Republicans in an Opportunity to Win New Mexico in Democrat Poll

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by Hollyhood, Jan 22, 2022.

  1. Hollyhood

    Hollyhood Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Governor Grisham is in a bad position for an incumbent Democrat in New Mexico

    Voters are ready for someone new as 52% want someone other than Grisham to be Governor. She only gets 39% re-elect (a measly 25% “definite”) with 9% undecided.

    On an uninformed head-to-head ballot, Grisham leads Pro-Trump Ronchetti by 1% with 16% undecided. Then when the pollster bashes Ronchetti, the respondents ball on him.

    On uninformed head-to-head ballot, Grisham leads Anti-Trump Zanetti by 4.7% with 21% undecided. Then when the poll plays up Zanetti's experience, the GOP candidate wins by 3.

    It's clear that the Democrat Pollster manipulated the poll for the anti-Trump GOP candidate. It would be a mistake for the GOP to allow the Democrat Party to select their candidate. Clearly, those candidates are weaker, and the Democrats intend to interfere in the GOP primary by putting out biased polls.

    Cygnal has a 2.1% Democrat bias according to 538. Given this data point, the Trump candidate in New Mexico likely has a 1-2 point lead in the state.

    https://pinonpost.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/NM-Gov-Memo-Jan-2022.pdf
     

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