Millions of jobs to dissapear as robotics advance

Discussion in 'Economics & Trade' started by jdog, Oct 4, 2015.

  1. MrNick

    MrNick Banned

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    Well, in theory the jobs aren't going anywhere because people have to manufacture the robots and the components used to manufacture them.. Of course that doesn't help the typical American if the robots are being manufactured in Japan or China or outside of the US.

    But yes, indeed companies will be looking to go automated on anything they can and I really can't blame them with crazy labor unions and $15 an hour demands for remedial unskilled work... People price themselves out of a job... Let the market dictate what a job is worth.
     
  2. heresiarch

    heresiarch Well-Known Member

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    The value of human beings is on the downfall these times. Abortions, automatization, non-useful humans will soon be regarded as bags of meat, literally and despised by the elite.
     
  3. Shiva_TD

    Shiva_TD Progressive Libertarian Past Donor

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    While a lack of opportunity is one factor, as are racial prejudice and misogyny, there is a deeper underlying cause behind poverty and it's "market forces" that affect compensation. Market competition, regardless of whether it's addressing a product, a service, or labor compensation always strives to force the price to the lowest possible level but there is an inherent difference between the "enterprise" providing a product and/or service and a worker.

    The "market forces" cannot logical reduce the cost of a product or service to below what it costs the enterprise to provide it. Sustained operating at a loss eventually drives the enterprise out of existance which eliminates the "supply" side of the supply and demand market forces. The cost of operation imposes a constraint upon how low a price can go based upon market forces.

    That same constraint doesn't exist for labor because the worker cannot simply "go out of existance" if they're forced to operate at a loss (i.e. not earning enough to meet mandatory necessary minimum expenditures). The only way the "worker" can go out of existance is to commit suicide.

    Enterprise must always operate at a profit (or without loss) based upon market forces while a person can literally be forced to operate at a loss (i.e. income below the mandatory necessary minimum cost of livijng)

    If all of the person's needs are met then it's reference to relative wealth and not poverty. While poverty can have varying degress there is a simple criteria for understanding what is and what is not poverty.

    For years the "mandatory necessary minimum cost of livijng" was subjective and not quantified leading many to argue that it didn't exist at all. That changed in recent years. MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology), home of some of America's best analytical minds, rose to the challenge and addressed the mandatory necessary minimum monthy and annual costs of living (operating costs) of households of varying size and composition throughout the United States. Everyone can access the MIT Living Wage Calculator online by State and County.

    http://livingwage.mit.edu/

    Because the expenditures are mandatory a person/household that doesn't have enough income to fund the mandatory expenditures imposes a financial burder on society that must be met because the expenditure must be funded from somewhere. A mandatory expenditure must be funded and it can be from the person, the family, a charity, local government, state government and/or the federal government but the expenditure must be funded.

    Poverty is the "income below the mandatory necessary minimum cost of living" for the household because it imposes a financial obligation for funding from a source other than the person that is incapable of fully funding the expenditure..
     
  4. Shiva_TD

    Shiva_TD Progressive Libertarian Past Donor

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    The minimum wage addresses a pragmatic issue. A person/household has mandatory necessary minimum expenditures that must be funded. Ideally the person fully funds these expenditures but if they don't have the financial resources (income) to fully fund the expenditures the balance must be funded from an external source. It can be from family, charity, and/or by the taxpayer through local, state or federal taxation and spending because those expenditures are mandatory and not discretionary.

    It's the financial obligation of "society" that's created by under compensation that the minimum wage addresses. The owner of an enterprise that provides under compensation is imposing a financial burden on others and they don't have a right to do that.

    Of course the "wealthy" don't pay the minimum wage and it doesn't adversely affect their wealth or income. It's paid for by the consumers,

    Like all expenditures employee compensation is merely one of the many costs of operating a business and is accounted for by the business plan. The business plan determines the revenues and profits from the enterprise and not the different individual costs of operation for the enterprise. In point of fact if the profit is based upon a percentage margin relative to costs in the business plan then the higher minimum wage actually increases the profits for the owner.

    Finally the minimum wage does not disadvantage the enterprise because it's applied across the board for all enterprises so there's no competitive advantage or disadvantage related to it.
     
  5. Shiva_TD

    Shiva_TD Progressive Libertarian Past Donor

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    Technology is always based upon a cost/benefit analysis and only when the technology reduces the costs is it employed. It always results in a net loss for the workers that are displaced by the technology so while new jobs are created the total "compensation" for employment is reduced. If that wasn't the case then there would never be technological advancements by enterprise.

    For example ATM's are wonderful but the only way they became viable is because they replaced more bank tellers (costs) than the costs associated with manufacturing and servicing the ATM's. Some jobs were created, including some that paid more than the individual bank teller jobs, but the total costs of the jobs created was less than the total costs of the bank teller jobs that were eliminated.
     
  6. GeorgiaAmy

    GeorgiaAmy Well-Known Member

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    Trains replaced carriages, cars replaced trains, cassettes replaced 8 tracks, cd's, ipod's, Pandora, blockbuster, redbox, netflix, hulu, on demand, land line phones, long distance, magic jack, cell phones, books, newspapers, google, nook, check out lines, self scan, internet shopping, postal service, snail mail, stamps, internet banking...
    The population is much larger globally than it was 50 years ago.
    Essentially, is your argument, don't invent because it may cause job loss?? If that is European mentality, no wonder Europeans are a techno epic fail.
     
  7. CourtJester

    CourtJester Well-Known Member

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    Four times the standard deviation
     
  8. Shiva_TD

    Shiva_TD Progressive Libertarian Past Donor

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    My argument isn't against technology at all because I highly embrace it but I also recognize that it's a two-edge sword. It allows more productivity but it comes with a loss of jobs and income for the workers. The technology allows us to produce far more than we need but because of the resulting loss of compensation the people can't afford the goods and services the technology is capable of producing.

    We need to increase the technology but also increase the compensation for the remaining employment to fully benefit from the technology. The equation must balance for us to fully benefit from the technological advancements but today it doesn't.
     
  9. GeorgiaAmy

    GeorgiaAmy Well-Known Member

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    Strives to force price to the lowest level?
    How off the mark you are.
    Ray Bans, Coach, Cadillac, Gucci, Tommy, Mercedes, Rolex, Ritz Carlton, Bose... These are very expensive brand names hell bent on keeping their price high. They are status symbols. People want to have them for the name.
    You can live in the US on just about anything. How you live, that's different.
    Your links and definitions are super swell, but illustrate you don't work, live independently, pay bills, and manage the finances of a household in the US.
    You also talk about race in the US blindly.
    Racism...whatever. Black Americans have had money thrown at them for decades. It hasn't helped. Illegal Mexicans without ID, resources, citizenship, they come to the US and excel. Their children assimilate remarkably and their children and US born offspring care just fine.
    Asians succeed, Indians succeed, black immigrants succeed. American blacks as a whole have an internal problem. No one can fix it but black Americans.
     
  10. GeorgiaAmy

    GeorgiaAmy Well-Known Member

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    Ok, I live in Coweta County, Georgia, USA.
    Can you give me an annual income for a household of four in my county that meets your criteria for rich? Google and Wikipedia should have enough county income info to ball park a number.
     
  11. Meta777

    Meta777 Moderator Staff Member

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    So what do you want to do about it? Have our government send out more foreign aid?
    And if so, how do you propose to pay for that? Tax the upper classes more? (because we can't just keep taking on more debt...)

    -Meta
     
  12. trout mask replica

    trout mask replica New Member

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    Likely the modern equivalent of the Luddite movement will develop.
     
  13. GeorgiaAmy

    GeorgiaAmy Well-Known Member

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    You miss the whole point.
    If you feel compelled to be charitable, feel free to do so with YOUR resources.
    Don't pontificate about government redistribution of wealth as if it has or ever will fix anything.
     
  14. Iriemon

    Iriemon Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    If done in moderation, they provide a boost to lowest wage workers.

    Nobody owes the rich anything. Oh wait, their bribed politicians do.

    What's your point? Since the Reagan "trickle down" revolution, the bottom 90% have seen their share of the nation's income fall from 65% to 50%. The richest 1% are now getting about 20% of the nation's income and have about 40% of the nation's wealth, doubled since the Reagan "trickle down" revolution. Isn't that enough for you? How much more do you want the richest to get from the middle class?

    For some, or many, more is never enough.
     
  15. Meta777

    Meta777 Moderator Staff Member

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    Wait....I'm confused. Weren't YOU the one complaining about how people in third-world countries need our help?
    Or were you being disingenuous? Either way, you're just as free to send your charity dollars to them as I am,
    and in the mean-time, let us not neglect the poor in our own country, less we face the consequences.

    -Meta
     
  16. ARDY

    ARDY Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Of course the luddites were swimming against an inexorable tide.
    Never the less, they existed because these changes produced an extraordinary disruption of the labor market. Lots of People lost Their secure jobs... And employers used the oversupply of labor to squeeze those who remained employed.

    All of this is on the way, like it or not. There will be fewer good traditional jobs and careers. And it is not particularly anyones fault... Not from flawed policies of a given political party or administration. The world is simply changing. Not always in ways that are comfortable for us.
     
  17. GeorgiaAmy

    GeorgiaAmy Well-Known Member

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    In 30-40 years America will be vastly different than it is today.
    Maybe then the world will be a better place.
     
  18. GeorgiaAmy

    GeorgiaAmy Well-Known Member

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    You were talking about solving problems in the US with wealth redistribution and legislation. That never works. Never.
    Fulton County (Atlanta) schools are funded better than any in Georgia. The students still overwhelmingly fail. Detroit fed bailouts, failed.
     
  19. Meta777

    Meta777 Moderator Staff Member

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    Not needing to do the jobs that traditionally had to be done should be a good thing. And to me, the solutions to this whole issue seem so simple.
    You say its no one's fault, and that's true in a sense, but if we ever get to a point at which the disruption caused by a changing world becomes so bad that society falls apart,
    I will personally place blame squarely upon the shoulders of those who refused to change the social system along with it.

    -Meta
     
  20. Meta777

    Meta777 Moderator Staff Member

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    There were two things that helped to end the Great Depression. Both involved high taxes on the rich
    and massive spending of those tax dollars to employ the lower classes. Do you know what those two things were?

    -Meta
     
  21. Deckel

    Deckel Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Idle hands are the devil's workshop, and all that jazz.
     
  22. ARDY

    ARDY Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    As a thought experiment, lets extend the principle to its extreme
    Each and every job is eliminated by automation
    How does society adapt?

    , that is the same problem workers face with smaller scale automation
    Chunks of good jobs disappear, or never emerge even in an expanding economy
    In general labor becomes less valuable as it is in over supply and faces competion from machines and off shore workers, and hungry immigrants in this country
     
  23. GeorgiaAmy

    GeorgiaAmy Well-Known Member

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    The end of WWII and spending cuts helped end it...Along with restructuring-as has happened after the housing crash...lending has dramatically changed.
    I wasn't alive then though. I can much more knowledgeably discuss the past 20 years in American politics and finance.
     
  24. Third Eyientist

    Third Eyientist Member

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  25. Meta777

    Meta777 Moderator Staff Member

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    How do we adapt?.....Ideally we'd do it gradually and not wait 'till that point at which there were no more jobs.

    1. As more and more jobs are automated, the government should see to the basic needs of the displaced and anyone else finding themselves lacking the basics
    by employing some of those newly unemployed folk to build or provide things such as more affordable housing, more affordable healthcare, more affordable food,
    improved infrastructure, more affordable and improved transportation, education, etc. etc. offsetting some of the costs by taxing those at the very top who benefit
    the most from the same automation (along with natural resources) and rolling the remaining costs into the price of the good or service.

    This step will have three main effects. It will provide a portion of the displaced with new jobs and incomes, this in turn will keep the surplus labor down raising the
    average wage of those still working in the private sector, and lastly, the increased supply of affordable goods and services will lead to an overall drop in price.

    2. When prices and wages have leveled such that most everyone's basic needs are being met, the standard workweek should be reduced where possible,
    spreading out the existing work across an increased number of people. And freeing up time for those who were already employed. Employees should also be afforded
    more paid vacation, more medical/paternity leave time, etc. etc.

    3. As people come to have more time on their hands, the government should shift to hiring folks to provide for recreational needs, as well as art and music commissions etc.
    Creating, operating, and maintaining more parks and community centers, tennis courts, swimming pools, equipment, sports organizations, etc. etc.

    4. Once everything is fully automated, the government simply needs to ensure that the perpetual benefits yielded from the marriage of
    that automation along with the natural resources continues to reach everyone. In such a scenario, work itself might become a luxury of recreational nature.
    It might even be the case that some begin to pay others for the opportunity to work, not because they needed to, or as an intermediate step to get something they wanted,
    but because work itself was what they wanted. This, in my opinion, is where we want to reach.

    -Meta
     

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