Climate deniers don't deny climate change any more

Discussion in 'Science' started by Bowerbird, Mar 3, 2024.

  1. Nathan-D

    Nathan-D Active Member

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    Just subscribing to the consensus opinions of the official experts of the day is not you knowing what the climate is doing, is it?

    Also, is there really a scientific consensus on CAGW?
     
    Last edited: Apr 29, 2024
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  2. Nathan-D

    Nathan-D Active Member

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    I'm just posting what Humlum et al (2013) found.
     
    Last edited: Apr 29, 2024
  3. Mitty

    Mitty Newly Registered

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    That's just your personal opinion, and I prefer to accept the consensus of professional scientists and not cherry pickers. And as a retired horticultural scientist and orchardist I can clearly see the changes in yearly temperatures and the climate changes, and I just paid the cherry pickers to pick the fruit.

    And it doesn't change the fact that there is a nett loss of ice on Greenland and the Antarctic Peninsula, and the glaciers are receding during my lifetime, even if some believe the green fairies are digging it up.
     
    Last edited: Apr 29, 2024
  4. Nathan-D

    Nathan-D Active Member

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    Last edited: Apr 29, 2024
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  5. Mitty

    Mitty Newly Registered

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    That's just your personal opinion.

    What actual scientific evidence do you have to support your hypothesis that human activity does not increase atmospheric CO2, and that increases in atmospheric CO2 doesn't increase global temperatures from the green-house effect?
     
    Last edited: Apr 29, 2024
  6. Nathan-D

    Nathan-D Active Member

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    You appear to have misunderstood the nature of the skeptics’ case. It needs no support in fact. We skeptics do not have to prove or disprove anything. As an advocate of the (C)AGW-case, the onus of proving it rests wholly on you. Hence it is your case that needs support, not ours.
     
  7. Mitty

    Mitty Newly Registered

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    That's your issue, not mine!!! And none of your skepticism is changing the fact that fossil fuels are being replaced with renewable energy sources.
    Amen Amen
     
    Last edited: Apr 29, 2024
  8. Nathan-D

    Nathan-D Active Member

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    The present generation of renewables is hardly a provider of energy-security! If the Sun doesn't shine our photovoltaics are no good and if the wind doesn't blow our windfarms are useless.
     
  9. Mitty

    Mitty Newly Registered

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    Amen Amen
    Once upon a time they didn't use fossil fuels either.
    And in the not too distant future they won't be able to use them when they run out anyway.
     
    Last edited: Apr 29, 2024
  10. politicalcenter

    politicalcenter Well-Known Member

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    Oh, yes, that is exactly the problem and few will argue that we are prepared for the future even with fossil fuels. But it is getting warmer on average, world wide. That is history. And with history you get crackpots and people that just make stuff up. Just because our solution sucks it doesn't mean we don't have a problem.
     
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  11. politicalcenter

    politicalcenter Well-Known Member

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    Then they will have fuel....just costa lot.
     
  12. Media_Truth

    Media_Truth Well-Known Member Donor

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    No Tricks Zone - Quackery rating.

    NoTricksZone_MediaBias.JPG
     
  13. Nathan-D

    Nathan-D Active Member

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    However you feel about NoTricksZone, it doesn't change the conclusions of the scientific paper.
     
  14. Media_Truth

    Media_Truth Well-Known Member Donor

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    Quackery cannot be trusted. And it's not how I feel. It's the rating of Media Bias Fact Check.
     
  15. politicalcenter

    politicalcenter Well-Known Member

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  16. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    That's just more denial.
     
  17. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Increased solar radiation is what has driven warming.
    Post-1980s Increases In Shortwave Radiation Explains Europe’s Warming Trends Far Better Than CO2
    By Kenneth Richard on 29. April 2024

    Across Europe there has been a downward trend in cloud and aerosol albedo over the last 40 years, allowing more solar radiation to reach the surface. This “brightening” effect thus explains recent warming.
    A new study (Wacker et al., 2024) from a “testbed site” in Germany reports total and direct shortwave (SW) radiation forcing rose by 3.5 and 9.3 W/m² per decade, respectively, from 1996-2021 over Germany.

    Compare these much larger per-decade forcing trends to the much tinier (0.2 W/m² per decade) climate impact that CO2 allegedly has in clear-sky.

    [​IMG]

    Image Source: Wacker et al., 2024
    Another new study, Natsis et al., 2024, finds Greece has also sustained a significant increasing trend in “downward shortwave solar irradiance” since 1993.

    “Monitoring the trends of the downward shortwave solar irradiance or Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), is an important tool, for evaluating long term changes of the local climate and in revealing some local atmospheric characteristics. Here, we analyse data from a pyranometer installed at the Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics in Thessaloniki. The location of the monitoring site is within the urban area and near the commercial centre of the city, thus we expect that the atmospheric attenuation of radiation is strongly affected by the human activities in the area. Observed GHI trends in different locations worldwide revealed either negative or positive tendencies if GHI, mainly due to combined effects of local factors. On global scale, studies have reported a decrease in GHI for the period 1960–1980, known as ‘global dimming’, followed by a decrease since the late 1980s, known as ‘global brightening’ (Wild, 2009, 2012).”
    “In this study, we are reporting increasing trends in downward shortwave solar irradiance from measurements at Thessaloniki, Greece for the period 1993-2021. The main drive of this study was to investigate whether the longterm increases in GHI that have been reported in an earlier study (Bais et al., 2013) continue also in the 10-year longer dataset. We confirmed the continuation and a slight enhancement of the linear trend (0.43% per year for allskies and 0.24% per year for clear skies). The two main factors that may have caused the observed solar radiation brightening over Thessaloniki are the reduction of the aerosol optical depth, and changes in cloud cover and optical depth. Another factor, could be a possible increase in the enhancement cases of the GHI by the clouds (Vamvakas et al., 2020), which will be investigated in a subsequent study together with the role of clouds. Our findings are in accordance with other studies (Wild 2012, 2009; Philipona et al., 2009; Kazadzis et al. 2007), that have also reported increases in GHI in other locations.”

    Europe as a whole has “experienced an increase in surface solar radiation, termed ‘brightening’, since the 1980s” (Schilliger et al., 2024) due to trends in cloud and aerosol shortwave forcing.

    “Surface solar radiation is fundamental for terrestrial life. It provides warmth to make our planet habitable, drives atmospheric circulation, the hydrological cycle and photosynthesis. Europe has experienced an increase in surface solar radiation, termed ‘brightening’, since the 1980s. This study investigates the causative factors behind this brightening. A novel algorithm from the EUMETSAT satellite application facility on climate monitoring (CM SAF) provides the unique opportunity to simulate surface solar radiation under various atmospheric conditions for clouds (clear-sky or all-sky), aerosol optical depth (time-varying or climatological averages) and water vapor content (with or without its direct influence on surface solar radiation). Through a multiple linear regression approach, the study attributes brightening trends to changes in these atmospheric parameters. Analyzing 61 locations distributed across Europe from 1983 to 2020, aerosols emerge as key driver during 1983-2002, with Southern Europe and high elevations showing subdued effects (0-1%/decade) versus more pronounced impacts in Northern and Eastern Europe (2-6%/decade). Cloud effects exhibit spatial variability, inducing a negative effect on surface solar radiation (-3 to -2%/decade) at most investigated locations in the same period. In the subsequent period 2001-2020, aerosol effects are negligible, while cloud effects dominate the observed brightening (2-5%/decade). This study therefore finds a substantial decrease in the cloud radiative forcing over Europe in the first two decades of the 21st century. Water vapor exerts negligible influence in both sub-periods.”
    A year ago Marsz et al. (2023) presented compelling evidence that decadal-scale sunshine duration variations across Europe and the North Atlantic are driven by the internal (non-anthropogenic) processes affecting cloud cover, namely the natural thermohaline circulation in the North Atlantic (THC NA). This relationship spans the entire period from 1900 to 2018.

    “The mechanisms of the THC NA functioning are known and indicate that they are the result of the internal variability in the ocean-atmosphere system.”
    “SST changes occur not only because of changes in the amount of radiation reaching the ocean’s surface but also due to the meridonal oceanic heat transport.”
    t is the long-term changes in the thermal condition of the North Atlantic, and not changes in the concentration of aerosols, that would be the primary cause of the long-term change in the SD over Europe.”
    “[T]he occurrence of long-term variability in the SD over Europe, manifested in the occurrence of successive phases of dimming and brightening, can be explained without resorting to changes in the concentration of volcanic and anthropogenic aerosols in the atmosphere.”

    [​IMG]

    Image Source: Marsz et al., 2023
     
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  18. bringiton

    bringiton Well-Known Member

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    Even if it were, it would still be better than an outright fabrication.
    He offered no such hypothesis and you know it. You simply made it up. That is what you do.
     
  19. bringiton

    bringiton Well-Known Member

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    Whose "fact checks" on climate realists' material are liberally larded with lies.
     
  20. Media_Truth

    Media_Truth Well-Known Member Donor

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    Because you don’t like the rating.
     
  21. bringiton

    bringiton Well-Known Member

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    No, because they lie.
     
  22. Media_Truth

    Media_Truth Well-Known Member Donor

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    Sure they do :chew:
     
  23. bringiton

    bringiton Well-Known Member

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    We have lots of problems. But the CO2 climate narrative is a scam to distract people's attention from real problems and their real solutions, and get them to focus on a non-problem that, as it is not a problem, has no solution.
     
  24. Jack Hays

    Jack Hays Well-Known Member Donor

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    Perhaps you should find a site that emphasizes dodging issues.
     
  25. bringiton

    bringiton Well-Known Member

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    Pick one of their checks on a credible climate realist -- Like Richard Lindzen or Roger Pielke, not some flat earth nonsense -- and I'll identify the lies.
     

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