Demographics played a part in Trump losing the election

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by kazenatsu, Nov 7, 2020.

  1. kazenatsu

    kazenatsu Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Arizona and Virginia, two smaller states with less electoral votes, may have cost Trump the election. (At least that is how it is looking right now)

    These states traditionally leaned Republican. However, in recent years they have been flipped Democrat by a large population influx from Democrat states, and demographic change.

    We do have a thread on the demographic change in Virginia:
    The real reason behind the gun control change in Virginia
    To summarize, basically states in the Northeast like New York and Massachusetts have been taking in a lot of foreign immigration, which has displaced a portion of their previous population, seeking greener pastures and lower costs of housing in other cities, and so they have been moving to Virginia.
    Also due to gentrification in the trendy big city areas, some of the Black population that used to live in D.C. has been pushed out to the surrounding suburbs right across the state lines in Virginia. This has ultimately resulted in Virginia "flipping".

    Arizona has had a lot of Californians moving there, to escape the high costs of living, as well as a fairly high amount of illegal immigration over the years (it's cumulative, a little bit all adds up).

    The state of Georgia had a razor-thin election outcome, with Biden getting 49.5% of the votes compared to Trump getting 49.3%.

    The last time Georgia voted for a Democratic President was 30 years ago with Bill Clinton, and that was mainly because he was seen as being from the South, and a moderate.

    The African American population of the state has also been gradually increasing, both due to natural increase and many Blacks returning from other parts of the country "back to the South", mainly around the Atlanta area. (Part of this is being driven by the decline in the Rust Belt, and part of it driven by Hispanic immigration)
     
    Last edited: Nov 7, 2020
  2. Spooky

    Spooky Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    You are incorrect. What you are describing is a trend and if its true then it will continue over many elections to come. What you write about so far is just an occurrence with no historical backing as of yet. Considering the plethora of things that decide an election, like issues, its doubtful demographics had anything more than a small part. Your theory is also flawed because it assumes a certain demographic will always vote a certain way and we can see with more minorities voting republican and less Democrat that this is also changing.
     
  3. wgabrie

    wgabrie Well-Known Member Donor

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    When someone brings up the topic of Democrats moving to Red states and bring their politics with them, I'd like to think it was just awfully crowded in Blue states. The move wasn't to escape the results of Democrats' policies.
     
  4. AmericanNationalist

    AmericanNationalist Well-Known Member

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    If we're a country of New York's and California's, we won't have much prosperity, we'll be too busy being taxed for living here.
     

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