The Electoral College achieved what the Framers feared most

Discussion in 'Political Opinions & Beliefs' started by Sandy Shanks, Dec 16, 2019.

  1. Aleksander Ulyanov

    Aleksander Ulyanov Well-Known Member

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    Because more people live there, not because they have won the EC lottery. It is only logical to campaign more in states that have people and it is not CA and NY's fault that all the other state's are miserable shitholes :p (nor any wonder they support such crappy candidates)
     
    Last edited: Dec 18, 2019
  2. Hoosier8

    Hoosier8 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    You mean streets not covered in feces and clean air? LOL
     
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  3. Aleksander Ulyanov

    Aleksander Ulyanov Well-Known Member

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    And all the empty Photoshop boxes everywhere.

    You need to look up the derivation of the word "bucolic"
     
    Last edited: Dec 18, 2019
  4. Hoosier8

    Hoosier8 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    You can thank the globalists for that. At least Trump is tackling that compared to the last 4 Presidents pushing it.
     
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  5. Aleksander Ulyanov

    Aleksander Ulyanov Well-Known Member

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    True enough, Trump and Trumpers are responsible for most of the photographic fraud being done on the Internet today.
     
  6. RodB

    RodB Well-Known Member Donor

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    Your post correctly says it was your worst hear. It was not the framers worst fear as your title says. The framers were much more fearful and concerned that did not know how to contain a rogue House from impeaching the president for political gain. That fear is currently being realized in 2019; yours was back in 2016........ which is way we know have the impeachment fear being realized.
     
  7. TOG 6

    TOG 6 Well-Known Member

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    How do you not understand that, absent the cooperation of Congress, the NPVC violates Article 1 Sec 10:3 of the Constitution?

    No State shall, without the Consent of Congress, lay any duty of Tonnage, keep Troops, or Ships of War in time of Peace, enter into any Agreement or Compact with another State, or with a foreign Power, or engage in War, unless actually invaded, or in such imminent Danger as will not admit of delay.
     
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  8. TOG 6

    TOG 6 Well-Known Member

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    Across several topics, in violation of board rules, no less.
     
    Last edited: Dec 18, 2019
  9. william kurps

    william kurps Banned

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    Why dont the Democrats presidential candidates have policies that appeal to all voters ?
     
  10. mvymvy

    mvymvy Member

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    Again. Democrats on the coasts do NOT outnumber Republicans in the country.

    Clinton won 487 counties nationwide, compared with 2,626 for Donald Trump.

    Winning counties, with wildly different population numbers, is not the basis for electoral victory

    Because of the current state-by-state winner-take-all system of awarding electoral votes (not mentioned in the U.S. Constitution, but later enacted by 48 states) . . .
    a “ small number of Americans are the ones who really matter. “

    "The reality is: Given our Electoral College and our current politics, national elections are decided in this country in a few precincts, in a few key swing states," former DHS Secretary Jeh Johnson
    The former secretary of DHS, Kirstjen Nielsen, echoed those comments– 3/21/18

    According to Tony Fabrizio, pollster for the Trump campaign, the president’s narrow victory was due to 5 counties in 2 states (not CA or NY).

    In 2012, under the current state-by-state winner-take-all system (not mentioned in the U.S. Constitution, but later enacted by 48 states), voters in just 60 counties and DC could have won in states with 270 electoral votes to elect the president in 2012 – even though they represented just 26.3% of voters.

    5,187,019 Californians live in rural areas.
    1,366,760 New Yorkers live in rural areas.

    Now, because of statewide winner-take-all laws for awarding electors, minority party voters in the states don’t matter.

    California and New York state together would not dominate the choice of President under National Popular Vote because there is an equally populous group of Republican states (with 58 million people) that gave Trump a similar percentage of their vote (60%) and a similar popular-vote margin (6 million).

    In 2016, New York state and California Democrats together cast 9.7% of the total national popular vote.

    California & New York state account for 16.7% of the voting-eligible population

    Alone, they could not determine the presidency.

    In total New York state and California cast 16% of the total national popular vote

    In total, Florida, Texas, and Pennsylvania cast 18% of the total national popular vote.
    Trump won those states.

    The vote margin in California and New York wouldn't have put Clinton over the top in the popular vote total without the additional 60 million votes she received in other states.

    In 2004, among the four largest states, the two largest Republican states (Texas and Florida) generated a total margin of 2.1 million votes for Bush, while the two largest Democratic states generated a total margin of 2.1 million votes for Kerry.

    New York state and California together cast 15.7% of the national popular vote in 2012.
    About 62% Democratic in CA, and 64% in NY.

    New York and California have 15.6% of Electoral College votes. Now that proportion is all reliably Democratic.

    Under a popular-vote system CA and NY would have less weight than under the current system because their popular votes would be diluted among candidates
     
  11. mvymvy

    mvymvy Member

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    Of COURSE, no party's presidential candidate could have policies that appeal to all voters.
     
  12. mvymvy

    mvymvy Member

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    Again.
    The Interstate Compact on Placement of Children is one of the many interstate compacts that do not require (and never received) congressional consent.

    The U.S. Supreme Court has ruled that congressional consent is only necessary for interstate compacts that ‘encroach upon or interfere with the just supremacy of the United States [U.S. Steel Corporation v. Multistate Tax Commission, 1978].’ Because the choice of method of appointing presidential Electors is an “exclusive” and “plenary” state power, there is no encroachment on federal authority.

    Thus, under established compact jurisprudence, congressional consent would not be necessary for the National Popular Vote compact to become effective.
     
  13. mvymvy

    mvymvy Member

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    A successful nationwide presidential campaign of polling, organizing, ad spending, and visits, with every voter equal, would be run the way presidential candidates campaign to win the electoral votes of closely divided battleground states, such as Ohio and Florida, under the state-by-state winner-take-all methods. In the 4 states that accounted for over two-thirds of all general-election activity in the 2012 presidential election, rural areas, suburbs, exurbs, and cities all received attention—roughly in proportion to their population.

    The itineraries of presidential candidates in battleground states (and their allocation of other campaign resources in battleground states, including polling, organizing, and ad spending) reflect the political reality that every gubernatorial or senatorial candidate knows. When and where every voter is equal, a campaign must be run everywhere.

    With National Popular Vote, when every voter is equal, everywhere, it makes sense for presidential candidates to try and elevate their votes where they are and aren't so well liked. But, under the state-by-state winner-take-all laws, it makes no sense for a Democrat to campaign in any Red or Blue state, or for a Republican to campaign in any Red or Blue state

    The main media at the moment, TV, costs much more per impression in big cities than in smaller towns and rural area. Candidates get more bang for the buck in smaller towns and rural areas.
     
  14. william kurps

    william kurps Banned

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    Exactly you want to eliminate rural politics all together.
     
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  15. william kurps

    william kurps Banned

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    Reagan won it all except Minnesota
     
  16. Dispondent

    Dispondent Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The EC worked as intended. What is continually left out of these conversations is that 1 in 5 Hillary votes was cast in NY and CA. Do the math, that means she did pretty poorly in the rest of America. If she was so popular why couldn't she win half the states? Why did more people stay home than vote for her? The 'popular vote' has no meaning in this country beyond an excuse for Democrats to whine when they lose... :)
     
  17. TOG 6

    TOG 6 Well-Known Member

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    Exactly.
    Hillary won one election by 4 million votes; she "won" the "popular vote" by 3 million votes.
    This means she --lost-- the other 50 elections by an aggregate of 1 million votes.
    The EC worked as intended.
     
    Last edited: Dec 18, 2019
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  18. Sandy Shanks

    Sandy Shanks Banned

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    Even Trump's supporters have to admit that Trump has been an extremely divisive President. He has pitted American against American, party against party, lawmaker against lawmaker, and very little has been accomplished during the Trump administration, not even when Republicans controlled all three branches of the government.

    Even Trump's supporters have to admit that Vladimir Putin must enormously pleased with Trump.

    The Times reports, "Speaker Nancy Pelosi said President Trump had left Congress “no choice” but to proceed with impeachment. Final votes on two articles — abuse of power and obstruction of Congress — are expected this evening."

    Real estate mogul, billionaire, reality show host, late-night show punch line, populist rabble rouser, norm-busting leader — impeached president.

    Beyond the immediate ramifications of the all-but-certain outcome of this week’s vote, impeachment will always be attached to President Donald Trump. Years from now, it will be one of the first things students are taught about the 45th president.

    It’s a reality that has tormented past presidents who faced the prospect of impeachment. In the days before his resignation, President Richard Nixon confessed to Secretary of State Henry Kissinger his fears that Watergate would define his legacy. President Bill Clinton fretted behind closed doors about how history books would paint him, even as he projected a dismissive attitude in public.

    “For Trump, now impeachment will appear in the opening paragraph of his life,” said presidential historian Douglas Brinkley.


    https://www.politico.com/news/2019/12/18/trump-tainted-impeachment-086749
     
  19. TOG 6

    TOG 6 Well-Known Member

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    I'll give you a bit to spam this across 3-4 topics.
    Enjoy.
     
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  20. mvymvy

    mvymvy Member

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    In the 2016 US presidential election, one cannot conveniently pretend away the popular votes of any state(s).

    5,187,019 Californians live in rural areas.

    Now, because of statewide winner-take-all laws for awarding electors, minority party voters in the states don’t matter.

    There are 5 million Republicans in California. That is a larger number of Republicans than 47 other states.

    Trump got more votes in California than he got in Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi and West Virginia combined.
    None of the votes in California for Trump, helped Trump.

    California Democratic votes in 2016 were 6.4% of the total national popular vote.

    The vote difference in California wouldn't have put Clinton over the top in the popular vote total without the additional 61.5 million votes she received in other states.

    California cast 10.3% of the total national popular vote.
    31.9% Trump, 62.3% Clinton

    61% of an equally populous Republican base area of states running from West Virginia to Wyoming (termed “Appalachafornia”) votes were for Trump. He got 4,475,297 more votes than Clinton.
    With the National Popular Vote bill in effect, all votes for all candidates in California and Appalachafornia will matter equally.

    In 2012, California cast 10.2% of the national popular vote.
    About 62% Democratic

    California has 10.2% of Electoral College votes.

    8 small western states, with less than a third of California’s population, provided Bush with a bigger margin (1,283,076) than California provided Kerry (1,235,659).

    With the National Popular Vote bill in effect, all Republican votes in California and every other state will matter.

    The current winner-take-all method of awarding electoral votes is not in the U.S. Constitution. It was not debated at the Constitutional Convention. It is not mentioned in the Federalist Papers. It was not the Founders’ choice. It was used by only three states in 1789, and all three of them repealed it by 1800. It is not entitled to any special deference based on history or the historical meaning of the words in the U.S. Constitution. The actions taken by the Founding Fathers make it clear that they never gave their imprimatur to the winner-take-all method. The winner-take-all method of awarding electoral votes became dominant only in the 1880s after the states adopted it, one-by-one, in order to maximize the power of the party in power in each state. The Founders had been dead for decades

    The constitutional wording does not encourage, discourage, require, or prohibit the use of any particular method for awarding a state's electoral votes.

    States have the responsibility and constitutional power to make all of their voters relevant in every presidential election and beyond. Now, 38 states, of all sizes, and their voters, because they vote predictably, are politically irrelevant in presidential elections.

    The National Popular Vote bill is 73% of the way to guaranteeing the majority of Electoral College votes and the presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in the country, by changing state winner-take-all laws (not mentioned in the U.S. Constitution, but later enacted by 48 states), without changing anything in the Constitution, using the built-in method that the Constitution provides for states to make changes.

    All voters would be valued equally in presidential elections, no matter where they live.
     
  21. mvymvy

    mvymvy Member

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    No. New York state and California Democrats together cast 9.7% of the total national popular vote

    5,187,019 Californians live in rural areas.
    1,366,760 New Yorkers live in rural areas.

    Now, because of statewide winner-take-all laws for awarding electors, minority party voters in the states don’t matter.

    California and New York state together would not dominate the choice of President under National Popular Vote because there is an equally populous group of Republican states (with 58 million people) that gave Trump a similar percentage of their vote (60%) and a similar popular-vote margin (6 million).
    In 2016, New York state and California Democrats together cast 9.7% of the total national popular vote.

    California & New York state account for 16.7% of the voting-eligible population

    Alone, they could not determine the presidency.
    In total New York state and California cast 16% of the total national popular vote

    In total, Florida, Texas, and Pennsylvania cast 18% of the total national popular vote.
    Trump won those states.

    The vote margin in California and New York wouldn't have put Clinton over the top in the popular vote total without the additional 60 million votes she received in other states.

    In 2004, among the four largest states, the two largest Republican states (Texas and Florida) generated a total margin of 2.1 million votes for Bush, while the two largest Democratic states generated a total margin of 2.1 million votes for Kerry.

    New York state and California together cast 15.7% of the national popular vote in 2012.
    About 62% Democratic in CA, and 64% in NY.

    New York and California have 15.6% of Electoral College votes. Now that proportion is all reliably Democratic.

    Under a popular-vote system CA and NY would have less weight than under the current system because their popular votes would be diluted among candidates.
     
  22. mvymvy

    mvymvy Member

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    With current statewide winner-take-all laws, a presidential candidate could lose despite winning 78%+ of the popular vote and 39 smaller states.

    With the current state-by-state winner-take-all system of awarding electoral votes (not mentioned in the U.S. Constitution, but later enacted by 48 states), it could only take winning a bare plurality of popular votes in only the 11 most populous states, containing 56% of the population of the United States, for a candidate to win the Presidency with less than 22% of the nation's votes!

    But the political reality is that the 11 largest states, with a majority of the U.S. population and electoral votes, rarely agree on any political candidate. In 2016, among the 11 largest states: 7 voted Republican(Texas, Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Georgia) and 4 voted Democratic (California, New York, Illinois, and New Jersey). The big states are just about as closely divided as the rest of the country. For example, among the four largest states, the two largest Republican states (Texas and Florida) generated a total margin of 2.1 million votes for Bush, while the two largest Democratic states generated a total margin of 2.1 million votes for Kerry.

    In 2004, among the 11 most populous states, in the seven non-battleground states, % of winning party, and margin of “wasted” popular votes, from among the total 122 Million votes cast nationally:

    * Texas (62% R), 1,691,267

    * New York (59% D), 1,192,436

    * Georgia (58% R), 544,634

    * North Carolina (56% R), 426,778

    * California (55% D), 1,023,560

    * Illinois (55% D), 513,342

    * New Jersey (53% D), 211,826


    To put these numbers in perspective,

    Oklahoma (7 electoral votes) generated a margin of 455,000 "wasted" votes for Bush in 2004 -- larger than the margin generated by the 9th and 10th largest states, namely New Jersey and North Carolina (each with 15 electoral votes).

    Utah (5 electoral votes) generated a margin of 385,000 "wasted" votes for Bush in 2004.

    8 small western states, with less than a third of California’s population, provided Bush with a bigger margin (1,283,076) than California provided Kerry (1,235,659).
     
  23. mvymvy

    mvymvy Member

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    More people stayed home than voted for Trump.

    With the current system of electing the President, none of the states requires that a presidential candidate receive anything more than the most popular votes in order to receive all of the state's or district’s electoral votes.

    Since 1828, one in six states have cast their Electoral College votes for a candidate who failed to win the support of 50 percent of voters in their state


    Since 1824 there have been 17 presidential elections in which a candidate was elected or reelected without gaining a majority of the popular vote.-- including Lincoln (1860), Wilson (1912 and 1916), Truman (1948), Kennedy (1960), Nixon (1968), Clinton (1992 and 1996), and Trump.
     
  24. mvymvy

    mvymvy Member

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    “ Let’s quit pretending there is some great benefit to the national good that allows the person with [fewer] votes to win the White House. Republicans have long said that they believe in competition. Let both parties compete for votes across the nation and stop disenfranchising voters by geography. The winner should win.” – Stuart Stevens (Republican)

    In Gallup polls since they started asking in 1944 until the 2016 election, only about 20% of the public supported the current system of awarding all of a state's electoral votes to the presidential candidate who receives the most votes in each separate state (not mentioned in the U.S. Constitution, but later enacted by 48 states) (with about 70% opposed and about 10% undecided).

    When asked the simple question “Do you think the person who wins the most votes nationwide should become the president?” 74% of all Americans surveyed say yes.

    Support for a national popular vote for President has been strong among Republicans, Democrats, and Independent voters, as well as every demographic group in every state surveyed. In the 41 red, blue, and purple states surveyed, overall support has been in the 67-81% range - in rural states, in small states, in Southern and border states, in big states, and in other states polled.

    There are several scenarios in which a candidate could win the presidency in 2020 with fewer popular votes than their opponents. It could reduce turnout more, as more voters realize their votes do not matter.

    Most Americans don't ultimately care whether their presidential candidate wins or loses in their state or district. Voters want to know, that no matter where they live, even if they were on the losing side, their vote actually was equally counted and mattered to their candidate. Most Americans think it is wrong that the candidate with the most popular votes can lose. It undermines the legitimacy of the electoral system. We don't allow this in any other election in our representative republic.
    The National Popular Vote bill was approved in 2016 by a unanimous bipartisan House committee vote in both Georgia (16 electoral votes) and Missouri (10).

    Since 2006, the bill has passed 40 state legislative chambers in 24 rural, small, medium, large, Democratic, Republican and purple states with 271 electoral votes, including one house in Arizona (11), Arkansas (6), Maine (4), Michigan (16), Minnesota (10), North Carolina (15), and Oklahoma (7), and both houses in Nevada (6).

    The bill has been enacted by 16 small, medium, and large jurisdictions with 196 electoral votes – 73% of the way to guaranteeing the majority of Electoral College votes and the presidency to the candidate with the most national popular votes.
     
  25. mvymvy

    mvymvy Member

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    Trump, October 12, 2017 in Sean Hannity interview
    “I would rather have a popular vote. “

    Trump, November 13, 2016, on “60 Minutes”
    “ I would rather see it, where you went with simple votes. You know, you get 100 million votes, and somebody else gets 90 million votes, and you win. There’s a reason for doing this. Because it brings all the states into play.”

    In 2012, the night Romney lost, Trump tweeted.
    "The phoney electoral college made a laughing stock out of our nation. . . . The electoral college is a disaster for a democracy."

    In 1969, The U.S. House of Representatives voted for a national popular vote by a 338–70 margin.

    Presidential candidates who supported direct election of the President in the form of a constitutional amendment, before the National Popular Vote bill was introduced: George H.W. Bush (R-TX-1969), Bob Dole (R-KS-1969), Gerald Ford (R-MI-1969), Richard Nixon (R-CA-1969), Jimmy Carter (D-GA-1977), and Hillary Clinton (D-NY-2001).

    Past presidential candidates with a public record of support, before November 2016, for the National Popular Vote bill that would guarantee the majority of Electoral College votes and the presidency to the candidate with the most national popular votes: Bob Barr (Libertarian- GA), U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R–GA), Congressman Tom Tancredo (R-CO), and Senator Fred Thompson (R–TN),
     

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