Nate Silver's Final Prediction: Obama 332; Romney 206

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by TheTaoOfBill, Nov 6, 2012.

  1. misterveritis

    misterveritis Banned

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    It is not just your opinion. But the good news is that even the early voting has not turned out as the democrats had hoped. Their numbers and percentages are way lower this time than last. The one term Marxist has a record. And, as it turns out Romney is the the hope and change we have been waiting for. :)
     
  2. TheTaoOfBill

    TheTaoOfBill Well-Known Member

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    A job you can apparently slack off at with no consequences. Taking a whole day off for something that takes less than an hour and can likely be done before or after work? Clearly you don't have a very important job.
     
  3. jackdog

    jackdog Well-Known Member

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    My model says Nate Silver will be labeled a idiot tomorrow. maybe a gypsy fortune teller will give him a internship for her tea leaf reading franchise
     
  4. kenrichaed

    kenrichaed Banned

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    Silver predicted 2008 very well but that wasn't that complicated. Hes also a well know Obama supporter and works with the NYT.

    Hes hardly unbiased and it will show.

    Hes young and popular at the moment so hes enjoying his 15 minutes but that party will more than likely end tonight.
     
  5. REPUBLICRAT

    REPUBLICRAT Well-Known Member

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    Source?
     
  6. jack4freedom

    jack4freedom Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Dick Morris has been parading around the right wing world predicting just the opposite scenario in which Romney wins the popular vote by 7-10% and also every battleground state including Pennsylvania....We will see who is labled an idiot tommorrow morning....Morris has the edge in that department as he's generally considered an idiot to begin with...LOL

    My prediction is that Obama will win by 1-2% in the popular vote and about 290 in the electoral vote...Very similar to the 2004 Bush Victory...That said, I would not be too surprised if Romney pulls it out...In either case I hope that whoever wins has a most successful 4 years and the US and the rest of the world enjoys a period of peace and abundant prosperity...Cheers
     
  7. jack4freedom

    jack4freedom Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Dick Morris has been parading around the right wing world predicting just the opposite scenario in which Romney wins the popular vote by 7-10% and also every battleground state including Pennsylvania....We will see who is labled an idiot tommorrow morning....Morris has the edge in that department as he's generally considered an idiot to begin with...LOL

    My prediction is that Obama will win by 1-2% in the popular vote and about 290 in the electoral vote...Very similar to the 2004 Bush Victory...That said, I would not be too surprised if Romney pulls it out...In either case I hope that whoever wins has a most successful 4 years and the US and the rest of the world enjoys a period of peace and abundant prosperity...Cheers
     
  8. misterveritis

    misterveritis Banned

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    LOL. Yeah. Clearly. And my income, to reflect my unimportant job is only in the 150-160K range.
    Have your fun. I will just keep smiling.
     
  9. jack4freedom

    jack4freedom Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I'm sure that we all believe you and are all very impressed....Looks like Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconson and New Mexico are in the blue column...Obama leads in Florida by a point with 84% reporting....Brown beat Mandel pretty bad in Ohio...Once Ohio is called for Obama, it's goodbye Mittens....
     
  10. misterveritis

    misterveritis Banned

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    He will win. Don't worry your pretty little head over it.
    I am sorry to see that we are not likely to take the Senate.

    I am going to seriously begin looking for another country to emigrate to. Without the Senate much ground is lost. If the Americans do choose to continue with the Marxist and the trend toward the ills that marxism brings then I need to begin planning my escape.
     
  11. misterveritis

    misterveritis Banned

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    LOL. I did not actually expect you to believe me. Facts are facts.
     
  12. TheTaoOfBill

    TheTaoOfBill Well-Known Member

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    Still a few states too close to call. But I think we can safely say Nate was spot on by now.
     
  13. jack4freedom

    jack4freedom Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Nate Silver predicted:

    Obama-332

    Romney-206


    Results-

    Obama-332

    Romney-206

    I guess we all know who the idiots are now...Your model, like all other information from AM talk radio and Fox news is a bunch of crapola!!!
     
  14. Baron Von Esslingen

    Baron Von Esslingen New Member

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    Don't mess with Nate. Baseball guys know more than you think.
     
  15. Baron Von Esslingen

    Baron Von Esslingen New Member

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    [​IMG]
     
  16. thediplomat2.0

    thediplomat2.0 Banned

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    No matter what, Nate's prediction will be slightly off, but not by much. He deserves major praise for how accurate he is in his prediction.
     
  17. gmb92

    gmb92 New Member

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    If FL holds for President Obama, it seems I might have missed on that state, although Silver had it as an effective tossup.

    http://www.politicalforum.com/elect...al-election-predictions-5.html#post1061912482

    I take no pride in my prediction, as it's based on those with good track records who have spent far more time and effort crunching the numbers. I simply have watched the polls over the last few months, have paid attention to robust election models like those of Nate Silver's, and have seen countless bogus arguments (from mainly Romney cheerleaders) debunked. Not hard to get the answers right you are dumping the Kool-Aid and seeking the best information.
     

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