JFK Assassination: Probability of Warren Commission Witness Unnatural Death

Discussion in 'JFK' started by Richard Charnin, May 11, 2013.

You are viewing posts in the Conspiracy Theory forum. PF does not allow misinformation. However, please note that posts could occasionally contain content in violation of our policies prior to our staff intervening.

  1. Richard Charnin

    Richard Charnin New Member

    Joined:
    May 11, 2013
    Messages:
    3
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    JFK Assassination: A Probability Analysis of Warren Commission Witness Unnatural Deaths

    ~ Remove redirect/Rule 15 ~

    This probability analysis focuses on the 24 unnatural and suspicious deaths of 552 Warren Commission witnesses. It covers the first three years after the assassination and the 14 year period from 1964-1977. The 24 deaths are a subset of at least 100 JFK-related witnesses who died unnaturally or suspiciously and are included in the JFK witness spreadsheet database.

    This is a table of Warren Commission witnesses who died unnaturally or suspiciously in 1964-1977.

    At least fourteen deaths were unnatural: 3 suicides, 5 homicides and 6 accidents. Roger Craig supposedly shot himself after surviving several attempts on his life. George De Morenschildt supposedly shot himself the same day he was called to give testimony at the House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA). Albert Bogard supposedly committed suicide from carbon monoxide. He was badly beaten after giving testimony.

    In this video, Mark Lane, famous author/investigator of several books on the assassination, interviews Penn Jones, an independent researcher of JFK witness deaths.

    The probability of at least 14 HOMICIDES among the 552 witnesses in the 14 years from 1964 to 1977 is 1 in 2,000 TRILLION.

    The mathematical proof closes the book on those who still promote the fiction that Oswald was the lone assassin. The few remaining defenders of the Warren Commission’s Magic Bullet Theory have tried mightily for nearly 50 years to dismiss the mathematical significance of the mysterious deaths of JFK-related witnesses – starting with Ruby shooting Oswald. After all, a “clean-up” operation would only occur in a conspiracy. Of course, Warren Commission apologists claim that Oswald was a lone nut who acted alone. But these “lone-nutters” must know that dead men like Jack Ruby (“sudden cancer”) and dead women like reporter Dorothy Kilgallen (“suicide”) tell no tales.

    The basis of the lone nut “argument” has been to claim that 1) the dead witnesses were of minor or no importance and that 2) the universe of total witnesses was ultimately unknowable. But they ignore the fact that the Warren Commission considered the witnesses important enough to have them testify.

    The “universe” of 552 Warren Commission witnesses is obviously a known quantity. Therefore, given the actual number and cause of the unnatural and suspicious deaths (and corresponding mortality rates), we have all the information needed to calculate the probability that they would occur in a given time interval. But the 24 Warren Commission witnesses are just one part of the story.

    At least 48 of the 107 witnesses listed in the database of unnatural and suspicious deaths were called to testify in four investigations and were obviously relevant: 24 testified at the Warren Commission, 12 were sought by prosecutor Jim Garrison at the Clay Shaw trial, 4 by the Senate Intelligence Committee, 17 by the House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA). Nine witnesses were called in two investigations. Of the 107, 72 died unnaturally (homicides, suicides, accidents) while 35 were highly suspicious heart attacks, sudden cancers, etc.

    Given the 0.00016 weighted average unnatural mortality rate, the probability that these 48 witnesses would meet unnatural or suspicious deaths (assuming 1400 material witnesses) is
    P = 2.6E-39 (less than 1 in a TRILLION TRILLION TRILLION).

    To be conservative, assume the 0.000542 unweighted unnatural mortality rate. The probability is 1 in 28,000 TRILLION.

    The 1973 film Executive Action depicted a conspiracy to assassinate JFK and revealed that an actuary engaged by the London Sunday Times calculated the probability of 18 material witnesses dying within three years of the JFK assassination as 1 in 100,000 TRILLION.

    This analysis confirms the actuary’s odds over 3 and 14 year periods using weighted and unweighted UNNATURAL rates. If the 10 Warren Commission UNNATURAL deaths in the three years following the assassination were HOMICIDES,the probability is 1 in 31,000 TRILLION.
     
  2. 9/11 was an inside job

    9/11 was an inside job Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2011
    Messages:
    6,508
    Likes Received:
    109
    Trophy Points:
    63
    thats the logic of the COINCIDENCE theorists on this forum who still defend the faiy tales of the warren commison that oswald was the lone assassin.they ignorte these little facts and wont address them just like they have ignored every post on this thread of mine that proves oswald was innocent and there were multiple shooters.

    http://www.politicalforum.com/jfk/2...kill-kennedy-but-did-not-kill-tippet-wel.html


    they wont touch it because they know they are cornered.:grin: so they eavde those facts and just post on that propaganda thread about the hulls.:nod::laughing:
     

Share This Page