Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

I am starting to ask myself how many airline workers (Pilots, Co-pilots, flight attendants, ticket service workers) have contracted COVID-19 in the last 4 weeks or so.

 

It's an unlawful arrest in my view, as the first amendment says there can be no abridgement, and by arresting the pastor they are by definition abridging the first amendment. The current health situation is one thing, but we're losing the fabric of America in addition to the number of dead.

 

I think it's because covid-19 is a hoax. derrrrrrrrrrrr

 

Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu is in self-quarantine.

 

WUTT!?!?!?!?

Oh, sorry, I cannot see to whom you responded.

 

Probably more than a handful, and imagine that until airlines were canceled some of them flew on consecutive or different flights(I'm not sure how their industry works), and that's more of a chance for infection/infecting others.

 

Do you see any good news out of Europe at the mom? A number of Western Europe countries seem to have hit or possibly even passed their peaks in terms of new infections.
Thoughts?

 

I understand why you might have that guy on the ignore list.

 

Sad way for people to behave.

 

Taking todays figures, which might still have some weekend lagging, Germany might have peaked. My home town reported only a 5% increase, down from 10%.

I am waiting for the CO data around 4pm MT

 

Fusshupen, hihihihihihi

 

And it's really infuriating when I limit my trips to the store for only necessities but still have to wade through a crowd of people. 10's of people in an isle at a time. Home depot parking lot was jammed yesterday, no freaking way everyone was there because of an imminent need. There is no way to understate the absolute stupidity and selfishness of the average american.

 

The question being asked of Dr. Birx right now is the best question of the last weeks

'the projections of maybe 100,000 dead are based on us doing everything perfectly. Are we really doing everything perfectly, or can we do more?'

I'm paraphrasing, because the question went by so quickly, but the question was really, really on target.

 

Füsslistrümpf!!!

 

Including SCREENERS

 

And her answer that the model results were based on the federal guidelines being complied with. The most important guideline is to not touch your face without washing your hands.

Cuomo now wants 50,000 ventilators.

 

*780,997*
+60,780 cases today over yesterday​

So, at end of day, 11:57 PM on March 30th, 2020 (GMT +1), the COVID-19 numbers:




The most critical thing from today's data, absolutely inescapable, is the marked rise in the death rate, to 4.81%

The Excel-Table back to 02/27 (you will notice, the table now fills up the entire screenshot, soon I will need 2 to cover the table):




The bad news for the raw numbers is that there were more new cases today over yesterday (+60,780) as compared to yesterday over the day before (+58,850). The good news is that as the pie overall grows larger, these numbers actually represent a smaller growth rate. So, the very good news for today, the second day in a row, was that the growth rate was under 10% (8.44%), which, over time, would definitely flatten an exponential curve.

In terms of deaths: 37,561 total, +3,663 today over yesterday, making for a 10.81% growth rate, is not good. The growth rate of deaths from today to yesterday outpaced the growth rate of COVID-19 cases added to the sum total.

The % of recovered people actually ticked up very slightly, from 20.95% yesterday to 21.09% at EOD today.

In terms of total numbers, it is obvious that we will cross over the 800,000 line tomorrow. As things heat up more in the hotspots in the USA and as the number of cases exponentially grows in countries which until now were very quiet (Turkey, Russia, India, Egypt, Brasil, Venezuela), it is possible that the slight reprieve in the exponential curve may end soon.

And per country, organized two ways from now on. Here per total cases, in reverse numerical order:



And here, in reverse numerical order of new deaths. Spain had the most deaths today:



The bulk of today's deaths came from Spain, Italy, France, the USA, the UK, Iran, Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium and Switzerland. Please notice the huge explosion in in confirmed cases in Switzerland and Belgium. Also, Poland has almost doubled it's total cases in just 3-4 days. Canada is growing cases at a high rate. And with Moscow on complete lockdown, it is now obvious that the numbers out of Russia are being vastly underreported.

We are marching ever so steadily toward the 1,000,000 mark. It is unavoidable. Hitting that mark will have a negative psychological impact upon people. Perhaps it will wake some people up.

-Stat

PS. I want to thank many of you for contributing so much good, factual information to this thread. People of all stripes are stepping up to the plate and bringing information without a political agenda behind it, and I think that is grand, in spite of the gravity of what is happening to our world.

 

Indeed. Thanks for adding that.

 

I would like to make a correction to this. The numbers on Worldometer do not always stop at ~midnight EST and it would seem the US numbers from yesterday were updated. New York ended up posting +180 deaths, still down from the +277 but not really all that great considering the trend line is still clearly up. The rest of the nation only went up by +2 later in the evening, so at least that part held up. I will try to address New York and NYC in a bit more depth tonight with my normal update as NYC new cases may have finally peaked, but still waiting on their 4pm update.

 

Good question. Not sure I am qualified to give a definitive answer.

After I read that when all was said and done, 913 people died in Spain, I'm not sure anyone can see very many bright spots in Europe. The numbers out of France were worse today. Also, Germany crossed over the 100 line in terms of deaths in one day. I personally don't think that we have passed the peak at all, but I cannot base that on more than gut feeling right now. Well, that and some rising numbers.

Nice to hear from you.

 

Yes, I have noticed that as well.

 

Got one, too. Jack Russel thing, was dumped as a 3 month old close to the farm, Coyote bait. Welsh Corky, run away from the Humane Society and a very interesting guy from the shelter a Carolina. 2 Miniature pigs, KuneKune and 5 horses, used to be nearly 50.
Still waiting on CO data.

 

50 TSA screening officers and 19 more employees test positive for coronavirus across the United States.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/trav...rs-and-19-employees-test-positive/2935337001/

 

I think local reporting, cities and counties, obtained from local news papers is far faster, especially with the week end lag.
In Germany it can take till Wednesday till the official and complete numbers are out.

 

*These numbers are not COVID-19 numbers, but rather, a direct result of the COVID-19 pandemic and therefore also worth noting*

This is a write-up from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis:

https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-e...ope-estimates-next-quarters-unemployment-rate

I read it four times and did the numbers myself. What they are writing is actually a pretty conservative estimate. When you see the topline, you say, no way, this cannot be.
But actually, it may get far worse due to unforeseen ripple-effects.

Long and short of it, the FED of St. Louis is projecting that unemployment in the USA for the 2nd quarter is going to jump from 5.76 million unemployed at the beginning of February, 2020 (3.5%) to a sum total of 52.81 million unemployed, or 32.1%. That is a loss of 47.1 million jobs in this quarter, on top of the 5.76 million who were already unemployed.

You really need to read the input from the Fed Bank of St. Louis more than once to digest what I just wrote.

To put this into perspective: when the US economy and then the world economy crashed late 1929 and took on catastrophic proportions starting in 1930, during Herbert Hoover's term and well into FDR's administration, unemployment went as high as 24.5%. It took at least 10 years to dig out of that hole and likely, necessary war production (lend lease act of 1940) was a major factor in spurring re-growth in the US economy.

In September 2008, when the stock market imploded during George W. Bush's second term stetching to most of Obama's term in office, unemployment reached 10%. It took, some would say, 8 years to get out of the financial hole. It was probably closer to 7.

I shudder to think what 32.1% unemployment all at once would do to every facet of life in the USA.

Now, these are at the moment theoretical figures, but as I wrote, this very dark estimate may actually be conservative.

If you read the link, you will understand what I mean.

We are dealing with two existential crises at the same time and in both cases, we are watching the grim catastrophe unfold slowly on TV from the comfort of our living rooms.

-Stat