Just saw this on my main page. Perhaps someone can explain how Biden as a 20 point lead when it shows Trump with 822k votes and Biden has 541k votes.... Anyone?
President Trump won in Florida. NYTimes has it at "very likely" for Trump https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage President Trump is also now favored in Georgia. North Carolina is a toss-up, with the very slightest lean for Trump.
Texas is on the short list of states I will retire in, I'd like it to stay bright red. Still, I'm hoping for a humiliating defeat tonight for trump.
Austin hasn't reported yet. That will lean heavily Biden. El Paso (BETO's home town) is in a different time zone, polls close in about 30 minutes, and they will likely go for Biden.
Yeah, and the California elites dumped tens, if not hundreds of millions of dollars into Texas politics this year, trying to flip it.
Virginia is solidly blue and has been polling solidly Biden. A mea culpa is possible, and has happened in the past, but they tend to not call these unless they are certain. Some states need 0% of the vote to call. Others are too close at 99%.
From 538's interactive forecast: "You picked Trump to win Florida, Georgia and North Carolina. In this scenario, the election would be a toss-up, with Biden having a 50 in 100 chance of winning."
A mystery for the ages. Leave a State which has made life untenable, and then try to recreate the same conditions.
Nate Silver just posed "If Trump wins Florida, he’d shoot up to a 33 percent chance of winning the Electoral College ..."
That is not a poll. That is what is showing on the electoral map with current votes counted. It's supposed to reflect the votes currently cast and counted. Not polls. Your explanation doesn't come close to explaining this "20pt lead".
