USA not 1/1000th of the way through the Pandemic.

Discussion in 'Coronavirus Pandemic Discussions' started by Kurmugeon, Mar 31, 2020.

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  1. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    No, it quite literally is not. You are dividing the total confirmed deaths and infections against the global population as if every single person on the planet is subject to the same probability of infection. Population density and the amount of infection in a given area both have significant impacts on infection probability.

    Similarly, you can only die by the virus if you have the virus, so it is wholly inaccurate to divide the number of dead against the total population.

    Then you are admitting that you are pretending that the numbers are static. To do so while using the improper formula is fundamentally wrong.

    But you will do whatever necessary to reach your previously held conclusion. So if you are not scared by the numbers, wait another month and let me know if the static numbers on that day scares you.
     
  2. Texas Republican

    Texas Republican Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The WHO has no credibility. They've been the PR firm for China since January.
     
    Last edited: Apr 1, 2020
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  3. Rugglestx

    Rugglestx Well-Known Member

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    No it will not.

    But is sure sounds scary so keep using you baseless prediction to stir up fear and get attention.
     
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  4. Shonyman32

    Shonyman32 Well-Known Member

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    Very true statement. Free thinking is bad when it's not what the elites agree with.
     
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  5. Aleksander Ulyanov

    Aleksander Ulyanov Well-Known Member

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    We will be ready for that one with treatments and a vaccine, and so hardly notice it.

    Assuming we have a different President.
     
  6. Curious Always

    Curious Always Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Sigh. You are missing the time element. We're talking days, not a year. This is going up exponentially, and has been doing so for weeks.

    For the US

    The IHME modeled 899 dead today with a range of 806 - 970. The actual was 886.

    Tomorrow's projection is 1,036 with a range of 905-1132.

    Peak death per day is predicted to be 4/16, 2,607 deaths.

    Prediction model at country level, but you can filter on individual states. It predicts peak resource usage, shortage of beds, ICU beds & ventilators, and peak deaths. Scary stuff. https://covid19.healthdata.org/

    This is nothing like the average flu.
     
  7. Curious Always

    Curious Always Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    This is absolutely nothing like a seasonal flu. Yikes some of you are intentionally staying mis-informed. Even the president has said he's never seen anything like it. People recovering from it a month later still can't make it to their own bathroom without needing a break to catch their breath. This is nothing like the seasonal flu. Nothing.
     
  8. Curious Always

    Curious Always Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Please lookup the word "exponential." Seasonal flu rate is not exponential. This thing is crazy levels of exponential. Death count doubling every 3 days.
     
  9. Quasar44

    Quasar44 Banned

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    If not for Trump ..the entire US would be worse than Wuhan China
     
  10. Aleksander Ulyanov

    Aleksander Ulyanov Well-Known Member

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    Uh...as far as new cases and increasing infections, America IS worse than Wuhan China right now.

    Bigotry is no substitute for science.
     
  11. Quasar44

    Quasar44 Banned

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    How do you know ?? You don’t ..China covers it all up
     
  12. Quasar44

    Quasar44 Banned

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    Trump has done all he can

    Best to see what Virus does next
     
  13. Aleksander Ulyanov

    Aleksander Ulyanov Well-Known Member

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    And that is because Trump pulled all the people we had in there out to work on biological warfare.
     
  14. Quasar44

    Quasar44 Banned

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    I am sure you’re informed of classified military endeavors because some Lilliputians on CNN told you
     
  15. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    Exactly, A.U.

    At this point, there are NO "Talking Points" to "defend" Trump.

    Anybody associated with Trump's Trainwreck has a Thankless Job.

    Imagine (day in/day out) having to "Defend" that IMBECILE?

    Trump's inaction (and referring to the Virus as a "Hoax") will probably cost an extra 200k Lives.

    Just wow. :smh:

    [​IMG]
     
  16. TheAngryLiberal

    TheAngryLiberal Banned

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    I'm curious about the 38K dead and the Death rate is 23%. As of right now, there are almost a Million positive cases Worldwide of Coronavirus and 23% of that would be 230,000 Dead and I'm pretty sure the Numbers arn't that High yet and 38K would be 3.8%. From the latest Worldometer figures, 936,237 Infected and 47,249 Dead when I last checked, so that would put the Fatality rate at approximately 5%. Could you explain better how you came up with 23%
    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
     
    Last edited: Apr 2, 2020
  17. George Bailey

    George Bailey Well-Known Member

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    Millions of Americans have already had it and are asymptomatic. People who show signs are pre or diabetic and have a BMI typically 30 or above. Most others do fine.
     
  18. notme

    notme Well-Known Member

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    Last edited: Apr 2, 2020
  19. notme

    notme Well-Known Member

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    That number comes from the press conference the US president gave. And it has a nice zing to it... Trump lying about 22 deaths to think about how insignificant it is, while the estimations predict around 220,000. I've seen people being off by a factor 10 and a 100. But this really cuts the cake there, lil mikey. So fake.

    The U.S. has now surpassed China by over 700 COVID-19 fatalities — as the White House coronavirus task force said it projects 100,000 to 240,000 deaths from the virus and millions infected in the country.

    https://www.foxnews.com/health/coronavirus-deaths-top-4000-us-day-after-reaching-3000-mark
     
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  20. notme

    notme Well-Known Member

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    You're telling nothing new. And these projections are based on what the US, made by their best scientists with their best of their knowledge!!!, is going to happen. Are you here to say that you know it all better and it's not going to be this bad? Good lord... lol
     
  21. Aleksander Ulyanov

    Aleksander Ulyanov Well-Known Member

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  22. TOG 6

    TOG 6 Well-Known Member

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    If you're stupid enough to believe the numbers coming from China.
    If only you acted upon the latter, eh?
     
  23. TOG 6

    TOG 6 Well-Known Member

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    :lol:
    Bigotry is no substitute for science.
     
  24. TheAngryLiberal

    TheAngryLiberal Banned

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    Maybe these Virus's are all part of the Natural Order of things. The Earth can only sustain so many Lifeforms on it, before it decides to have Kill off and Heal itself of it's Itch. Kind of like when a Dog get's a Flea infestation, you spray Flea Medication all over it to end the Hosts suffering. You have to admit that HUMANS! have caused an incredible amount of damage to ecosystems around the World and the extinction of many other species with the burning of Tropical forest and the Polluting of it's Oceans

    . I'd like to think this is a Wake up call for the Human Population to regulate it's numbers and it's impact upon the World, but something about Human History tells me that History repeats and once were over this, it will be back to business as usual. We have short memories, Remember 9/11/2001, it was as Bad as Humanly possible, but only 19 Years later its as if it NEVER! happened.

    We'll forget about this Pandemic until the next one hits, because the Law of Averages prove that the Intelligent will NEVER! be able to regulate the STUPID, so were destined to fail again.
     
    Last edited: Apr 2, 2020
  25. TOG 6

    TOG 6 Well-Known Member

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    More likely this was a Chinese effort to control its population - by weeding out the old sick and weak - and got out of the lab before the genes that limit its effect to orientals could be added.
     

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