Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

It's not Donald Trump, it's that pesky first amendment that says no law should be made to exclude religion. But what the religious communities have to understand is that the data shows, they're the ones most at risk. Which isn't a surprise when you consider their ceremonies like baptism(dunking someone in water), or how they form circles and dance, etc. Alot of close, intimate contact which will spread any cold/virus, not just COVID-19 specifically.

It's not discriminating against religion, as much as it is discriminating against the one area where widespread contagion has appeared to be a focal point according to recent CDC research.

 

Yes, I just read about that.

I am still hopeful that the vast majority of Americans are smart enough to realize that this is a public health disaster around the entire world and the (sometimes) draconian measures have been there to keep millions from dying. And maybe those people will stay at home for a little longer.

But alas, a great number of people have been pampered all their lives and mistake the 1st amendment right to be an ******* if you really want to be one with the hard work it is going to take to save peoples' lives.

And if my hope is in vain and a 2nd wave ends up killing numerous millions of people across the world, maybe they will then wake up and realize that people of good-will were trying to explain this to them the entire ****ing time.

Here an important anecdotal:

I was with my teenage daughter at the main hospital in Bonn today, at the Venusberg, for something totally unrelated to COVID-19. Later, a client of mine, who is a brain-surgeon at that hospital, called me up because he saw me walking around the campus with my daughter. He is part of a team that is studying COVID-19 from the neurological perspective, since a number of symptoms leading to the onset of major sickness, like loss of taste, smell or feeling in your toes, are things of a neurological nature and you would not expect them to appear with a virus that we originally thought attacks only the lungs. He told me that his team (and practically every neuro team around the world that is studying this) is perplexed and frustrated, because the virus appears to be able to do things that a virus normally would have no chance of doing. He told me it's really like playing a game of whack-a-mole right now and his team is especially worried about the onset of long term neuro-damage to people who have contracted COVID-19, damage that may set in months from now. In other words, COVID-19 is leaving

I never heard the man so worried as I did today. He really thinks the worst is yet to come, and for all age groups.

 

Indeed, limiting attendance in order to save peoples' lives is not excluding religion at all. In fact, all those Scamevangelists who have been making their big bucks off TV services for the last 40 years proves that point right there...

 

As of now, 97,581 US-Americans have died from COVID-19, putting us 2,419 away from 100,000.

 

For the first time ever, worldwide, we will have seen more than +100,000 new COVID-19 cases per day for three days in a row. A major factor in this has been the veritable explosion in new cases from Brasil, which is now 2nd in the rankings. Tomorrow morning, when Russia publishes it's numbers, Russia will again be rank 2, but after tomorrow night, Brasil will be far enough ahead of Russia to maintain ranking no. 2 for a long time.

 

Ok folks a completely unrelated date

May 27

 

So much for the summer heat practically killing the virus. Seems like the bugger knows how to stick around.

 

You know, don't you. But it is the instigator, the wrecking ball of US society.
We have never seen a pandemic like this, a virus like this, with its side effects like this and we have never seen the fabric of society getting ripped apart like this. Wrecking balls who tear up the country instead of uniting it. Put it behind a cause, mobilize.
I am just dumbfounded by it.
Where are the leaders in the US ?
The US is in its most horrible crisis, ever, and it has no leadership at all.

 

This thread may be the biggest LARP in PF history, and the COVID1984 Viral Moral Panic of 2020 may end up being the greatest mass LARP in U.S. history.

Please, on the off chance any non shill is reading this and tempted to give any credence to the fear-grifting spam herein, PLEASE, for the love of whatever you believe in, get yourself a copy of "Extraordinary Delusions and the Madness of Crowds" posthaste. Thank me later.

 

I took it a step further 5 years ago. I kinde know what I will retire on and started to live according to those financial means, without reducing the savings amount. Once you get into the groof, you find out, that you do not miss one thing, it even increased my living standard.
That's what people do not get, its not status symbols, but being able, to consume the best wine, whisky, bier and the finest meat and groceries available. The stuff status symbol can not afford.
Yes with around 50 you have to be debt free or close to it, by 55 you have to bee able to built that nest egg, especially if you are small business.
As I said small business is living with debt, but around 55 you have to be free of debt, no matter what, because you have only 10 to 15 years left to built that nest egg, for the hopefully last 10 years to live in comfort.
That is a serious problem we now face, because most people have not learned the lessons from 2008 and when this is over they are seriously doomed.
38 millions unemployed ain't a joke, that will devastate the wealth of the middle class as we have not seen since the 30s and it just had clawed its way back from the 2008 crisis.
This will be ugly.
Don't want to think of a possible surge in the fall.

 

Hearts, lungs, liver, kidney, the brain... maybe the best thing we can do for kids is to make sure they don't get COVID-19 even though they appear to handle it better than other age groups.

 

Your shtick is getting boring.

 

The neurological implications are significant. Keeping in mind that they occur in the moderate to severe cases only at this stage, they are definitely worrying.

It's far more like what you see in Shingles, which is a POST-VIRAL syndrome, in effect.

 

In every crisis in the history of our nation whomever sat in the Oval office regardless of political affiliation rose to the occasion and provided leadership up until now. The latest polling shows that after the initial "rally around the flag" support it is now waning considerably because of the absence of any discernible leadership or coherent direction or concerted action to deal with this pandemic on a national level.

This is not a political issue but a public health crisis that impacts everyone regardless as to race, creed, sex or age. Without leadership We the People are going to have to figure out for ourselves what needs to be done. Granted there are certain states where the governors have stepped into the breach and that applies across the political spectrum too. However it is local rather than national.

I am seriously concerned that the worst has yet to come.

 

Building a nest egg is something most people struggle with because of circumstances beyond their control. The average person is unqualified to successfully manage a 401k and that is why only 20% can be relied upon for retirement and those people are not the ones who are going to struggle when they retire anyway. What enabled me to retire was a long term stable investment in a revenue property. At the time that I made that modest investment in my mid 30's I had no idea that it would become the bedrock of my retirement.

I agree that without government intervention the middle class is going to become impoverished on a scale significantly greater than that of the Great Depression. If that does occur then the economy could be in the doldrums for the next couple of decades before there is any recovery.

 

HERE the entire posting for EOD the day before, Thursday, 2020-05-021 (EOD GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT). Also here in a nutshell:

During the run of the day on 2020-05-022, there were some intermittent analyses:
USA EOD report 2020-05-021, posted 2020-05-022, 13:52 GMT +2, #9366.
USA update no 1, posted 2020-05-022, 21:22 GMT +2, #9375.



COVID-19 worldwide statistics EOD Report for Friday, 2020-05-022 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

*****5,298,207*****
+107,716 cases today over yesterday.
There are 105 nations with at least 100 COVID-19 cases.
339,425 COVID-19 deaths worldwide.
1,293 Americans & 966 Brazilians died from COVID-19 on this day.
​

You can find confirmation of the statistics these reports at the WAYBACK MACHINE. Search for one day later than you want, then use the "yesterday" function at the top their large excel table.​

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

We saw +107,716 new cases, as compared the day before (+107,085), +631 more cases than the day before, so the "output" of both days was essentially identical.,The growth rate was 2.08%. The day before, the growth rate was 2.11%. For the first time ever, we saw the world experience +100,000 cases or more not just two days in a row, but rather, three days in a row.

The 7-day new cases average for last week: (from 2020-05-011 through 2020-05-017) was 88,760 cases per day, above the average from the week before.

In terms of deaths: 339,425 total. In terms of daily deaths, the world suffered +5,252 daily deaths over the day before, making for a 1.57% growth rate (yesterday: 1.50%).

The death rate decreased to 6.41%. The day before, it was 6.44%.

The 7-day new deaths average average for last week (from 2020-05-011 through 2020-05-017) 4,684 deaths per day, below the average from the week before.

The % of recovered people rose from 40.05% yesterday to 40.70%. The last time the recovereds were around the 40% mark was on 2020-03-017. The last time that the % of recovereds and the % of sick people were equal was on: 2020-03-014 (47.70% / 48.57%). A sign that at least this wave of the pandemic is ending is when the number of recovered people is around 85-90% and the number of people still sick is between 5-10%. This is the direction in which the world obviously wants to go.

NEW: the country of Brazil has now been added to the excel table, between the USA and Russia:



Coming soon: a major analysis of Brazil, separate from this daily analysis.

The countries with the most new cases:
​

Currently, and unsurprisingly, the USA leads with the most new cases and has been doing so for a long time, however, the rankings directly under the USA have changed greatly over one month ago, now with Brasil, Russia, India and Chile 2nd-to-5th in the rankings. This is the first time ever that Chile has been in the top five rankings of new cases, a bad sign for the world's leading exporter of lithium.

61 countries had +100 or more new cases, closing in on 1/3 of all nations in the world. The day before, it was 59. Honduras posted for the first time ever +100 cases. Of those 61, 15 countries had +1000 or more new cases; the day before, it was 16.

The countries with the most new daily deaths:
​

The USA lead in deaths on 2020-05-021, followed by Brasil, Spain and Mexico. It is very disheartening, to say the least, to see Spain experience a massive uptick in daily deaths. Let's all hope and pray that this is a outlier and not the beginning of a 2nd wave in Spain.

8 nations reported over +100 daily deaths (it was 9 the day before). 4 of those 8 countries are from the Americas.

Total deaths per country, descending:​

There are TWENTY-FIVE nations with over +1,000 COVID-19 deaths to date.

There are 68 nations with 100 total deaths or more. That is 1/3 of all nations on the Earth. Croatia (99) will soon join this statistic.

New: Total Tests administered per country, descending:
​

12 nations have administered more than 1 million tests apiece. The USA has now performed 13.9 million tests, Russia has performed 8.1 million tests. Brazil, which is now rank 2 among all nations in terms of COVID-19 infections, has only administered 735,000 tests. Just imagine how many more positives Brazil would now be showing were it to test on the scale of the USA or Russia....

And now, on to the more expansive listing:

Total cases per country, descending (500 cases or above):​

There are now 105 nations in the "thousand club. Albania (981), Mali (969), Equatorial Guinea (960), Venezuela (944), Niger (937), Cyprus (927), Zambia (920) and Costa Rica (911) are up next to cross the 1,000 line in the next days. A little over one month ago, on 2020-04-019, I recorded 79 nations as being in the 1,000 club, so 36 more nations have crossed over the line since then.

Of those 105, 48 are in the "10,000 club, with Argentinia having crossed the 10,000 line on 2020-05-022. In the same report I referenced in the paragraph above, from 2020-04-019, there were 24 nations in the 10,000 club, so 24 nations have crossed over the 10,000 line since then.

Further, 12 of those 46 are at 100,000 or more. Russia and Brasil are both now over 300,000. And in the same report I referenced in the two paragraphs above, from 2020-04-019, there were 6 nations in the 100,000 club, so 6 nations have crossed over the 100,000 line since then. Canada is about to jump over China's still-stand 82,000 and make it's way to 100,000 and above, but Chile and Mexico will likely get there before Canada or Saudi Arabia.

The point I am making is: this is not all about the USA. Nations all over the world are being massively afflicted with the COVID-19 virus and some are in far worse shape to even begin to combat the pandemic.

Facit: on 2020-05-022 world came over the 5.2 million mark and almost clinched the 5.3 million mark in the same day. Looking at the stats for 2020-05-023 already, I can tell you that we easily crossed over 5.3 million about one half hour after EOD on 2020-05-022; we may sail over 5.4 million today. Were that to happen, then that would be four days in a row with +100,000 C19 cases per day.

Now at almost +97,647 deaths, the USA is marching easily toward well over 100,000 COVID-19 deaths by the end of May, 2020, possibly as high as 130,000.

The world-wide curve is verifiably logistical and on the very low end of the growth curve, which indicates a definite flattening. The very low growth rate in total cases is a good sign. The question now is: how long will the plateau last? Let's see what the planned testing of the entire cities of Wuhan (China) and Los Angeles (USA) bring.


-Stat

 

HERE the COVID-19 numbers for Thursday, 2020-05-021 in the USA (EOD = GMT +0).

And now the COVID-19 numbers for Friday, 2020-05-022 in the USA (EOD = GMT +0):

COVID-19 USA statistics EOD Report for Friday, 2020-05-022 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

*1,645,094*
+24,197 cases today over the day before.
97,647 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA, -2,353 shy of the 100,000-mark.
1,293 Americans out of the total above died from COVID-19 on this day.
403,201 people have recovered, 1,144,246 are, however, still sick.
​

You can find confirmation of the statistics these reports at the WAYBACK MACHINE. Search for one day later than you want, then use the "yesterday" function at the top their large excel table.

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

I screenshotted the table down to 2020-04-028 because the extrapolation at the bottom of this analysis. Very soon, that extrapolation will have run its course...

The 7-day new cases average from last week (from 2020-05-011 through 2020-05-017) was 22,833 cases per day, under the average from the week before.

The 7-day new deaths average from last week (from 2020-05-011 through 2020-05-017) was 1,456 deaths per day, slightly below the average from the week before.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, total cases, descending:​

COVID-19 in the US Territories (unsorted):​

45 out of 50 states have over 1,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases. VT (952) is next up, but the new cases in the 5 smallest states are moving very slowly, an interesting phenomenon to watch, since all 5 are geographically far-flung states either at the edge of the US border to Canada or not even attached to the continental USA.

29 of those 45 plus the cases from Veterans affairs (13,070) now have more than 10,000 cases, so actually, it's 30, and Veterans Affairs is really rank 27. SC and KS are up next to join the 10,000 club.

The state of NY alone has more COVID-19 cases (367,936) than any other nation in the world except the USA itself, of which NY is of course a part. However, very soon, Brasil (330,890) and/or Russia (326,448 ) will surpass NY's numbers. Wait and see.

Are people even paying attention to Puerto Rico, Guam and the Virgin Islands?

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, new daily cases, descending:​

4 states reported over +1,000 new cases on 2020-05-022, with IL and CA well over +2,000 and NY and TX well over +1,000 new COVID-19 positives. Also, 8 other states were over +800 new cases and the state among them with the smallest population in comparison: MN. Anyone who thinks this pandemic is fading away would be well-served to think again about this. We will soon be seeing hotspots in places where we did not expect them, or at least, this soon.

40 states + DC reported more than +100 new cases, among them, WV; the day before, it was 38 + DC.

2 states reported no new cases: HI and MT.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, top 25, total tests administered, descending:​

For seeing the number of tests over a much longer time-frame, go to the WAYBACK MACHINE link at the top of the report.




Before 2020-05-022, something was not functioning right with administered test numbers. For the second time (on 2020-05-021), less total US tests were recorded as administered as the day before. That should not be possible. Until I can get some solid answers about this, I won't be reporting total comparisons, because I don't want to be publishing false information.

On 2020-05-020, the website listed 14,117,870 tests as administered.
For 2020-05-021, it says 13,439,114.
That's -678,576 cases. The number should be a +, not a -.

So, I will research...

However, for 2020-05-022, we see that the USA has now administered 13.9 million tests to date. Let's see if that number now marches forwards or backwards...

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, new daily deaths, descending:​

I think this is the most important category when looking to see where other hotspots are emerging and since deaths lag behind new cases, the two rankings are often not the same.

4 states reported more than 100 daily deaths. The day before, it was 5. PA lead in the daily deaths this time, followed by NJ, NY and IL. The daily deaths from those 4 states = 39.12% of all daily deaths in the USA from 2020-05-022, which means that over 60% the dying came from somewhat smaller states and is therefore being more evenly spread throughout the Union, not exactly a positive sign. Just remember, about one month ago, NY alone was about 40% of all daily deaths in the USA.

44 of 50 states reported at least one death. The day before, it was 46. VERY POSITIVE is the fact that Washington State, which had the very first C19 case in late January, 2020, reported no deaths on 2020-05-022!

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, total deaths, descending:
​

39 states have more than 100 total deaths. That's 4/5 of the nation in terms of numbers of US states. In terms of population, it's far more than that. Currently at 93 deaths, UT will probably be next to cross over into that gruesome statistic.

Of those 38, 18 states in the Union have a total of more than 1,000 COVID-19 deaths. In about 2 weeks, MN, NC and AZ are likely to join that unlucky club.

With 29,009 total deaths at current, the state of NY has more deaths to mourn than every other COUNTRY on the Earth save the USA itself, UK and Italy. However, at the rate that Brazil is suddenly moving in the rankings, soon Brazil will have many, many more deaths to mourn than NY state.

EXTRAPOLATION:​

On 2020-04-028, 25 days ago now including that day, over two postings, I extrapolated that if we "only" had +1,400 US deaths per day until the end of May, 2020, then we would reach over 103,000 dead Americans at that time, before the summer even begins. In the days since, on 18 of those 25 days, we came in over that "only". Here again the excel-table for this report; it goes back to that date:



In a nutshell:

Time frame = 25 days from 2020-04-028 through 2020-05-022.

1,400 * 25 = 35,000 extrapolated deaths.
Actual deaths = 40,850
Number of actual deaths over the extrapolation = 40,850-35,000 = 5,850 more deaths than originally extrapolated
5,850 = the equivalent of 4 days (at an extrapolated 1,400 per day) +250 in reserve =1,400-250= 1,150.

This means that were ZERO COVID-19 deaths to be reported in the USA for the next FOUR days in a row including today (2020-05-023 through 026 - Saturday through Tuesday) and then, "only" +1,150 deaths were to be reported on 2020-05-027 (Wednesday), we would still be exactly on track to go well over 103,000 deaths in the USA at EOD on May 31st, which is 8 days after today, 9 days including today. The simple math is still horrifyingly unassailable.

On Thursday, we ended the day with 97,647 US deaths from COVID-19, putting us -2,353 from the 100,000 line right now, so even just +1,000 deaths per day gets us just under +107,000 without even having to extrapolate anymore. It's looking very much that by tomorrow, Sunday (2020-05-024) or Memorial Day (2020-05-025) at the very latest, we will already be at 100,000 US-American deaths from COVID-19.

Now, all that as raw numbers may not really be getting into peoples' heads quite yet, so here is the listing of US-American cities with a projected 2020 population of between 100,000-106,500:



Between Memorial Day and the end of the month of May, 2020, it will be as if one of those US-American cities was simply and for all eternity wiped-off the face of the world. Then maybe, just maybe for the naysayers and C19-deadenders out there, this **** will finally be real.

Now, we could have a legitimate discussion about the psychology of going from a 5-digit figure to a 6-digit figure and then from a 6-digit figure to a 7-digit figure because really, what is the big difference between, say, 99,800 and 100,200? There's actually very little difference, but suddenly seeing a 6-digit figure makes this all appear to be suddenly larger and more menacing when in reality, it was large and menacing the entire time.

Further, it is unreasonable to think that the deaths are simply going to stop just like turning off a spigot. Look at the current number of active (meaning: "still sick") cases in the USA: 1,144,246 (the day before, it was: 1,142,379). At least 2-3% of those cases are people who are in serious condition, decidedly closer to death than to life, so let's take 2.5% as the mean: 28,606. This is why the deaths won't simply stop all at once. But one day, they will and we will ALL rejoice.

Let's see what Saturday brings.


-Stat

 

Wutt??

 

Tja, I figured I would get everybody with this one.

 

Colorado Data
https://covid19.colorado.gov/data/case-data
As I expected the surge in my county is on.
When I checked yesterday we had 30 cases, today we have 35.
Its Memorial week end and the towns were packed yesterday, everybody getting ready to party.
The traffic on the road into the NF was wild.
Oooooohhh well, water well, oil well, gas well.

 

I don't think I'd send a child to K-12 if the virus was circulating in the community, not with what we know at this point. September? Maybe.

 

Oh, ****, you mean the sinking of the Bismarck!!!!!! LOL!!!!

 

This is not only a really wonderful gesture, it is human and empathetic:

https://www.kctv5.com/democratic-co...cle_1d636546-dba2-5cc5-8f6d-9f125ce11052.html

Also being reported here:

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/05/23/politics/lauren-underwood-memorial-day/index.html


Lauren Underwood (D, IL-14) was first elected in 2018. She has served on a large number of committees, among them, the House Veterans Affairs Committee. There are three large veteran's cemeteries within her congressional district.
..
At 06:00 CDT on Monday, she will begin to place flowers on the graves of people in her district who have died of COVID-19.

This is a good side of humanity. This is what empathy is all about. This is what America is all about.

Until now, she is the only Representative in the US Congress who has offered to do this for her constituency, but should I hear that another Representative, regardless of party or ideology, is doing this, I will write the same thing, because this is a really good thing to do for people. Kudos to her for it.

Lauren Underwood's district, as you can see from this link, is geographically a large collar CD, surrounding the outer northern and western Chicago suburbs, with about 800,000 people, 89.9% urban, 10.1% rural, roughly 1,600 square miles.

Without literally going through all of the data for all the counties within her district, I cannot say how many COVID-19 deaths are from her district, but right now, Illinois has 105,444 C19 cases and has suffered 4,715 deaths and here are the deaths for the 6 counties that are or at at least partially within her district:



Not all of those 737 deaths are within her district, but I would wager that the lion's share of them are, just to depict what she is planning to do on Memorial Day 2020.

-Stat

 

USA update 001, 2020-05-023:

as of 15 minutes ago, with 9.5 hours left in the day on the East Coast of the USA, 3.5 hours left in my day in Germany and 5.5 hours before EOD for WORLDOMETER - and with 24 states to report any data at all, and 7 more states to report daily deaths, the US is now at 98,222 COVID-19 deaths and is therefore 1,778 from the horrifying 100,000 death mark:

 

I love the steady jump in recovery though, as we are now up to 438,562 recoveries in the US. I know that there might not be sources for this data, but it'd be cool somehow if we were able to judge recoveries the same way that we do deaths to get a better picture of how the battle is going against the coronavirus.