The Democratic Convention Is Giving an Unusual Bump to Trump and the GOP

Discussion in 'Political Opinions & Beliefs' started by Bearack, Aug 21, 2020.

  1. Bearack

    Bearack Well-Known Member

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    https://pjmedia.com/election/stacey...-an-unusual-bump-to-trump-and-the-gop-n817948

    Following the historic nomination of the first woman of color to the presidential ticket for a major party, something extraordinary happened. The incumbent president’s approval rating went up. According to Rasmussen, President Trump’s daily approval rating, which had been bouncing around in the high 40s since early August, jumped three points from the day before to 51%.


    Rasmussen recorded a similar three-point swing in the “strongly approve” and “strongly disapprove” ratings. On August 19th, 35% of likely voters strongly approved of the job Trump is doing, while 44% strongly disapproved. On Thursday, those ratings were 38% and 41%, respectively. It is interesting to note that Barack Obama’s approval rating hovered in a similar range between July and August leading up to his reelection in 2012, according to Gallup.


    When you give your opponent a bigger convention bounce than your own, that might mean you are in bigger trouble than you think....

    Heck, they couldn't even get enough people to properly fill their video wall!

    https://twitter.com/AZachParkinson/status/1296285140331659264?s=20
     
    Last edited: Aug 21, 2020
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  2. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    A polling bump for the VP pick and then for the convention is common, but, it's not supposed to be a bump for your opponent!

    [​IMG]
    SHOCK VIDEO: “Mom! Call 911!” – Biden Supporters Attack 7-Year-Old Boy Outside DNC Convention For Wearing Red MAGA Hat

    These vile, violent, horrifying Nazi Left-Wing thugs do NOT respect the rights of their fellow Americans!

    American heartily returns their disdain and disgust, though we will continue to respect their basic human rights. If they did the same, we'd all peacefully coexist!
     
  3. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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  4. Bearack

    Bearack Well-Known Member

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    Absolutely despicable. The mental health of the left is becoming more and more unstable by the day.
     
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  5. doombug

    doombug Well-Known Member

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  6. Gdawg007

    Gdawg007 Well-Known Member

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    It begs so many questions that a rational mind would ask.

    First, Rasmussen is a known republican leaning pollster. So consider that.

    Secondly, what does a VP pick by the opposing candidate have to do with Trump's approval rating which is allegedly earned by actions Trump takes? Obviously nothing.

    What are the other polls showing on approval rating? The same underwater story much like the Little Mermaid that Trump has experience all his presidency.

    Should I consider your conclusion a good one? Nope.

    Here's a better conclusion. Trump supporters are more supportive of Trump as the election draws near. That makes more sense. The only ones bothered by a black/Indian woman for VP are...Trump supporters. And who gives more weight to Trump supporters? Rasmussen. Therefore, this result is not unexpected.
     
  7. Gdawg007

    Gdawg007 Well-Known Member

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    Last I checked, blackness is only questioned when black people are nominated for high office...usually by people such as yourself. I'm sure you have a good reason for it. Maybe it will come up at your next rally?
     
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  8. Ddyad

    Ddyad Well-Known Member

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  9. Nightmare515

    Nightmare515 Ragin' Cajun Staff Member Past Donor

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    If Trumps bump was directly correlated to Harris's VP nomination then wouldn't his numbers have jumped up before this? She was announced last week, did folks need to wait and see if she would actually accept it at the convention before bumping up Trump?
     
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  10. Bearack

    Bearack Well-Known Member

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    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president/trumpbidenfavorability.html

    No, an actual Trump bump!
     
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  11. Gdawg007

    Gdawg007 Well-Known Member

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    :rotf:

    Two problems here. Biden is also getting a bump of the exact same rate. So that means Trump is still underwater, just a little higher under water...again, this is actually not uncommon. Trump supporters tuned in to the convention to affirm their belief in Trump. Biden supporters did the same. Both came away affirmed. And it reflects in the polling.

    You're reference to Rasmussen was significant in that he has Trump at 51% job approval versus 47% disapprove. NO ONE has Trump there but him. So yes, Trump's rating went up. He's still 13.4 points under water. Biden bumped up too. So sounds like a win win...??
     
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  12. Condor060

    Condor060 Banned Donor

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  13. Condor060

    Condor060 Banned Donor

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    No, they needed to hear how dismal her and Biden were with nothing but platitudes and unending stories of going high, points of light, and fake heartfelt story telling. Nothing in those 4 days explained how anything they support could be accomplished other than Joe is a nice guy.
     
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  14. Bearack

    Bearack Well-Known Member

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    When did I ever say Biden didn't get a bump?

    "When you give your opponent a bigger convention bounce than your own, that might mean you are in bigger trouble than you think...."

    And my point is that after your convention, generally speaking, you should get a substantial bump over your opponent. Biden got a less of a bump than Trump. That doesn't bode well! Especially when you have the progressively bully pulpit CNN with a -1 after day 4 of your national convention... That truly does deserve a ROFL! :banana:
     
    Last edited: Aug 21, 2020
  15. Ddyad

    Ddyad Well-Known Member

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    It probably took a while for ordinary Democrat voters to see the video of Kamala Harris reminding the world that Joe Biden was a leader of the successful racist Dixiecrat push to preserve segregated schools - among other things.
     
  16. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    They also claim that their voters are too dumb to just use the mail box at their house to mail their ballot.

    [​IMG]
    Postmaster General Louis DeJoy Comes Out Swinging and Sets the Record Straight on Democrats’ Demented Post Office Conspiracy Theories.

    The Left's Wild Lies aside: “There has been no changes in any policies with regards to election mail for the 2020 election,”

    None.

    Just another pack of lies they are ginning up now that the last pack of lies they told, Russia Collusion to "explain" their 2016 loss is lying in smoldering ruins.
     
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  17. Nightmare515

    Nightmare515 Ragin' Cajun Staff Member Past Donor

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    I guess in theory there are still plenty of folks who don't really follow politics and "learned" about Harris and her plans, or lack thereof, strictly during the convention.

    I just find it hard to believe that so many Americans didn't know about this woman prior to that.
     
  18. Gdawg007

    Gdawg007 Well-Known Member

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    You didn't say it at all because you're a Trump supporter and you desperately need to justify your life choices. More over, then you would have to admit that Trump is still losing badly at this point and that doesn't affirm your beliefs, which you came weirdly to the internet to get such affirmation.

    That said, you're guy is still underwater. Feel free to take out your banana when he wins the election.

    Also, here's a summary of recent convention "bounces" that shows what we are seeing is a trend, not an anomaly. Bear in mind, this only for people who read.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conve...convention,national convention of their party.
     
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  19. Condor060

    Condor060 Banned Donor

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    Its not that they don't know about her, its their convent memories that get them in trouble. When she ran for the Senate she was Indian.

    Somehow, now she's black. Go figuure
     
  20. ChiCowboy

    ChiCowboy Well-Known Member

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    I doubt this has anything to do with the convention. This is Trump's approval rating, not Biden's. 51% has been the upper end with Rasmussen since the end of last month. This is normal tightening of the polls as we approach election day. Rasmussen still has Trump losing the election by 4, and an incumbent should never be underwater with approval, yet here we are championing Trump's rare feat of cracking 50%. Not really something that instills confidence. Seems more like desperation.
     
  21. Bearack

    Bearack Well-Known Member

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    Hmm, your wiki link tell how the convention bumped helped their opponent? I truly do not reaffirmation of my choice. The DNC has shown that we need to fight tooth and nail to eliminate this cancer you all of unleashed on this country. You violent tendencies will come to a head and you surely won't like it when we finally punch back!

    Oh, and you must have forgotten this moment in time?

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president/clintontrumpfavorability.html
     
  22. ChiCowboy

    ChiCowboy Well-Known Member

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    She talked about her mother and Indian heritage Wednesday night. She's multi-racial, which you know.
     
  23. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    “There’s never been anything we’ve been able to accomplish when we’ve done it together”.
    ~ Joe Biden, acceptance speech.

    [​IMG]
     
  24. modernpaladin

    modernpaladin Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    If I were a woman I'd be pissed at that article. It frames it like 'they nom'd a woman and lost popularity'... no, they nom'd a sociopathic control freak establishment whore and lost popularity, not just 'a woman'.
     
    Last edited: Aug 21, 2020
  25. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    It's a movement of Old Fogeys and Blue Hairs, but they're down wid the Homies!

    [​IMG]
     

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