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Latest Rasmussen Polling updates

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by pol meister, Oct 26, 2020.

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  1. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    It's close, but with about a week to go, the trend seems to be with Trump.

    The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday, sponsored by Liberty Nation, Conservative News Where Truth Matters, shows that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-six percent (46%) disapprove.

    https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/political_updates/prez_track_oct26
    ​
    In addition, they also did a "White House Watch" poll that showed Trump leading Biden 48% to 47%.

     
    pol meister, Oct 26, 2020
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  2. gamewell45

    gamewell45 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    The only poll which is truly accurate is the one conducted on election day; all others are superfluous.
     
    gamewell45, Oct 26, 2020
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  3. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    It's the only one that counts, but that doesn't mean it's "truly accurate." Hopefully, the mail-in-voting charade won't be as fraudulent as I think it is.
     
    pol meister, Oct 26, 2020
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  4. (original)late

    (original)late Banned

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    Rasmussen is famous for giving republicans a few extra points.

    RCP Average 10/15 - 10/25 -- 44.6 53.3 -8.7
    Rasmussen Reports 10/21 - 10/25 1500 LV 52 46 +6
    Politico/Morning Consult 10/19 - 10/22 1994 RV 45 53 -8
    Economist/YouGov 10/18 - 10/20 1344 LV 45 54 -9
    CNBC/Change Research (D) 10/17 - 10/18 2711 LV 44 56 -12
    Reuters/Ipsos 10/16 - 10/20 1158 RV 42 58 -16
    Quinnipiac 10/16 - 10/19 1426 LV 41 55 -14
    NY Times/Siena 10/15 - 10/18 987 LV 43 51 -8

    The only number you need to look at is the one at the end. Rasmussen is the ONLY one with Trump above water. Throw that out and Trump is slightly over 9 points under... But even with Rasmussen in the mix, it's a -8.7


    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html
     
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2020
    (original)late, Oct 26, 2020
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  5. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    If your polls are so accurate, and Rasmussen so wrong, why was Rasmussen the most accurate in 2016, and your polls all so inaccurate?

    I use Rasmussen for two reasons; one is because of their consistent methodology, and two because of their consistent accuracy. Unfortunately for you, neither of those two attributes apply to your polls.
     
    pol meister, Oct 26, 2020
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  6. UnapologeticallyAmerican

    UnapologeticallyAmerican Well-Known Member

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    I truly think there will be no way to truly know the real results of this election. Dems plus covid will muddle up the voting so bad this time that no matter who wins, it will be contested. Rasmussen truly is the best poll because they tend to poll more likely voters, as opposed to just registered voters
     
    UnapologeticallyAmerican, Oct 26, 2020
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  7. (original)late

    (original)late Banned

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    1) They got lucky.

    2) There's a number of reasons, but since then the top pollsters have had to improve.

    3) They are consistent, I will give them that.

    4) You don't find it interesting that other polls, even occasionally Fox news polls, find different numbers? Btw, they aren't mine, that's the RCP average of all the major polls.

    We'll get to see soon who did the best job..
     
    (original)late, Oct 26, 2020
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  8. pol meister

    pol meister Well-Known Member

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    So as I expected, you have no real way of refuting my claims. As for the Fox News polls, they're consistently as inaccurate as your polls are. Whoever they outsource their polling to, they don't do a very good job of it.
     
    pol meister, Oct 26, 2020
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  9. Borat

    Borat Banned

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    Borat, Oct 26, 2020
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  10. Borat

    Borat Banned

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    It really is simpler than that.... all these media companies (NY Times, Economist, CNN/NBC/CBS/ABC etc) lie, distort and spin non-stop to promote their anti-Trump agenda. The idea that the polls they produce and pay for are suddenly honest and accurate is simply absurd.
     
    Borat, Oct 26, 2020
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  11. gamewell45

    gamewell45 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    That is assuming that everything is on the up and up
     
    gamewell45, Oct 26, 2020
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  12. (original)late

    (original)late Banned

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    Conspiwacy Thweory!
     
    (original)late, Oct 26, 2020
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  13. Borat

    Borat Banned

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    Oh it most certainly is and what I said is unprovable until the election results come it...

    but if you think that the MSM which 97% negative Trump coverage, lies, exaggerations and distortions are well documented and indisputable, if you think they will pay for and run polls that contradict their coverage and expose Trump in a popular, winning light, I might have a bridge in Brooklyn for sale, real cheap... and it's safe there too, there are no riots in Brooklyn, mostly peaceful protests ;)
     
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2020
    Borat, Oct 26, 2020
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  14. gfm7175

    gfm7175 Well-Known Member

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    It's funny how you believe the fake polls to be meaningful and accurate hahaha

    Lefties like you never learn... Trump is going to win with at least 300 EC votes (326-212 is my official guess)
     
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2020
    gfm7175, Oct 26, 2020
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  15. LangleyMan

    LangleyMan Well-Known Member

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    Trump should be focused on telling us how he's going to get the virus under control instead of propagandizing about mail-in-voting.
     
    LangleyMan, Oct 26, 2020
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  16. gfm7175

    gfm7175 Well-Known Member

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    Rasmussen is certainly MUCH closer to what is about to happen in a week than those other polls are, that's for sure...

    Trafalgar Group (they're newer) also does a much better job than most other polling does...

    I still personally dismiss those polls as I do any other polls, but if I were a follower/believer in polls, those are the two polling groups that I would look at...
     
    gfm7175, Oct 26, 2020
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  17. gfm7175

    gfm7175 Well-Known Member

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    If you're listening to Biden, then he's only suggesting doing things that Trump has ALREADY done regarding the virus... Biden is completely clueless... And remember that Biden was calling Trump xenophobic and racist while Trump was already making numerous decisions regarding the virus...
     
    gfm7175, Oct 26, 2020
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  18. gfm7175

    gfm7175 Well-Known Member

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    While I fully expect Trump to win Florida by about 2-3 points, I do not expect Trump to win PA by 3 points (maybe he would without the fraud in Philly)... I instead expect Trump to win PA by about 100k votes (whatever that translates to in a percentage... 1-2 points?)
     
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2020
    gfm7175, Oct 26, 2020
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  19. LangleyMan

    LangleyMan Well-Known Member

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    I think Trump has cooked his goose over the coronavirus.

    44A5587F-890C-40B8-8D97-8EFE09AAABFF.jpeg

    Trump's likely fatal mistake was pushing states to open in early May. I can't imagine why he did it.
     
    LangleyMan, Oct 26, 2020
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  20. LangleyMan

    LangleyMan Well-Known Member

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    Walt Disney had a song for you... :)

     
    LangleyMan, Oct 26, 2020
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  21. LangleyMan

    LangleyMan Well-Known Member

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    He was one month late cutting off European travel here and only had a partial ban on travel from China. He has never pushed hard for creating N95 and better respirators.

    What can he be thinking? We could have avoided some of the shutdowns ahead if we all had N95 or better respirators.
     
    LangleyMan, Oct 26, 2020
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  22. UnapologeticallyAmerican

    UnapologeticallyAmerican Well-Known Member

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    Most people who got the virus reported they almost always wear masks. When he did shutdown China, progressives called him a racist. Just admit that Trump could never, ever do something that you will approve of(As president anyways. Progressives all loved him when he was a rich New York Democrat).
     
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2020
    UnapologeticallyAmerican, Oct 26, 2020
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  23. FatBack

    FatBack Well-Known Member

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    And you base your "guess" on what evidence?
     
    FatBack, Oct 26, 2020
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  24. Junkieturtle

    Junkieturtle Well-Known Member Donor

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    The same evidence that all the folks who say the polls are oversampling Democrats are using.

    My own bias.
     
    Junkieturtle, Oct 26, 2020
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  25. FatBack

    FatBack Well-Known Member

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    So nothing but speculation on your part, I see.
     
    FatBack, Oct 26, 2020
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