Could you please get a water proof bag and send some of the rain to the 4 corners, 2 inches of it, give $5 per inch.
Maybe not. It's getting weaker and thus shorter. A mid range Cat 3 or lower won't make the turn as it's ride will go over it.
Yes unfortunately this is one of those storms where I'll end up checking on it every hour or so until 1 a.m. and then I'll probably get up around 6 and check it again, just to be sure.
Went to bed after the 5AM update, woke up for the 8AM update. lol 3 hours of sleep becuase of this *******. If this things starts moving again without making the turn (more likely the more it weakens) I'm going to have a bad time.
The steering winds collapsed, so the storm became stationary, but all models show it will turn north.
Thanks, I found the video right after I wrote the post - so I apologize. It's just that articles or parts of articles had disappeared at times after I had read them that I assumed it was taken off for being politically incorrect.
Here in Desoto County, we were basically in a straight line west of where it was yesterday. Bet your last dollar I had been eagerly awaiting that turn.
At the moment - the storm is not going anywhere "stationary" - bad thing if you happen to be in the area where the storm decided to sit but, good thing due to the fact that as it sits over one spot it will run out of energy.
Ah. I see. Your understanding of how hurricanes work is rudimentary, at best. Yes. Pressure is involved. There are hundreds of other known variables that impact direction, speed, force, etc., and also, there are an unknown number of unknown variables that forecasters can't consider, because we don't know them. Anyway, when your ability to predict the exact where, when, why, how big gets better than the entire hurricane community's, I'll consider your input valuable. Until then, your input is as meaningful as this guys:
I have lived in SE Florida for 20+ years, and I have lived through many of them, and monitored countless others, I'd say I know a thing or two. Just because I didn't list every factor means absolutely nothing. You claimed "the entire hurricane community is baffled". Baffled by what? If they were so baffled, how did they predict how it was going to behave and when and where it was going to turn, and that it was going to intensify? They had the same information as always, and they made their predictions, which turned out to be very accurate. Even I could have made a more or less accurate prediction about the path Westward knowing there was a high pressure system in the North which would keep it down. Likewise I would have known it was going to turn North when it got passed the high pressure system. I knew it would intensify over the warm waters, etc. Like I said, they follow the same basic factors plus some more minor factors.
Andrew. The path was similar, except that it was not allowed to turn North until it was in the Gulf of Mexico
Baffled why it wasn't turning North when all signs said it should turn much, much sooner than it did. Baffled why it stalled out over the Bahamas. Baffled why it missed Puerto Rico, when every bit of information pointing to it doing just that. If it was an exact science, they could put out one forecast when they spot the wave over Africa and those who needed to, would have much, much longer to prepare. If you know how to do that, please let NOAA know, because you clearly have some expertise they do not have. If you need contact information, let me know. I will get you some names. My husband knows a lot of them.
Cool story if it were true. They knew it was going West due to the high pressure system. They were not baffled it stalled over the Bahamas. They knew it would slow down. PR is a small target, which is why they have "the cone". The reason why they dont do that is obvious: The conditions can change over the time the storm travels. Cool. Then you can quote some them saying how baffled they were and yet were able to produce a very accurate prediction. This is what I said at noon Friday: "There is a chance the storm will turn north and never even touch land, but it seems the media wants to keep everyone hyped up about a Cat-4/5 hitting a heavily populated South Florida." And few hours later: "I'll bet its going to miss Florida completely". Those comments were based on the simple data provided by NOAA.
