Republican Party Favorability Highest in Seven Years

I can see you just like hispanics can see the betrayal.

 

PI is having difficulty accepting reality that the Trump glory days are coming to close.

 

Yeah, What is up with Hispanic Voters and Democrats?

What's up with Hispanics and Democrats?

A Latin indicator for the 2018 election?

Hispanic Voters Worry Democrats:

Democrats are worried about Latino voters in the midterms, fearing that weak efforts to energize a core element of their base could imperil their bid to win control of Congress in next month's elections.

From the Sun Belt battlegrounds of Nevada and Arizona to sprawling turf wars in Texas and Florida, there are signs that the Hispanic vote – which party leaders have long hoped would be the foundation of future electoral success – has yet to flourish in their favor this year.​

The election down in South Texas? The GOP won. No GOP candidate had won that state Senate district in 130-something years. It is big majority-Hispanic district. What happened to the blue wave?

The blue team took the day off, or something like that, and a GOP Hispanic with a tough message on immigration won easily.

Was it an aberration or the canary in the mine? Keep your eyes on the other canary.

In May, the Democrat runoff had a historic low turnout: Democrats had their worst runoff turnout in almost a century!

How do you explain that runoff?

On election day 2016, Telemundo was discussing the election. By midnight, it looked as though it was over for Mrs. Clinton, and the moderator asked for an explanation. Democrats needed a better message than simply "I hate Trump" or he is a "racista."

Today, the message is more complicated because Hispanics are enjoying a good economy.

We will see on election day, but Democrats need a message. Hating Trump goes over well in the leftist corners, but maybe most Hispanics are not leftists.

https://www.americanthinker.com/blo...th_hispanics_and_democrats.html#ixzz5U1PVmlgV

 

I think gop enthusiasm is way up in red states, partially due to Trump's "rallies" (lock them up!) and Kavenaugh's confirmation (anti-abortion)

But that's probably having a negative effect in select House swing districts that more often than not have suburban voters.

I don't know about Trump and a second term. I've heard there are other men like me who don't really have an issue with the guy on policies. I mean, the only negative trade his admin is really pushing is on China, and making abortion impossible to get in Mississippi doesn't really affect me because my daughter lives in Pa. If I can get another raise in three years ... whoopee!

On the other hand, the man is conman and a pig. Illegal aliens never hurt me, and if we don't want meat packers to hire them, we could fine the meat packers. Good luck finding slaughterhouse workers. And I'm too old to lay cement or put on roofs. The tax cut was more or less a wash, and that's because I have low state taxes.

 

Probably many like you.

The Kavanaugh confirmation is the current high water mark of the conservative resurgence in America that began nearly ten years ago, when Barack Obama was elected president and the Democrats began steadily losing legislative seats across the country, first at the state level (1,000-plus and counting) and then nationally. Trump Derangement Syndrome (TDS), whose primary symptom before violent tantrums is denial of reality, led the Democrats to engage in tactics against Judge Kavanaugh that might have been surefire winners prior to the Trump era, however unprecedented they might be in their degree of viciousness and disregard for over a thousand years' tradition of civil justice.

The left is not conceding defeat, but doubling down, vandalizing buildings where Republicans congregate, banning conservative voices on social media, disrupting traffic, threatening physical violence, and vowing not to restore civility until leftists are back in power.

These are the behaviors not of winners, but of cornered rats. We are winning.

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/10/the_end_of_the_beginning.html

 

The Kavanaugh red tide mark is slipping back out to an indifferent GOP voter base.

 

Why does it matter what color his skin is?

Why do libs base everything on skin color?

 

Where do you get your data on that?

 

I certainly didn't summon witches to end it!

Krysten Sinema Summoned... Witches

Moderate, Centrist

The Democrats are all so normal and non-insane, it's unbelievable.

It was during the height of the Iraq War when Sinema, then a far-left protest organizer, summoned supernatural help to stop the Iraq War.

Emails obtained by the Washington Examiner show Sinema inviting a prominent group of feminist witches in Arizona called Pagan Cluster to celebrate International Women’s Day and to protest the war in March of 2003. Code Pink protesters wore pink, obviously enough, and the Women in Black wore black. But Sinema encouraged the witches to wear "colorful clothing and come ready to dance, twirl, and stay in touch with your inner creativity and with the Earth."

The Sinema campaign would not say why she invited the witches or clarify why she thought members of the occult deserved a seat at the table during discussions concerning war and peace. The witches in question, it should be noted, claim to practice only nonviolent magic. Per the about section on their webpage, theirs is a peaceful and democrat kind of sorcery.

Out of the broom closet and into the public square, the Pagan Cluster focuses "sharing spiritual insights and participating in direct democracy." Their visions are decidedly liberal and many of their coven "have roots in the Reclaiming Tradition of feminist Witchcraft."​

The Sinema Sins.

Tell me more about how crazy conventional religions are, Progressives.

 

If you find a link I'll look.
This is the last one I saw.
Overall, whites with a four-year college degree or more education made up 30% of all validated voters. Among these voters, far more (55%) said they voted for Clinton than for Trump (38%). Among the much larger group of white voters who had not completed college (44% of all voters), Trump won by more than two-to-one (64% to 28%).
http://www.people-press.org/2018/08...he-2016-electorate-based-on-validated-voters/

 

We HAD a THREAD on this in the FORUMS awhile back which proved the poll was WRONG and that only 39% of all college graduates actually voted. The thread was several pages long and your side lost that argument. Do you seriously want me to dig up the old thread?

 

Who cares how many voted.
It's a simple question:
Did more grads vote for Clinton that Trump?
Did more people with high school education or less vote for Trump.
Since these are based on exit polls use percentages please.

 

Now this is JUST Sad! Let me type this slowly, so you can follow it.

The Congressional Electorate is NOT the Generic Ballot!

ABC: Generic Ballot In Battleground Districts Is R+1



ABC News’ Rick Klein takes a look at the current generic-ballot polling from the latest Washington Post/ABC partnership and notes that the double-digit Democratic lead, almost all of it comes in districts well in hand for Democrats — and that the battleground looks far different:

Inside the 66 districts that are tossups/leaners, — the majority makers, or breakers — it's a 46-47 Dems-Republicans race.

WaPo/ABC poll’s numbers from the 66 battleground districts would tend to make it difficult for Democrats to win control of the House. They need a 23-seat flip, which means they’d have to win 45 of those seats in an aggregate R+1 environment that slightly favors Republicans. It’s not impossible, but it’s not the way I’d bet.

Some See A Red Wave coming rather than a blue one. If that happens, Democrats will have done it to themselves:

This November, the question is: What will encourage the conservative populist coalition that put Donald Trump in the White House to vote for Republican candidates — and help keep their majorities — in both the House and Senate?

Would it be the president himself?

No.

If you understood what happened at all in 2016, the election was never about him. He didn’t cause the coalition to form, he was the result of it. …

The Democrats could be in trouble. And if the Democrats keep supporting people who claw at the doors of the Supreme Court in protest, or harass Republicans and their families at dinners, or talk nonstop about impeachment or echo Hillary Clinton’s sentiment that: “You cannot be civil with a political party that wants to destroy what you stand for,” then they may stop their own blue wave mid-flow.​

https://hotair.com/archives/2018/10/15/abc-generic-ballot-battleground-districts-r1/

Betting Odds.

GOP Holds Senate Majority: 83% and Picks Up Two Additional Seats

GOP Holds House 35%

https://electionbettingodds.com/

 

I used to have the thread book marked but lost all of my book marks and I can't seem to find the thread. Here is the story:

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/29/opinion/2016-exit-polls-election.html

I did find a thread on here that said 10% of all college grads think Judge Judy is on the supreme court so having an education means nothing.

 

This is a vital question, one that everyone is speculating about. Most critical lefties believe the midterms are a referendum on Trump and that since he is so deplorable a blue wave (really a tsunami) will sweep every Republican contender away and install a Democrat in their place. Critical lefties believe everyone realizes the only way to get rid of Trump is to impeach him and this requires a majority in the legislature, so everyone will vote for a Democrat who will vote to impeach Trump.

I think many will favor Trump in this referendum on his leadership; they will appreciate his booming economy, the boost to their income from tax reform, be glad for his judiciary appointments and regulatory reforms, support his embassy in Jerusalem and denuclearization with Kim.

We get differing interpretations of what the midterms will produce, I think all are plausible, I haven't found any certain enough. I'm confident the Senate will retain a Republican majority, expect they'll actually gain there. For the House of Representatives it seems more volatile, Republicans have an advantage due to "safe" seats in precincts that voted for Trump. I really don't believe there's a huge groundswell for some socialistic style radical reform, we're not going to get massive income redistribution, free college and universal mandatory healthcare.

 

ronv is correct.

 

Trump believes the mid-terms are about him, that is why he is saying, "A vote for Mia Love is a vote for me."

 

Zorro's conclusion is in error.

The generic congressional ballot is almost a dozen points up for the Dems, and higher in many suburban districts.

Go back and read those polls.

 

Immigration plays a big part in the GOP resurgence.

WHAT WAS YOUR FIRST CLUE? The Economist: Liberals need a new approach to immigration.

Matteo Salvini, Italy’s hard-right interior minister, deputy prime minister and leader of its Northern League, is surging in the popularity polls. Mr Salvini is likely in due course to become Italy’s leader in large part because of his uncompromising stance on immigration. “People whose only contact with immigrants is with the Filipino servant who takes the dog for a walk in the evening are in favour of immigration, but they have no idea of how immigration is lived in the peripheries,” he said in July.

That, in a nutshell, is the charge made against smug liberals who champion “open borders”. They get all the benefits of large-scale migration from low-wage countries: cheap nannies, Uber drivers, decorators, waiters, sandwich-makers, chambermaids and dog-walkers. But they don’t rely on public housing, tend to have private health-care and often pay for private education so that their children are not brought up in classes where, in some cases, their native tongue is spoken by a minority.

Meanwhile those locals not so fortunate as the cosmopolitan elite (who kid themselves that they deserve their good fortune because they worked hard, ignoring that they started life on third base) often compete with people who will work for less because they are prepared to live in dorms or bedsits, having left their families at home.​

If immigrants were undercutting the wages of lawyers, bankers, journalists, and politicians, every nation would have a wall.

 

Michigan Dem Gretchen Whitmer Crashed Into Parked Car in 2016, Witness Said She Was "Intoxicated" (a Beto #MeToo)

 

Sure, Zorro, sure. To the polls reflect that.

 

Absolutely!

Immigration sure is a major consideration for conservatives, I don't think it is as important to us as the economic boom. I think lefties are more concerned with Trump than over immigration.

It is also true immigration has a worse effect the lower one's income level; affluent people favor immigrants as they reduce their expenses, but immigrants compete with poor citizens for jobs and the limited resources governments provide for the more needy.

 

"The Electoral college s a disaster for a democracy" - Donald J. Trump ... before he had to rely on the Electoral College to win.

 

DJT could not have won without the EC.

 

True. Obama won both the Electoral College AND the popular vote. Twice.
Reagan won BOTH the Electoral College AND the popular vote. Twice.

Trump ain't so special.