annoy the pefectionists here........

If most of the posters here are for President Trump then?????????????????????????????

My conclusions is that Biden - Harris are dead in the water...... .so......... draft Oprah!!!!!!

 

So while Trump is running around states that used to be deep Red, trying to avoid a blowout, you live in a fantasy world.

 

you're just demonstrating how dishonest you are, michelle is a woman and the evidence i posted demonstrates that trump is a crook, much like the evidence that showed oj simpson murdered his wife

 

There is much more evidence that Michelle is a man than there is Trump being a crook.

 

No change in the odds, still 13 for Trump 87 for Biden.

Biden dropped again in the national average to 9.2% from 10%.



Trump went down in the electoral college from 180 to 163, Biden up from 358 to 375.

180

 

If Biden has mental problems, Trump should be covered with a blanket.