Future World Geo-political Situation

Discussion in 'Political Opinions & Beliefs' started by Germania, Feb 6, 2015.

  1. Germania

    Germania Member

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    Asia;

    The Chinese governments' ideology is dangerous to human freedoms and the right of human beings everywhere. As it rises as a superpower, indeed it's economy has surpassed us recently according to some experts, it will come into conflict with us. It's already started acting aggressively towards Japan, Taiwan, and Vietnam. It will increase it's military to rival us, which it already has, but more so in the future. It lies about it's funding amount already according to the CIA. The pentagon predicts serious, well escalating conflict with China beginning 2020's and will indeed be a serious threat towards continued US dominance. We are upping our Naval presence in the pacific, to balance China. Yet, their economy's booming, and are's growing slowly. We owe them billions on top of our trillions in debt. We will be in serious rivalry with them economically in the future. They do cyber attacks on US government websites daily and the pentagon occasionally, according to my friend in the US military who was a computer specialist. It is the Chinese government doing this. It's disturbing where this will lead and reason behind it. On top of this we made a Russia an enemy. They may ally themselves with Russia for their own interests and support leftist governments around the world, especially anti-US ones.

    Japan, Vietnam, and Taiwan with US assistance may form an informal or perhaps even formal alliance against Chinese influence. The Pentagon has predicted that by 2050, China, the US, and India will be equals economically. India is likely to stay neutral in the US-China conflict for their own reasons, perhaps though subtlety supporting the US as they are the same economic system as us. Asia in general will be the spotlight in the future.

    Russia;

    Russia is likely to stay an enemy for a while, unless a wide card gets thrown in. There economy is or was picking up, and last year for the first time in about a decade or more Russia's population increased. This means Russia is actually becoming more powerful. Their technology is first class, on par and in some areas better with us. Technology like the Su-30, Su-35, MiG 35, PAK FA T-50, S-300, S-400, EMP weapons are dangerous to the US military,, and their nuclear missiles which can penetrate US missile defense systems. Russia has started to turn to Asia more, with an oil pipeline and improved Chinese-Russian relations as they can't sell oil to the EU or have relations with them anymore. They are also getting friendly with India, and indeed India supported Russia at the UN. The US and Russia will attempt to cancel out each others influence in the middle-east and elsewhere. Gorbachev has said this is particularly dangerous because this increases proxy conflicts around the world as it polarizes the worlds powers. Russia has now made client states like Syria (who where before hand), Hezbollah, Iran, Nova Russia, Venezuela, Bolivia, and North Korea slightly. Now whenever there's a conflict with these states, Russia helps them. Russia was the intermediate country in the world, and had a very special place in global politics. They had good relations with our enemies, and our friends. The "middle man". Now this polarizes the world more. They will ally themselves more with China for economic and Geo-strategic reasons. They already are. They signed a 200 billion dollar deal with China having to do with oil and pipelines- Russia has a lot of oil and China desperately needs more. China is our frenemy, and will be become more of an enemy in the future and Russia has a lot to gain in allying itself with this superpower in the long run. I see it as not lasting a while or not being a good one as China will become more left I see and too radical for a good relationship with Russia. With Russia and China allying, and Russia's very good relations with India (which we do too), we will see more polarization in the world, more conflict in the middle-east and everywhere in supporting their clients and indeed countries that are split between being with the west and the Chinese-Russian-North Korean juggernaut.

    Russia will build up it's military, maybe even institute an increased draft rate. Increased defense spending is on the way. Russia's challenge is it's borders, their so vast. I do believe that Russia will not become rogue and actually attack other EU Baltic countries, but that a cold war will rise again. I believe they will get the eastern areas of Ukraine

    Europe;

    Europe is losing power as it population stagnates and in many areas declines, and loses military power. Birth rates are lowering and families tearing apart. Alcoholism is a problem, and the area is losing power, actually somewhat decaying in some areas. The population is aging witch will make it hard for workers to sustain themselves with increased taxes to keep all of these people alive who aren't productive and paying much taxes. They will worry about Russia, and so EU-US relations will probably improve. The Ukraine will eventually lose parts of their eastern regions, and it will be a front line on the new cold war, a hot spot sort to say like the DMZ. They will lose power, especially as Asia rises.

    Africa/South America;

    These areas will see their influence rise as their economic situation improves, and population increases. None are large enough to become juggernauts though. Africa will deal with religious fanatics for a while, although the situation will probably die down and eventually they will be defeated, although maybe not for a very long time.

    Middle East;

    The Middle East will eventually downgrade ISIS significantly, however they may become an insurgent Al-Qaeda for a while. Israel will become more isolated internationally and become more hardline, as the Arab population is supposed to significantly expand to around 25%, which will stoke even more conflict. Eventually Israel will annex much of the West-Bank through settlements. This will enrage the PLA and Fatah, and most likely another war will happen. Hamas will harass Israel.

    Iran continues to grow as a power. Militarily they're strong and have just started a space program. The Saudi's dislike this as they're very different and have encouraged the US to attack Iran's nuclear facilities. If Israel attacks Iran, Iran will respond with a profoundly strong attack on Israel and anyone they see as supporting it, perhaps US bases. Then Hezbollah comes to Iran's aid, and Israel attacks Lebanon. Syria may get sucked into it, as may Russia, and we may have a world war, or at least, very negative relations.

    Syria is a fragmented almost Somalia now because of the splintering between the YPG, FSA, SAF (Syrian Armed Forces), ISIS, and Al-Nursa. Other groups like Hezbollah, Iran, Russia, European white-supremacists, and fighters from Chechnya, the EU, US, UK, Australia, everywhere are jumping in, and the PLA have jumped in as well as Al-Qaeda. It will become very fragmented as no side has any leverage. Eventually ISIS will be weakened until the FSA, YPG and SAF can manage them. Then the others duke it out. Then I see as both sides consolidating power and the conflict lasting for a very long time after that.

    America;

    America will tone down it's military for a decade or two, then rebuild it again to counter China and Russia. The debt will keep the economy from booming, although it will probably grow, then stagnate. The social-class crisis that is growing will cause economic dishevel and fracturing between the Republicans and Democrats for causing discord. Race relations sink as America becomes more diverse. Also, America will deal with it's declining influence and China's bullying behavior, as well as Russia's anger. The crime rate will probably pick back up as these problems cause economic problems. The southwest will increase their Spanish populations, and as Mexico rises as economic power, these people, who in parts of California already have close to 50% of the population who can speak Spanish and the other states too with high volumes of Spanish speakers, will become distanced with the "white" US and want to become part of Mexico. Their populations are increased, and indeed Hispanics are highest growing population group, expected to be at 22% in 2040-2050. This group will at the very least strengthen ties, and many expect there may eventually be a war of succession, retrogressive of the 1840's one in the far future. Eventually, and for good and bad, the Republican part will lose it's power as the Demecratic party gains a majority and 3rd parties and independents rise. America will become more left.

    Globally; More dominance challenges, Asia booms, the developing world becomes developed, relations nose dive, more proxy wars, population and technological increases

    Your thoughts on my outlook? Want to share yours? Compare/contrast? Go Ahead!
     

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