The Cool Down Is Coming

Discussion in 'Science' started by Moi621, Jun 5, 2018.

  1. Distraff

    Distraff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2011
    Messages:
    10,833
    Likes Received:
    4,092
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Your graph is also technically incorrect. Here are the real temperatures using real data:
    [​IMG]
     
    iamanonman likes this.
  2. iamanonman

    iamanonman Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Dec 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,826
    Likes Received:
    1,576
    Trophy Points:
    113
    By the way, this graph is misleading at best. The problem is that today's average temperature is already above 60F. That puts the black line way up there and past the blue box on the top right. Also, notice that Harris and Mann have 2019 labeled as "colder" and well below the 57F "normal" line. They are a whopping 3.5F or 2C wrong in their prediction. Not only was their prediction 2x as much wrong as the total amount of warming that has occurred since WWII, but they wrong in the complete opposite direction. In other words, they were really wrong. Let this be a lesson. Global cooling predictions from skeptics/deniers have a long and checkered history of being dead wrong.
     
  3. Moi621

    Moi621 Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2013
    Messages:
    19,294
    Likes Received:
    7,606
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    @Distraff
    Over lay your graph with history.
    Or not.
     
  4. Distraff

    Distraff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2011
    Messages:
    10,833
    Likes Received:
    4,092
    Trophy Points:
    113
    My graph is made from real data and shows that the one you are using is inaccurate. What data is your graph taken from by the way?
     
  5. Thought Criminal

    Thought Criminal Well-Known Member Donor

    Joined:
    Mar 28, 2017
    Messages:
    18,135
    Likes Received:
    13,224
    Trophy Points:
    113
  6. Moi621

    Moi621 Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2013
    Messages:
    19,294
    Likes Received:
    7,606
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Thank you.

    I enjoy history.
    Vaguely I remember the Huns and Mongols and peoples of the Asian plains/steppe
    were driven west due to a drought.
    The occurrences of history and climate are somewhat established.

    The illustration I uploaded matches history and climate events.
    The dates and amplitudes may be off.

    If you have the ability, I don't,
    could you over lay some similar history on your chart.
    When I tried in my mind, the amplitude of change seemed a matter of scale,
    but I really don't want to argue that. Just some history on your chart.
    536 - 540AD, the year without a summer, etc .
    https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/science-chosen-absolute-worst-history-140000038.html
    might be a starting point.
    Please see 322 above
    as there are historical records of dramatic climate / weather events causing
    disruption of food resources and subsequent epidemics on a weakened population.
    Y'think?



     
    Last edited: Nov 26, 2018
  7. Distraff

    Distraff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2011
    Messages:
    10,833
    Likes Received:
    4,092
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Again, what scientific data is your chart based on? What study? The point of the scientific data I presented was not to overlay it with historical events, but to prove that the one you have is incorrect.

    Also, Cliff Harris, one of the so-called scientists behind your data claims to be a climatologist even though he really studied insurance law without an earned degree. He runs a website where he discusses his theories, and also is an advocate for the chem trail conspiracy theory. He also believes that the bible is loaded with clues on predicting the weather. Randy Mann, the next guy listed is a meteorologist and worked as a weather man for local tv stations in the Spokane area.

    None of these two jokers have the qualifications or data to chart global climate data for the past 4,000 years and not surprisingly, their data is completely contradicted by multiple peer reviewed studies by real climate scientists.

    Below is another thread where both these jokers are completely refuted. The data you are trying to use is complete garbage.
    http://www.hi-izuru.org/forum/General Chat/2011-12-20-Climatologist_ - Cliff Harris.html
     
  8. Moi621

    Moi621 Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2013
    Messages:
    19,294
    Likes Received:
    7,606
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    @Distraff

    We agree something big happened circa 536 AD?
    Can you show me the "blip" in your charts.

    Hope you checked out 322 above.
     
  9. Distraff

    Distraff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2011
    Messages:
    10,833
    Likes Received:
    4,092
    Trophy Points:
    113
    If you look at the chart I presented, it shows a downward spike around 536 AD. Take a look at it again.
     
  10. Moi621

    Moi621 Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2013
    Messages:
    19,294
    Likes Received:
    7,606
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Green line too?
    Looks a little weak to cause the fall of the Roman Empire on YOUR chart. eh
     
  11. Cosmo

    Cosmo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    2,720
    Likes Received:
    1,803
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Are you going to disclose the source of the graph you posted?.
     
  12. Moi621

    Moi621 Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2013
    Messages:
    19,294
    Likes Received:
    7,606
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    The internet
     
  13. Cosmo

    Cosmo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    2,720
    Likes Received:
    1,803
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Your juvenile response is noted.
     
  14. Moi621

    Moi621 Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2013
    Messages:
    19,294
    Likes Received:
    7,606
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male

    What does the Black Line represent? Al Gore?

    Also the temperature axis on the left is just too stunted to give
    a full appreciation of the magnitude of difference between the Medieval Warm Up and the Little Ice Age considering the effect on Europe, the largest Native American city along the old, Mississippi River, the tribes of the Eurasian Steppes getting restless, etc.
     
  15. politicalcenter

    politicalcenter Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2011
    Messages:
    11,118
    Likes Received:
    6,807
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    I think I will just live life. I have little influence either way . I am old now. It gets colder every winter...and hotter every summer.
     
  16. iamanonman

    iamanonman Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Dec 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,826
    Likes Received:
    1,576
    Trophy Points:
    113
    It's the instrumental temperature record.
     
  17. Moi621

    Moi621 Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2013
    Messages:
    19,294
    Likes Received:
    7,606
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male

    Wow, instruments that can be taking readings of the future in the same Black Line.
    That is impressive
    :applause:
     
  18. iamanonman

    iamanonman Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Dec 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,826
    Likes Received:
    1,576
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I'm not following you here. What are you seeing that's in the future? Am I looking at the same chart you are?
     
  19. Distraff

    Distraff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2011
    Messages:
    10,833
    Likes Received:
    4,092
    Trophy Points:
    113
    No, Al Gore didn't make the climate graphs, scientists did.
     
  20. Moi621

    Moi621 Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2013
    Messages:
    19,294
    Likes Received:
    7,606
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    And here I believed Al Gore was a scientist,
    just as Michelle Obama is a nutritionist :rolleyes:

    Michelle's kids were more fresh meat deprived than broccoli deprived :rant:


    BTW @Distraff, have YOU taken a Science course beyond Junior High? How about High school? :)
    Just curious
     
  21. Distraff

    Distraff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2011
    Messages:
    10,833
    Likes Received:
    4,092
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I've taken college-level science. Al Gore is a politician who hasn't been relevant in 15 years. He is not a scientist, he is just a politician who believes the scientists. I personally don't know much about Al Gore or support him.
     
    Moi621 likes this.
  22. Cosmo

    Cosmo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    2,720
    Likes Received:
    1,803
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Throwing Al Gore's name in the mix is misdirection and makes you appear desperate.
     
    WillReadmore likes this.
  23. Dispondent

    Dispondent Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2009
    Messages:
    34,260
    Likes Received:
    8,086
    Trophy Points:
    113
    That's not true, a single large scale eruption can create a lot of havoc. More so now than any time in history because of our reliance on technology. Even smaller eruption now interfere with air travel. The consequences towards the climate would be secondary to the economic damage that would be caused. Obviously Yellowstone would most effect the US and the rest of the world, whereas somewhere like Siberia would have a lesser yet still significant impact.
     
    tecoyah likes this.
  24. WillReadmore

    WillReadmore Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    59,889
    Likes Received:
    16,452
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Cliff Harris says he's a climatologist, but his own web site (longrangeweather.com) doesn't even have him admitting that he went to school. And, the credits he claims have to do with weather, not climate.

    At least his partner claims to have gone to school, but he states clearly that he's a meteorologist who has done weather reporting and is teaching geography in North Idaho College(!).

    I don't know why we're being asked to consider this chart and all it's various implied claims as overriding the entire field of actual real live climatology.

    That pretty much seems insulting.
     
  25. jay runner

    jay runner Banned

    Joined:
    Oct 5, 2017
    Messages:
    16,319
    Likes Received:
    10,027
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    iirc that climate was flowing bloody hell.
     

Share This Page