Educated guesses or "predictions” for world events in 2020

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by reedak, Jan 5, 2020.

  1. reedak

    reedak Well-Known Member

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    Here are my educated guesses for some world events in 2020.

    1. Trump won't be re-elected. As some Republican lawmakers, particularly Marco Rubio, may feel that chances for Trump are decreasing, they may decide to come out to challenge him in the presidential election rather than seeing him hand over the crown to the Democratic Party.

    2. The situation in the Middle East will deteriorate rapidly.

    3. US-Iran conflicts will escalate.

    4. Similarly, US-North Korea conflicts will escalate, and North Korea could conduct at least either one nuclear test or one long-range missile test this year.

    5. The Dow will be on a downward trend this year.

    6. Hong Kong riots will continue unabated, even beyond to 2047.

    7. In the "Year of the Rat", after nibbling away at the so-called phase 1 of the US-Sino trade deal, the US will find that "biting off" the remaining phases will be as hard as biting a rock.

    8. Tsai will be re-elected, but this does not mean any good for Taiwan eventually -- just like the Monkey King was imprisoned by Gautama Buddha under the “Five Finger Mountain” as depicted in the 16th century Chinese novel "Journey to the West".

    If we view it at another angle, it was a blessing in disguise for the Monkey King to be imprisoned under the mountain as he could enjoy 500 years of "democracy" before being disciplined or occasionally "tortured" by the "Tripitaka Master of Tang" who caused him unbearable headaches by chanting the “Ring Tightening Mantra”. :angel:

    P.S. As the mist retreats into the distance with the passing of time, we can see further ahead into the future. Readers are welcome to post their educated guesses, opinions or "predictions" of world events in this thread.
     
  2. The Wyrd of Gawd

    The Wyrd of Gawd Well-Known Member

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    As it says in Ecclesiastes 10:14 (TLB) = "A fool knows all about the future and tells everyone in detail! But who can really know what is going to happen?"
     
  3. Steady Pie

    Steady Pie Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The neoconservative, internationalist wing of the GOP hates Trump and would like to run someone else if this were remotely possible.

    Trump is polling 3% higher today than Obama was on the same day of office. He won 2012. And Romney wasn't such a bad candidate for the GOP, better than most of the likely Democratic nominees in 2020.

    I think the left needs to be a little more careful with their forecasts after what happened to the UK Labour Party. In fact, what has happened in most Western countries since 2016.
     
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  4. Stuart Wolfe

    Stuart Wolfe Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I believe we have a poster here whose predictions are somewhere around 100% wrong, so I'm gonna wait until he posts then predict the OPPOSITE of what he says!
     
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  5. reedak

    reedak Well-Known Member

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    My great friend and all other great friends, have you noticed that I did not claim my post to be "predictions" but EDUCATED GUESSES.

    If you care to do your homework, you will find that according to the Cambridge Dictionary, an educated guess is "a guess that is made using judgment and a particular level of knowledge and is therefore more likely to be correct."

    I consider my EDUCATED GUESSES to have a 51 percent chance of success. In other words, I expect at least half of my EDUCATED GUESSES to come true.

    If Trump had read my political satire (posted on 12 March two years ago, he would not have wasted his time meeting with Kim because the denuclearization of North Korea is as difficult, if not impossible, as the destruction of a "koramon's egg". :angel:
     
    Last edited: Jan 6, 2020
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  6. william kurps

    william kurps Banned

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    My predictions

    1) Clemson beats LSU

    2) Houston Texans beat the Titans

    3) Trump nominates a third Supreme court Judge

    4) Iran blows itself up with it's a own nuclear bomb trying to smuggle it on a camels back to New city aboard a fake aircraft carrier

    5) North Korea and South Korea will be best friends

    6) Russia and china will continue to go towards capitalism

    7) Germany will give up on green energy

    8) Nancy Pelosi will have a mental breakdown and admitted to a mental hospital

    9) the USA will win 250 gold medals at the Olympics

    10) Trump reelected in a land slide , hold the Senate and take the house.
     
  7. reedak

    reedak Well-Known Member

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    I take off my hat to you for bravely declaring your opinions to be predictions, not educated guesses.

    Anyway, thanks for your participation as well as adding more fun to this thread with your predictions.
     
    Last edited: Jan 6, 2020
  8. reedak

    reedak Well-Known Member

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    I take off my hat to you for your boldness to “predict the OPPOSITE of what I say". Most soothsayers, even the biblical prophets, would rather follow the golden middle way. They won't put their eggs in one basket! :xd:
     
    Last edited: Jan 6, 2020
  9. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Not going to make any "predictions" or even "educated guesses" but instead focus on TRENDS instead.

    The demographic TRENDS continue unchanged and that means a DECLINE in IMPOTUS supporters and an INCREASE in Millennial voters which results in a more DIVERSE electorate than prior years.

    The current economic TREND is way past all previous records for the normal boom-bust cycle. The attempts to artificially support the economy will continue so as to give the illusion that the IMPOTUS is "good for the economy" even though they are NOT good for hardworking Americans. I am not going to "predict" when these artificial attempts will ultimately fail.

    The Wealth Disparity TREND shows no signs of abating. This trend is disturbing because when it has reached this level in the past we have seen major social upheavals. The emergence of the social upheaval organization TREND began in 2016 and is currently ONGOING and gaining momentum albeit largely below the radar of the media.

    There is a disturbing TREND emerging in the IMPOTUS's communications. While they were always EXTREME there is a notable trend towards sounding UNHINGED. Given a family history of Alzheimer's this trend is worth keeping a watch on.

    In summary TRENDS are indicators of which way things are going and people react to them accordingly. As per Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs people will be complacent when their basic needs are satisfied and be looking for alternatives when their needs are not being met.

    For the Wealthy there is much to be complacent about. For the 66% of hardworking Americans who cannot afford the dream of owning their own home they have nothing to be complacent about.

    The Wealthy will use their money to try to dupe hardworking Americans into believing that all is just hunky-dory and many will be duped into believing them. The remainder will be actively seeking alternative solutions to their needs and the politicians who address those needs will be the ones who will prevail given the current trends IMO.
     
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  10. reedak

    reedak Well-Known Member

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    Well said and down-to-earth.
     
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  11. HonestJoe

    HonestJoe Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I predict pretty much the same kind of things that happened in 2019. We never learn.
     
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  12. fiddlerdave

    fiddlerdave Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Fill every car, gas can, lawn mower, and any other container with gasoline.

    Anytime you drive anywhere at all, no matter how little, no matter the current cost.

    Even if there is not a war, don't feel bad because every gallon you use, it will very likely to cost more the very soon. Permanently.
     
    Last edited: Jan 6, 2020
  13. Stuart Wolfe

    Stuart Wolfe Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Well, I wasn't referring to you as that particular person - but we DO have a poster who's been on the wrong side of EVERY prediction he's made, often hilariously so - from the 2016 election to Jussie Smollette and so forth. It's gotten to the point where I think he could guess the outcome of fifty coin flips and be wrong all fifty times!

    I myself don't like making predictions - I mean, I ain't no prophet either - but this guy has been so wrong for so long, betting against him is the closest thing I'm ever gonna see to a sure thing! :)
     
  14. doombug

    doombug Well-Known Member

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    I predict continued faux outrage from the left.....
     
  15. Creasy Tvedt

    Creasy Tvedt Well-Known Member

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    You've been making your doom and gloom predictions for darned near a decade now.
    But at least now you're admitting that they're just guesses, and not predictions of future events that you saw while playing with your crystal balls.

    So I guess that's progress of a sort.

    I predict that reedak will keep making doom and gloom predictions.
     
    Last edited: Jan 6, 2020
  16. Creasy Tvedt

    Creasy Tvedt Well-Known Member

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    That's just dumb.

    Even if the price of gas increases by a factor of 10, you're still only saving yourself chump change with your silly gas storage speculation scheme.
     
  17. SEAL Team V

    SEAL Team V Banned

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    Educated guesses or "predictions” for world events in 2020

    1) A democrat will win the presidency
    2) Cleveland Browns win the Super Bowl
    3) California cures its homelessness
    4) Elvis Presley comes from hiding
    5) Bigfoot gets married on nat’l TV
    6) Heroin and opioid use fall to zero
    7) Jussie Smollett confesses his scheme
    8 The MSM starts telling the truth
    9) All Americans respect America
    10) I win the Powerball
     
    Last edited: Jan 6, 2020
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