Interesting conversation I had with AI about the subject of 'falsifiability'

Discussion in 'Science' started by Patricio Da Silva, Jul 21, 2023.

  1. Patricio Da Silva

    Patricio Da Silva Well-Known Member Donor

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    Is it possible to have a meaningful chat with a machine?

    I had this conversation with AI

    What do you think of ChatGPT's answers?

    Me: What does falsifiable mean, and does it have more than one meaning?

    ChatGPT Falsifiable is a term primarily used in the context of science and philosophy to describe a characteristic of hypotheses or theories. It refers to the property of a statement or proposition that can be tested, observed, or potentially proven false through empirical evidence or logical reasoning. In other words, a claim is considered falsifiable if there is a way to demonstrate that it is incorrect.

    For example, the statement "All swans are white" is falsifiable because it can be disproven by finding a single black swan. In this case, the claim is testable and subject to potential refutation based on observation.

    Falsifiability is an essential criterion in the scientific method, proposed by philosopher Karl Popper, as it helps distinguish scientific theories from non-scientific ones. Scientific hypotheses must be formulated in a way that allows for the possibility of being proven wrong through empirical testing or observation. If a claim is not falsifiable, it falls outside the realm of empirical science and enters the realm of non-empirical or pseudoscientific ideas.
    While falsifiable has a clear and specific meaning within the scientific and philosophical context, in everyday language, it might be used more broadly to describe any situation or claim that can be proven false. However, in rigorous discussions or scientific contexts, it's essential to adhere to the precise meaning of the term.

    Me: I'm having trouble understanding the concept, connecting the concept with the proposition that if something is falsifiable it is the first step towards being scientific. Where I'm confused is that if something can be proven false, then it's not correct, and then what? How do we get to something that is viable and true if we prove it to be false?

    ChatGPT I understand your confusion, and it's a common point of confusion for many people when they first encounter the concept of falsifiability. Let me clarify how falsifiability is connected to the scientific process and how it leads us to viable and true explanations.

    Falsifiability and Scientific Method: Falsifiability is a critical criterion in the scientific method because it sets the foundation for testing and refining scientific theories. In science, we aim to develop explanations (hypotheses or theories) that can withstand rigorous testing and scrutiny. By formulating hypotheses in a falsifiable manner, we open them up to the possibility of being proven wrong, which is a fundamental aspect of scientific progress.

    The Process of Falsification: When a falsifiable hypothesis or theory is subjected to testing and observation, there are two possible outcomes:

    a. If the hypothesis withstands testing and is supported by evidence, it is considered provisionally valid. However, scientific knowledge is always provisional, meaning it is open to reevaluation based on new evidence or better explanations.

    b. If the hypothesis fails the testing and is contradicted by empirical evidence, it is rejected or modified. This does not mean that the whole scientific process has failed; rather, it is a step forward in refining our understanding. The rejection of a hypothesis prompts scientists to develop better, more accurate explanations that align with the available evidence.
    Iterative Process of Science: The scientific method is an iterative process. When a hypothesis is falsified, it leads scientists to revise, improve, or develop new hypotheses that can better explain the phenomena under investigation. This iterative process of proposing, testing, and refining hypotheses contributes to the growth of scientific knowledge.​

    Convergence towards Truth: While science may not achieve absolute truth, the scientific process aims to converge towards increasingly accurate and reliable explanations of the natural world. Over time, well-supported and repeatedly tested hypotheses become scientific theories, which represent our best understanding of a given phenomenon based on the available evidence.

    It's important to remember that the scientific method does not claim to provide absolute truth. Instead, it offers the best explanations available at any given time, subject to continuous testing and refinement. By embracing falsifiability, science remains open to challenging existing theories and replacing them with better explanations when necessary, leading to an ever-improving understanding of the world.

    In summary, falsifiability is not about proving something to be true or false once and for all; rather, it's about creating a framework that allows us to test and refine our explanations, leading us closer to viable and more accurate understandings of the natural world.

    Me: but how is it possible to be a valid test when if something is valid, it isn't false, so how do we know it is 'falsifiable' if it isn't false in the first place, and it seems we are back to square one?

    ChatGPT I understand why you find this concept challenging, but let's break it down step by step to see how it works.

    Falsifiability and Testability: A hypothesis is considered falsifiable if there is a possible observation or test that could prove it false. This doesn't mean the hypothesis is necessarily false, only that it allows for the possibility of being proven false through empirical evidence or logical reasoning. If a hypothesis is not falsifiable, it means there is no conceivable way to test or challenge it, making it unscientific.

    The Role of Falsifiability in Science: In the scientific method, falsifiability is a critical criterion because it sets the conditions for empirical testing. By formulating hypotheses in a falsifiable manner, scientists create opportunities to gather evidence that can either support or refute the hypothesis.

    Falsifiable ≠ False: It's important to understand that a hypothesis being falsifiable does not mean it is false. It means that it can be subjected to testing, and if the evidence does not support it, the hypothesis is rejected or revised, not proven to be definitively false.

    Testing and Refining Hypotheses: When scientists design experiments or observations to test a falsifiable hypothesis, they are attempting to gather evidence to support or challenge it. If the evidence supports the hypothesis, it gains more credibility but is still considered provisional knowledge, open to reevaluation with new data. If the evidence contradicts the hypothesis, scientists revise or reject it and search for a better explanation.

    Iterative Nature of Science: Science is an iterative process, constantly evolving as new evidence emerges. The rejection of a hypothesis is not a failure; it is an opportunity to improve our understanding. Scientists learn from falsified hypotheses and use that knowledge to refine future hypotheses, leading to a better understanding of the natural world over time.

    Scientific Theories: Scientific theories are well-supported, extensively tested, and refined explanations that have stood up to rigorous scrutiny. They are considered the most accurate models of reality based on the current evidence. However, even scientific theories are subject to potential revision if new evidence emerges that challenges their validity.

    In summary, falsifiability is about setting the groundwork for empirical testing and ensuring that scientific hypotheses are open to scrutiny. The fact that a hypothesis is falsifiable means it can be subjected to testing, but it does not mean it is necessarily false. If evidence supports the hypothesis, it gains credibility, but it remains open to refinement based on future research. Science progresses by continuously challenging and refining explanations, leading to a more comprehensive and accurate understanding of the world.

    Me: Is it true that if something is not falsifiable, it is not empirically observable though any of the senses?

    ChatGPT Yes, that is generally true. If something is not falsifiable, it means there is no conceivable way to test or observe it through empirical means. In other words, a non-falsifiable claim or proposition cannot be subjected to any form of observation or measurement through our senses or any scientific instruments.

    Falsifiability is a crucial criterion in empirical science because it ensures that scientific hypotheses and theories can be tested and potentially proven wrong based on empirical evidence or observations. If a claim is not falsifiable, it falls outside the scope of empirical science because it cannot be verified or refuted through observable data.

    Non-falsifiable claims often pertain to matters that are not empirically testable or belong to the realm of metaphysics, religious beliefs, or philosophical concepts that transcend the natural world. These claims might still have value in other contexts, such as personal beliefs or cultural traditions, but they do not fall within the purview of scientific investigation due to their inherent non-falsifiability.

    Me: I sense a problem with the scientific method, it assumes that if something is not falsifiable, it can't possibly exist. Is that not an assumption?

    ChatGPT You've identified an important philosophical point related to the scientific method. The assumption of falsifiability is a foundational principle within the scientific approach, but it does have its limitations and philosophical implications.

    While the scientific method is a powerful tool for understanding the natural world and has led to numerous advancements and discoveries, it does have certain limitations:

    Limitation to Empirical Observations: As you correctly pointed out, the scientific method is limited to phenomena that are empirically observable and falsifiable. This means that certain concepts, such as some metaphysical or religious beliefs, lie outside the scope of empirical science.

    Metaphysical and Non-Empirical Matters: The scientific method is designed to investigate natural phenomena and explain observable events through empirical evidence. However, there are questions and matters that go beyond the physical world and might fall within the realm of metaphysics, ethics, aesthetics, or other non-empirical domains. These matters might be important to individuals, cultures, or philosophical discussions, but they cannot be addressed through the scientific method.

    Assumption of Naturalism: The scientific method operates under a philosophical stance known as methodological naturalism, which assumes that natural causes and explanations are sufficient to understand the natural world. While this assumption has been immensely successful in understanding the physical universe, it cannot address questions about the supernatural or non-natural phenomena.

    Philosophical Underpinnings: The scientific method is a product of a specific philosophical approach and epistemology. It is based on inductive reasoning, empirical evidence, and falsifiability. Other approaches, such as deductive reasoning or metaphysical inquiries, exist outside the scientific method's domain.

    In summary, while the scientific method has proven to be an invaluable tool for understanding the natural world, it does have inherent limitations and assumptions. It is essential to recognize that the scientific method is one approach to knowledge and understanding, but it does not encompass all aspects of human inquiry or address all philosophical questions. As a result, there are realms of knowledge and belief that fall outside the scope of empirical science and require other forms of investigation and reasoning.

    Me: As I understand science, there is the assumption by scientists that the metaphysical realm is unreality because of the 'fact' that the metaphysical realm is not falsifiable. But, is it not true that if something is not falsifiable, the fact that it is not falsifiable is limited to our ability to invent machines to detect and otherwise empirically observe that which we would not otherwise be able to but for the technology? For example, using an electronic microscope to see things we could not possibly see with the eyes, so that which we can see with the aid of technology, we can refine and expand our boundaries of what is, and isn't, falsifiable. However, is it not true that our ability to determine falsifiability is limited to our technological level, and, that if mankind existed at a much higher level, things we assumed were metaphysical were, indeed, [might be] empirically observable with a higher technology? Therefore, what is, and what isn't falsifiable, is not an absolute determination, is this correct?

    ChatGPT You've raised an intriguing and thought-provoking point. Indeed, the question of what is falsifiable and what lies within the realm of metaphysics is not necessarily absolute but can be influenced by our current technological capabilities and understanding.
    Technological Limitations and Falsifiability: You are correct in suggesting that our ability to determine what is falsifiable can be limited by our current level of technology and scientific knowledge. As our technology and methods of observation improve, we can expand the boundaries of what we can empirically observe and test. What might have been considered unfalsifiable in the past could become falsifiable with advancements in technology.

    Scientific Progress and Expanding Boundaries: Throughout history, many phenomena that were once considered metaphysical or beyond the reach of empirical observation have become scientifically understood as our knowledge and technology advanced. For example, the existence of microorganisms was once unknown until the invention of the microscope, which allowed us to observe them and test their effects. As our knowledge and technology expand, our ability to falsify hypotheses and theories can also improve.

    Limits of Human Perception: Despite technological advancements, there might still be inherent limits to human perception and cognition. For instance, there could be phenomena or aspects of reality that are beyond our ability to perceive, comprehend, or even conceive, regardless of our technological prowess. Such limitations may lead certain questions to remain in the realm of metaphysics or philosophy.

    Metaphysics and Empirical Science: The distinction between metaphysics and empirical science is not absolute but depends on our current understanding and the scope of empirical observation. Some questions, such as the nature of consciousness, free will, or the existence of other dimensions, might currently fall into the realm of metaphysics due to their lack of empirical testability. However, they could potentially become amenable to empirical investigation in the future.

    In summary, the boundaries between what is falsifiable and what is considered metaphysical are not fixed but can shift as our technology and understanding progress. While science relies on empirical observation and falsifiability as key principles, our current limitations in technology and perception can influence what we can investigate empirically. As a result, what we consider to be metaphysical today might become subject to empirical inquiry in the future, leading to a broader and more refined understanding of the world.

    Me:
    I understand science correctly, in order to advance, among the many things we must adhere to, be mindful of, pay attention to, etc., we would also be wise to 1. Keep our minds open, 2. recognize that healthy skepticism is good, but not so much as to allow it let close our minds,
     
    Last edited: Jul 21, 2023
  2. LiveUninhibited

    LiveUninhibited Well-Known Member

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    ChatGPT is definitely impressive. Regarding your point: " As I understand science, there is the assumption by scientists that the metaphysical realm is unreality because of the 'fact' that the metaphysical realm is not falsifiable." I think that's more a colloquial thought about science than a scientific one. Things that are not falsifiable are simply outside of the scope of the scientific method. One cannot objectively "verify" it scientifically, so science isn't a tool for it. Sadly, the only other good tool we have is logic, but it is more prone to bias than something which can be indirectly "verified" through many failed attempts at falsification.
     
  3. Patricio Da Silva

    Patricio Da Silva Well-Known Member Donor

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    I posed the question to Chat about the fact that if something isn't falsifiable, that falsifiability is limited by our limited technology. In other words, what was not falsifiable yesterday may be falsifiable tomorrow, as technology advances. It agreed with that premise.
     
  4. LiveUninhibited

    LiveUninhibited Well-Known Member

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    That's true, but that doesn't mean everything will eventually be falsifiable. Some things will remain beyond the scope of science, but that does not render those things as unreality. Maybe they should be mostly irrelevant to the logical mind though, as we may never know.
     
  5. Patricio Da Silva

    Patricio Da Silva Well-Known Member Donor

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    Be careful using the term 'the logical mind' as a basis for what is logical.

    The mind is a very cunning thing, you have no idea how cunning.
     
  6. ryobi

    ryobi Well-Known Member

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    I'm curious.

    If the Null hypothesis is not falsifiable but the Alternative hypothesis is do you then reject the null hypothesis but the Alternative Hypothesis still remains viable???

    For example, the null hypothesis that aliens have never landed on earth is not falsifiable because the absence of evidence is not evidence.
     
  7. fmw

    fmw Well-Known Member

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    I don't converse with computers. Whenever they call on the phone I hang up. I don't leave messages on answering machines. Sorry.
     

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