Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

?? Capitalism is certainly not a slogan. Where did THAT come from.

You proposed issues relating to why things are manufactured in China and not here. And, those reasons all pertain to capitalism. Manufacturing has not been moving off shore due to a slogan.

You like Shark Tank, but that has nothing to do with why we didn't manufacture N95 masks. There were entrepreneurs who made bids that were rejected. Our system allowed for creating the bright idea. The rejection came AFTER that.

The rest might be interesting, but it doesn't pertain to the OP.

 

The change to Pittsburgh was startling! I went there a few times to recruit Carnegie-Melon grads in the late 1980's. I was expecting the earlier pictures of the city covered in smoke, etc.

What I found was georgous - clean, lots of beautiful brick, etc.

I remember eating in a restaurant on the bluff overlooking 3 rivers stadium and the confluence. Those I was recruiting wanted cherries jubilee. I'd go back!!

 

Positives look a little better today, largely due to a big reduction in Texas. My guess is this is a house cleaning data point, but we will see tomorrow. I know in Arizona they try to report the positives as quick as they can and it sometimes results in a bunch of negatives waiting in the wings.
As I stated earlier I have dropped Italy and Germany unless something happens. I have also made both tests and positives from covidtracker.com

 

I hadn’t heard this before. Is it new news?

London: Coronavirus may have lain dormant across the world and emerged when environmental conditions were right for it to thrive - rather than starting in China, an Oxford University expert believes.

Dr Tom Jefferson, senior associate tutor at the Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine at Oxford University, and visiting professor at Britain's Newcastle University, says there is growing evidence the virus was elsewhere before it emerged in Asia.
Last week, Spanish virologists announced they had found traces of COVID-19 in samples of waste water collected in March 2019, nine months before the disease was seen in China. Italian scientists have also found evidence of the virus in sewage samples in Milan and Turin, from mid-December, many weeks before the first case was detected, while experts have found traces in Brazil from November.

Dr Jefferson believes that many viruses lie dormant throughout the globe and emerge when conditions are favourable. It also means they can vanish as quickly as they arrive.
https://www.theage.com.au/world/eur...ted-in-china-experts-say-20200706-p5599t.html

 

Time for the Weekly Update to my State Rankings Project. You can find last week's post here: http://www.politicalforum.com/index...-in-the-world.569531/page-429#post-1071824721

This week felt very hot and cold. For those looking for really good news, pay attention to the MORTALITY DIFF RANKINGS. For those who are worried about the future, pay attention to the TESTING (POSITIVE %) DIFF RANKINGS.

I made no changes to the type of data provided. First up are the data with the States ranked according to their Mortality rate. PREPARE YOURSELF FOR THE WALL OF TEXT.













In terms of MORTALITY, Connecticut has claimed the top spot for five weeks in a row. When it took over the top spot, it's mortality rate was 9.259% and this week, five weeks later, the mortality rate is almost exactly the same at 9.279%. The only other significant change to the top 10 is Rhode Island jumping to #7. On the opposite end, Utah has had the lowest mortality rate in America for six weeks in a row.
Interesting Note: The thing that stands out to me this week is just how consistent some States's mortality has been for multiple weeks in a row with Connecticut and Utah holding down the top spot and the bottom spot, respectively, with virtually unchanged mortality rate for that entire time.

CASES (PC) DIFF RANKINGS show that the Arizona, Florida, South Carolina, Louisiana and Wisconsin are the top five States in terms of seeing their Cases, per capita, grow the most. The range being 3,371.6 to 1,864.6. The five slowest States are Connecticut, New Hampshire, Montana, Hawaii, and Vermont. The range being 103.2 to 75.1.
Interesting Note: The case counts in Arizona, which has lead this category five weeks in a row, continues to accelerate. Florida, South Carolina, and Wisconsin are also repeat top-fivers.

CASES (PC) GROWTH RANKINGS show that Florida, Idaho, South Carolina, Arizona, and Texas are the top five States in terms of seeing their Cases grow, as a percentage, the most. The range being 41.85% to 31.27%. On the opposite end are Rhode Island, New Jersey, Massachusetts, New York, and Connecticut. The range being 1.98% to 0.89%.
Interesting Note: Florida, in the last two weeks, grew by 45% in one week and then ANOTHER ~42% jump in cases, in the second. Idaho's growth percentage accelerated this week from 32.78% last week to 38.56% this week and thus jumped to #2 on this category. Arizona and South Carolina make repeat appearances in the top five. The bottom five are the same as last week, albeit with a slightly different order.

DEATHS (PC) DIFF RANKINGS show that Arizona, Rhode Island, New Jersey, Mississippi, and South Carolina are the top five States in terms of seeing their Deaths, per capita, grow the most. The range being 72.84 to 20.46. On the opposite end are Puerto Rico, West Virginia, Wyoming, Vermont, and Colorado. The range being 0.63 to -26.86. (Vermont and Wyoming saw zero new deaths, again).
Interesting Note: Colorado is the most interesting topic on this category, as evidenced by them suddenly dropping deaths over the course of the week. Here is the covidtracking write up on that reporting - "On 5/15 (which we caught on our update 5/16), Colorado started providing a new figure for deaths where COVID-19 is listed on the death certificate, in addition to the figure it already provided, deaths among laboratory-confirmed and probable cases (whether or not COVID was a cause of death). On 7/1, we revised our historical data to reflect the deaths certificate figure instead of the deaths among cases. As such, it appears as if there is a drop from 1091 deaths on 5/15 to 878 on 5/16 in our data."

DEATHS (PC) GROWTH RANKINGS show that South Carolina, Alaska, Arizona, Tennessee, and Arkansas are the top five States in terms of seeing their Deaths, as a percentage, grow the most. The range being 14.53% to 10.42%. On the opposite end are Connecticut, New York, Wyoming, Vermont, and Colorado. The range being 4.4% to -9.14%.
Interesting Note: South Carolina had a rough week with their deaths per capita growing at 14.53% (top spot) and their cases growing at 34.59% (3rd most).

MORTALITY DIFF RANKINGS show that Rhode Island, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Virginia, and South Dakota are the top five States to see their Mortality go up the most. The range being 0.086% to 0.011%. On the opposite end are Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Arizona, and Colorado. The range being -0.579% to -0.736%.
Interesting Note: Over the past week or two, the disparity between the nationwide case growth and the continued decline of deaths is really showing up here. The 7 day rolling average just hit a new all time high at 48,576 and the rolling 7 day death counts hit 463.4, which is the lowest since March 31st. As for the State's mortality rate, only six States saw their mortality rate increase.

TESTING (POSITIVE %) DIFF RANKINGS show that Arizona, Florida, South Carolina, Idaho, and Nevada are the top five States in terms of seeing their Percentage of Positive Test increase the most. The range being 1.735% to 0.873%. On the opposite end are Maryland, New York, New Jersey, District of Columbia, and Connecticut. The range being -0.848% to -1.207%.
Interesting Note: District of Columbia because it has shaved nearly 9% from the positive testing percentage in the last four weeks. In contrast, Arizona has seen its positive testing percentage rise by 7%. Unfortunately, the number of States to see their positive testing percentage increase went to 25. One month ago, it was only 10.

TESTS PER 100K DIFF RANKINGS show that New Mexico, Louisiana, Tennessee, New York, and District of Columbia are the top five States to see their Tests Per 100K increase the most. The range being 2,354.6 to 2,031.8. On the opposite end are Pennsylvania, Hawaii, Wyoming, South Dakota, and New Hampshire. The range being 637.9 to 563.4.
Interesting Note: I want to give a special shoutout to New Mexico who is clearly worried about the recent problems of its neighbors, Arizona and California. They have responded admirably by ramping up their testing the most and seeing their mortality rate and testing positive percentage drop.

TESTS PER 100K GROWTH RANKINGS show that Oregon, Montana, Idaho, Texas, and South Carolina are the top five States to see their tests, as a percentage, increase. The range being 21.53% to 19.74%. On the opposite end are Rhode Island, North Dakota, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and South Dakota. The range being 8.87% to 6.48%.
Interesting Note: Last week, I noted that Oregon would hopefully ramp up its testing after seeing it grow that week at the lowest and seeing its positive testing rate growing and boy, did they. This week, their testing grew the fastest, but unfortunately they are still one of the 25 States which saw its testing positive percentage grow. All of the States, and there are even more this week, that saw their positive testing percentage increase this past week need to immediately and dramatically increase their testing further.

 

What conditions are those, one wonders. Given it's thrived in every corner of the globe, and every climate, and every form of human tribe.

 

Dunno, sounded plausible to me.

 

(Gray News/AP) - Tony Award-nominated actor Nick Cordero died at age 41 after a 95-day struggle with COVID-19 and complications from it.

Amanda Kloots, Cordero’s wife, announced his death Sunday night on Instagram, where she had been providing updates on his health since he was hospitalized in March.

Cordero faced severe complications from the virus, despite having no pre-existing health conditions. He spent weeks on a ventilator, suffered septic shock, mini-strokes and had to have a leg amputated.

He awoke from a coma in May but afterward suffered more setbacks.

Kloots told “CBS This Morning” on Thursday that Cordero would likely need a double lung transplant. She had previously said the illness had damaged his lungs so severely they looked like he’d been smoking for 50 years.

https://www.wlox.com/2020/07/05/bro...-after-monthslong-battle-against-coronavirus/

 

The coronavirus is no ****ing joke. People need to take this seriously and adhere to everything, even if it's ridiculous sounding.

 

HERE the analysis for the worldwide C19 stats for EOD the day before.

Reminder: New 7-day rolling average system in effect, posted 2020-06-029, 12:40 GMT +2, #10712.

During the run of the day on 2020-07-005 there were some other important analysis:
USA EOD analysis for 2020-07-004, posted 2020-07-005, 13:27 GMT +2, #10899.
India surpasses Russia in total cases, posted 2020-07-005, 17:39 GMT +2, #10904.
Florida goes from 100 K to 200 K C19 cases in 13 days, posted 2020-07-005, 18:07 GMT +2, #10907.

You can confirm/sort the data for this analysis as you wish via the WORLDOMETER website for today -or- the WAYBACK MACHINE when searching for today's date in the future: search for one or two days later than you want, then use the "yesterday" or "2 days ago" function at the top their large excel table.

Important permanent note: sometimes there are discrepancies in the +-values (new cases, new deaths) between my excel table and WorldOMeter. This is always and without exception because WorldOMeter will have changed totals out of the past, usually from one or two days before, after I wrote the analysis. This is happening more often as countries are revising figures more often. Either way, I stick with the + values on my excel table as they are the correct reflection of the numbers as I recorded them. I simply do not have time to be constantly hunting numerical "ghosts" out of the past. If the discrepancy is extreme, I will note it briefly.

COVID-19 worldwide statistics EOD Report for Sunday, 2020-07-005 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):​

֍* 11,550,542 *֍
+178,340 new C19 cases over the day before.
On 2020-07-005, only 3 instead of 4 nations reported over +10,000 new C19 cases.
There are now 133 nations with at least 100 total COVID-19 cases.
On 2020-07-005, India surpassed Russia in total cases, moving up to rank 3 worldwide.
On 2020-07-006, the USA will go over 3 million total COVID-19 cases.
There have now been 536,445 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +3,851 of them were on this day.
Rolling 7 day worldwide average: +187,465 new C19 cases and +4,624 deaths per day.
535 Brazilian, 523 Mexican, 421 Indian & 251 US-American deaths were recorded on this day.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:
​

The entire month of June saw +100,000 or more new C-19 cases per day and you can extend that statistic out to 39 out of the last 40 days, save 2020-05-031. Jesus wandered in the wilderness for 40 days, so when we hit 40 straight days of more than +100,000 new C19 cases worldwide today, 2020-07-006, I will stop mentioning this.

The last 13 days in a row saw more than +160,000 cases per day and twice this week already the world went more than +200,000 new daily cases, a phenomenon I expect will happen again in the coming week. I would say that it's a certainty that going under +100,000 cases a day is now a thing of the past, +175,000 cases per day (see: rolling average) is the norm right now and soon enough, +200,000 per day will the norm.

The worldwide analysis for 2020-06-021, has an extrapolation of how many total C19-cases and C19-deaths we are likely to have by the end of 2020, you may be interested to go and read it again, right under the excel-table for that day.

The number of daily deaths on this Sunday showed the continuation of a slow rise in Sunday deaths from 2020-06-007 through 2020-07-005. Sunday deaths still are (and have been for a while) the least amount of daily reported deaths in the week.

Total cases per country, descending (countries with circa +300 C19 cases and above):
​

The countries highlighted in green are potential future upperdecks countries that have caught my attention, at least for now.

133-68-20-2​

In terms of total cases per country, there are now 133 nations in the "thousand club", with Libya having crossed over the 1,000-line on 2020-07-005.

Of those 133, 68 nations are now in the "10,000 club", with Uzbekistan (sometimes also spelled Uzbekhistan) having crossed over the 10,000-line on 2020-07-005.

20 of those 68 nations are at at 100,000 or more. Quatar (currently at 99,799) will cross over the 100,000 line very soon, likely today, 2020-07-006.

Of those 20, 2 nations are in the "1,000,000" club: the USA and Brazil.

Yesterday, I wrote:

And so it was. By the end of July, India will be at least 100,000, if not 200,000+ cases in front of Russia. Currently at 697,836 and growing cases at a (current) rate of 21,234 cases per day, let's assume an average of +22,000 by the end of this week: India is 302,164 cases away from the 1 million mark. 302,164 / 22,000 = 13.73 days at this rate until 1 million. More than likely, India's daily caseload will pick up, but at this rate, in 2 weeks from Sunday, 2020-05-005, on Sunday, 2020-07-019, India will become the 3rd nation to go over the 1,000,000 mark, joining the USA and Brasil in that category. The only thing that could possibly change this would be China suddenly reporting the results of its reported 90.4 million COVID-19 tests, most of which were conducted after it started marking time at only about 83,000 C19 cases. China's case-load and death statistics have remained frozen for more than 3 months now, but this will not always be this way. The results of those 90.4 million C19 tests cannot mean 0 new cases, that is absolutely impossible.

In terms of the countries with the most new cases:​

66-24-2​

66 countries had +100 or more new cases, 1/3 of all nations in the world. The day before, it was 73.

Of those 66, 24 countries had +1,000 or more new cases. The day before, it was 25.

Of those 24, 3 nations had over +10,000 new cases: USA, Brazil and India. The day before, it was 4. On Saturday, 2020-07-004, South Africa joined the +5-digit category for one day. Let's see if it happens again this week. @Derideo_Te

There can just be no doubt about it - in some corners of the world, with North, Middle and South America leading, C19 is advancing very quickly.

In terms of total deaths per country, descending:​

​

85-37-10-1​

There are now 85 nations with 100 total deaths or more.

Of those 85, 37 nations now have over +1,000 COVID-19 deaths to date.

Of those 37, there are now 10 nations with over +10,000 total COVID-19 deaths to date.

And finally, of those 10, 1 nation has over +100,000 total COVID-19 deaths, completely dwarfing all other nations on the planet: the USA.

Currently at 132,569 total deaths, the USA is circa 4% of the world's population but yet, 24.71% of all worldwide deaths have come from the USA (the day before, it was 24.83%). A extrapolation pointing to 266,000 total US deaths by the end of this year is now currently running within the USA analyses.

Brazil, currently at 64,900 total deaths, is now rank 2 among the C19 dead and closing in on +100,000 deaths rather quickly. An average of +1,243 deaths per day as of 2020-06-024 gets Brazil to 100,000 on July 31st, 2020. An average of +891 deaths per day gets Brazil to 100,000 on August 15th, 2020. It's current rolling average is: +931.

In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:​

You can see the top 11 nations, all over +100 daily deaths, for yourself, highighted in the screenshot above.

11 nations reported over +100 daily deaths (it was 12 the day before). 6 of those 11 countries are from the Americas. 2 are neighboring countries from the Middle-East.

In terms of Total Tests administered per country:​

30 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece.

With 90.4 million COVID-19 tests, China leads the field by far. Very soon, China will also be adjusting it's actual and daily C19 cases and deaths. We may be in for a real statistical jolt, here. The USA has now performed 37.6 million tests (600,000 thousand more than the day before) while Russia has performed 21.1 million tests (600,000 thousand more than the day before). Brazil, which is now rank 2 among all nations both in terms of COVID-19 infections and total deaths, has performed 3.3 million such tests.

Facit: on 2020-07-005, the world landed at 11.55 million total C19 cases.

The world-wide curve, which had generally flattened, is numerically picking up substantially. The huge increase in total cases will invariably, absent a working vaccine, cause the average daily deaths to rise again, probably within the next 13-21 days. It's like a game of whack-a-mole. We've seen this pattern happen before.


-Stat

 

There is no evidence at the present time that the virus is weakening on any significant global scale. What is happening is that doctors are gaining a better understanding of the virus and applying treatments that increase survival rates. IOW's your odds of dying in the beginning were greater due to lack of medical knowledge about how the virus damages the body. The knowledge gained is being put to good use and saving lives.

The dropping death counts appears to be a combination of catching the virus earlier and improved medical knowledge on how to treat those infected.

Personally I am glad to see the death toll DECLINING and I sincerely hope that the shared medical knowledge does mean that these lower tolls mean that we are getting a handle on it so that it can be positively managed in the future.

While there is cause for hope there is also concern and I want to focus on one aspect called Happy Hypoxia that appears to be the "silent killer" symptom of Covid19.

https://www.timesnownews.com/health...l-you-need-to-know-about-the-condition/615140

The Happy Hypoxia condition can affect anyone of any age and people are unaware of any symptoms until Oxygen saturation levels drop to lethal levels. If it is caught early the treatment is relatively straightforward and recovery rates are good but if left untreated it can be a killer.

If you don't know that you are infected you won't be aware that this happening to you which is why TESTING of EVERYONE is essential. Once someone has tested positive a Pulseometer can be used at home to monitor Oxygen levels which means that there can be early detection and treatment for this condition with positive outcomes.

However in rural areas which do not have adequate medical facilities Happy Hypoxia could be causing heart failures that are not treated as Covid19 related. This means that those handling the deceased could be exposed to the virus because they erroneously believe that it was just a heart attack. This can result in the further spread of the virus.

Our knowledge base is growing and Flattening the Curve has SAVED LIVES because he have a better understanding of the virus and how to treat it. There are at least two Anti-viral drugs that appear to be effective (neither of which is HCG) and treatments for other symptoms using existing drugs.

What we are still lacking is adequate TESTING!

Without that KNOWLEDGE we do NOT know who has the virus and who is spreading it around. Knowledge is power and if we are going to defeat this virus it is ESSENTIAL that we know who is infected.

 

HERE the COVID-19 USA numbers for the day before. Reminder: New 7-day rolling average. Also, the USA is now being analyzed in 57 Units instead of 50 states.

There was one important interim report on 2020-07-005 pertinent to my homeland:
Florida goes from 100 K to 200 K C19 cases in 13 days, posted 2020-07-005, 18:07 GMT +2, #10907.

You can confirm/sort the data for the following analysis as you wish via the WORLDOMETER website for today -or- the WAYBACK MACHINE when searching for today's date in the future: search for one or two days later than you want, then use the "yesterday" or "2 days ago" function at the top their large excel table.

Important permanent note: sometimes there are discrepancies in the +-values (new cases, new deaths) between my excel table and WorldOMeter. This is always and without exception because WorldOMeter will have changed totals out of the past, usually from one or two days before, after I wrote the analysis. This is happening more often as countries are revising figures more often. Either way, I stick with the + values on my excel table as they are the correct reflection of the numbers as I recorded them. I simply do not have time to be constantly hunting numerical "ghosts" out of the past. If the discrepancy is extreme, I will note it briefly. For instance, for Sunday, 2020-07-005, there is a 2,628 case disparity, also reflected worldwide.

And now:

COVID-19 USA statistics EOD Report for Sunday, 2020-07-005 in the USA (EOD = GMT +0):

**2,982,928**
+47,158 new COVID-19 cases, supplanting 2020-07-004 as 5th highest daily total.
In a row: 14 days of +30,000 or more / 11 days of +40,000 or more.
As of this day, ALL 50 US states now have at least 1,000 total COVID-19 cases (or far more).
Both Texas and Florida went over 200,000 total COVID-19 cases on this day.
The USA will go over 3 million total COVID-19 cases on Monday, 2020-07-006.
There are now 132,569 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA, 251 of them were recorded on this day
Rolling 7 day average = 49,407 new infections & 590 deaths per day
1,289,564 people have recovered, 1,560,791 are still sick, of them, 16,038 of them in critical condition.
The recovered statistic is improving: margin = -9.09% vs. active cases (was: -9.63%)​

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

It's been quite a week in the USA, to put it mildly.

The numbers speak volumes. The days of maybe +20,000 to +25,000 new C19 cases per day are gone. We are already now between +45,000 to +55,000 as the. This is a massive uptick, and it happened more quickly than people may think. Take a look for yourself at the rolling 7-day average and compare 2020-07-005 with the last weekly average, from last Sunday. We have gone from an average of +40,000 cases per day to +49,000 cases per day.

Yesterday, I wrote:

And so it was. Also, the USA is just a little more than 19,000 away from the 3 million barrier and will easily go over 3 million today.

The actual number of daily deaths reported on 2020-07-005, +251, reflects a steady downward trend in Sunday deaths in the USA. Hallelujah. This is EXCEEDINGLY good news, but the real concern (and I have been writing this for more than a week now) here is that with a huge spike in cases within the Union, a spike in deaths will follow in the next 2.5-3.5 weeks, ala what we saw in NY and NJ, one month later in LA, MI and IL. We may soon see this in FL, AZ, TX, CA and GA.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total confirmed C19 cases, descending:
​

57: 56-42-17-7​

56 out of 57 UNITS have over 1,000 confirmed total COVID-19 cases apiece, with Hawaii, the last of the US states, going over the 1,000-line on 2020-07-005. Therefore, 50 of those 56 Units are US States. However, at 311 and the only Unit under the 1,000-line, the pacific Territories may take a considerably longer time to get there.

42 of the UNITS I just mentioned now have more than +10,000 cases, with Oregon having gone over the 10,000-line on 2020-07-005. 39 of those 42 Units are states. The non-states: DC, Veterans Affairs and the US Military.

Of those 42, 17 have more than +50,000 confirmed C19 cases. All 17 of them are states.

Of those 17, 7 have more than +100,000 confirmed C19 cases. All 7 of them are states. at 98,098 cases, Arizona will very likely cross over the 100,000-line today, 2020-07-006. Georgia is not far being. Both Texas and Florida cleared the 200,000-line on 2020-07-005. Today, 2020-07-006, Florida will surpass Texas and move up to rank 3, behind New York and California.

New daily cases:

​

57: 53-41-10​

53 of 57 Units reported at least one new case, 48 of those 53 being states. The non-states with new reported cases: DC, the atlantic territories, Veterans Affairs Federal Prisons and Navajo Nations.

41 of 57 Units reported more than +100 new cases. 38 of those 41 Units were states. The non-states were: atlantic Territories, Veterans Affairs and Navajo Nations.

10 of 57 Units reported over +1,000 new cases (the day before, it was 8 ), all 10 of them being states. For the second day in a row, there was a huge disparity between Florida, which set a statewide and nationwide record of +10,059 new C19 cases, and Texas, with roughly half of that, at +5,183. Just three weeks ago, +5,183 was a horrifying number and now it looks, frankly, tame compared to what is happening in Florida. 8 of the 10 states at +1,000 or above are from the Deep South. The other 2 are from the West/Southwest.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily deaths:
​

I think this is the most important category when looking to see where other hotspots are emerging and since deaths lag behind new cases, the two rankings are often not the same.

57: 34-7-0​

34 of 57 Units reported at least one new death. 30 of them are US States. The 4 non-states: DC, Veteran Affairs, Federal Prisons and Navajo Nations.

Of those 46, 7 reported deaths in double digits or more, from +10 to +33. 6 of those 7 Units are US States. The non-state: Veterans Affairs

Out of the entire Union, all 57 Units, 0 Units reported more than 100 daily deaths.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
​

57: 45-25-2
​

45 of 57 Units now have at least 100 total deaths. 41 of those 45 Units are US States. At 97, 95, 93, and 80 total deaths respectively, South Dakota, West Virginia, Idaho and North Dakota will soon cross over that marker.

Of those 45, 25 Units now have a total of more than +1,000 COVID-19 deaths. 24 of those 25 are US states, the other Unit is US Veterans Affairs. Currently at 960 deaths, Rhode Island is inching up toward the +1,000-death line, it will likely happen within July, 2020. That being said, both South Carolina and Tennessee are experiencing more daily deaths than Rhode Island and may actually get there first.

Of those 25 Units, 2 have suffered more than 10,000 COVID-19 deaths: NY and NJ, the original epicenters of the virus in February/March/April 2020.

COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total COVID-19 tests performed:​

This is being provided once a week to give an overview of how testing is shaping up. California has now exceeded New York in the number of C19 tests performed.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FACIT: we ended the day analysed with 132,569 US deaths from COVID-19. To make this easier to visualize, here is the listing of US-American cities with a projected 2020 population of between 127,000-136,000:



This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of ALL of CHARLESTON, never to get the one or the other back again. Think about that.

NEW EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-06-001)​

What happens if, on the average, instead of 1,400 dead per day (which was the extrapolation from 2020-04-028 through 2020-05-031), let's take 1/2 of that, "just" 700 dead per day every day from the beginning of June, 2020, until the end of this year?

This extrapolation is now up and running, you can find it at the online excel table (you'll find the logistical tab easily). I will do a report on this once a month, on the first day of the month, but you can check in on the numbers as often as you like to see if we really are on our way to 266,000 total US COVID-19 deaths, or not. On the first day of each month, the table for the month before will also be published here.

Some dates to keep in mind. If this trends as I think it may, averaging at some point in time, +700 deaths per day, then we would likely reach the following milemarkers:

150,000 deaths on or around 2020-08-002.
200,000 deaths on or around 2020-10-013.
250,000 deaths on or around 2020-12-023.

Mitigate. Don't be fooled and don't be a fool: wear a mask. Wash your hands. Avoid large crowds. Think before you decide to demonstrate about anything right now: is it worth your health to do it? Get lots of good sunlight in open spaces. Respect the space of others. Stay healthy. We DON'T want the new extrapolation, which started on June 1st, 2020, to happen. Right now, even with exceedingly few deaths on 2020-07-005 in addition to 2020-07-004, we are 1,874 deaths ABOVE the extrapolation, which puts us just a little more than 2.5 days ahead of the projection. This number is also higher than the corresponding number from the first Sunday in June, when the extrapolation began (2020-06-007, 1,374 deaths ABOVE the extrapolation at that time)

-Stat

 

That thing scares the **** out of me as an Asthmatic. I've never had a fever, I don't think I've had a cold. Nor any loss of taste buds or anything like that. But none of that means anything, especially with this condition. For all I know, I could have this type of lung damage and not even know it until my body goes freaking critical?

 

Or you could pick up a Pulse Oximeter from a local drug store and check your own vital signs.

https://www.healthline.com/health/pulse-oximetry#how-it-works

 

I think that this warning explains what is about to happen here in America.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/scott-gottlieb-fda-coronavirus_n_5f02a97bc5b6acab2852774d

If we can catch this early and use the medical knowledge we have gained then the death toll can be mitigated.

However all of that DEPENDS upon widespread TESTING, tracking, tracing and quarantining those infected.

We are NOT doing that on a NATIONWIDE scale which means that the virus is spreading and we have no idea who is infected and asymptomatic and spreading the virus.

Other countries understand this problem and have put the necessary Pandemic Protocols and Prevention in place on a national level.

We the People can no longer afford the luxuries of ignorance, arrogance and stubbornness because they are aiding and abetting this killer virus.

 

But wait, isn't Idaho a BIG SKY state, with lots of space out there????

So, the lesson from Idaho is that if it can happen in Idaho, it can happen anywhere.

 

The USA just went over 3 million COVID-19 cases:



The excel table:


From 2020-06-007 to 2020-07-006, we added 1,000,000 more cases in the USA.

 

Today, the US state of Florida has reported "only" +6,336 new C19 infections, decidedly less than the +11,458 on Saturday but that is still +1,070 more cases than one Monday ago.

All said and told, Florida currently has 206,447 cases and has moved ahead of Texas, from rank 4 up to rank 3, behind New York and California in the misery rankings. But Texas has not reported in yet today. The two new dreadnaught states may do tit-for-tat for a while, but if Florida has a week this week like it had last week (last Monday, Florida started the week with +5,266 cases and then its caseload exploded as the week progressed), then it will stay solidly at rank 3 until it unseats California. I would not be surprised if when all is said and done, Florida surpasses New York's C19 total by the end of this year, if now much earlier.

It's going to be a very interesting week......

 

Miami-Dade County is closing down again, effective right now.

The county has a 26% positivity rate.

 

Don't worry all is fine, let's talk about monuments and the Flag.

 

The US state of Arizona has just reported +3,352 new C19 cases on 2020-07-006. One week ago, on Monday, 2020-06-029, Arizona reported +3,079 cases, so it is already +273 cases over it's reported position one Monday ago, but relatively in line with last week, at least thus far. Also, Arizona just went over the 100,000 mark, making it the 8th state to do so.

The current population of Florida is estimated at 21,993,000, while the current population of Arizona is estimated at 7,378,490, so Arizona is almost 3 times smaller in population than Florida. Therefore, +3,352 in Arizona would, when you account for the difference in population, correspond to +10,056 in Florida and looky, looky, that is pretty much exactly were Florida was in the middle of last week. So, the number in Arizona is smaller than in Florida, but relative to it's population, these + numbers are huge. The positivity rate in Arizona, when compared to total administered tests (not the best way, but one way to do it) is circa 13%.

Arizona is in for a world of hurt. Surely its hospital beds will be full within the next 2 weeks or less.

 

The hospitals are full. Flagstaff reached 100% a week ago and is sending c19 patience to other towns.
Flag's location, the intersection of the Interstates mad it a hot bed.