Genius Vegas Oddsmaker Wayne Allyn Root: Romney LANDLSIDE PROBABLE

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by Grokmaster, Aug 14, 2012.

  1. Grokmaster

    Grokmaster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Forget the fickle "media polls", with their faslely weighted demographics, disengenuosly couched questions, etc., ad nauseum.

    Let's see what the guys who MAKE THEIR LIVING CORRECTLY PREDICTING OUTCOMES SAY ABOUT THE 2012 ELECTION:
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    Forget the Pollsters. Ask Your Vegas Odds Maker (He knows who will win the White House)


    Although you have to search for it, there is some really good news out there. There is an excellent possibility that Mitt Romney will win the 2012 election not by a little, but by a landslide. It’s really more of a probability.


    Mr. Root’s approach to picking a winner is unique and makes much more sense to me than polling does. Polling can be easily biased based on who is doing the polling, what time of day calls are made, and how the questions are phrased. Mr. Root’s technique is far less likely to be biased.

    First, he looks at history. Three decades ago at this time in the election cycle Reagan was losing by 9 points. We know how that turned out. It was a Reagan landslide. Today, Obama and Romney are neck and neck according to current polls. This bodes well for Romney. Also, Americans are still not really tuned into the race this early in the cycle. Things will heat up fast after Labor Day. Historically, Independents drift toward the challenger in the later stages of an election cycle. This is more good news for Romney.

    As people learn more about Obamacare, the dozens of new taxes, rising unemployment, and feel the impact of the current trend toward higher gas prices, they will think much harder about who will get their vote. If there are any Obama supporters who still can think (debatable) they may just change their minds. Many already have including Obama girl.

    Next, Mr. Root calls on logic, reality, and common sense. What a novel idea. I love it. Liberals do not even begin to understand this approach.

    Finally, Mr. Root details specific voting blocks and it is in these we find reason to be very optimistic about a Romney win in November. These are Mr. Root’s specific predictions as he presents them (with his permission):

    *Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008. This is not good news for Obama.

    *Hispanic voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. If Romney picks Rubio as his VP running-mate the GOP may pick up an extra 10% to 15% of Hispanic voters (plus lock down Florida). This is not good news for Obama.

    *Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many Jewish voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama’s Jewish support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60′s. This is not good news for Obama.

    *Youth voters. Obama’s biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4 years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are disillusioned, frightened, and broke–a bad combination. The enthusiasm is long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.

    *Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won’t happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with the Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the Catholic Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for Obama.

    *Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time around, and I’m a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of small business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends, fans and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to “give someone different a chance.” I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and demonize anyone who owned a business…that he’d support unions over the private sector in a big way…that he’d overwhelm the economy with spending and debt. My friends didn’t listen. Four years later, I can’t find one person in my circle of small business owner friends voting for Obama. Not one. This is not good news for Obama.

    *Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.

    *Suburban moms. The issue isn’t contraception–it’s having a job to pay for contraception. Obama’s economy frightens these moms. They are worried about putting food on the table. They fear for their children’s future. This is not good news for Obama.



    *Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.

    Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008? Will anyone in America wake up on election day saying “I didn’t vote for Obama 4 years ago. But he’s done such a fantastic job, I can’t wait to vote for him today.” Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more secure”?

    After he published his predictions, he added a few more encouraging thoughts: 1. Romney is raising more money than Obama. He has done so for the last three months. 2. Some key Democrats are distancing themselves from Obama. 3. And, his recent comment, “You didn’t build that.” is going to hurt him from now til the election.


    http://patriotupdate.com/articles/f...s-maker-he-knows-who-will-win-the-white-house

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    So says the famously ACCURATE Wayne Allyn Root....
     
  2. BroncoBilly

    BroncoBilly Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I have a feeling Wayne Rooted Obama right out of office.
     
  3. Grokmaster

    Grokmaster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    He's pretty ACCURATE, as a rule....
     
  4. webrockk

    webrockk Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The wild card is voter fraud.
     
  5. WalterSobchak

    WalterSobchak Well-Known Member

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    LOL.............80+ days away from the election, and already we hear the excuses.

    What else is new?
     
  6. Grokmaster

    Grokmaster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The poll captains will be watching like hawks, I would imagine...
     
  7. webrockk

    webrockk Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Just stating a fact. Progressive leftists have NO compunction about holding a government gun to your head to steal from you....voter fraud hardly presents an ethical barrier to the scumbags.
     
  8. paco

    paco New Member

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    Are you serious? Liberals wouldn't shut the hell up about it after Bush won the 2000 Election fair and square, in spite of the Democrat Party trying to cheat the system.
     
  9. Pro Deus Et Patria

    Pro Deus Et Patria New Member

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    This article is a entertaining, but not much past that. Favorite part - when Romney supposedly picks Rubio as VP. Oops!

    Next.
     
  10. jack4freedom

    jack4freedom Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    What a crock of crap....The actual betting odds in Vegas as of last week are:

    2012 Presidential Election - Top Candidates Favored To Be Next U.S. President
    (Available - updated 8/8/2012)
    Barack Obama: -190 - Odds On Favorite
    Mitt Romney: +155
    Newt Gingrich: off the board
    Ron Paul: off the board


    Keep dreamin' champ...If you really believe this crap, you can bet $100k in Vegas and get paid $155k if old mittens wins....Buck up instead of running your mouth....
     
  11. Grokmaster

    Grokmaster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Of course a LIE + Straw man.

    Root never said "Romney picks Rubio"; he simply stated what would happen IF he chose Rubio,which was just one small part of why Root sees Romney's victory as probable....and LARGE....


    SLB= STandard Leftninny Bullcrap: change what was said , into what was NOT SAID, and then argue against that.

    Like we haven't seen that nonsense before....
     
  12. BleedingHeadKen

    BleedingHeadKen Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Now if only the Libertarian Party could give Mr. Root back to the GOP.
     
  13. Grokmaster

    Grokmaster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Says who? All I see is YOU RUNNING YOUR MOUTH. Let's see the link....who is making those odds...let's see...
     
  14. WalterSobchak

    WalterSobchak Well-Known Member

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    Give the OP a break, he posted his Grokaganda without even realizing that the dude that wrote the artilcle made these predictions with (R)ubio being the VP pick. LMAO
     
  15. Grokmaster

    Grokmaster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I registered Libertarian in 1986. Outside of a few local wins, many of which have been here, in Indiana, the party cannot put together a coherent National Platform, that will get them any serious consideration...
     
  16. Grokmaster

    Grokmaster Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Give the bowling alley drunk-guy from "The Real Lebowski" a break; he has reading comprehension troubles...or is deliberately lying.

    Of course a LIE + Straw man.

    Root never said "Romney picks Rubio"; he simply stated what would happen IF he chose Rubio,which was just one small part of why Root sees Romney's victory as probable....and LARGE....


    SLB= STandard Leftninny Bullcrap: change what was said , into what was NOT SAID, and then argue against that.

    Like we haven't seen that nonsense before....


    "LMAO"....childish...
     
  17. WalterSobchak

    WalterSobchak Well-Known Member

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    OMG, your hopeless. It's "The BIG Lebowski"

    LOL................Nihilist
     
  18. WalterSobchak

    WalterSobchak Well-Known Member

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    http://sports.bovada.lv/sports-betting/political-props.jsp


    Democrat: -200
    Republican: +160


    Note: I didn't source betting odds from a Tea Party spokesman like you did.
     
  19. webrockk

    webrockk Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    My poker buddy moved to an adjacent county last year (Wakulla), and about a month ago went to register to vote for upcoming elections (yesterday's) ...he was ALREADY registered...as a Democrat. He was FURIOUS, and filed a report with LE, but hasn't heard anything back yet....I told him to get the media involved if he didn't hear anything real soon.
     
  20. Pro Deus Et Patria

    Pro Deus Et Patria New Member

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    Same thing happened to my cat, who talks and drives a big rig.

    You should tell your "poker buddy" to contact the media immediately. They'd be all over this like white on rice - if it was real.
     
  21. jack4freedom

    jack4freedom Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The real oddsmakers make the odds ace...Learn to use a search engine sport..Google:Las Vegas Betting Odds 2012 Presidential Election:

    http://www.lasvegassportsbetting.com/Las-Vegas-2012-US-Presidential-Election-Odds_P4664.html

    Romney has become an even longer shot in the real world since he picked Ryan....To wit:

    Political Props

    All Times Eastern

    Wed, Aug 15, 12

    Spread



    Total






    11:00p EDT






    2012 US Presidential Election - Winning Party



    Democratic Party

    -200

    Republican Party

    +160

    Check back soon, these lines update often.


    BTW: Root is not an oddsmaker, he's a political hack who wrote a lousy book on sporst betting a few years ago...Look up the definition of "Oddsmaker" you whacky buffoon...
     
  22. Pro Deus Et Patria

    Pro Deus Et Patria New Member

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    LMAO... owned. Epic thread collapse, helmet suggested. :D
     
  23. allin23

    allin23 Member

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    Talk about owned! good job
     
  24. fiddlerdave

    fiddlerdave Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Man!

    THREAD FAIL on an EPIC SCALE!

    [​IMG]
     
  25. exotix

    exotix New Member Past Donor

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    This guy Wayne Allyn Root is a libertarian-republican tea-vangelist ?

    He's more of a faggy-looking quack like Michelle Bachmanns husband ...
     

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